Bryant
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.1 342
Expected Predictive Rating -11.8 339
Pace 63.6 318
Improvement -1.9 264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #346 D- D+ F D+ B-
Defense D+ #309 C- C- D- C+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 287 51% 325 -4.8 338
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 332 32% 342 -3.8 344
Three Pointers 53% 12 29% 337 +2.3 106
1st FG Attempt 0.90 342 -6.4 346
Second Chance 26.6% 296 0.99 235 0.26 288
Turnovers 21.5% 358
Freethrows 0.26 309 75% 78 0.20 263
Total Offense -7.4 346

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 9 57% 152 -4.5 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 321 34% 40 +2.6 12
Three Pointers 37% 286 37% 329 -0.1 183
1st FG Attempt 1.06 242 -2.0 243
Second Chance 34.5% 319 0.96 86 0.33 236
Turnovers 13.3% 342
Freethrows 0.30 170 72% 153 0.21 161
Total Defense -4.7 309

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.7 85 +1.2 356
Shot Type Accuracy -6.7 356 +0.7 210
Possession Length 19.2 342 16.8 93
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 337 0.21 310
Improvement +0.1 #169 -2.0 #293

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 13% 31% 6%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 5% 1% 6%
First Four3% 4% 3%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 30.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 119 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 181 @Siena L 66 - 82 10% -10  0% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -6 B- B F F+ -9 B- F F
 Fri, Nov 7 131 @Georgia Tech L 45 - 74 7% -19  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F -29 F F F B+ +7 C- A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 240 Dartmouth W 82 - 75 33% +1  47% 1 - 2 C -0 C- -2 C+ F B+ C+ +1 C+ A- D-
 Sun, Nov 16 155 @Valparaiso L 50 - 68 9% -4  22% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -17 F B- D- C -0 B+ D+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 55 @Virginia Tech L 61 - 78 2% -5  36% 1 - 4 C- -4 D- -7 C F+ D+ B- +3 B- F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 7 @Connecticut L 49 - 72 0% -14  0% 1 - 5 C +1 F -11 D C- F A +10 A+ B F+
 Sat, Nov 29 153 @Harvard L 53 - 56 9% -2  32% 1 - 6 C +0 F -10 F C+ C- A- +9 B+ B+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 330 Stonehill W 77 - 65 57% +4  64% 2 - 6 C- -2 A- +11 B- A+ D- F -11 D- C F
 Fri, Dec 5 278 @Brown L 56 - 75 22% -12  0% 2 - 7 F -23 F -15 D F F+ D- -9 F+ C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 247 @Iona L 63 - 69 16% -5  8% 2 - 8 D+ -8 F+ -9 B- F F C+ +1 B D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 163 Marist L 74 - 82 20% -6  14% 2 - 9 D- -11 C+ +3 A+ F F F -15 F C- D
 Mon, Dec 22 92 @High Point L 47 - 93 4% -27  6% 2 - 10 F -38 F -23 F D F F -19 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 338 @Maine W 56 - 51 37% +5  84% 3 - 10 1 - 0 C- -4 F -18 F F+ F A+ +15 A+ D C+
 Thu, Jan 8 318 Umass Lowell L 63 - 77 53% -6  5% 3 - 11 1 - 1 F -27 F -14 F+ F+ C- F -14 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 325 @Albany L 46 - 71 32% -13  0% 3 - 12 1 - 2 F -32 F -23 F D C- F -15 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79 - 74 OT 37% +1  61% 4 - 12 2 - 2 C- -4 C +1 B+ B+ F D+ -4 F+ A- C
 Mon, Jan 19 315 @NJIT L 55 - 79 29% -9  11% 4 - 13 2 - 3 F -30 F -15 F F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 224 Vermont L 52 - 62 29% -8  0% 4 - 14 2 - 4 F+ -16 F -11 F A- D D- -9 B D- F+
