Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#217
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#260
Pace71.6#91
Improvement+0.4#167

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#233
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#273
Layup/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#267
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement-0.6#215

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#210
First Shot-0.5#197
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#237
Layups/Dunks+0.2#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#178
Freethrows+0.1#181
Improvement+1.0#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 8.0% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.4% 2.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 16.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 9
Quad 20 - 40 - 13
Quad 32 - 22 - 15
Quad 49 - 511 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 354   Western Illinois W 77-64 88%     1 - 0 -2.8 -1.5 -1.0
  Nov 09, 2024 65   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 10%     1 - 1 -7.3 +6.9 -13.6
  Nov 16, 2024 67   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 11%     1 - 2 -7.5 -1.5 -6.0
  Nov 20, 2024 101   @ UNLV L 59-80 17%     1 - 3 -13.9 -5.4 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2024 56   @ Northwestern L 50-68 8%     1 - 4 -5.7 -13.5 +6.8
  Nov 26, 2024 317   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 79%     1 - 5 -20.7 -8.4 -13.1
  Nov 29, 2024 166   New Mexico St. W 82-70 38%     2 - 5 +12.0 +6.2 +5.1
  Nov 30, 2024 286   Weber St. L 53-68 64%     2 - 6 -21.8 -23.9 +1.9
  Dec 07, 2024 339   Grambling St. W 85-57 85%     3 - 6 +13.9 +7.3 +6.6
  Dec 14, 2024 250   Northern Arizona W 86-76 67%     4 - 6 +2.3 +8.3 -6.1
  Dec 19, 2024 305   Long Beach St. L 76-79 76%     4 - 7 -13.7 -3.3 -10.4
  Dec 21, 2024 216   UC Davis W 85-46 60%     5 - 7 +33.4 +13.9 +19.6
  Dec 28, 2024 64   @ Santa Clara L 80-91 10%     5 - 8 0 - 1 +0.0 +10.2 -10.1
  Dec 30, 2024 11   Gonzaga L 82-89 5%     5 - 9 0 - 2 +8.3 +8.3 +0.4
  Jan 02, 2025 31   @ St. Mary's L 41-71 4%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -13.4 -18.5 +1.8
  Jan 04, 2025 302   @ Pacific W 87-70 59%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +11.5 +9.1 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2025 72   San Francisco L 63-80 22%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -11.9 -5.6 -6.7
  Jan 18, 2025 31   St. Mary's L 50-74 9%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -12.4 -9.6 -6.0
  Jan 23, 2025 76   @ Oregon St. L 63-83 11%     6 - 13 1 - 6 -10.0 +2.9 -16.0
  Jan 25, 2025 302   Pacific W 60-44 76%     7 - 13 2 - 6 +5.5 -18.7 +24.1
  Jan 30, 2025 311   @ San Diego W 98-90 61%     8 - 13 3 - 6 +1.9 +9.2 -8.5
  Feb 01, 2025 299   Portland L 64-84 75%     8 - 14 3 - 7 -30.2 -13.4 -17.6
  Feb 08, 2025 103   @ Washington St. L 72-82 16%    
  Feb 11, 2025 136   Loyola Marymount L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 311   San Diego W 80-72 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 68-91 1%    
  Feb 20, 2025 76   Oregon St. L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-74 24%    
  Feb 27, 2025 299   @ Portland W 77-75 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 103   Washington St. L 74-79 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 1.2 0.1 3.4 6th
7th 0.7 5.9 4.5 0.3 11.5 7th
8th 2.7 19.3 26.5 12.3 0.8 0.0 61.6 8th
9th 0.5 9.0 8.2 2.0 0.1 19.7 9th
10th 1.6 1.4 0.2 3.1 10th
11th 0.4 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 2.5 13.1 27.6 29.2 18.5 7.3 1.7 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 1.7% 1.7
8-10 7.3% 7.3
7-11 18.5% 18.5
6-12 29.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 29.1
5-13 27.6% 27.6
4-14 13.1% 13.1
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.5%