Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.9 267
Results Rating -5.3 248
Consistency 0.19 351
Pace 72.7 68
Improvement -0.3 197

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 258 C D+ D B- C
Defense D+ 255 C C+ F+ B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 345 D+ 55% 260 -5.4 343
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 306 D 33% 322 -2.4 294
Three Pointers 53% 12 B- 36% 86 +7.9 10
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 188 C +0.0 165
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 169
Second Chance D- 23.6% 341 B- 1.10 85 D+ 0.26 295
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 347
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 193
Turnovers D 19.1% 319
Freethrows B- 0.33 97 C+ 74% 133 B- 0.24 92
Total Offense D+ -3.4 258

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 260 F+ 14.9% 347
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 334 D 7.6% 321
Three Pointers C 83% 210 C 1.0% 226
Total C+ 58% 126 D+ 6.4% 275


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 48 C- 61% 250 +4.1 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 229 C+ 37% 133 -0.8 123
Three Pointers 37% 285 B- 33% 109 -2.7 67
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 277 C +0.0 183
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 198
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 136 C+ 0.99 120 C+ 0.29 112
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.1% 356
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 279
Turnovers F+ 12.6% 358
Freethrows C+ 0.28 126 B- 71% 93 B- 0.20 104
Total Defense D+ -2.6 255

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 117 D+ 8.9% 255
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 227 C- 4.4% 201
Three Pointers A- 76% 18 D+ 0.4% 279
Total B- 51% 84 C- 4.9% 226

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 92 16.9 102
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 334 0.18 223
Consistency 0.14 325 0.09 7
Improvement -0.7 225 +0.5 171

