Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.7 247
Expected Predictive Rating -3.2 216
Pace 72.5 79
Improvement -6.6 357

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #260 C D C- D- C+
Defense C- #218 C C- C- B D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 279 56% 233 -2.9 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 249 39% 158 -1.2 243
Three Pointers 48% 45 35% 138 +4.2 52
1st FG Attempt 1.02 166 +0.1 166
Second Chance 24.5% 334 0.99 225 0.24 326
Turnovers 17.5% 216
Freethrows 0.25 335 69% 297 0.17 344
Total Offense -3.4 260

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 111 61% 268 -2.9 281
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 233 37% 152 +0.9 117
Three Pointers 40% 210 32% 87 +1.7 109
1st FG Attempt 1.02 185 -0.3 186
Second Chance 34.7% 323 0.98 109 0.34 252
Turnovers 16.1% 231
Freethrows 0.27 74 70% 75 0.19 62
Total Defense -1.3 218

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.2 173 +0.4 254
Shot Type Accuracy -0.1 175 -0.2 177
Possession Length 17.3 179 16.3 31
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 182 0.22 323
Improvement -3.6 #334 -3.0 #321

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 96% 99% 90%
.500 or above in Conference 56% 69% 29%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round4% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 67.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 415 - 819 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 117 Hofstra W 81 - 73 33% +14  99% 1 - 0 B- +8 C- -1 B- C- F A- +8 C A- B+
 Tue, Nov 11 357 @UMKC W 105 - 91 76% +9  89% 2 - 0 C+ +2 B +7 A+ F+ F+ D- -7 F+ F+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 157 Fordham W 76 - 71 44% -0  37% 3 - 0 C+ +2 C+ +2 A F A+ C -0 A F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 221 Princeton W 89 - 69 56% +18  95% 4 - 0 B+ +14 C+ +3 A- C- D+ A- +9 A- A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 72 Akron L 75 - 96 13% -18  1% 4 - 1 D- -13 D -6 D C+ D- D -6 D D D+
 Sat, Nov 22 178 Oregon St. W 91 - 84 2OT 37% -5  9% 5 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 C D- C- B +6 C A C
 Mon, Nov 24 244 Green Bay L 75 - 80 50% +0  44% 5 - 2 D -10 D+ -4 D C B- D -6 A F F
 Mon, Dec 1 279 @Delaware W 89 - 66 47% +7  72% 6 - 2 A +19 A +12 A+ F C B+ +7 C+ D+ C-
 Fri, Dec 5 195 Quinnipiac L 68 - 89 52% -7  9% 6 - 3 0 - 1 F -26 F -11 F B- C+ F -14 D- F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 287 @Sacred Heart W 81 - 69 49% +4  75% 7 - 3 1 - 1 B- +8 C +0 D+ C- C+ B+ +7 D- B- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 342 Bryant W 69 - 63 84% +5  84% 8 - 3 D -9 F+ -9 D- D+ B- C +0 F B A-
 Sat, Dec 13 20 @St. John's L 64 - 91 2% -8  20% 8 - 4 D+ -6 D- -6 D- C- A C+ +2 F+ B- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 224 @Vermont W 83 - 78 34% +0  49% 9 - 4 C+ +5 B+ +9 C+ A A- D+ -4 C+ C- F
 Mon, Dec 29 289 @Mount St. Mary's L 59 - 66 49% -1  44% 9 - 5 1 - 2 D- -11 F -20 F C- F A- +9 B- B- C-
 Fri, Jan 2 181 Siena W 75 - 72 49% +4  84% 10 - 5 2 - 2 C -1 D -5 A+ F F B- +3 B B+ F+
