Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#305
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#249
Pace62.9#329
Improvement-2.5#320

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#321
First Shot-5.2#323
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#185
Layup/Dunks-6.4#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement-1.6#307

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#252
First Shot-1.9#234
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#238
Layups/Dunks-4.2#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#107
Freethrows-1.4#278
Improvement-0.9#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 5.1% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 21.1% 42.1% 18.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.7% 53.2% 40.3%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.0% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 4.4% 7.7%
First Four1.8% 2.3% 1.8%
First Round2.1% 4.0% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 411 - 1114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 156   Brown W 72-71 OT 32%     1 - 0 -2.0 -4.1 +2.0
  Nov 08, 2024 178   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 17%     2 - 0 +4.1 +3.4 +0.4
  Nov 12, 2024 242   American W 74-66 49%     3 - 0 +0.4 +10.3 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2024 236   @ Albany L 60-70 26%     3 - 1 -11.1 -11.2 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2024 47   @ Xavier L 55-80 3%     3 - 2 -11.5 -8.8 -3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 209   Miami (OH) L 58-70 30%     3 - 3 -14.3 -12.1 -2.8
  Nov 26, 2024 205   Jacksonville L 64-75 29%     3 - 4 -13.0 -6.1 -7.1
  Nov 30, 2024 264   Bucknell W 71-58 41%     4 - 4 +7.4 +7.8 +1.3
  Dec 06, 2024 320   @ Niagara L 68-69 42%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.9 +2.9 -10.0
  Dec 08, 2024 350   @ Canisius W 66-53 56%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +3.7 -0.7 +6.8
  Dec 17, 2024 89   St. Bonaventure L 48-65 15%     5 - 6 -13.6 -19.1 +4.6
  Dec 20, 2024 310   Holy Cross L 70-78 63%     5 - 7 -19.3 -2.6 -17.6
  Dec 30, 2024 120   @ Cornell L 68-81 10%    
  Jan 03, 2025 293   Manhattan W 72-70 59%    
  Jan 05, 2025 258   Iona W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 10, 2025 245   @ Quinnipiac L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 16, 2025 284   Sacred Heart W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 59-68 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 253   Mount St. Mary's W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 258   @ Iona L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 31, 2025 233   @ Marist L 60-67 26%    
  Feb 02, 2025 245   Quinnipiac L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 210   St. Peter's L 60-63 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 300   @ Rider L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 14, 2025 233   Marist L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 16, 2025 284   @ Sacred Heart L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 21, 2025 320   Niagara W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 350   Canisius W 72-64 76%    
  Mar 02, 2025 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-71 30%    
  Mar 06, 2025 280   Fairfield W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 293   @ Manhattan L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 4.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.0 2.9 0.2 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.5 0.7 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.8 1.7 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.5 3.2 0.2 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.2 0.5 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 3.8 1.0 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 2.9 1.1 0.1 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.3 8.5 11.7 14.0 14.5 13.6 10.8 7.6 5.0 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 96.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 78.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 54.1% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 28.6% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 6.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.2% 16.9% 16.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.5% 22.1% 22.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.2% 15.4% 15.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
14-6 2.7% 12.5% 12.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.4
13-7 5.0% 9.7% 9.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.5
12-8 7.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 7.0
11-9 10.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.3
10-10 13.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.3
9-11 14.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.3
8-12 14.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.8
7-13 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-14 8.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.5
5-15 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-16 2.8% 2.8
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 96.9 0.0%