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 281 266 252
Results Rating Rank 255 250 235
Conference Record 5 - 9 5 - 9 6 - 8
Conference Finish 6 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 40.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 34 - 8
Quad 45 - 89 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 201 Marist L 56 - 75 47% -8  0% 0 - 1 F -24 F -19 F C- F D+ -5 D C C+
 Wed, Nov 12 353 @Bryant L 75 - 82 69% -1  45% 0 - 2 F -18 F+ -10 D+ F D- D- -8 F+ A- F
 Sun, Nov 16 172 Appalachian St. L 77 - 85 42% -5  11% 0 - 3 D- -12 C- -1 A C- F F -11 F C+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 229 @St. Peter's W 87 - 61 31% +7  74% 1 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +19 A B A A- +8 A- C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 352 New Hampshire W 69 - 68 84% -2  17% 2 - 3 F+ -16 F -12 C- F F D+ -4 C+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 101 @Wyoming L 80 - 93 11% -1  53% 2 - 4 D+ -5 B- +5 A C+ F F+ -9 F A F
 Tue, Dec 9 92 @Colorado St. L 55 - 76 9% -9  6% 2 - 5 D- -12 F -13 D+ D- F C -1 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 256 Boston University W 77 - 64 59% +9  84% 3 - 5 C+ +5 C- -1 B- F D+ A- +7 A+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 16 328 @Holy Cross W 89 - 64 58% +11  74% 4 - 5 A- +17 A +13 A+ C- F B +5 B+ B- F
 Fri, Dec 19 287 @Sacred Heart L 63 - 85 43% -8  1% 4 - 6 F -26 F -20 F C- F D+ -5 A F F
 Mon, Dec 29 3 @Florida L 72 - 94 0% -21  3% 4 - 7 B- +7 B +7 A- C- A- C+ +1 B D+ C+
 Mon, Jan 5 153 @Harvard W 76 - 68 19% +3  88% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B +11 A +12 A B+ C- C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 163 @Cornell W 102 - 91 21% +8  90% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +15 A- A A+ C- -2 B C D+
 Sat, Jan 17 162 Penn L 74 - 84 40% -1  52% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D- -13 D -4 D C- D+ F+ -9 D+ C- F
 Mon, Jan 19 239 Princeton W 71 - 69 56% -3  18% 7 - 8 3 - 1 D+ -5 C+ +3 C B A- F+ -9 C B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 190 Columbia L 69 - 79 46% -4  27% 7 - 9 3 - 2 F+ -15 F -10 D- C D+ D+ -4 B A- F
 Fri, Jan 30 88 @Yale L 68 - 83 8% -3  31% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -6 C -0 C+ F C- D- -7 F B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 282 @Brown W 77 - 70 OT 41% +4  74% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C+ +3 C- -1 C- F+ C- B +4 A- D+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 153 Harvard L 58 - 71 37% -6  0% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -16 F -12 D- F B+ D -5 D+ A F
 Fri, Feb 13 88 Yale L 70 - 83 19% -9  2% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D -10 D -5 D+ B+ F D+ -5 D A F
 Sat, Feb 14 282 Brown L 76 - 79 64% +3  65% 8 - 13 4 - 6 D- -13 D+ -2 A- F+ F F -10 F D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 21 190 @Columbia W 64 - 63 25% -0  51% 9 - 13 5 - 6 C+ +2 D- -8 F D- B A +10 A+ D F
 Fri, Feb 27 162 @Penn L 71 - 80 21% +3  68% 9 - 14 5 - 7 D+ -6 C- -1 B- F B D -6 D+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 239 @Princeton L 61 - 82 33% -13  11% 9 - 15 5 - 8 F -22 F -10 F D- B- F -14 F A+ C-
 Sat, Mar 7 163 Cornell L 86 - 89 41%
Totals 9 - 16 5 - 9 -6 D+ -3 F+ C C D+ -3 B- C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D B- C 31% 27% 53% C C D- B- D+ D B- C+ B- D+ C- C+ B- C 44% 19% 37% D+ C C+ C+ C+ F+ C+ B- B-
1.04 55% 33% 36% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 19% .33 74% .24 1.12 61% 37% 33% 0 +1 1.03 29% 1.0 .29 13% .28 71% .23
Nov
9		 Marist F F D F F 43% 14% 43% A F D+ C+ C- F A+ C A+ D+ D- D B D 33% 27% 40% C D C D+ C C+ A+ C- A+
0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36 1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07
Nov
12		 Bryant F+ D B C- D+ 33% 12% 55% C- D+ F F F D- D- F F D- C+ F D+ D- 45% 4% 52% F F+ A+ F A- F F+ F+ F
1.01 53% 43% 34% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 56% .14 1.10 52% 50% 34% -2 +3 1.04 14% 1.2 .16 9% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Appalachian St. C- D F A+ A 29% 7% 64% B A D+ B- C- F A+ B- A+ F F+ F C+ F 55% 14% 31% F F D- A C+ B D F F+
1.07 50% 0% 44% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.0 .26 22% .53 73% .39 1.18 68% 57% 31% +7 +2 1.20 35% 0.8 .29 18% .36 71% .25
Nov
29		 St. Peter's A+ B- B- A+ A+ 41% 11% 48% B- A B C+ B A A+ A+ A+ A- A D A+ A+ 50% 13% 37% F A- C- B C+ D- C+ F D
1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43 0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27
Dec
3		 New Hampshire F C- B+ C+ C 28% 26% 46% F+ C- B- F F F D- C- D- D+ D+ C A+ C 43% 30% 27% A C+ B C B- F C F D+
0.99 57% 46% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.5 .18 20% .27 73% .20 0.98 58% 35% 20% -6 -1 0.88 21% 0.9 .18 12% .26 75% .20
Dec
6		 Wyoming B- D+ B A+ A+ 30% 16% 55% D+ A F A+ C+ F B A+ A+ F+ F D- B- F 50% 17% 33% C F C+ A+ A F C- A+ B+
