Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#74
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#95
Pace70.6#136
Improvement+4.8#12

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
First Shot+4.3#65
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#160
Layup/Dunks+2.6#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#58
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement+3.2#13

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#98
First Shot+0.7#147
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#45
Layups/Dunks+1.8#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows+0.0#189
Improvement+1.6#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 6.7% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.0% 3.2% 1.0%
Average Seed 10.5 10.5 11.0
.500 or above 94.2% 95.3% 82.2%
.500 or above in Conference 86.2% 86.8% 79.6%
Conference Champion 2.6% 2.6% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 0.6%
First Round5.6% 5.8% 3.2%
Second Round2.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 91.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 24 - 46 - 10
Quad 35 - 311 - 12
Quad 49 - 120 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 144   Saint Louis W 85-78 75%     1 - 0 +7.7 +5.2 +2.2
  Nov 08, 2024 63   Arizona St. L 74-81 44%     1 - 1 +2.0 +6.1 -4.1
  Nov 13, 2024 129   North Dakota St. L 80-88 OT 80%     1 - 2 -9.2 -4.1 -4.4
  Nov 16, 2024 52   @ Nevada L 59-85 30%     1 - 3 -13.0 -3.9 -10.9
  Nov 19, 2024 170   UC Riverside W 96-54 85%     2 - 3 +38.3 +23.6 +15.9
  Nov 23, 2024 94   Stanford L 69-71 67%     2 - 4 +1.0 -4.0 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2024 88   TCU W 69-52 54%     3 - 4 +23.5 +3.8 +19.9
  Nov 29, 2024 84   Washington L 69-76 53%     3 - 5 -0.2 +3.0 -3.5
  Dec 03, 2024 92   @ McNeese St. W 74-67 44%     4 - 5 +16.1 +11.3 +5.3
  Dec 07, 2024 257   Fresno St. W 81-66 92%     5 - 5 +6.8 +1.1 +4.4
  Dec 14, 2024 79   Bradley W 84-74 52%     6 - 5 +17.1 +19.1 -1.3
  Dec 18, 2024 164   Kennesaw St. W 94-74 84%     7 - 5 +16.7 +12.3 +3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 235   South Dakota W 92-77 91%    
  Dec 28, 2024 237   Pepperdine W 83-68 92%    
  Dec 30, 2024 59   @ San Francisco L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 02, 2025 317   @ San Diego W 81-68 89%    
  Jan 09, 2025 62   Oregon St. W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 59   San Francisco W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 15, 2025 181   @ Loyola Marymount W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 71-87 8%    
  Jan 23, 2025 78   Washington St. W 79-76 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 62   @ Oregon St. L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 29, 2025 42   St. Mary's L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 276   Pacific W 82-65 94%    
  Feb 06, 2025 325   @ Portland W 82-68 90%    
  Feb 08, 2025 317   San Diego W 84-65 96%    
  Feb 11, 2025 42   @ St. Mary's L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 19, 2025 181   Loyola Marymount W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 22, 2025 78   @ Washington St. L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 27, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 74-84 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 276   @ Pacific W 79-68 84%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.9 5.1 2.0 0.2 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 7.6 5.7 1.0 0.0 17.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.8 8.6 6.4 0.8 0.0 18.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 8.8 6.5 0.7 0.0 19.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.3 7.7 5.0 0.7 18.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.7 1.3 0.2 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.9 7.7 12.6 16.8 18.3 16.2 11.5 6.7 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 74.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2
15-3 33.7% 1.0    0.4 0.6 0.1
14-4 9.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 87.4% 23.2% 64.2% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 83.6%
16-2 0.8% 72.5% 19.3% 53.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 65.9%
15-3 3.1% 41.6% 12.7% 29.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.8 33.2%
14-4 6.7% 23.4% 11.4% 12.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.1 5.2 13.5%
13-5 11.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.3% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 10.3 3.6%
12-6 16.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 15.4 1.2%
11-7 18.3% 2.3% 2.1% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 17.9 0.2%
10-8 16.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.6 0.1%
9-9 12.6% 1.3% 1.3% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.5
8-10 7.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
7-11 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
6-12 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.4% 3.5% 2.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.6 3.0%