Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.5 240
Expected Predictive Rating -4.1 232
Pace 73.4 59
Improvement +2.2 94

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #244 C+ D+ D C+ C
Defense C- #232 C C+ F B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 342 54% 281 -5.7 344
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 264 36% 257 -2.0 280
Three Pointers 53% 14 37% 47 +8.6 9
1st FG Attempt 1.04 144 +0.9 144
Second Chance 25.3% 323 1.06 129 0.27 270
Turnovers 19.5% 321
Freethrows 0.32 151 72% 177 0.23 144
Total Offense -2.6 244

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 49 59% 225 -3.7 311
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 227 38% 173 +0.6 136
Three Pointers 37% 281 31% 53 +3.6 45
1st FG Attempt 1.01 159 +0.6 160
Second Chance 30.1% 165 0.98 105 0.29 125
Turnovers 12.5% 357
Freethrows 0.27 79 72% 196 0.20 90
Total Defense -1.9 232

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.0 193 +0.6 281
Shot Type Accuracy +0.9 141 -1.2 133
Possession Length 16.6 96 16.6 69
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 303 0.18 210
Improvement +0.5 #148 +1.8 #89

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 5% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 5% 16% 2%
.500 or above in Conference 42% 75% 34%
Conference Champion 1% 4% 0%
Last Place in Conference 4% 1% 5%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round2% 5% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 44 - 9
Quad 46 - 610 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 163 Marist L 56 - 75 45% -8  0% 0 - 1 F -22 F -18 F D+ F D+ -4 D+ C C-
 Wed, Nov 12 342 @Bryant L 75 - 82 67% -1  45% 0 - 2 F+ -16 F+ -8 C- F D- D- -8 F+ A- F
 Sun, Nov 16 161 Appalachian St. L 77 - 85 45% -5  11% 0 - 3 D- -11 C +0 A C- F F -11 F C B
 Sat, Nov 29 228 @St. Peter's W 87 - 61 35% +7  74% 1 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +19 A B A A- +8 B+ B- D
 Wed, Dec 3 327 New Hampshire W 69 - 68 80% -2  17% 2 - 3 D- -12 F -10 C+ F F C- -2 C+ B F
 Sat, Dec 6 106 @Wyoming L 80 - 93 14% -1  53% 2 - 4 D+ -6 B- +4 A B- F F+ -10 F A F
 Tue, Dec 9 103 @Colorado St. L 55 - 76 13% -9  6% 2 - 5 D- -13 F -13 D+ D- F C- -3 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 275 Boston University W 77 - 64 68% +9  84% 3 - 5 C+ +4 C- -2 C+ F D+ B+ +6 A+ C+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 321 @Holy Cross W 89 - 64 60% +11  74% 4 - 5 A +18 A +14 A+ C F B +5 B+ B- F
 Fri, Dec 19 287 @Sacred Heart L 63 - 85 49% -8  1% 4 - 6 F -26 F -21 F C- F D+ -5 A F F
 Mon, Dec 29 4 @Florida L 72 - 94 1% -21  3% 4 - 7 C+ +4 B +6 B+ C B+ C -1 C+ D+ C+
 Mon, Jan 5 153 @Harvard W 76 - 68 23% +3  88% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B +11 A- +9 A B+ C- B- +2 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 159 @Cornell W 102 - 91 24% +8  90% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B+ +14 A +14 B+ B+ A+ C -1 B+ C D
 Sat, Jan 17 185 Penn L 74 - 84 50% -1  52% 6 - 8 2 - 1 F+ -15 D- -6 D- C- D D- -8 C- C- F
 Mon, Jan 19 221 Princeton W 71 - 69 56% -3  18% 7 - 8 3 - 1 C- -4 B- +5 C+ B A D- -9 D+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 200 Columbia L 69 - 79 54% -4  27% 7 - 9 3 - 2 F+ -16 F -12 D- C D D+ -4 B B+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 81 @Yale L 68 - 83 10% -3  31% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -5 C- -1 C F+ C- D -5 F A- D+
 Sat, Jan 31 278 @Brown W 77 - 70 OT 47% +4  74% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C+ +3 C- -0 C D- D+ B- +3 B+ D+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 153 Harvard L 58 - 71 44% -6  0% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -16 F -14 F+ F B C- -3 C- A F
 Fri, Feb 13 81 Yale L 74 - 82 21%
 Sat, Feb 14 278 Brown W 72 - 67 69%
 Sat, Feb 21 200 @Columbia L 75 - 80 32%
 Fri, Feb 27 185 @Penn L 75 - 81 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 221 @Princeton L 70 - 74 34%
 Sat, Mar 7 159 Cornell L 89 - 90 45%
Totals 10 - 15 6 - 8 -4 C- -3 C+ D+ D C- -2 C C+ F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ D+ B C+ 31% 16% 53% C C+ D C+ D+ D C+ C C+ C- C- C B C+ 44% 19% 37% D+ C C C+ C+ F B- C B-
1.05 54% 36% 37% +1 0 1.04 25% 1.1 .27 19% .32 72% .23 1.11 59% 38% 31% -1 +1 1.01 30% 1.0 .29 12% .27 72% .23
Nov
9		 Marist F F D+ F F 43% 14% 43% A F D C D+ F A+ D+ A+ D+ D- D B D 33% 27% 40% C D+ C+ C C C- A+ C A+
0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36 1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07
Nov
12		 Bryant F+ D B+ C C- 33% 12% 55% D+ C- F F+ F D- D F F D- C+ F D+ D- 45% 4% 52% F F+ A+ F A- F D- F+ F
1.01 53% 43% 34% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 56% .14 1.10 52% 50% 34% -2 +3 1.04 14% 1.2 .16 9% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Appalachian St. C D F A+ A 29% 7% 64% B A D C+ C- F A+ B- A+ F F+ F C+ F 55% 14% 31% F F F+ A- C B D F F+
1.07 50% 0% 44% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.0 .26 22% .53 73% .39 1.18 68% 57% 31% +7 +2 1.20 35% 0.8 .29 18% .36 71% .25
