Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#258
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#282
Pace70.5#141
Improvement-0.2#196

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#310
First Shot-5.8#335
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#133
Layup/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#301
Freethrows-1.4#263
Improvement-1.2#280

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#182
First Shot+1.4#127
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#315
Layups/Dunks-0.5#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#81
Freethrows-1.2#269
Improvement+1.0#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 9.9% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 32.3% 47.5% 25.3%
.500 or above in Conference 69.3% 75.5% 66.4%
Conference Champion 8.7% 11.5% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.5% 2.9%
First Four3.9% 3.7% 4.0%
First Round6.0% 8.2% 5.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 31.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 413 - 1015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 117   @ Princeton L 80-81 15%     0 - 1 +4.8 +8.5 -3.7
  Nov 08, 2024 151   @ Hofstra L 76-90 21%     0 - 2 -10.7 +4.7 -14.9
  Nov 12, 2024 219   Delaware L 58-64 51%     0 - 3 -11.6 -19.0 +7.3
  Nov 15, 2024 184   Vermont W 62-59 46%     1 - 3 -1.2 -7.2 +6.1
  Nov 20, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 43-86 4%     1 - 4 -28.3 -20.9 -7.9
  Nov 25, 2024 120   Cornell L 68-84 32%     1 - 5 -16.4 -13.0 -2.2
  Nov 29, 2024 286   Tarleton St. W 62-51 56%     2 - 5 +4.2 -3.7 +9.3
  Nov 30, 2024 150   Indiana St. L 80-83 29%     2 - 6 -2.7 +0.9 -3.4
  Dec 01, 2024 196   Rice L 66-70 36%     2 - 7 -5.6 -5.8 +0.2
  Dec 06, 2024 284   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 44%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -27.8 -18.6 -8.1
  Dec 08, 2024 210   St. Peter's W 72-63 50%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +3.7 +2.3 +1.9
  Dec 22, 2024 223   @ Colgate L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 29, 2024 231   Harvard W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 03, 2025 233   Marist W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 05, 2025 305   @ Siena L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 10, 2025 280   @ Fairfield L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 12, 2025 245   Quinnipiac W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 350   Canisius W 76-66 83%    
  Jan 23, 2025 300   @ Rider L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 305   Siena W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 31, 2025 293   @ Manhattan L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 280   Fairfield W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 233   @ Marist L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 14, 2025 300   Rider W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 16, 2025 245   @ Quinnipiac L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 21, 2025 293   Manhattan W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 23, 2025 198   Merrimack L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 320   @ Niagara W 69-68 52%    
  Mar 02, 2025 350   @ Canisius W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 08, 2025 284   Sacred Heart W 75-71 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.7 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 8.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.3 4.0 2.1 0.5 0.1 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.4 3.3 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.4 1.5 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.3 2.2 0.2 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 0.7 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.6 8.4 11.2 13.0 14.1 13.4 11.3 8.1 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 94.2% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 79.7% 2.2    1.5 0.6 0.1
15-5 52.7% 2.7    1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0
14-6 22.5% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 43.3% 43.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 29.0% 29.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.1% 24.4% 24.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.7% 23.1% 23.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.1
15-5 5.2% 19.1% 19.1% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 4.2
14-6 8.1% 15.8% 15.8% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8
13-7 11.3% 13.4% 13.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 9.8
12-8 13.4% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.1 1.2 12.2
11-9 14.1% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 13.3
10-10 13.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.4
9-11 11.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.0
8-12 8.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.3
7-13 5.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.5
6-14 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.8 92.2 0.0%