 Thu, Jan 29 361 @Binghamton L 60 - 63 56% -2  22% 4 - 15 2 - 5 F+ -17 F -10 F F B+ D -7 D+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 327 New Hampshire W 92 - 84 55% +1  49% 5 - 15 3 - 5 D+ -5 B +7 C A+ C- F -13 D- D+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 325 Albany L 63 - 65 54% +5  86% 5 - 16 3 - 6 F+ -15 F+ -9 B+ F+ F D -6 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 7 338 Maine W 73 - 67 60% +2  66% 6 - 16 4 - 6 D -9 D+ -3 D C- F+ D+ -5 D B- F
 Thu, Feb 12 318 @Umass Lowell L 69 - 74 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 224 @Vermont L 62 - 74 13%
 Thu, Feb 19 361 Binghamton W 71 - 63 76%
 Thu, Feb 26 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64 - 73 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 NJIT W 69 - 68 50%
 Tue, Mar 3 327 @New Hampshire L 65 - 70 34%
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 10 -12 D- -7 D- D+ F D+ -5 C- C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D D- D- F+ 35% 13% 53% B- D- D+ C- D+ F D B D+ D+ C B D C- 47% 16% 37% F+ C- D B- C- D- C+ C C+
0.98 51% 32% 29% -7 +1 0.90 27% 1.0 .26 22% .26 75% .20 1.15 57% 34% 37% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.0 .33 13% .30 72% .19
Nov
3		 Siena D F+ F A+ C+ 45% 14% 41% A- B- A+ D B F D+ D- D+ F+ D+ A+ A- A- 58% 20% 22% F B- F F F F D- C- D-
0.99 50% 17% 50% +3 +1 1.11 44% 0.9 .38 30% .26 67% .17 1.23 62% 10% 27% -5 +1 0.94 47% 1.3 .61 11% .34 75% .25
Nov
7		 Georgia Tech F D F+ F F 23% 13% 64% C+ F F+ F F F C- C- C- B+ D A+ F C- 39% 25% 37% C+ C- A+ B A+ C A+ A A+
0.61 50% 29% 12% -24 0 0.53 20% 0.8 .16 22% .28 69% .19 1.00 64% 21% 43% +3 0 1.07 20% 1.0 .20 18% .16 60% .10
Nov
12		 Dartmouth C- D A+ B- C 45% 4% 52% A C+ F A F B+ B+ A+ A C+ B- D- C C+ 33% 12% 55% D C+ B A+ A- D- B+ A+ A+
1.10 52% 50% 34% -2 +3 1.04 14% 1.2 .16 9% .33 82% .27 1.01 53% 43% 34% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 56% .14
Nov
16		 Valparaiso F F+ F F F 34% 19% 47% C F B+ C- B- D- F A+ F+ C A+ B- C A 40% 20% 40% F B+ C- D D+ F F A- D
0.79 50% 0% 18% -21 0 0.60 38% 0.8 .31 21% .18 89% .16 1.08 39% 33% 33% -9 0 0.84 33% 1.2 .38 11% .45 64% .29
Nov
19		 Virginia Tech D- A+ A F C 30% 21% 49% C- C F A+ F+ D+ B+ B- B+ B- C- F A+ B+ 50% 20% 30% D- B- D+ F F C- F A+ C
0.88 79% 50% 17% -3 -1 0.94 13% 1.5 .19 20% .29 75% .22 1.13 64% 50% 20% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.5 .55 14% .41 58% .24
Nov
23		 Connecticut F F F C- D 24% 14% 62% C+ D F+ A+ C- F A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ A A+ 59% 6% 35% F A+ F A+ B F+ F F+ F
0.75 22% 20% 30% -14 0 0.73 17% 1.2 .21 32% .47 95% .45 1.10 53% 0% 28% -8 +3 0.92 45% 0.8 .38 12% .38 77% .30
Nov
29		 Harvard F F F D+ F 40% 8% 52% B F C B C+ C- F A+ F A- A+ F F+ A 59% 10% 31% F B+ F A+ B+ D+ A+ F A+
0.91 32% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.75 30% 1.1 .33 17% .15 86% .12 0.96 41% 60% 40% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.5 .18 17% .04 100% .04
Dec
2		 Stonehill A- A- B- D- B- 43% 10% 47% B+ B- A A+ A+ D- B F C- F C+ D- C- D 57% 14% 29% F D- F+ B+ C F B+ F B-
1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19 1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13
Dec
5		 Brown F D+ A+ F D- 33% 10% 57% B D F F F F+ F A+ F D- A+ A+ F F 48% 13% 38% D F+ D B- C- F D+ A+ B-
0.83 53% 80% 24% -6 +1 0.92 17% 0.5 .08 21% .13 86% .11 1.11 32% 14% 60% -1 +2 1.04 32% 1.0 .32 13% .27 56% .15
Dec
10		 Iona F+ F F A+ B 19% 15% 67% D B- F+ F F F F A+ F C+ A A+ F+ B+ 44% 13% 43% F+ B A F D+ F A F B
0.95 44% 14% 44% +4 -1 1.08 26% 0.8 .21 26% .08 100% .08 1.04 46% 14% 39% -5 +1 0.94 17% 1.7 .29 12% .15 89% .14
Dec
13		 Marist C+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 12% 55% B+ A+ F F F F D- C- D- F F+ B+ D- F 52% 25% 23% F F D- B C- D F F F
1.08 69% 50% 41% +11 +1 1.24 21% 0.3 .07 23% .30 69% .21 1.19 68% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 16% .36 95% .35
Dec
