Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.5 241
Results Rating -3.3 223
Consistency 0.17 296
Pace 72.2 84
Improvement -3.9 319

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 270 C D+ D+ D C+
Defense C 200 C C C- B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 297 C- 56% 235 -3.0 292
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 253 C 38% 167 -1.3 253
Three Pointers 48% 39 C 34% 167 +4.0 54
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 173 C -0.6 192
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 184
Second Chance D 25.0% 323 C 1.05 156 D+ 0.26 287
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 317
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 142
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 274
Freethrows D 0.26 317 D+ 70% 261 D 0.18 321
Total Offense D+ -3.8 270

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 240 D 13.8% 330
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 325 C 5.2% 205
Three Pointers C- 81% 251 C 1.0% 210
Total C 54% 196 C- 6.2% 247


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 D+ 61% 267 +1.5 226
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 201 C+ 37% 118 -0.7 135
Three Pointers 41% 160 B- 32% 107 -0.7 151
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 199 C -0.1 175
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 180
Second Chance D 33.5% 307 B- 0.96 67 C 0.32 217
Turnovers from Steals C 9.3% 195
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 264
Turnovers C- 16.0% 228
Freethrows B- 0.27 74 C+ 71% 119 B 0.19 68
Total Defense C -0.7 200

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 311 D+ 9.0% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 173 D+ 3.0% 291
Three Pointers D- 90% 342 C- 0.8% 186
Total D+ 61% 300 D+ 4.4% 274

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 197 16.5 36
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 221 0.21 316
Consistency 0.13 228 0.14 286
Improvement -3.2 322 -0.8 227

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 251 241 224
Results Rating Rank 241 223 201
Conference Record 10 - 10 10 - 10 10 - 10
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 7% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round4% 7% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 7
Quad 416 - 719 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 103 Hofstra W 81 - 73 29% +14  99% 1 - 0 B +9 C +1 B C F A- +7 C B B+
 Tue, Nov 11 360 @UMKC W 105 - 91 84% +9  89% 2 - 0 C -1 B +6 A+ F F F+ -9 F F+ B
 Fri, Nov 14 159 Fordham W 76 - 71 44% -0  37% 3 - 0 C+ +2 C+ +3 A F A+ C -1 A F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 239 Princeton W 89 - 69 61% +18  95% 4 - 0 B+ +13 C +1 B+ C- D A +10 A A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 71 Akron L 75 - 96 12% -18  1% 4 - 1 D- -13 D -6 D B- F+ D -5 D+ D- D+
 Sat, Nov 22 160 Oregon St. W 91 - 84 2OT 33% -5  9% 5 - 1 B- +7 C- -1 C D- C- B+ +6 C A+ C
 Mon, Nov 24 209 Green Bay L 75 - 80 43% +0  44% 5 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ C B D -6 A F F
 Mon, Dec 1 274 @Delaware W 89 - 66 45% +7  72% 6 - 2 A +20 A- +11 A+ F C A +9 C+ D+ C-
 Fri, Dec 5 215 Quinnipiac L 68 - 89 56% -7  9% 6 - 3 0 - 1 F -27 F -11 F C+ C F -15 D- F C
 Sun, Dec 7 287 @Sacred Heart W 81 - 69 49% +4  75% 7 - 3 1 - 1 B- +8 C +0 D+ C- C- A- +7 D- B- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 353 Bryant W 69 - 63 88% +5  84% 8 - 3 D -11 F -11 F+ D+ B- C +0 F B A-
