Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#163
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#189
Pace66.9#234
Improvement+2.0#61

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#198
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks+0.6#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#276
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#148
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#96
Layups/Dunks+1.3#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#38
Freethrows-2.2#313
Improvement+1.9#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.8
.500 or above 20.1% 26.5% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.4% 18.0% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 8.2% 13.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 62 - 12
Quad 33 - 55 - 16
Quad 49 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 315   Tennessee St. W 81-66 86%     1 - 0 +3.3 +2.1 +1.1
  Nov 13, 2024 24   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 6%     1 - 1 -30.1 -16.2 -14.3
  Nov 16, 2024 289   Utah Tech W 86-69 82%     2 - 1 +7.2 +4.4 +2.1
  Nov 22, 2024 230   SE Louisiana W 64-61 73%     3 - 1 -3.6 -8.3 +4.7
  Nov 26, 2024 202   Tulane W 64-63 56%     4 - 1 -0.9 -6.8 +5.9
  Nov 27, 2024 181   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 53%     4 - 2 -4.1 +2.6 -6.8
  Dec 04, 2024 54   @ Utah St. L 67-70 11%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +9.9 +11.0 -1.5
  Dec 10, 2024 235   @ South Dakota L 81-82 53%     4 - 4 -2.0 -4.1 +2.1
  Dec 14, 2024 40   BYU L 49-68 15%     4 - 5 -8.0 -12.1 +1.1
  Dec 19, 2024 343   Bellarmine W 92-55 90%     5 - 5 +22.4 +18.4 +7.9
  Dec 22, 2024 275   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 28, 2024 52   Nevada L 65-72 24%    
  Dec 31, 2024 57   Boise St. L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 04, 2025 272   @ Air Force W 66-63 59%    
  Jan 07, 2025 70   New Mexico L 75-80 30%    
  Jan 14, 2025 57   @ Boise St. L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 18, 2025 105   Colorado St. L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 21, 2025 108   @ UNLV L 65-72 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 184   @ San Jose St. L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 28, 2025 257   Fresno St. W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 43   @ San Diego St. L 61-75 10%    
  Feb 04, 2025 54   Utah St. L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 108   UNLV L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 12, 2025 70   @ New Mexico L 72-83 15%    
  Feb 15, 2025 105   @ Colorado St. L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 18, 2025 272   Air Force W 69-60 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 184   San Jose St. W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 25, 2025 52   @ Nevada L 62-75 11%    
  Mar 01, 2025 43   San Diego St. L 64-72 23%    
  Mar 04, 2025 257   @ Fresno St. W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.7 5.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 17.0 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 6.8 8.9 6.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 26.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.2 6.9 3.1 0.6 0.1 21.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.9 9.3 12.5 15.2 15.3 13.5 10.7 7.2 4.4 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 29.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 9.0% 9.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.4% 6.6% 6.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 1.1% 4.3% 4.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-8 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-9 4.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
10-10 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
9-11 10.7% 1.0% 1.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.6
8-12 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
7-13 15.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 15.3
6-14 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 15.1
5-15 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-16 9.3% 9.3
3-17 4.9% 4.9
2-18 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.5 0.0%