Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.2 128
Results Rating -0.7 170
Consistency 0.13 77
Pace 69.5 147
Improvement +0.7 162

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 96 A- C- D+ C- C+
Defense C- 211 C C+ D C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 A- 67% 25 +2.2 100
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 270 C+ 40% 101 -1.1 240
Three Pointers 46% 64 B+ 38% 24 +5.8 25
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 135 A- +6.4 21
1st FG Attempt A- 1.16 23
Second Chance C 30.3% 184 D+ 0.95 294 C- 0.29 230
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 271
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 266
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 278
Freethrows D+ 0.28 256 B- 74% 125 C- 0.21 226
Total Offense B- +3.3 96

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 234 B+ 7.5% 28
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 237 C 4.8% 179
Three Pointers F+ 74% 343 C+ 0.8% 161
Total C- 53% 240 B+ 3.9% 23


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 217 C+ 57% 147 -1.0 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 83 D 42% 323 +2.0 330
Three Pointers 39% 239 C+ 33% 126 -1.6 117
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 101 C -0.1 172
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 156
Second Chance B- 27.5% 78 C- 1.06 230 C+ 0.29 119
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 310
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 242
Turnovers D 14.6% 314
Freethrows C+ 0.29 138 D 74% 303 C+ 0.21 160
Total Defense C- -1.1 211

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 80 C 11.7% 145
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 28 D+ 3.2% 274
Three Pointers C+ 82% 140 B- 1.3% 82
Total B 49% 45 C 5.7% 171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 99 17.9 275
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 189 0.17 179
Consistency 0.14 323 0.13 228
Improvement +0.4 162 +0.2 181

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 140 133 119
Results Rating Rank 187 171 143
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 80 - 14
Quad 35 - 35 - 17
Quad 47 - 312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 181 Idaho L 81 - 83 74% -9  0% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C +1 C D+ A+ D- -8 F B C-
 Fri, Nov 7 111 @Davidson L 69 - 85 33% -16  0% 0 - 2 D -9 C- -2 D- B F D- -7 F B A
 Mon, Nov 10 112 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 57% +15  97% 1 - 2 B +10 B +6 B A+ F B +4 B+ A D+
 Fri, Nov 14 52 Washington L 69 - 81 30% -10  4% 1 - 3 C- -4 B +6 B- B A F -12 D+ C+ F+
 Wed, Nov 19 262 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 85% +12  83% 2 - 3 A- +15 A+ +15 B+ A+ A- C -1 D- A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 58 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 23% +2  62% 2 - 4 C+ +4 A+ +21 A+ A A F -18 F F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 53 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 21% -11  0% 2 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 C+ D C+ D+ -3 D- F A
 Tue, Dec 2 113 @Bradley L 60 - 64 34% +3  84% 2 - 6 C+ +2 F -11 C+ F F A+ +14 A+ D+ F+
 Sun, Dec 7 81 Nevada L 64 - 78 42% -5  29% 2 - 7 D -10 D+ -3 C C F F+ -8 A F F+
 Sun, Dec 14 63 @USC L 61 - 68 17% -6  0% 2 - 8 B- +5 D- -7 C+ F C- A+ +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 174 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 62% +12  99% 3 - 8 B+ +14 C- -2 A F+ F A+ +15 A A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 178 Mercer W 84 - 78 73% +4  78% 4 - 8 C+ +2 C- -2 A+ F C B- +3 B- B D-
