Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#165
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#121
Pace76.4#35
Improvement-2.4#320

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#163
First Shot+2.6#99
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#329
Layup/Dunks+0.5#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#107
Freethrows-0.6#224
Improvement-1.7#307

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#186
First Shot+0.8#141
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#286
Layups/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#191
Freethrows+3.1#27
Improvement-0.8#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.5% 22.6% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 99.6% 99.9% 99.2%
.500 or above in Conference 97.4% 98.9% 94.5%
Conference Champion 24.2% 30.3% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round20.4% 22.6% 16.3%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 65.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 35 - 35 - 5
Quad 418 - 524 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 110 Hofstra W 81-73 46%     1 - 0 +8.7 +3.7 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 11 343 @UMKC W 105-91 78%     2 - 0 +5.3 +11.4 -8.8
  Fri, Nov 14 193 Fordham W 76-71 67%     3 - 0 -0.1 +2.5 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 18 248 Princeton W 89-69 76%     4 - 0 +12.0 +6.0 +4.2
  Fri, Nov 21 59 Akron L 75-96 19%     4 - 1 -12.1 -5.7 -4.4
  Sat, Nov 22 154 Oregon St. W 91-84 2OT 47%     5 - 1 +7.4 +2.0 +4.1
  Mon, Nov 24 283 Green Bay L 75-80 72%     5 - 2 -11.6 -1.0 -10.7
  Mon, Dec 1 284 @Delaware W 89-66 62%     6 - 2 +19.4 +15.3 +4.2
  Fri, Dec 5 160 Quinnipiac L 68-89 60%     6 - 3 0 - 1 -24.0 -7.8 -15.3
  Sun, Dec 7 250 @Sacred Heart W 81-69 57%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +9.9 +5.5 +4.3
  Wed, Dec 10 311 Bryant W 69-63 86%     8 - 3 -5.8 -4.6 -0.9
  Sat, Dec 13 19 @St. John's L 64-91 4%     8 - 4 -7.6 -4.3 -1.2
  Sat, Dec 20 178 @Vermont W 83-78 42%     9 - 4 +6.7 +10.6 -3.8
  Mon, Dec 29 300 @Mount St. Mary's W 79-75 65%    
  Fri, Jan 2 179 Siena W 76-72 65%    
  Sun, Jan 4 157 @Marist L 70-74 37%    
  Fri, Jan 9 352 Niagara W 81-65 93%    
  Sun, Jan 11 347 Canisius W 78-63 92%    
  Wed, Jan 14 344 @Rider W 75-67 78%    
  Mon, Jan 19 297 @St. Peter's W 74-70 64%    
  Thu, Jan 22 263 Merrimack W 76-68 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 313 Manhattan W 87-76 86%    
  Fri, Jan 30 277 Fairfield W 82-73 79%    
  Thu, Feb 5 179 @Siena L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 300 Mount St. Mary's W 82-72 82%    
  Fri, Feb 13 347 @Canisius W 75-66 79%    
  Sun, Feb 15 352 @Niagara W 78-68 81%    
  Fri, Feb 20 297 St. Peter's W 77-67 81%    
  Sun, Feb 22 263 @Merrimack W 73-71 58%    
  Fri, Feb 27 344 Rider W 78-64 90%    
  Sun, Mar 1 313 @Manhattan W 84-79 69%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.7 7.3 7.4 3.9 1.0 24.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.5 9.1 6.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 25.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.7 7.5 4.5 1.1 0.1 20.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.3 5.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.9 0.8 0.1 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.4 6.0 9.7 14.1 16.6 17.8 14.9 9.6 4.3 1.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 99.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
18-2 91.7% 3.9    3.3 0.6 0.0
17-3 76.9% 7.4    5.0 2.2 0.2 0.0
16-4 49.3% 7.3    3.4 3.2 0.7 0.1
15-5 21.0% 3.7    1.0 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 5.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 24.2% 24.2 13.7 8.0 2.1 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 1.0% 45.4% 45.4% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5
18-2 4.3% 37.0% 37.0% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.7
17-3 9.6% 31.5% 31.5% 13.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.6
16-4 14.9% 28.4% 28.4% 14.0 0.0 0.9 2.5 0.8 0.0 10.7
15-5 17.8% 22.3% 22.3% 14.3 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.4 0.0 13.8
14-6 16.6% 19.3% 19.3% 14.6 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.1 13.4
13-7 14.1% 15.3% 15.3% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.3 11.9
12-8 9.7% 11.9% 11.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 8.6
11-9 6.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.5
10-10 3.4% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
9-11 1.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.5
8-12 0.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-13 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.5% 20.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.8 3.8 8.3 6.4 1.2 79.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 12.0 12.7 73.1 13.4 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%