 Sun, Jan 4 163 @Marist L 38 - 83 24% -21  9% 10 - 6 2 - 3 F -42 F -31 F F F F+ -11 C+ F F
 Fri, Jan 9 335 Niagara W 71 - 53 82% +16  93% 11 - 6 3 - 3 C+ +4 C +1 C C C+ B +6 A B- F
 Sun, Jan 11 346 Canisius W 74 - 48 84% +8  72% 12 - 6 4 - 3 B +11 B- +4 A+ C+ F A +11 A+ C F
 Wed, Jan 14 354 @Rider L 68 - 72 73% -7  6% 12 - 7 4 - 4 F+ -15 D+ -3 D F A+ F -13 F+ F D+
 Mon, Jan 19 228 @St. Peter's L 63 - 77 35% -3  45% 12 - 8 4 - 5 F+ -15 F+ -9 F D A+ D -6 F B+ B-
 Thu, Jan 22 182 Merrimack W 61 - 60 49% +1  54% 13 - 8 5 - 5 C- -3 D -5 C F C+ C+ +2 C+ F A
 Sat, Jan 24 323 Manhattan W 66 - 57 79% +8  95% 14 - 8 6 - 5 C- -4 F -13 D F D- A +10 A+ C C+
 Fri, Jan 30 262 Fairfield L 70 - 71 65% +2  58% 14 - 9 6 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 C- B- D D -7 F B B
 Thu, Feb 5 181 @Siena L 72 - 79 27% +3  72% 14 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -5 C +1 A+ F C- D -7 D- F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 289 Mount St. Mary's L 76 - 83 71% -3  22% 14 - 11 6 - 8 F+ -17 B- +5 D+ B+ A+ F -24 F F F
 Fri, Feb 13 346 @Canisius W 72 - 67 67%
 Sun, Feb 15 335 @Niagara W 70 - 66 62%
 Fri, Feb 20 228 St. Peter's W 72 - 70 58%
 Sun, Feb 22 182 @Merrimack L 67 - 73 27%
 Fri, Feb 27 354 Rider W 78 - 66 88%
 Sun, Mar 1 323 @Manhattan W 79 - 77 59%
Totals 18 - 13 10 - 10 -5 D+ -3 C D C- C- -1 C C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C+ C 35% 17% 48% C+ C D- C- D C- D- D D- C- D+ C+ B- C 41% 19% 40% D+ C D C+ C- C- B- B- B
1.04 56% 39% 35% 0 0 1.02 25% 1.0 .24 17% .25 69% .17 1.10 61% 37% 32% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.0 .34 16% .27 70% .18
Nov
7		 Hofstra C- B+ F B- B- 37% 15% 48% B+ B- C D+ C- F A+ D- A A- F+ A- A+ B- 45% 13% 42% F C D+ A+ A- B+ C- A+ B+
1.08 63% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 20% .45 67% .30 0.98 67% 29% 27% -1 +1 1.02 37% 0.8 .29 20% .30 56% .17
Nov
11		 UMKC B A B A+ A+ 41% 22% 38% D+ A+ D F+ F+ F+ F+ D- F+ D- F F A+ F 30% 33% 38% B F+ F C F+ C+ D D D
1.22 73% 43% 54% +19 0 1.39 31% 0.8 .26 21% .20 64% .13 1.05 68% 67% 17% +3 -2 1.03 38% 0.9 .33 21% .31 71% .22
Nov
14		 Fordham C+ B A A A 39% 26% 35% C+ A F F F A+ B- F D+ C B- C- A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% F+ A F F+ F D+ A A+ A
1.09 64% 47% 40% +8 -1 1.16 17% 0.2 .03 10% .29 56% .16 1.02 55% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.79 43% 1.1 .48 16% .14 63% .09
Nov
18		 Princeton C+ A- A B- A 36% 15% 49% C A- F+ A+ C- D+ A+ B+ A+ A- D+ C- A+ A 41% 25% 34% B- A- D+ A+ A+ C- D- A C-
1.15 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 16% .41 78% .32 0.89 58% 40% 15% -9 0 0.83 28% 0.5 .13 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
21		 Akron D C+ D+ F D 37% 22% 41% D+ D D- A+ C+ D- B F C D F B F+ D- 40% 25% 35% B+ D D+ D+ D D+ F A F
0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22 1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26
Nov
22		 Oregon St. C- F A+ A C- 43% 10% 48% B C C+ F D- C- D+ A C+ B D- A+ C- C+ 47% 16% 36% D- C C- A+ A C F A+ C-
