Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#176
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#180
Pace62.6#322
Improvement-2.9#295

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#281
Layup/Dunks-2.0#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#156
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement-1.0#240

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#149
First Shot-0.5#194
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#74
Layups/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#116
Freethrows-0.7#239
Improvement-1.9#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 8
Quad 21 - 61 - 13
Quad 32 - 43 - 18
Quad 48 - 211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 260   Tennessee St. W 81-66 76%     1 - 0 +6.8 +3.9 +2.7
  Nov 13, 2024 7   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 3%     1 - 1 -24.5 -14.4 -10.6
  Nov 16, 2024 290   Utah Tech W 86-69 81%     2 - 1 +6.8 +3.9 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2024 218   SE Louisiana W 64-61 69%     3 - 1 -2.9 -10.6 +7.8
  Nov 26, 2024 141   Tulane W 64-63 43%     4 - 1 +2.0 -5.5 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2024 157   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 46%     4 - 2 -2.8 +3.0 -5.9
  Dec 04, 2024 55   @ Utah St. L 67-70 10%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +10.4 +7.1 +2.8
  Dec 10, 2024 239   @ South Dakota L 81-82 52%     4 - 4 -2.4 -2.3 +0.0
  Dec 14, 2024 20   BYU L 49-68 6%     4 - 5 -2.5 -10.9 +5.3
  Dec 19, 2024 340   Bellarmine W 92-55 90%     5 - 5 +22.2 +17.9 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2024 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-69 82%     6 - 5 -6.5 +10.4 -16.2
  Dec 28, 2024 83   Nevada W 66-63 32%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +6.9 +2.2 +5.1
  Dec 31, 2024 52   Boise St. L 58-67 20%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -0.9 -3.9 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 300   @ Air Force W 70-65 66%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -0.2 +7.4 -6.8
  Jan 07, 2025 41   New Mexico L 53-61 16%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +1.8 -11.6 +13.3
  Jan 14, 2025 52   @ Boise St. L 55-96 9%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -27.4 -10.0 -18.9
  Jan 18, 2025 53   Colorado St. L 63-79 20%     8 - 9 2 - 5 -8.0 -0.8 -8.7
  Jan 21, 2025 92   @ UNLV W 63-61 19%     9 - 9 3 - 5 +10.3 +6.5 +4.2
  Jan 25, 2025 156   @ San Jose St. L 58-67 35%     9 - 10 3 - 6 -6.0 -7.8 +0.8
  Jan 28, 2025 258   Fresno St. W 83-72 OT 75%     10 - 10 4 - 6 +3.0 +6.0 -3.3
  Feb 01, 2025 54   @ San Diego St. L 61-63 10%     10 - 11 4 - 7 +11.5 +3.4 +7.9
  Feb 04, 2025 55   Utah St. L 67-71 20%     10 - 12 4 - 8 +3.9 -3.6 +7.3
  Feb 08, 2025 92   UNLV L 57-68 36%     10 - 13 4 - 9 -8.2 -6.6 -2.7
  Feb 12, 2025 41   @ New Mexico L 67-71 7%     10 - 14 4 - 10 +11.4 +2.5 +9.0
  Feb 15, 2025 53   @ Colorado St. L 53-88 10%     10 - 15 4 - 11 -21.5 -8.2 -17.2
  Feb 18, 2025 300   Air Force W 69-62 82%     11 - 15 5 - 11 -3.7 +0.4 -3.2
  Feb 22, 2025 156   San Jose St. L 73-82 56%     11 - 16 5 - 12 -11.5 -2.8 -8.6
  Feb 25, 2025 83   @ Nevada L 61-84 17%     11 - 17 5 - 13 -13.6 -2.8 -12.5
  Mar 01, 2025 54   San Diego St. L 69-72 20%     11 - 18 5 - 14 +5.0 +10.5 -5.8
  Mar 04, 2025 258   @ Fresno St. L 58-62 56%     11 - 19 5 - 15 -6.5 -3.6 -3.6
  Mar 12, 2025 156   San Jose St. L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 99.9
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.7%
Lose Out 54.7%