1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36 1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20
Dec
9		 Colorado St. F B F D D 30% 13% 57% B D+ C- F D- F F F F C F D- D- F 53% 18% 29% D- F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.87 64% 17% 31% -4 0 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 24% .17 50% .08 1.20 81% 44% 40% +16 +1 1.37 19% 0.8 .14 19% .06 100% .06
Dec
13		 Boston University C- C F A+ B- 29% 15% 56% C B- D F F D+ A+ C A+ A- A- B+ A A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A+ F A+ B- D- D+ A+ B-
1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34 0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18
Dec
16		 Holy Cross A D- A+ A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C- A+ A F C- F A+ F A- B A+ A D A- 36% 26% 38% D B+ B- B B- F F D- F
1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25 0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29
Dec
19		 Sacred Heart F F F D- F 36% 9% 55% B- F B+ F C- F A+ F A+ D+ C+ F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% F A F F F F B+ A- A-
0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26 1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15
Dec
29		 Florida B D F A+ A 22% 32% 46% D- A- F A+ C- A- D- B- D C+ D+ A+ A- B 55% 13% 33% C- B F A- D+ C+ F A+ F
0.97 46% 26% 44% +1 -3 0.98 8% 1.7 .13 13% .22 71% .16 1.26 67% 29% 28% 0 +2 1.07 54% 0.9 .50 16% .61 61% .37
Jan
5		 Harvard A C+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% D A C- A+ B+ C- A+ F A+ C+ A C- A+ A+ 49% 9% 42% F A+ F+ F F F D+ A C
1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32 1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20
Jan
10		 Cornell A+ A+ C+ A A 36% 20% 44% D+ A- F+ A+ A A+ D- F F+ C- F F A+ B+ 40% 11% 49% C B C- B- C D+ F F F
1.36 77% 42% 41% +12 0 1.26 23% 2.0 .46 7% .27 63% .17 1.21 74% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .35 16% .38 83% .32
Jan
17		 Penn D F A+ D- D- 31% 11% 57% C+ D D+ B- C- D+ A+ A A+ F+ A- C+ F C- 44% 20% 35% F+ D+ C- C- C- F F A F+
1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32 1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28
Jan
19		 Princeton C+ B+ F B+ C 37% 18% 45% C- C D- A+ B A- C- B C+ F+ F B+ C+ C- 28% 22% 50% B+ C A+ F B- F A+ F B+
1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22 1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Columbia F F D- A- D- 30% 22% 48% D D- F A+ C D+ C D- C- D+ C+ A+ F+ B- 30% 23% 47% A B A B- A- F F C F
0.96 31% 33% 38% -6 -1 0.89 18% 1.6 .28 15% .31 68% .21 1.10 56% 17% 40% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 17% .47 71% .34
Jan
30		 Yale C D+ B+ B- C+ 33% 16% 51% C+ C+ C- F F C- F F F D- F A- F F 47% 18% 35% D+ F B+ C+ B+ D+ A+ F A+
1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07 1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16
Jan
31		 Brown C- C+ A+ F C- 35% 12% 53% B- C- F A+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+ B A+ F C- A+ 52% 5% 43% F A- F A D+ C- D+ C- D+
1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40 0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20
Feb
7		 Harvard F F+ F C- F 44% 8% 48% B+ D- F F F B+ D+ A+ B- D D- F C+ D+ 37% 17% 46% C D+ A+ B+ A F F F F
0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22 1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29
Feb
13		 Yale D C+ F C D 47% 16% 37% B+ D+ D- A+ B+ F C- A+ B- D+ D+ D+ F D+ 58% 17% 25% F D A+ F A F D+ A+ B-
1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21 1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Brown D+ A+ A+ C A 21% 14% 64% C- A- F A+ F+ F A+ A A+ F F F F+ F 41% 18% 41% C+ F B+ F D+ B- D A+ B
1.06 78% 67% 33% +8 0 1.17 12% 1.7 .19 24% .49 81% .40 1.10 76% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.4 .34 22% .30 47% .14
Feb
21		 Columbia D- C+ F F F 29% 13% 58% C F F A+ D- B C- A+ B+ A A+ A+ A A+ 47% 15% 38% D+ A+ B+ F D F A+ B+ A+
0.95 60% 14% 23% -12 0 0.79 14% 1.4 .19 12% .29 94% .27 0.94 42% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 31% 1.3 .40 15% .16 67% .10
Feb
27		 Penn C- B- F A- B- 38% 20% 42% C- B- F D- F B A+ F A D F A+ C- C- 42% 20% 38% F+ D+ D A+ B+ F F A+ F
1.03 63% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 14% .42 56% .24 1.16 67% 20% 37% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.7 .23 12% .60 59% .36
Feb
28		 Princeton F F D- F F 24% 18% 57% D F D- D+ D- B- A+ A- A+ F D- C- F F 36% 27% 36% B+ F C A+ A+ C- F F F
0.94 42% 33% 25% -13 -1 0.76 23% 1.0 .23 12% .46 77% .35 1.27 63% 42% 69% +22 -1 1.43 27% 0.1 .04 17% .43 83% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 37.1 40.8 77.9 5th
6th 20.5 20.5 6th
7th 1.6 1.6 7th
8th 8th
Total 59.2 40.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 40.8% 40.8
5-9 59.2% 59.2
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 40.8%
Lose Out 59.2%