 Sun, Dec 28 216 @Portland W 67 - 62 59% +3  65% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B- +5 D -6 C- F D A +11 A+ F+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 117 @Seattle L 55 - 69 35% -6  13% 5 - 9 1 - 1 D+ -8 F+ -10 F C F C+ +2 D+ A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 156 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 68% -1  49% 6 - 9 2 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 A+ F D+ D+ -4 B- B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 160 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 69% +11  99% 7 - 9 3 - 1 B +11 A- +10 A- A F+ B- +2 C+ C D
 Sat, Jan 10 31 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 8% -9  6% 7 - 10 3 - 2 B+ +12 A+ +15 A+ B- D- D+ -4 F+ A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 15 11 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 10% -10  10% 7 - 11 3 - 3 D+ -5 C +0 A+ D- F D -6 B F D+
 Sun, Jan 18 122 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 36% -0  38% 7 - 12 3 - 4 C +1 A +13 A+ F D F -13 F F B+
 Wed, Jan 21 238 @San Diego L 92 - 96 64% -8  6% 7 - 13 3 - 5 D+ -5 A +14 C+ B A F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 270 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 85% +12  97% 8 - 13 4 - 5 B- +7 A +13 A+ B- C- D- -7 F A B+
 Wed, Jan 28 117 Seattle W 70 - 58 58% +6  91% 9 - 13 5 - 5 B+ +12 C+ +3 A+ F F A +10 A+ C D
 Sat, Jan 31 216 Portland W 104 - 74 78% +15  94% 10 - 13 6 - 5 A+ +24 A+ +24 A+ A A+ C -1 A- F F
 Wed, Feb 4 160 @Oregon St. L 64 - 74 47% +4  76% 10 - 14 6 - 6 D+ -7 D- -8 F D+ B- C+ +0 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 43 Santa Clara L 92 - 96 24% -3  20% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B- +5 A+ +18 A+ A+ B F -12 F A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 10 11 @Gonzaga L 53 - 83 4% -21  0% 10 - 16 6 - 8 D+ -8 F -12 C+ F F B +4 C- A B+
 Wed, Feb 18 127 Pacific W 87 - 70 60% +6  75% 11 - 16 7 - 8 A- +17 A+ +18 A+ F A C -1 B+ B F
 Sat, Feb 21 31 St. Mary's L 67 - 83 19% -4  37% 11 - 17 7 - 9 C- -4 B +6 A+ D- C- F -12 F A C
 Wed, Feb 25 156 @Loyola Marymount L 66 - 67 46% +5  93% 11 - 18 7 - 10 C+ +2 D+ -4 B B- F B+ +6 A+ C F
 Sat, Feb 28 270 @Pepperdine L 79 - 88 69% -9  1% 11 - 19 7 - 11 D- -12 D+ -4 D+ D+ D D- -7 D F+ C-
Totals 11 - 19 7 - 11 +2 B- +3 C A- C+ C- -1 B+ B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- A- C+ B+ A- 37% 30% 46% C+ A- C D+ C- D+ D+ B- C- C- C+ D C+ C 38% 23% 39% B- C B- C- C+ D C+ D C+
1.13 67% 40% 38% +6 0 1.16 30% 1.0 .29 18% .28 74% .21 1.10 57% 42% 33% 0 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .29 15% .29 74% .21
Nov
3		 Idaho C C A+ F C- 37% 16% 47% B+ C F+ A+ D+ A+ A+ C- A+ D- C F D- F 35% 12% 54% D+ F A D- B C- D+ D+ D
1.13 58% 75% 25% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38 1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23
Nov
7		 Davidson C- F C+ F+ F+ 35% 26% 39% C- D- B B- B F A+ A+ A+ D- F F+ F F 30% 22% 48% B- F A+ F B A F F F
0.99 44% 42% 28% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 23% .43 83% .35 1.22 79% 50% 45% +17 -1 1.35 18% 1.5 .27 21% .38 81% .31
Nov
10		 St. Thomas B B A+ D+ B 42% 10% 48% B- B C+ A+ A+ F B- A+ A B F A+ B B+ 35% 12% 54% B B+ A+ F A D+ C+ F D+
1.18 65% 60% 30% +3 +2 1.10 31% 2.0 .62 22% .30 94% .28 1.03 78% 0% 32% +1 +1 1.06 3% 3.0 .10 13% .27 81% .22
Nov
14		 Washington B B D+ F+ C+ 38% 12% 50% A+ B- B+ C+ B A F+ A+ D F B+ F F+ C- 32% 19% 49% D D+ C+ C+ C+ F+ F D+ F
