Bryant
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.6 #343
Expected Predictive Rating -10.2 #327
Pace 63.9 #314
Improvement -4.4 #344

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #350 D- D- F F B-
Defense #283 C- D+ F C+ F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #327 1.03 #320 -6.1 #347
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #331 0.70 #256 -3.5 #336
Three Pointers 55% #1 0.89 #321 +4.0 #58
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #324 -5.6 #334
Freethrows 12.1 #358 78% #25 9.5 #344
Second Chance 26.0% #301 0.94 #313 0.24 #323
Turnovers 19.8% #344
Total Offense -8.0 #350

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #3 1.11 #116 -4.4 #323
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #339 0.70 #98 +2.7 #13
Three Pointers 37% #279 1.10 #288 +0.3 #162
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #218 -1.4 #220
Freethrows 15.9 #110 75% #281 11.9 #146
Second Chance 35.2% #328 1.01 #127 0.35 #265
Turnovers 13.3% #339
Total Defense -3.7 #283

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #108 3.0% #361
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.3% #340 -0.3% #179
Possession Length 18.9 #330 16.8 #100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #331 0.21 #307
Improvement -2.4 #309 -2.0 #293

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.3% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 1.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 34.3% 56.3% 25.4%
Conference Champion 1.1% 3.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.1% 9.9%
First Four3.8% 5.2% 3.3%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 169 @Siena L 66 - 82 11% -10  0 - 1 -14 -2 B+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Fri, Nov 7 113 @Georgia Tech L 45 - 74 6% -19  0 - 2 -23 -25 F F F +4 C A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 221 Dartmouth W 82 - 75 31% +1  1 - 2 +0 +1 C+ F B -1 C+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 167 @Valparaiso L 50 - 68 10% -4  1 - 3 -16 -14 F B- F -3 A- F F
 Wed, Nov 19 58 @Virginia Tech L 61 - 78 2% -5  1 - 4 -4 -5 C+ F D +0 B F C
 Sun, Nov 23 7 @Connecticut L 49 - 72 0% -14  1 - 5 +0 -7 D C F +6 A+ C+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 168 @Harvard L 53 - 56 10% -2  1 - 6 -1 -8 F C C +6 B+ A D+
 Tue, Dec 2 339 Stonehill W 77 - 65 60% +4  2 - 6 -2 +12 B- A+ F -12 D- C F
 Fri, Dec 5 264 @Brown L 56 - 75 20% -12  2 - 7 -22 -12 D+ F F -10 F D+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 227 @Iona L 63 - 69 16% -5  2 - 8 -7 -5 B F F -2 B D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 160 Marist L 74 - 82 21% -6  2 - 9 -11 +7 A+ F F -18 F C C-
 Mon, Dec 22 98 @High Point L 47 - 93 4% -27  2 - 10 -38 -20 F D- F -21 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 341 @Maine W 56 - 51 38% +5  3 - 10 1 - 0 -4 -14 F F F +11 A+ D C+
 Thu, Jan 8 309 Umass Lowell L 63 - 77 49% -6  3 - 11 1 - 1 -25 -10 F F C- -16 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 305 @Albany L 46 - 71 27% -13  3 - 12 1 - 2 -30 -18 F F D -18 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79 - 74 OT 41% +1  4 - 12 2 - 2 -4 +2 A- B+ F -6 F A+ C
 Mon, Jan 19 336 @NJIT L 55 - 79 37% -9  4 - 13 2 - 3 -32 -13 F F F -22 F B F
 Sat, Jan 24 204 Vermont L 64 - 70 29%
 Thu, Jan 29 362 @Binghamton W 67 - 66 55%
 Sat, Jan 31 323 New Hampshire W 67 - 66 55%
 Thu, Feb 5 305 Albany L 67 - 68 49%
 Sat, Feb 7 341 Maine W 63 - 60 61%
 Thu, Feb 12 309 @Umass Lowell L 68 - 74 29%
 Sat, Feb 14 204 @Vermont L 61 - 73 13%
 Thu, Feb 19 362 Binghamton W 70 - 63 75%
 Thu, Feb 26 275 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 74 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 336 NJIT W 70 - 67 60%
 Tue, Mar 3 323 @New Hampshire L 64 - 69 33%
Totals 9 - 19 7 - 9 -12 -8 D- D- F -4 C- D+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.7 1.9 0.1 7.9 3rd
4th 1.0 6.4 4.5 0.3 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.5 6.4 7.6 0.9 15.4 5th
6th 0.4 4.9 10.3 2.0 0.0 17.6 6th
7th 0.5 4.6 10.7 3.8 0.1 19.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.1 8.8 4.1 0.2 19.1 8th
9th 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.5 9th
Total 0.4 2.2 6.9 14.2 20.2 21.7 17.3 10.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 72.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 36.9% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-6 6.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.4% 19.2% 19.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3
11-5 1.5% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.2 1.3
10-6 4.5% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.5 4.0
9-7 10.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.7 10.1
8-8 17.3% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.9 16.4
7-9 21.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.8 20.9
6-10 20.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 19.7
5-11 14.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.0
4-12 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-13 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 16.0 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%