 Sat, Dec 13 19 @St. John's L 64 - 91 2% -8  20% 8 - 4 D+ -7 D -4 D C A C -0 F C+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 234 @Vermont W 83 - 78 37% +0  49% 9 - 4 C+ +4 A- +9 B- A A D -5 C+ C- F
 Mon, Dec 29 272 @Mount St. Mary's L 59 - 66 45% -1  44% 9 - 5 1 - 2 D -10 F -18 F D+ F A- +8 B- B C-
 Fri, Jan 2 208 Siena W 75 - 72 54% +4  84% 10 - 5 2 - 2 C- -2 D -5 A+ F F B- +2 B B F+
 Sun, Jan 4 201 @Marist L 38 - 83 31% -21  9% 10 - 6 2 - 3 F -44 F -32 F F F F -12 C+ F F
 Fri, Jan 9 333 Niagara W 71 - 53 83% +16  93% 11 - 6 3 - 3 C+ +3 C- -1 C C- C B+ +7 A+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 11 338 Canisius W 74 - 48 84% +8  72% 12 - 6 4 - 3 B +11 B- +4 A+ B- F A +10 A+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 14 356 @Rider L 68 - 72 77% -7  6% 12 - 7 4 - 4 F+ -16 C- -2 D F A+ F -15 F+ F C-
 Mon, Jan 19 229 @St. Peter's L 63 - 77 36% -3  45% 12 - 8 4 - 5 F+ -15 F+ -9 F D- A+ D -6 F B+ C+
 Thu, Jan 22 173 Merrimack W 61 - 60 48% +1  54% 13 - 8 5 - 5 C- -3 D -6 C F C+ B- +3 B- F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 323 Manhattan W 66 - 57 80% +8  95% 14 - 8 6 - 5 C- -5 F -14 D- F D- A +10 A+ C+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 264 Fairfield L 70 - 71 66% +2  58% 14 - 9 6 - 6 D -10 C- -2 C- B- D D- -8 F B+ B-
 Thu, Feb 5 208 @Siena L 72 - 79 31% +3  72% 14 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 C +1 A+ F D+ D- -8 F+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 272 Mount St. Mary's L 76 - 83 67% -3  22% 14 - 11 6 - 8 F+ -16 B +7 C- B A+ F -24 F F F
 Fri, Feb 13 338 @Canisius W 69 - 63 68% +3  67% 15 - 11 7 - 8 C- -3 C- -2 D D- D C -1 F+ B A-
 Sun, Feb 15 333 @Niagara L 68 - 70 66% -1  26% 15 - 12 7 - 9 D -11 B- +5 D- A+ B+ F -17 F A F
 Fri, Feb 20 229 St. Peter's W 72 - 64 OT 59% +2  60% 16 - 12 8 - 9 C +1 F -11 F+ B- F A+ +11 B- C+ A
 Sun, Feb 22 173 @Merrimack L 86 - 88 2OT 27% -5  9% 16 - 13 8 - 10 C +0 B+ +8 B- C+ B+ D- -8 C- B+ F
 Fri, Feb 27 356 Rider W 80 - 58 89% +11  99% 17 - 13 9 - 10 C+ +4 D -6 C+ B- F A +9 A+ B+ C
 Sun, Mar 1 323 @Manhattan W 69 - 65 62% +3  78% 18 - 13 10 - 10 C- -4 F -17 F C F A+ +14 A A+ C
 Thu, Mar 5 287 Sacred Heart W 80 - 77 60%
Totals 19 - 13 10 - 10 -4 D+ -4 B- C C+ C -1 C D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C C 35% 31% 48% C+ C D C D+ D+ D D+ D C D+ C+ B- C 39% 20% 41% C- C D B- C C- B- C+ B
1.03 56% 38% 34% -1 0 1.01 25% 1.0 .26 18% .26 70% .18 1.10 61% 37% 32% 0 0 1.02 34% 1.0 .32 16% .27 71% .19
Nov
7		 Hofstra C A- F B B 37% 15% 48% B+ B C C- C F A+ D- A+ A- F+ A- A+ B- 45% 13% 42% F C D A+ B B+ C A+ A-
1.08 63% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 20% .45 67% .30 0.98 67% 29% 27% -2 +1 1.02 37% 0.8 .29 20% .30 56% .17
Nov
11		 UMKC B A B A+ A+ 41% 22% 38% D+ A+ D F F F F+ D- F+ F+ F F A+ F 30% 33% 38% A- F F C F+ B D- D- D-
1.22 73% 43% 54% +18 0 1.39 31% 0.8 .26 21% .20 64% .13 1.05 68% 67% 17% +3 -2 1.03 38% 0.9 .33 21% .31 71% .22
Nov
14		 Fordham C+ B+ A A A 39% 26% 35% C+ A F F F A+ B- F D+ C C+ C- A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% D- A F D- F D+ A+ A A+
1.09 64% 47% 40% +8 -1 1.16 17% 0.2 .03 10% .29 56% .16 1.02 55% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.79 43% 1.1 .48 16% .14 63% .09
Nov
18		 Princeton C A- A B- A- 36% 15% 49% C B+ F A+ C- D A+ A- A+ A D+ C A+ A+ 41% 25% 34% B- A C- A+ A+ C- D A+ C
1.15 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 16% .41 78% .32 0.89 58% 40% 15% -9 0 0.83 28% 0.5 .13 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