1.11 63% 33% 28% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 11% .18 80% .14 1.30 53% 56% 39% +6 0 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 11% .42 78% .33
Nov
19		 Southern Utah A+ A+ A+ C- A- 36% 24% 40% D+ B+ B- A+ A+ A- C- D+ C- C D+ F+ F F 31% 31% 38% A D- A+ A A+ C C- D D+
1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17 1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21
Nov
25		 Arizona St. A+ A- C- A+ A+ 29% 22% 49% C- A+ C- A+ A A A+ B- A+ F D+ F F F 44% 14% 42% D- F C F F D+ F D F
1.32 64% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 30% 1.4 .43 15% .48 76% .36 1.40 64% 57% 48% +14 +1 1.32 32% 1.6 .52 14% .47 79% .38
Nov
26		 Seton Hall C- B+ A+ F C 43% 7% 50% A C+ C F D C+ D B+ C- D+ F A+ B F 45% 34% 21% A D- A F F A A F B-
0.92 60% 67% 22% -7 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23 1.13 81% 25% 30% +4 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21
Dec
2		 Bradley F A F A+ B 23% 41% 36% F C+ D F F F F A+ D A+ C C A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% C A+ B+ F D+ F+ D+ A+ B
0.87 70% 22% 50% +5 -4 1.05 25% 0.6 .14 29% .25 83% .21 0.93 59% 36% 13% -15 0 0.71 23% 1.4 .32 10% .36 59% .21
Dec
7		 Nevada D+ A F B B- 29% 26% 45% D- C A- F C F A+ A A+ F+ A+ B D- A- 33% 37% 31% A A D F F F+ C+ F D+
1.01 67% 18% 37% -1 -1 0.98 34% 0.9 .31 22% .45 77% .35 1.23 38% 33% 40% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.4 .54 9% .37 86% .31
Dec
14		 USC D- B- F C+ C+ 34% 12% 54% B C+ F B F C- D D- D- A+ B- C- A+ A+ 48% 27% 25% C A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.87 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.98 12% 1.0 .12 18% .24 71% .17 0.97 57% 42% 9% -9 0 0.84 17% 1.2 .21 16% .57 79% .45
Dec
17		 Eastern Washington C- A+ A- B A 42% 12% 46% B- A B F F+ F F F F A+ C+ C A+ A+ 43% 19% 38% D+ A A A+ A+ D+ C A B-
1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09 0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20
Dec
20		 Mercer C- B+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% C A+ F F F C B+ F C+ B- C F A+ C 28% 33% 39% A+ B- C+ B+ B D- A+ A+ A+
1.12 63% 60% 50% +17 0 1.35 17% 0.4 .07 17% .32 65% .21 1.04 59% 55% 25% 0 -2 0.98 31% 0.9 .27 13% .22 50% .11
Dec
28		 Portland D C+ F B- C- 33% 18% 49% C- C- D+ F F D A+ F+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 18% 45% C+ A+ C- F F+ F F A+ C
0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34 0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22
Dec
30		 Seattle F+ D F+ F F 30% 28% 43% D- F A+ F C F A+ F B+ C+ B+ D- F F+ 17% 30% 52% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- F F+ F
0.80 50% 31% 15% -17 -2 0.66 49% 0.6 .27 28% .47 57% .26 1.01 50% 43% 42% +6 -3 1.09 6% 0.0 .00 16% .44 76% .33
Jan
2		 Loyola Marymount C+ B A+ A+ A+ 35% 25% 39% C A+ F F F D+ F+ A+ C- D+ A- C- C B+ 44% 19% 37% F B- A F B- F D- C- D
1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21 1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23
Jan
4		 Oregon St. A- A+ A+ D A 39% 17% 43% C A- A C+ A F+ A C A B- A- F C+ B- 33% 13% 53% D+ C+ A- F C D C- A+ B
1.24 72% 50% 30% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.1 .45 18% .41 73% .30 1.03 47% 50% 33% -3 +1 0.98 20% 1.7 .33 15% .38 67% .25
Jan
10		 St. Mary's A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 43% 12% 45% A- A+ C+ B B- D- A C A D+ B C- F F 33% 15% 52% C F+ A+ A+ A+ A- D F F
1.16 71% 67% 36% +11 +1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 18% .33 74% .24 1.24 53% 38% 48% +9 0 1.21 29% 0.6 .18 20% .35 100% .35
Jan