22		 High Point F F A+ F F 54% 5% 41% A+ F D D D F C+ F D+ F D+ F F F 54% 5% 41% F F F F F A+ F A- F
0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19 1.45 64% 100% 41% +11 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43
Jan
3		 Maine F F D+ F F 40% 19% 42% C F C- F F+ F B- D C A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 46% 20% 35% D A+ F A D C+ F A+ D-
0.82 47% 33% 20% -14 0 0.75 37% 0.8 .28 23% .34 67% .23 0.74 38% 33% 13% -21 +1 0.61 33% 0.8 .27 22% .45 54% .24
Jan
8		 Umass Lowell F F+ C+ D+ F+ 31% 20% 49% D F+ F+ D F+ C- F F F F F C+ C F 50% 26% 24% C F D- F F D- C F+ D+
0.97 50% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 24% 1.0 .24 14% .16 67% .11 1.19 68% 38% 33% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.3 .46 17% .32 71% .22
Jan
10		 Albany F F C+ F F 23% 12% 65% C- F C- D- D C- B- F D+ F F F F+ F 55% 9% 36% F F F A+ A F F+ C- F+
0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21 1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20
Jan
15		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C A D- B- B 52% 10% 38% A- B+ A- C+ B+ F C C- C D+ D+ A F F+ 31% 14% 55% D F+ B+ A A- C F+ F F
1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15 1.08 63% 29% 39% +5 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30
Jan
19		 NJIT F D+ F F F 33% 13% 53% C F D- F F F A+ A A+ F B- F F F 30% 15% 55% D- F C- A- B- F F F F
0.88 53% 17% 25% -12 +1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 19% .48 79% .38 1.27 50% 57% 42% +7 0 1.17 28% 0.8 .21 13% .40 91% .37
Jan
24		 Vermont F C F F F 31% 26% 44% D+ F B A A- D A+ A A+ D- B B+ C- B- 28% 23% 50% A- B F A+ D- F+ F C- F
0.98 58% 20% 6% -23 -1 0.54 31% 1.3 .40 15% .49 82% .40 1.17 55% 33% 35% -1 -1 0.98 46% 0.7 .31 11% .43 75% .32
Jan
29		 Binghamton F F+ D- F F 43% 6% 51% B+ F D- F F B+ A- D B D C- A+ F D+ 50% 23% 27% D+ D+ F+ B+ C- F B B+ B+
1.02 50% 33% 25% -11 +2 0.85 26% 0.8 .21 8% .39 67% .26 1.07 58% 18% 38% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 10% .32 71% .23
Jan
31		 New Hampshire B C F C+ C- 51% 16% 33% B C C+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F F A+ A+ D 57% 9% 34% F D- C D- D+ F F D+ F
1.24 58% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 1.7 .59 16% .60 86% .52 1.14 67% 20% 22% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 12% .43 71% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Albany F+ D A+ A+ B 43% 5% 52% A- B+ F+ D+ F+ F F B F D D- A+ F F 52% 12% 36% F F B+ A+ A+ D- A+ B+ A+
1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09 1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06
Feb
7		 Maine D+ F+ F B- D- 50% 11% 39% A- D D B- C- F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C F B D- 36% 18% 47% C- D A+ F B- F F B F
1.08 50% 20% 35% -5 +2 0.95 33% 1.1 .37 22% .49 81% .40 0.99 56% 63% 29% 0 0 1.02 9% 1.7 .16 16% .53 60% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 1.2 5.1 1.2 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.7 8.6 4.6 0.1 14.0 5th
6th 0.5 9.1 12.3 0.8 22.6 6th
7th 0.3 7.4 17.7 3.6 0.1 29.0 7th
8th 3.6 14.1 6.6 0.2 24.5 8th
9th 0.9 0.2 1.2 9th
Total 4.8 22.2 34.1 25.8 10.8 2.1 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 8.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.2% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
9-7 2.1% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.2 1.9
8-8 10.8% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.6 10.2
7-9 25.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 1.2 24.6
6-10 34.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.9 33.3
5-11 22.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.5 21.7
4-12 4.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3%