New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#103
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#97
Pace79.6#12
Improvement-1.6#299

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#132
First Shot+1.7#129
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#200
Layup/Dunks+3.1#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#151
Freethrows+0.3#168
Improvement+1.2#84

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#75
First Shot+3.2#76
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#183
Layups/Dunks+6.3#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#323
Freethrows+0.7#139
Improvement-2.8#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.1% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 11.5
.500 or above 71.5% 82.6% 63.2%
.500 or above in Conference 61.5% 67.2% 57.3%
Conference Champion 5.1% 6.8% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round5.5% 7.6% 4.0%
Second Round1.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Home) - 42.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 23 - 64 - 10
Quad 35 - 310 - 14
Quad 48 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 300 East Texas A&M W 76-54 92%     1 - 0 +11.2 -6.9 +16.1
  Sat, Nov 8 190 Texas Arlington W 74-56 82%     2 - 0 +12.9 -1.7 +14.1
  Tue, Nov 11 271 UC Riverside W 82-68 89%     3 - 0 +4.9 +8.4 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 15 116 @New Mexico St. L 68-76 43%     3 - 1 -1.7 +3.6 -5.9
  Thu, Nov 20 49 Nebraska L 72-84 27%     3 - 2 -1.1 -5.9 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 21 81 Mississippi St. W 80-78 40%     4 - 2 +9.2 +7.3 +1.8
  Wed, Nov 26 268 Alabama St. W 93-87 89%     5 - 2 -3.0 +11.2 -14.4
  Sat, Dec 6 55 Santa Clara L 79-81 42%    
  Wed, Dec 10 43 @Virginia Commonwealth L 73-83 17%    
  Sun, Dec 14 177 Florida Gulf Coast W 86-77 79%    
  Sat, Dec 20 185 San Jose St. W 79-70 81%    
  Tue, Dec 30 59 @Boise St. L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 3 106 Wyoming W 79-76 61%    
  Tue, Jan 6 74 @Colorado St. L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 332 @Air Force W 78-66 86%    
  Tue, Jan 13 94 Grand Canyon W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 52 @San Diego St. L 74-82 22%    
  Wed, Jan 21 179 Fresno St. W 84-75 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 105 Nevada W 78-75 61%    
  Tue, Jan 27 131 @UNLV L 84-85 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 185 @San Jose St. W 76-73 61%    
  Wed, Feb 4 51 Utah St. L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 59 Boise St. L 73-75 44%    
  Wed, Feb 11 94 @Grand Canyon L 74-78 37%    
  Tue, Feb 17 332 Air Force W 81-63 94%    
  Sat, Feb 21 179 @Fresno St. W 81-78 60%    
  Tue, Feb 24 105 @Nevada L 75-78 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 52 San Diego St. L 77-79 42%    
  Wed, Mar 4 74 Colorado St. L 76-77 50%    
  Sat, Mar 7 51 @Utah St. L 74-83 21%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.3 2.8 0.7 0.1 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 5.1 4.4 0.8 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.9 4.4 1.2 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.3 4.4 1.2 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 3.1 1.2 0.1 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.7 7.3 9.9 12.2 12.7 13.1 11.3 9.6 6.7 4.4 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.2% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 89.7% 0.9    0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 68.2% 1.6    1.0 0.6 0.1
15-5 31.9% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 9.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 86.2% 31.0% 55.2% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0%
18-2 0.4% 61.9% 30.1% 31.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 45.6%
17-3 1.0% 46.7% 26.1% 20.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 27.9%
16-4 2.3% 25.5% 17.7% 7.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.7 9.5%
15-5 4.4% 20.7% 16.6% 4.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 3.5 5.0%
14-6 6.7% 14.0% 12.4% 1.6% 11.3 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.7 1.8%
13-7 9.6% 9.1% 9.0% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 0.1%
12-8 11.3% 6.2% 6.2% 11.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 10.6
11-9 13.1% 4.0% 4.0% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 12.6
10-10 12.7% 1.5% 1.5% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.5
9-11 12.2% 1.1% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
8-12 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.7
7-13 7.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
6-14 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.7
5-15 2.4% 2.4
4-16 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.0% 0.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.2 0.9%