15		 Gonzaga C F D+ A+ A+ 32% 14% 55% A A+ B F D- F A+ F C D C A- C+ A- 50% 22% 28% F B F B- F D+ C C C
0.96 43% 33% 50% +8 0 1.18 28% 0.4 .11 25% .39 50% .20 1.27 63% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 47% 1.1 .53 12% .28 71% .20
Jan
18		 San Francisco A A+ C A+ A+ 47% 15% 38% A- A+ D F F D F F+ F F B- D F F 33% 25% 42% A- F D- F F B+ C- F D-
1.24 76% 38% 50% +17 +1 1.40 23% 0.7 .15 16% .06 67% .04 1.32 56% 42% 50% +10 -1 1.21 37% 1.4 .52 19% .34 83% .29
Jan
21		 San Diego A A- A- D+ C+ 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ B+ C B A A- A+ A+ F F B- F F 26% 29% 45% A F F C- F F B- A+ A-
1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35 1.37 73% 35% 54% +16 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Pepperdine A A+ B A+ A+ 31% 13% 56% D+ A+ A- D+ B- C- C- C+ C D- D F D+ F 31% 37% 33% A+ F A- A+ A B+ B- F C-
1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 0 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19 1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23
Jan
28		 Seattle C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% D A+ D F F F A F B A B- A+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ C+ C- C D C+ F C-
1.03 77% 64% 47% +21 -1 1.41 25% 0.3 .08 28% .39 63% .24 0.85 54% 13% 16% -16 +1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 15% .29 76% .22
Jan
31		 Portland A+ A+ F A+ A+ 39% 13% 48% B A+ C A+ A A+ C A+ B C A+ F A+ A- 40% 26% 34% B A- D- F F F F A+ D-
1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25 1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27
Feb
4		 Oregon St. D- F F F+ F 32% 6% 62% B- F F A+ D+ B- A+ B A+ C+ B+ A A+ A+ 53% 20% 27% D- A+ D- B D+ F D- B- D
0.95 33% 0% 28% -16 +1 0.72 21% 1.4 .28 13% .44 77% .34 1.09 48% 27% 20% -13 +1 0.78 32% 1.2 .37 7% .43 74% .32
Feb
7		 Santa Clara A+ A- F A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% B A+ A A A+ B F+ A+ C- F F F F F 43% 20% 38% C F B- A+ A+ D+ C- F+ D
1.30 68% 17% 48% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.3 .52 18% .26 87% .22 1.35 75% 64% 43% +17 0 1.38 34% 0.6 .22 14% .26 81% .21
Feb
10		 Gonzaga F A+ C+ F C 30% 17% 52% B+ C+ F F F F C+ A+ B+ B D+ F A+ C- 45% 36% 19% B- C- C A+ A B+ B+ F C
0.75 71% 38% 21% -6 0 0.89 10% 0.7 .07 30% .30 80% .24 1.17 67% 63% 20% +9 -1 1.17 36% 0.9 .32 17% .24 86% .20
Feb
18		 Pacific A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 28% 24% 48% C+ A+ C F F A F F+ F C A+ D- D+ B 36% 28% 36% A- B+ A- C B F A B- A
1.33 87% 46% 54% +24 -1 1.48 25% 0.3 .07 11% .14 63% .09 1.07 42% 47% 37% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 15% .20 73% .14
Feb
21		 St. Mary's B B F A A 52% 10% 38% A+ A+ B- F D- C- C B C+ F D- F F F 36% 32% 32% A F F A+ A C A A- A+
1.06 60% 20% 39% +2 +2 1.10 26% 0.4 .12 16% .25 77% .19 1.32 67% 50% 56% +18 -2 1.34 45% 0.7 .31 16% .23 75% .17
Feb
25		 Loyola Marymount D+ C C- A+ B+ 37% 29% 35% C- B C- A B- F F A+ F B+ A- C- A+ A+ 37% 31% 31% B- A+ C- B- C F C F D
0.97 56% 36% 41% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.3 .37 25% .12 83% .10 0.99 50% 41% 24% -7 -2 0.85 28% 1.0 .28 9% .27 82% .23
Feb
28		 Pepperdine D+ D+ C- C- D+ 39% 19% 42% D D+ B+ F D+ D C A+ B- D- D+ C C D+ 52% 20% 28% F+ D F B+ F+ C- F F F
1.05 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.8 .30 19% .26 81% .21 1.17 61% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 17% .38 88% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 99.9
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.8 23.8 76.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.1%
Lose Out 30.5%