New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#66
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#46
Pace75.6#40
Improvement+4.1#12

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#87
First Shot+3.8#82
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks+2.1#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows+1.8#79
Improvement+3.2#15

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#62
First Shot+3.5#73
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#106
Layups/Dunks+8.5#7
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#357
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 32.0% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.7% 21.4% 8.7%
Average Seed 10.2 9.9 10.5
.500 or above 97.8% 99.5% 97.0%
.500 or above in Conference 86.8% 94.8% 82.9%
Conference Champion 12.7% 22.6% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four6.4% 8.8% 5.3%
First Round18.0% 27.3% 13.5%
Second Round6.0% 9.8% 4.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 2.0% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Away) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 4
Quad 25 - 47 - 8
Quad 36 - 213 - 10
Quad 48 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 302 East Texas A&M W 76-54 95%     1 - 0 +11.0 -7.6 +16.6
  Sat, Nov 8 167 Texas Arlington W 74-56 86%     2 - 0 +14.4 +0.5 +13.4
  Tue, Nov 11 272 UC Riverside W 82-68 94%     3 - 0 +5.0 +7.9 -2.2
  Sat, Nov 15 127 @New Mexico St. L 68-76 62%     3 - 1 -2.8 +2.4 -5.8
  Thu, Nov 20 25 Nebraska L 72-84 25%     3 - 2 +3.1 -3.8 +8.6
  Fri, Nov 21 80 Mississippi St. W 80-78 55%     4 - 2 +8.9 +7.8 +1.1
  Wed, Nov 26 281 Alabama St. W 93-87 94%     5 - 2 -3.5 +10.3 -13.9
  Sat, Dec 6 86 Santa Clara W 98-71 67%     6 - 2 +30.6 +24.1 +5.9
  Wed, Dec 10 47 @Virginia Commonwealth W 81-78 29%     7 - 2 +17.1 +15.1 +2.0
  Sun, Dec 14 186 Florida Gulf Coast W 75-59 88%     8 - 2 +11.2 -0.2 +11.8
  Sat, Dec 20 197 San Jose St. W 88-65 89%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +17.7 +13.6 +4.7
  Tue, Dec 30 51 @Boise St. L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 103 Wyoming W 81-74 72%    
  Tue, Jan 6 91 @Colorado St. L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 322 @Air Force W 78-63 92%    
  Tue, Jan 13 87 Grand Canyon W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 52 @San Diego St. L 73-78 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 184 Fresno St. W 84-71 88%    
  Sat, Jan 24 89 Nevada W 78-73 68%    
  Tue, Jan 27 133 @UNLV W 83-80 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 197 @San Jose St. W 79-71 76%    
  Wed, Feb 4 33 Utah St. L 77-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 51 Boise St. W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Feb 11 87 @Grand Canyon L 74-75 45%    
  Tue, Feb 17 322 Air Force W 81-60 97%    
  Sat, Feb 21 184 @Fresno St. W 81-74 74%    
  Tue, Feb 24 89 @Nevada L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 52 San Diego St. W 76-75 55%    
  Wed, Mar 4 91 Colorado St. W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Mar 7 33 @Utah St. L 74-82 23%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.1 3.9 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 12.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.8 5.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 16.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 6.6 5.4 1.4 0.1 15.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.4 5.0 1.0 0.1 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.0 5.2 1.0 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.4 1.4 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.0 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.6 6.4 9.7 12.5 15.2 14.7 13.1 10.0 6.5 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 98.8% 1.4    1.2 0.1
17-3 86.2% 2.8    2.2 0.6 0.0
16-4 60.8% 3.9    2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 31.2% 3.1    1.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
14-6 7.3% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 7.2 4.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 98.3% 31.6% 66.7% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.5%
18-2 1.4% 88.7% 32.0% 56.6% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 83.3%
17-3 3.3% 77.5% 24.5% 53.0% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.7 70.2%
16-4 6.5% 60.1% 21.0% 39.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.0 2.6 49.4%
15-5 10.0% 44.1% 18.6% 25.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.3 0.1 5.6 31.3%
14-6 13.1% 28.5% 14.2% 14.4% 10.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 0.1 9.4 16.7%
13-7 14.7% 17.5% 10.1% 7.3% 10.9 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.2 12.1 8.2%
12-8 15.2% 10.1% 7.3% 2.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.2 13.6 3.0%
11-9 12.5% 5.6% 4.8% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.8 0.8%
10-10 9.7% 3.4% 3.3% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.4 0.1%
9-11 6.4% 2.0% 2.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 6.2
8-12 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 12.1 0.1 0.0 3.5
7-13 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
6-14 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.8
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.6% 10.2% 11.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.5 5.5 10.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 78.4 12.7%