Dartmouth
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#179
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Pace75.1#29
Improvement+10.2#2

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#283
First Shot-0.2#173
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#351
Layup/Dunks-6.2#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#27
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+2.0#91

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#93
First Shot-0.2#187
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#7
Layups/Dunks-3.4#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#162
Freethrows+1.9#60
Improvement+8.2#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 42.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 n/a
.500 or above 8.3% 42.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.1% 5.5% 0.0%
First Round7.9% 40.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 24 - 7
Quad 48 - 712 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 264   Sacred Heart W 81-76 76%     1 - 0 -3.5 -5.4 +1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 269   Albany L 73-87 77%     1 - 1 -22.8 -6.5 -15.9
  Nov 16, 2024 296   @ Boston University L 50-78 64%     1 - 2 -33.0 -22.3 -11.6
  Nov 19, 2024 266   @ Marist L 62-75 57%     1 - 3 -16.1 -10.0 -5.8
  Nov 29, 2024 169   @ Boston College W 88-83 37%     2 - 3 +7.3 +11.8 -4.8
  Dec 03, 2024 353   @ New Hampshire W 69-65 82%     3 - 3 -6.8 -6.6 -0.1
  Dec 08, 2024 173   @ Illinois-Chicago L 68-69 OT 38%     3 - 4 +1.1 -13.8 +15.0
  Dec 11, 2024 94   @ Notre Dame L 65-77 19%     3 - 5 -3.8 -3.4 -0.7
  Dec 14, 2024 235   @ Umass Lowell L 83-92 51%     3 - 6 -10.3 +5.5 -15.6
  Dec 18, 2024 355   Le Moyne L 76-80 92%     3 - 7 -21.0 -11.5 -9.4
  Dec 21, 2024 213   Vermont W 84-54 67%     4 - 7 +24.3 +14.0 +11.5
  Jan 11, 2025 280   Penn W 73-70 79%     5 - 7 1 - 0 -6.5 -7.0 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2025 186   Princeton L 80-81 61%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -5.1 +3.2 -8.3
  Jan 20, 2025 76   @ Yale L 67-83 15%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -5.8 -7.5 +2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 206   @ Brown W 84-83 44%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +1.3 +11.3 -10.0
  Jan 31, 2025 128   @ Cornell L 64-76 29%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -7.4 -9.4 +1.8
  Feb 01, 2025 290   @ Columbia W 95-89 63%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +1.3 +6.3 -5.7
  Feb 08, 2025 241   Harvard W 76-56 72%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +12.8 +8.0 +6.7
  Feb 14, 2025 290   Columbia W 78-56 80%     9 - 10 5 - 3 +11.8 +1.4 +11.6
  Feb 15, 2025 128   Cornell W 88-49 49%     10 - 10 6 - 3 +38.1 +3.5 +31.4
  Feb 21, 2025 280   @ Penn L 75-88 61%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -17.0 -9.7 -5.9
  Feb 22, 2025 186   @ Princeton W 76-61 40%     11 - 11 7 - 4 +16.4 +1.7 +14.2
  Feb 28, 2025 76   Yale L 67-72 29%     11 - 12 7 - 5 -0.3 -5.1 +4.8
  Mar 01, 2025 206   Brown W 78-58 65%     12 - 12 8 - 5 +14.8 +1.3 +12.8
  Mar 08, 2025 241   @ Harvard L 58-66 52%     12 - 13 8 - 6 -9.7 -13.8 +4.0
  Mar 15, 2025 128   Cornell L 79-82 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 8.3% 8.3% 15.6 3.2 5.1 91.7
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 15.6 3.2 5.1 91.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.3% 100.0% 15.6 38.6 61.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 80.5%