Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#257
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#272
Pace71.0#105
Improvement+2.1#91

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#323
First Shot-7.1#344
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#112
Layup/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#313
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement-0.3#197

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#157
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#276
Layups/Dunks+0.3#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-1.8#298
Improvement+2.4#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.5% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 16.3% 27.3% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 74.9% 89.3% 65.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four4.0% 4.3% 3.8%
First Round4.0% 5.5% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 38.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 413 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 129   @ Princeton L 80-81 18%     0 - 1 +3.4 +8.9 -5.6
  Nov 08, 2024 174   @ Hofstra L 76-90 24%     0 - 2 -12.1 +5.5 -17.0
  Nov 12, 2024 232   Delaware L 58-64 54%     0 - 3 -12.6 -20.9 +8.2
  Nov 15, 2024 239   Vermont W 62-59 56%     1 - 3 -4.1 -8.0 +4.0
  Nov 20, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 43-86 4%     1 - 4 -28.6 -19.5 -9.7
  Nov 25, 2024 123   Cornell L 68-84 30%     1 - 5 -16.2 -13.7 -1.3
  Nov 29, 2024 248   Tarleton St. W 62-51 49%     2 - 5 +5.8 -1.6 +8.7
  Nov 30, 2024 210   Indiana St. L 80-83 39%     2 - 6 -5.5 +1.0 -6.3
  Dec 01, 2024 192   Rice L 66-70 35%     2 - 7 -5.5 -6.9 +1.4
  Dec 06, 2024 287   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 46%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -28.4 -20.1 -7.3
  Dec 08, 2024 272   St. Peter's W 72-63 62%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +0.3 +3.2 -2.4
  Dec 22, 2024 240   @ Colgate W 79-73 37%     4 - 8 +3.9 +5.2 -1.2
  Dec 29, 2024 241   Harvard L 61-67 56%     4 - 9 -13.2 -10.9 -2.6
  Jan 03, 2025 212   Marist L 65-70 49%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -10.2 -9.1 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2025 246   @ Siena W 74-73 39%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -1.6 -6.8 +5.1
  Jan 10, 2025 326   @ Fairfield L 64-68 59%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -11.7 -13.7 +1.9
  Jan 12, 2025 189   Quinnipiac L 62-63 43%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -4.8 -11.1 +6.2
  Jan 16, 2025 352   Canisius W 82-61 83%     6 - 12 3 - 4 +5.5 +5.8 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2025 303   @ Rider W 73-67 50%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +0.4 -0.4 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2025 246   Siena W 72-68 58%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -3.6 -2.4 -1.2
  Jan 31, 2025 271   @ Manhattan L 55-76 43%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -24.7 -18.1 -8.1
  Feb 02, 2025 326   Fairfield W 87-64 75%     9 - 13 6 - 5 +10.3 +10.7 +0.8
  Feb 06, 2025 261   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-71 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 212   @ Marist L 61-66 29%    
  Feb 14, 2025 303   Rider W 71-66 70%    
  Feb 16, 2025 189   @ Quinnipiac L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 21, 2025 271   Manhattan W 75-72 63%    
  Feb 23, 2025 197   Merrimack L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 28, 2025 316   @ Niagara W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 02, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 74-69 66%    
  Mar 08, 2025 287   Sacred Heart W 76-72 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 3.3 1.0 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 7.9 11.2 4.5 0.3 25.1 4th
5th 0.4 6.5 11.1 3.9 0.2 22.2 5th
6th 0.0 3.0 10.4 3.9 0.2 17.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 7.2 4.3 0.4 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 4.7 0.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.2 2.0 6.8 16.1 23.1 23.4 17.3 8.5 2.4 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 29.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.3% 14.7% 14.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 2.4% 19.6% 19.6% 15.7 0.1 0.3 1.9
13-7 8.5% 11.9% 11.9% 15.9 0.1 0.9 7.5
12-8 17.3% 9.2% 9.2% 15.9 0.1 1.5 15.7
11-9 23.4% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 1.3 22.2
10-10 23.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.9 22.2
9-11 16.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 15.6
8-12 6.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.7
7-13 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.0
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 5.5 94.1 0.0%