1.07 37% 50% 40% -3 +2 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 15% .30 82% .25 0.99 62% 11% 35% -2 +1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 18% .51 58% .30
Nov
24		 Green Bay D+ F F A- D- 38% 13% 48% B D C+ D+ C B- C- C+ C D A+ D+ B- A+ 42% 13% 45% D A F+ F F F D- D+ F+
1.11 45% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 12% .32 74% .23 1.18 39% 43% 32% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.5 .47 7% .41 77% .32
Dec
1		 Delaware A A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% B- A+ F F F C B C- B B+ F+ A+ C+ B- 44% 18% 38% D C+ C- D- D+ C- A A+ A+
1.27 76% 60% 48% +20 0 1.42 8% 0.5 .04 14% .32 79% .25 0.94 67% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 17% .14 38% .05
Dec
5		 Quinnipiac F F+ C- F F 43% 17% 40% C+ F C- B+ B- C+ A- D+ B+ F F C+ B D- 41% 20% 39% D+ D- F D+ F C- B+ C- B
0.93 48% 33% 14% -17 +1 0.70 33% 1.1 .37 16% .36 68% .25 1.22 71% 33% 30% +2 0 1.07 47% 1.1 .53 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
7		 Sacred Heart C C+ A+ D+ D 35% 7% 57% C+ D+ D+ C C- C+ C+ A+ B+ B+ D+ A+ F D- 27% 12% 61% C- D- F+ A+ B- A+ C B+ C+
1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25 0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20
Dec
10		 Bryant F+ F F B+ D- 44% 13% 43% C D- F A+ D+ B- F A+ F C A- A+ F F 19% 15% 67% A- F C A B A- A+ F A+
1.04 46% 14% 39% -5 +1 0.94 17% 1.7 .29 12% .15 89% .14 0.95 44% 14% 44% +4 -1 1.08 26% 0.8 .21 26% .08 100% .08
Dec
13		 St. John's D- F+ D- F F+ 52% 21% 26% B D- C- C C- A F C F C+ D+ F F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F+ B C B- A+ D+ F F
0.84 44% 31% 25% -13 +1 0.79 27% 0.9 .25 17% .11 71% .08 1.20 62% 50% 40% +7 +2 1.20 34% 1.2 .41 22% .42 84% .36
Dec
20		 Vermont B+ A+ A- F B 35% 35% 29% F+ C+ F+ A+ A A- B+ D+ B D+ F A- B+ C+ 32% 22% 46% B C+ C C- C- F B+ A A-
1.22 78% 44% 27% +6 -2 1.10 19% 2.2 .41 9% .39 71% .27 1.15 74% 31% 30% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .22 64% .14
Dec
29		 Mount St. Mary's F F C F F 28% 17% 55% C- F F+ A+ C- F F B+ F A- C+ F A+ B+ 62% 8% 30% F B- B+ D B- C- B+ A A-
0.79 31% 40% 25% -14 0 0.72 20% 1.3 .27 20% .17 80% .13 0.89 55% 50% 19% -8 +3 0.92 23% 1.1 .26 21% .26 60% .15
Jan
2		 Siena D A+ B A A+ 32% 17% 51% C+ A+ F F F F D F F+ B- A C C+ A- 47% 20% 32% F B A C- B+ F+ A+ F B
1.05 76% 44% 41% +12 0 1.26 21% 0.2 .04 22% .23 62% .14 1.00 46% 42% 32% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.0 .23 13% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Marist F D D- F F 43% 25% 33% C+ F F F F F C+ F F+ F+ B- F A+ B 39% 18% 43% F+ C+ D F F F C+ F+ C
0.54 53% 30% 8% -17 0 0.68 14% 0.6 .08 34% .36 53% .19 1.18 54% 55% 23% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 8% .23 87% .20
Jan
9		 Niagara C A- A+ F+ C- 34% 15% 51% C+ C B+ F+ C C+ D- A- D+ B C- A+ A A 32% 22% 46% A A D A+ B- F B F B-
1.17 69% 57% 29% +3 0 1.09 39% 0.8 .33 15% .25 85% .21 0.87 56% 18% 26% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 12% .17 78% .13
Jan
11		 Canisius B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 53% B A+ D+ A C+ F F F F A A+ A+ D+ A+ 48% 25% 27% D A+ B F+ C F A+ F+ A
