Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#156
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#210
Pace82.7#1
Improvement+4.3#24

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#181
First Shot-2.8#259
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#33
Layup/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#208
Freethrows+1.9#74
Improvement+1.1#115

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#145
First Shot+1.3#134
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#245
Layups/Dunks-0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#76
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement+3.2#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.2% 34.3% 27.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 94.2% 96.2% 83.7%
.500 or above in Conference 99.9% 99.9% 99.4%
Conference Champion 70.1% 73.9% 50.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round32.8% 33.9% 26.9%
Second Round1.5% 1.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 83.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 415 - 619 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 272   Siena L 88-90 OT 81%     0 - 1 -10.9 -1.6 -9.0
  Nov 14, 2024 330   @ Buffalo W 87-64 78%     1 - 1 +15.2 +2.6 +10.3
  Nov 18, 2024 195   @ Delaware W 85-84 47%     2 - 1 +2.2 +0.9 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2024 316   @ Stonehill L 66-67 74%     2 - 2 -7.1 -8.5 +1.4
  Nov 24, 2024 96   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 23%     2 - 3 -6.9 +1.3 -8.1
  Nov 26, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 97-85 79%     3 - 3 +4.2 +7.5 -5.1
  Nov 27, 2024 157   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 40%     3 - 4 -4.8 +3.0 -8.0
  Dec 02, 2024 186   @ Drexel W 78-73 46%     4 - 4 +6.6 +7.0 -0.5
  Dec 06, 2024 207   Brown L 75-76 70%     4 - 5 -6.0 -1.9 -4.1
  Dec 11, 2024 17   @ St. John's L 77-99 5%     4 - 6 -2.8 +8.2 -8.6
  Dec 14, 2024 220   Fordham L 84-86 64%     4 - 7 -5.3 -0.5 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2024 174   @ Towson L 65-70 44%     4 - 8 -2.9 -4.6 +1.7
  Dec 30, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 66-112 20%     4 - 9 -36.5 -16.2 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 200   Maine W 81-55 69%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +21.4 +6.4 +14.3
  Jan 11, 2025 212   Vermont W 73-53 72%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +14.6 +10.8 +6.5
  Jan 16, 2025 258   @ Albany W 89-79 63%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +7.2 +10.3 -3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 189   Umass Lowell W 85-62 67%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +19.0 +1.4 +15.7
  Jan 23, 2025 351   @ New Hampshire W 82-71 84%    
  Jan 25, 2025 321   Binghamton W 83-70 88%    
  Jan 30, 2025 270   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-86 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 355   @ NJIT W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 06, 2025 258   Albany W 86-77 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 321   @ Binghamton W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 355   NJIT W 80-63 94%    
  Feb 15, 2025 270   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 93-84 81%    
  Feb 20, 2025 212   @ Vermont W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 189   @ Umass Lowell L 83-84 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 200   @ Maine L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 04, 2025 351   New Hampshire W 84-68 93%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.0 10.2 21.3 21.1 12.3 3.0 70.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.9 8.2 3.6 0.5 19.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.2 0.8 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 2.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 5.2 11.4 19.2 24.8 21.5 12.3 3.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.0    3.0
15-1 100.0% 12.3    12.2 0.1
14-2 97.9% 21.1    18.9 2.2
13-3 85.7% 21.3    14.4 6.4 0.5
12-4 53.4% 10.2    3.7 4.9 1.6 0.1
11-5 17.7% 2.0    0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2
10-6 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 70.1% 70.1 52.5 14.5 2.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.0% 51.8% 51.8% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.5
15-1 12.3% 44.4% 44.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.0 0.6 6.8
14-2 21.5% 40.1% 40.1% 14.3 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.3 0.1 12.9
13-3 24.8% 32.9% 32.9% 14.7 0.2 2.4 4.9 0.7 16.7
12-4 19.2% 29.1% 29.1% 15.1 0.0 0.7 3.6 1.3 13.6
11-5 11.4% 22.3% 22.3% 15.4 0.0 1.4 1.1 8.9
10-6 5.2% 18.0% 18.0% 15.6 0.4 0.6 4.3
9-7 1.8% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.2 1.6
8-8 0.6% 12.5% 12.5% 16.0 0.1 0.6
7-9 0.1% 0.1
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 33.2% 33.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.9 3.5 10.6 14.2 4.0 66.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 12.6 1.9 44.6 45.2 7.6 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%