Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.4 #54
Expected Predictive Rating +10.7 #55
Pace 71.9 #97
Improvement -0.3 #200

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #54 B+ A+ C+ F C+
Defense #66 B- C A+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #224 1.27 #69 +1.1 #136
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #248 1.01 #6 +0.8 #129
Three Pointers 46% #76 1.02 #182 +2.6 #99
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #59 +4.6 #59
Freethrows 12.9 #348 75% #104 9.7 #333
Second Chance 38.5% #14 1.16 #48 0.45 #18
Turnovers 15.6% #126
Total Offense +6.1 #54

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #105 1.13 #144 -1.1 #216
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #206 0.64 #30 +1.5 #78
Three Pointers 39% #235 0.94 #87 +2.3 #102
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #95 +2.7 #95
Freethrows 19.4 #287 71% #97 13.7 #267
Second Chance 29.9% #147 1.11 #274 0.33 #215
Turnovers 20.8% #15
Total Defense +4.3 #66

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.7% #142 0.7% #235
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.2% #60 -6.0% #72
Possession Length 16.2 #75 17.5 #212
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #49 0.22 #325
Improvement -0.6 #214 +0.3 #167

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 23.5% 14.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.3% 15.4% 8.6%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 10.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
Conference Champion 6.3% 7.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.2% 8.7% 5.8%
First Round17.9% 19.0% 11.7%
Second Round6.3% 6.8% 3.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.1% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 84.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 24 - 26 - 7
Quad 310 - 116 - 8
Quad 47 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 87 McNeese St. W 79 - 67 73% +5  1 - 0 +16 +10 B+ C- B- +6 A+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 10 81 @Xavier W 87 - 68 50% +15  2 - 0 +29 +17 A A+ B+ +12 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 80 Nevada W 98 - 83 72% +13  3 - 0 +19 +26 A+ A+ B -6 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 219 Idaho St. W 64 - 55 93% +5  4 - 0 +3 -8 F C+ A- +12 A A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 312 Louisiana W 80 - 43 97% +20  5 - 0 +25 +8 F A+ A+ +19 A+ B+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 28 Saint Louis L 70 - 71 35% +3  5 - 1 +14 +4 C B+ D +10 A+ A+ C
 Fri, Nov 28 71 Minnesota W 86 - 75 59% +18  6 - 1 +19 +22 A+ A+ A- -2 A- F C+
 Wed, Dec 3 233 Utah Tech W 90 - 80 94% +12  7 - 1 +3 +7 B- A+ F -4 F C A+
 Sat, Dec 6 51 @New Mexico L 71 - 98 37% -11  7 - 2 -13 +5 D- A+ D -18 F F B
 Sat, Dec 13 88 Arizona St. L 79 - 82 65% +6  7 - 3 +3 +4 C C D+ -0 F D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 127 North Texas W 63 - 60 79% -2  8 - 3 +5 -1 D+ A+ F +7 A+ F C
 Sat, Dec 20 268 Loyola Chicago L 78 - 80 93% -1  8 - 4 -8 +4 F A+ C -12 F A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 195 @Oregon St. W 102 - 64 82% +22  9 - 4 1 - 0 +39 +31 A+ C B- +8 B- B A+
 Tue, Dec 30 210 @Portland W 92 - 85 84% +1  10 - 4 2 - 0 +7 +18 A+ C+ F -12 F F B-
 Fri, Jan 2 279 Pepperdine W 82 - 63 96% +7  11 - 4 3 - 0 +9 +2 A+ F C +6 A- D+ A+
 Sun, Jan 4 209 San Diego W 98 - 70 93% +12  12 - 4 4 - 0 +22 +16 A- A+ C +4 C- A+ A
 Thu, Jan 8 6 @Gonzaga L 77 - 89 11% -6  12 - 5 4 - 1 +12 +12 A- A+ C +0 D D- A
 Sat, Jan 10 155 Loyola Marymount W 103 - 72 89% +17  13 - 5 5 - 1 +28 +23 A+ A+ A+ +3 A+ D A-
 Wed, Jan 14 132 Pacific W 85 - 69 86% +4  14 - 5 6 - 1 +15 +17 A- A+ A+ -1 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 17 42 St. Mary's W 62 - 54 55% +7  15 - 5 7 - 1 +17 -4 C- D C +21 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 209 @San Diego W 86 - 75 84%
 Wed, Jan 28 101 San Francisco W 79 - 70 79%
 Sat, Jan 31 155 @Loyola Marymount W 77 - 70 75%
 Wed, Feb 4 132 @Pacific W 78 - 72 71%
 Sat, Feb 7 141 @Washington St. W 81 - 75 72%
 Wed, Feb 11 121 Seattle W 77 - 66 84%
 Sat, Feb 14 6 Gonzaga L 77 - 84 25%
 Sat, Feb 21 101 @San Francisco W 76 - 73 60%
 Wed, Feb 25 42 @St. Mary's L 71 - 76 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 195 Oregon St. W 82 - 66 93%
Totals 22 - 8 14 - 4 +10 +6 B+ A+ C+ +4 B- C A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.6 1.8 6.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 6.1 16.2 18.7 6.0 48.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 10.8 15.5 10.5 1.7 42.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.0 12.1 21.6 26.8 21.3 9.6 1.8 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 1.8    0.9 0.9
16-2 37.1% 3.6    0.8 2.5 0.3
15-3 4.1% 0.9    0.1 0.5 0.4
14-4 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 1.8 3.8 0.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 1.8% 75.9% 28.3% 47.6% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 66.4%
16-2 9.6% 54.4% 18.3% 36.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.8 1.5 4.4 44.2%
15-3 21.3% 31.6% 11.8% 19.9% 10.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.4 0.0 14.5 22.5%
14-4 26.8% 19.8% 8.5% 11.3% 10.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.5 0.1 21.5 12.4%
13-5 21.6% 11.5% 6.4% 5.1% 10.8 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.1 19.2 5.4%
12-6 12.1% 6.4% 4.4% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 11.4 2.1%
11-7 5.0% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 11.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 0.9%
10-8 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 1.4
9-9 0.3% 3.0% 3.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.1% 9.1% 13.0% 10.2 77.9 14.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 6.8 2.9 17.6 22.5 27.5 17.6 9.8 2.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0% 69.9% 9.1 5.7 13.4 24.4 18.2 8.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 52.0% 9.0 6.0 8.0 22.0 12.0 4.0