Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#237
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#285
Pace71.5#108
Improvement+1.4#89

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#238
First Shot+0.8#157
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#334
Layup/Dunks-0.9#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#261
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement+0.2#159

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#229
First Shot-1.2#213
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#235
Layups/Dunks+0.2#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#211
Freethrows-0.5#223
Improvement+1.3#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 1.4% 2.5% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 8.3% 10.2% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 9.9% 13.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Home) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 32 - 16
Quad 48 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 331   Western Illinois W 77-64 80%     1 - 0 +0.0 -0.2 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2024 91   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 11%     1 - 1 -8.9 +5.7 -14.0
  Nov 16, 2024 60   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 7%     1 - 2 -5.8 -1.1 -4.7
  Nov 20, 2024 108   @ UNLV L 59-80 15%     1 - 3 -14.0 -5.8 -10.0
  Nov 22, 2024 61   @ Northwestern L 50-68 7%     1 - 4 -5.9 -11.7 +4.8
  Nov 26, 2024 275   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 69%     1 - 5 -18.2 -6.8 -12.3
  Nov 29, 2024 201   New Mexico St. W 82-70 41%     2 - 5 +10.2 +4.5 +5.0
  Nov 30, 2024 208   Weber St. L 53-68 43%     2 - 6 -17.2 -21.6 +4.2
  Dec 07, 2024 308   Grambling St. W 85-57 75%     3 - 6 +16.9 +7.1 +9.8
  Dec 14, 2024 285   Northern Arizona W 86-76 71%     4 - 6 +0.2 +5.9 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2024 261   Long Beach St. L 76-79 66%     4 - 7 -11.5 -1.5 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2024 185   UC Davis W 73-72 50%    
  Dec 28, 2024 72   @ Santa Clara L 68-83 8%    
  Dec 30, 2024 4   Gonzaga L 68-89 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 43   @ St. Mary's L 59-77 5%    
  Jan 04, 2025 277   @ Pacific L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 165   Loyola Marymount L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 16, 2025 59   San Francisco L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 18, 2025 43   St. Mary's L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 23, 2025 65   @ Oregon St. L 61-77 7%    
  Jan 25, 2025 277   Pacific W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 30, 2025 319   @ San Diego W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 325   Portland W 78-70 77%    
  Feb 08, 2025 77   @ Washington St. L 69-83 10%    
  Feb 13, 2025 319   San Diego W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 65-92 1%    
  Feb 20, 2025 65   Oregon St. L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 165   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 325   @ Portland W 75-73 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 77   Washington St. L 72-80 23%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.2 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.7 4.6 7.7 5.5 1.4 0.1 20.0 7th
8th 0.0 2.1 9.6 11.9 5.7 1.1 0.1 30.3 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 8.9 7.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 21.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.0 0.7 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.6 0.2 5.8 11th
Total 0.2 1.2 4.3 9.3 15.1 18.8 18.7 14.5 9.5 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.7% 0.7
10-8 2.3% 2.3
9-9 5.1% 5.1
8-10 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 9.5
7-11 14.5% 14.5
6-12 18.7% 18.7
5-13 18.8% 18.8
4-14 15.1% 15.1
3-15 9.3% 9.3
2-16 4.3% 4.3
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%