21		 Akron D C+ D+ F D 37% 22% 41% D+ D D A+ B- F+ A- F B- D F B F+ D- 40% 25% 35% B+ D+ D+ D- D- D+ F A F+
0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22 1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26
Nov
22		 Oregon St. C- F A+ A C 43% 10% 48% B C C+ F D- C- C- A C+ B+ D A+ C- C+ 47% 16% 36% D- C C A+ A+ C F A+ C-
1.07 37% 50% 40% -4 +2 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 15% .30 82% .25 0.99 62% 11% 35% -2 +1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 18% .51 58% .30
Nov
24		 Green Bay C- F F A- D 38% 13% 48% B D+ C+ C- C B C- C C- D A+ D+ B- A+ 42% 13% 45% D+ A F F F F F+ C- F+
1.11 45% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 12% .32 74% .23 1.18 39% 43% 32% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.5 .47 7% .41 77% .32
Dec
1		 Delaware A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% C+ A+ F F F C B C- B- A F+ A+ B- B- 44% 18% 38% D C+ C- D- D+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.27 76% 60% 48% +20 0 1.42 8% 0.5 .04 14% .32 79% .25 0.94 67% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 17% .14 38% .05
Dec
5		 Quinnipiac F F+ C- F F 43% 17% 40% C+ F C B C+ C A D B F F C+ B F+ 41% 20% 39% D+ D- F D F C A- D+ B+
0.93 48% 33% 14% -17 +1 0.70 33% 1.1 .37 16% .36 68% .25 1.22 71% 33% 30% +2 0 1.07 47% 1.1 .53 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
7		 Sacred Heart C C+ A+ D D 35% 7% 57% B- D+ D+ C+ C- C- B A+ A A- D A+ F+ D- 27% 12% 61% C- D- F+ A+ B- A+ C A- C+
1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25 0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20
Dec
10		 Bryant F F F B+ F 44% 13% 43% C+ F+ F A+ D+ B- F A+ F C A A+ F F 19% 15% 67% A F C A B A- A+ F A+
1.04 46% 14% 39% -5 +1 0.94 17% 1.7 .29 12% .15 89% .14 0.95 44% 14% 44% +4 -1 1.08 26% 0.8 .21 26% .08 100% .08
Dec
13		 St. John's D F+ D- F D- 52% 21% 26% B D C C- C A F C F C D+ F F F 42% 8% 50% D F B- C- C+ A+ D F F
0.84 44% 31% 25% -13 +1 0.79 27% 0.9 .25 17% .11 71% .08 1.20 62% 50% 40% +7 +2 1.20 34% 1.2 .41 22% .42 84% .36
Dec
20		 Vermont A- A+ A- F B 35% 35% 29% F+ B- F+ A+ A A A- D+ B+ D F A- B+ C 32% 22% 46% B C+ C- C C- F B+ A A-
1.22 78% 44% 27% +6 -2 1.10 19% 2.2 .41 9% .39 71% .27 1.15 74% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .22 64% .14
Dec
29		 Mount St. Mary's F F C F F 28% 17% 55% C F F A+ D+ F F A- F A- B- F A+ B+ 62% 8% 30% F B- A- D+ B C- B A B+
0.79 31% 40% 25% -15 0 0.72 20% 1.3 .27 20% .17 80% .13 0.89 55% 50% 19% -8 +3 0.92 23% 1.1 .26 21% .26 60% .15
Jan
2		 Siena D A+ B A A+ 32% 17% 51% C+ A+ F F F F D F F+ B- A C C+ A- 47% 20% 32% F B A- C B F+ A+ F B+
1.05 76% 44% 41% +12 0 1.26 21% 0.2 .04 22% .23 62% .14 1.00 46% 42% 32% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.0 .23 13% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Marist F D F+ F F 43% 25% 33% C+ F F F F F C+ F D- F C+ F A+ B- 39% 18% 43% F C+ D F F F C F C-
0.54 53% 30% 8% -17 0 0.68 14% 0.6 .08 34% .36 53% .19 1.18 54% 55% 23% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 8% .23 87% .20
Jan
9		 Niagara C- A- A+ F+ C- 34% 15% 51% C+ C B F C- C D A C- B+ C A+ A+ A+ 32% 22% 46% A A+ D A+ B- F A- D- B+
1.17 69% 57% 29% +3 0 1.09 39% 0.8 .33 15% .25 85% .21 0.87 56% 18% 26% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 12% .17 78% .13
Jan
11		 Canisius B- C- A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 53% B A+ D+ A B- F F F F A A+ A+ D+ A+ 48% 25% 27% D A+ B F C- F A+ D A+
1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06 0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11
