Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#78
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#55
Pace75.5#38
Improvement-1.6#284

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks+1.2#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#81
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-1.0#268

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#76
First Shot+2.7#94
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#73
Layups/Dunks+0.2#160
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement-0.6#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.4% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.0% 6.8% 2.7%
Average Seed 10.4 10.3 10.6
.500 or above 99.2% 99.8% 98.6%
.500 or above in Conference 89.2% 91.0% 86.7%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.0% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four3.0% 4.0% 1.8%
First Round6.4% 8.3% 3.9%
Second Round2.3% 3.2% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Neutral) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 23 - 45 - 10
Quad 34 - 19 - 11
Quad 412 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 260   Portland St. W 100-92 92%     1 - 0 -0.3 +8.9 -10.2
  Nov 08, 2024 79   Bradley W 91-74 62%     2 - 0 +21.1 +17.1 +3.7
  Nov 11, 2024 278   Idaho W 90-67 93%     3 - 0 +13.4 +5.6 +6.6
  Nov 15, 2024 44   Iowa L 66-76 36%     3 - 1 +0.9 -10.0 +11.7
  Nov 18, 2024 197   Northern Colorado W 83-69 86%     4 - 1 +9.4 +5.5 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2024 253   Eastern Washington W 96-81 87%     5 - 1 +9.9 +7.0 +1.3
  Nov 26, 2024 257   Fresno St. W 84-73 87%     6 - 1 +5.8 +0.6 +3.6
  Nov 27, 2024 48   SMU L 60-77 38%     6 - 2 -6.7 -2.3 -6.2
  Dec 02, 2024 52   @ Nevada W 68-57 28%     7 - 2 +24.0 +2.6 +21.7
  Dec 07, 2024 57   Boise St. W 74-69 41%     8 - 2 +14.5 +3.6 +10.7
  Dec 14, 2024 192   Missouri St. W 91-78 86%     9 - 2 +8.6 +17.5 -8.9
  Dec 18, 2024 84   @ Washington L 73-89 40%     9 - 3 -6.2 +1.2 -6.4
  Dec 21, 2024 99   Northern Iowa W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 28, 2024 325   @ Portland W 82-69 90%    
  Dec 30, 2024 181   Loyola Marymount W 75-67 78%    
  Jan 04, 2025 59   San Francisco W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 09, 2025 276   Pacific W 82-66 94%    
  Jan 11, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 72-88 7%    
  Jan 16, 2025 317   @ San Diego W 82-69 88%    
  Jan 18, 2025 325   Portland W 85-66 96%    
  Jan 23, 2025 74   @ Santa Clara L 76-79 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 42   St. Mary's L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 276   @ Pacific W 79-69 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 59   @ San Francisco L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 62   @ Oregon St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 237   Pepperdine W 83-69 90%    
  Feb 15, 2025 42   @ St. Mary's L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 19, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 75-85 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 74   Santa Clara W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 317   San Diego W 85-66 96%    
  Mar 01, 2025 237   @ Pepperdine W 80-72 77%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.0 5.2 2.0 0.3 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 8.3 6.8 1.4 0.1 18.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.7 9.1 7.3 1.0 0.0 20.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 8.8 6.7 1.0 0.0 20.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.7 6.8 4.6 0.7 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.2 1.2 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 6.5 11.5 16.4 18.9 17.9 13.0 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 70.8% 0.7    0.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 33.0% 1.0    0.3 0.6 0.1
14-4 7.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 96.2% 21.8% 74.4% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.1%
16-2 1.0% 79.6% 16.3% 63.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 75.6%
15-3 3.1% 51.7% 14.6% 37.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.5 43.5%
14-4 7.2% 28.4% 8.9% 19.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 0.1 5.1 21.4%
13-5 13.0% 12.6% 5.4% 7.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.2 11.4 7.6%
12-6 17.9% 5.5% 3.0% 2.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 16.9 2.5%
11-7 18.9% 2.4% 1.8% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 18.4 0.6%
10-8 16.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 16.2 0.1%
9-9 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.0%
8-10 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 6.5
7-11 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 2.9
6-12 1.0% 1.0
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.0% 3.2% 4.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 92.0 5.0%