New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#351
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#335
Pace73.9#49
Improvement-0.2#202

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#325
First Shot-7.4#349
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#101
Layup/Dunks-0.3#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#344
Freethrows-2.7#323
Improvement+0.8#140

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#348
First Shot-4.6#316
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#335
Layups/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#342
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-1.0#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.2% 25.7% 50.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 32 - 72 - 15
Quad 44 - 116 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 55   @ Kansas St. L 65-89 2%     0 - 1 -11.6 +1.5 -14.2
  Nov 09, 2024 111   Troy L 61-78 11%     0 - 2 -16.2 -15.5 +0.8
  Nov 14, 2024 349   Lindenwood W 82-74 48%     1 - 2 -4.4 +2.9 -7.6
  Nov 15, 2024 321   Stonehill L 54-80 38%     1 - 3 -35.7 -24.3 -11.0
  Nov 17, 2024 194   @ Robert Morris L 62-73 10%     1 - 4 -10.1 -12.0 +2.4
  Nov 22, 2024 141   @ Tulane W 93-87 OT 7%     2 - 4 +9.7 +7.6 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2024 20   @ Baylor L 60-91 1%     2 - 5 -12.7 -1.2 -14.1
  Dec 07, 2024 197   @ Nicholls St. L 70-73 11%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -2.2 -1.5 -0.8
  Dec 15, 2024 60   @ Iowa L 57-104 2%     2 - 7 -35.1 -12.8 -23.1
  Dec 19, 2024 30   @ Texas L 62-98 1%     2 - 8 -19.4 -2.5 -17.1
  Dec 22, 2024 71   @ LSU L 70-86 3%     2 - 9 -5.7 -1.3 -3.4
  Dec 28, 2024 87   @ McNeese St. L 61-86 3%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -16.0 -1.8 -16.5
  Dec 30, 2024 57   @ Vanderbilt L 56-100 2%     2 - 11 -31.7 -17.1 -10.1
  Jan 04, 2025 264   UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-76 33%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -20.3 -8.9 -12.3
  Jan 06, 2025 186   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 83-97 20%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -17.8 +2.0 -18.7
  Jan 11, 2025 228   SE Louisiana L 71-91 26%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -26.2 -5.9 -19.6
  Jan 13, 2025 218   @ Lamar W 68-62 13%     3 - 14 1 - 5 +5.3 +1.8 +3.9
  Jan 18, 2025 343   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 82-73 37%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -0.3 +2.5 -3.2
  Jan 20, 2025 293   @ Northwestern St. L 61-73 22%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -16.6 -9.7 -7.4
  Jan 25, 2025 290   Houston Christian L 76-86 37%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -19.6 -2.1 -17.5
  Jan 27, 2025 291   Incarnate Word L 58-74 37%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -25.6 -22.5 -3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 228   @ SE Louisiana L 68-76 14%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -9.2 -8.2 -0.5
  Feb 03, 2025 270   Stephen F. Austin L 85-88 OT 34%     4 - 19 2 - 10 -11.6 +7.2 -18.6
  Feb 08, 2025 290   @ Houston Christian L 70-78 20%    
  Feb 10, 2025 291   @ Incarnate Word L 72-80 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 87   McNeese St. L 65-82 6%    
  Feb 17, 2025 197   Nicholls St. L 72-81 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 293   Northwestern St. L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 24, 2025 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 74-73 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 264   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-84 17%    
  Mar 03, 2025 186   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-84 8%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 6.2 4.4 0.6 0.0 13.7 10th
11th 1.1 15.2 25.4 13.1 2.6 0.1 57.5 11th
12th 9.4 12.5 4.1 0.3 26.2 12th
Total 10.5 27.8 31.8 19.7 8.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.3% 0.3
7-13 1.8% 1.8
6-14 8.0% 8.0
5-15 19.7% 19.7
4-16 31.8% 31.8
3-17 27.8% 27.8
2-18 10.5% 10.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.5%