Nov
29		 St. Peter's A+ B- B- A+ A 41% 11% 48% B- A B+ C+ B A A A+ A+ A- A D A+ A 50% 13% 37% F B+ C- B B- D C+ F D
1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43 0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27
Dec
3		 New Hampshire F C- A C+ B- 28% 26% 46% F+ C+ C+ F F F F+ D+ F+ C- D+ C A+ C 43% 30% 27% A C+ B B B F C F+ C-
0.99 57% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.04 33% 0.5 .18 20% .27 73% .20 0.98 58% 35% 20% -6 -1 0.88 21% 0.9 .18 12% .26 75% .20
Dec
6		 Wyoming B- D+ B- A+ A+ 30% 16% 55% D A F A+ B- F B- A+ A+ F+ F F+ B- F 50% 17% 33% C F B- A+ A F C A+ A-
1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36 1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20
Dec
9		 Colorado St. F B F D D 30% 13% 57% B D+ C- F D- F F F F C- F F+ D- F 53% 18% 29% D- F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.87 64% 17% 31% -4 0 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 24% .17 50% .08 1.20 81% 44% 40% +16 +1 1.37 19% 0.8 .14 19% .06 100% .06
Dec
13		 Boston University C- C- F A+ C+ 29% 15% 56% C C+ D F F D+ A+ C A+ B+ B+ B+ A- A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A+ F A+ C+ D- C- A+ B-
1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34 0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18
Dec
16		 Holy Cross A D- A+ A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C- A+ A F C F A+ F A- B A+ A D A- 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ B- B B- F F D- F
1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25 0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29
Dec
19		 Sacred Heart F F F D- F 36% 9% 55% C+ F B+ F C- F A+ F A D+ C+ F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% F A F F F F B+ B+ A-
0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26 1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15
Dec
29		 Florida B D F A+ A 22% 32% 46% D B+ F A+ C B+ D B- D C D+ A+ B+ B- 55% 13% 33% C- C+ F B+ D+ C+ F A+ F
0.97 46% 26% 44% +1 -3 0.98 8% 1.7 .13 13% .22 71% .16 1.26 67% 29% 28% +1 +2 1.07 54% 0.9 .50 16% .61 61% .37
Jan
5		 Harvard A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% D A C- A+ B+ C- A+ F A+ B- A C- A+ A+ 49% 9% 42% F A+ F+ F F F C- A C+
1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32 1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20
Jan
10		 Cornell A A+ B- A- A- 36% 20% 44% D+ B+ F+ A+ B+ A+ D- F F+ C F F A+ A- 40% 11% 49% C B+ C- B- C D F F F
1.36 77% 42% 41% +12 0 1.26 23% 2.0 .46 7% .27 63% .17 1.21 74% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .35 16% .38 83% .32
Jan
17		 Penn D- F A+ D- F+ 31% 11% 57% C+ D- D+ B C- D A+ A- A+ D- A- C+ F C 44% 20% 35% F C- C- C C- F F A F+
1.02 47% 67% 29% -4 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32 1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28
Jan
19		 Princeton B- B+ F B+ C+ 37% 18% 45% C- C+ D- A+ B A C B- C D- F B C D 28% 22% 50% B+ D+ A+ F B- F A+ F B
1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22 1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Columbia F F D B+ D- 30% 22% 48% D D- F A+ C D C D- C- D+ C+ A+ F+ B- 30% 23% 47% A B A C B+ F F C+ F
0.96 31% 33% 38% -6 -1 0.89 18% 1.6 .28 15% .31 68% .21 1.10 56% 17% 40% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 17% .47 71% .34
Jan
30		 Yale C- D+ B B- C 33% 16% 51% C+ C C- F F+ C- F F F D F A- F F 47% 18% 35% D+ F A C+ A- D+ A+ F A+
1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07 1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16
Jan
31		 Brown C- C+ A+ F C 35% 12% 53% B- C F A+ D- D+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F C- A 52% 5% 43% F B+ F A D+ C D C+ D+
1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40 0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20
Feb
7		 Harvard F F+ F D+ F 44% 8% 48% B+ F+ F F F B D+ A+ B- C- D F B- C- 37% 17% 46% C+ C- A A- A F F+ F+ F
0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22 1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 2.7 1.9 0.1 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.2 8.0 1.1 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 3.0 13.3 1.8 18.1 4th
5th 0.6 14.0 6.0 0.1 20.6 5th
6th 0.2 8.7 12.4 0.4 21.6 6th
7th 4.3 11.7 1.7 17.7 7th
8th 1.0 0.1 1.1 8th
Total 5.5 21.1 31.1 26.0 12.6 3.5 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 70.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 14.9% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.3% 14.7% 14.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
9-5 3.5% 10.6% 10.6% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.1
8-6 12.6% 8.3% 8.3% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.6 11.5
7-7 26.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 25.2
6-8 31.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 31.0
5-9 21.1% 21.1
4-10 5.5% 5.5
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.6 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 5.5%