Jan
14		 Rider C- C F C D- 32% 6% 62% C D F D- F A+ F F F F D+ A- F F 41% 36% 23% C F+ F F F C- F D+ F
1.12 59% 0% 36% 0 +1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 7% .21 42% .09 1.19 56% 29% 44% -1 -2 0.97 47% 1.1 .53 17% .55 71% .40
Jan
19		 St. Peter's F+ F A+ D F 33% 8% 59% B- F F A+ D- A+ D F F D C- C F F 49% 19% 33% F+ F B+ B- B+ C+ F C F
0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20 1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Merrimack D F F A+ C 24% 18% 58% D+ C F F F C+ D F+ D- B- B+ D B- B- 48% 16% 36% C- B- F C F A+ A A+ A+
1.01 27% 25% 42% -3 -1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 18% .30 67% .20 0.99 48% 43% 31% -6 +1 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 22% .25 58% .15
Jan
24		 Manhattan F B C D D 26% 21% 53% D- D- C- F F D- B+ C+ B+ A A+ F A+ A+ 34% 19% 47% C- A+ D A- C+ B- C+ C C+
1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23 0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22
Jan
30		 Fairfield C- F D+ A C- 40% 13% 47% C C- B- C B- D B A+ A- D- F+ D+ F F 41% 15% 43% D- F F A+ B+ B- C- B+ C
1.12 47% 33% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.1 .38 18% .33 82% .27 1.14 63% 43% 40% +7 +1 1.17 51% 0.5 .24 18% .27 64% .18
Feb
5		 Siena C A F A+ A+ 27% 19% 54% C- A+ C- F F D+ F F F D- F F A+ F+ 43% 25% 31% D F+ F D F B- A F B
1.09 71% 20% 50% +13 -1 1.27 29% 0.4 .12 18% .07 50% .04 1.20 73% 62% 19% +5 0 1.12 39% 1.1 .43 18% .20 91% .18
Feb
7		 Mount St. Mary's B C A+ D- C 19% 15% 66% C- C- B- B B A+ A- D B F F F C+ F 27% 12% 61% B F F C- F F F F+ F
1.20 56% 57% 29% -3 -1 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 6% .40 71% .29 1.31 91% 60% 32% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.1 .43 17% .57 73% .42
Feb
13		 Canisius C- F C+ A- F+ 45% 12% 43% B+ D F B+ D- D A+ A+ A+ C F B- D F 24% 31% 45% A F+ F A+ B A- A- A+ A
1.07 42% 40% 39% -4 +2 0.98 21% 1.2 .24 17% .47 88% .41 0.98 67% 33% 36% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 23% .20 60% .12
Feb
15		 Niagara B- A+ B F D 20% 20% 59% D D- C A+ A+ B+ B+ C- B F C- C+ F F 44% 19% 37% C+ F A- A+ A F F+ F F
1.21 78% 44% 27% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.5 .53 12% .35 76% .26 1.25 58% 38% 56% +12 +1 1.28 16% 0.5 .08 12% .31 87% .26
Feb
20		 St. Peter's F C D+ F F 37% 18% 45% C- F+ C B B- F D C+ D+ A+ A+ F A B- 27% 25% 47% B+ B- B C- C+ A A+ D- A+
0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28 0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14
Feb
22		 Merrimack B+ C+ B C+ B 29% 20% 52% D+ B- D- A+ C+ B+ F B- F+ D- D+ B C- D 29% 16% 55% B+ C- A C B+ F D- F F
1.16 56% 45% 34% +1 -1 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 16% .26 75% .19 1.19 59% 33% 34% 0 0 1.02 16% 1.0 .16 5% .40 89% .36
Feb
27		 Rider D C+ F A+ C+ 39% 7% 54% C+ C+ D A+ B- F A B- A A B- A+ A+ A+ 23% 38% 40% A- A+ C A+ B+ C F+ C F+
1.12 61% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 29% 1.3 .39 24% .38 71% .27 0.81 50% 25% 19% -16 -3 0.64 31% 0.7 .20 17% .33 70% .23
Mar
1		 Manhattan F D- A F F 43% 9% 48% A- F C C+ C F A+ F A+ A+ A A- A A+ 35% 24% 42% C+ A B A+ A+ C C- D- D+
0.92 53% 50% 29% -5 +2 0.95 37% 1.1 .42 31% .44 61% .27 0.87 42% 31% 26% -12 -1 0.76 23% 0.7 .16 16% .30 84% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.1 95.6
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.4 95.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.4% 100.0% 15.4 0.1 4.6 47.7 47.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.8%
Lose Out 39.2%