1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06 0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11
Jan
14		 Rider D+ C F C D 32% 6% 62% C D F D- F A+ F+ F F F D+ A- F F 41% 36% 23% C F+ F F F D+ F D+ F
1.12 59% 0% 36% 0 +1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 7% .21 42% .09 1.19 56% 29% 44% 0 -2 0.97 47% 1.1 .53 17% .55 71% .40
Jan
19		 St. Peter's F+ F A+ D F 33% 8% 59% B- F F A+ D A+ D+ F F D D+ C F F 49% 19% 33% F+ F B+ B- B+ B- F C F
0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20 1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Merrimack D F F A+ C 24% 18% 58% D+ C F F+ F C+ D D- D- C+ B+ D C+ C+ 48% 16% 36% C- C+ F C F A A A+ A+
1.01 27% 25% 42% -3 -1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 18% .30 67% .20 0.99 48% 43% 31% -6 +1 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 22% .25 58% .15
Jan
24		 Manhattan F B+ C D D 26% 21% 53% D- D C- F F D- B+ C+ B+ A A+ F A+ A+ 34% 19% 47% C- A+ D B C C+ C+ C C+
1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23 0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22
Jan
30		 Fairfield D+ F D A C- 40% 13% 47% C- C- B- C+ B- D B A A- D D- D F F 41% 15% 43% D- F F A+ B B D+ A- C
1.12 47% 33% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.1 .38 18% .33 82% .27 1.14 63% 43% 40% +7 +1 1.17 51% 0.5 .24 18% .27 64% .18
Feb
5		 Siena C A F A+ A+ 27% 19% 54% C- A+ C- F F C- F F F D F F A+ D- 43% 25% 31% D- D- F D F B- A- F B-
1.09 71% 20% 50% +13 -1 1.27 29% 0.4 .12 18% .07 50% .04 1.20 73% 62% 19% +5 0 1.12 39% 1.1 .43 18% .20 91% .18
Feb
7		 Mount St. Mary's B- C- A+ D- D+ 19% 15% 66% C- D+ B- B+ B+ A+ A- D B F F F C+ F 27% 12% 61% B- F F D+ F F F D- F
1.20 56% 57% 29% -2 -1 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 6% .40 71% .29 1.31 91% 60% 32% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.1 .43 17% .57 73% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 0.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 2.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.8 11.5 14.0 1.6 27.9 6th
7th 0.5 10.5 17.9 2.9 0.0 31.7 7th
8th 0.2 5.0 13.3 3.1 0.0 21.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 6.2 2.2 9.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.1 1.7 0.1 4.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.4 3.7 13.4 26.7 32.6 19.1 4.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 4.2% 9.4% 9.4% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.8
11-9 19.1% 6.7% 6.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 17.8
10-10 32.6% 4.7% 4.7% 15.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 31.1
9-11 26.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.2 0.7 25.9
8-12 13.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.0
7-13 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 3.6
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.5 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.5 5.1 41.0 53.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 0.3%