Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.3 181
Expected Predictive Rating -1.5 189
Pace 63.7 312
Improvement -0.1 188

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #163 C- C- C C- D-
Defense C- #211 C- C+ C B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 222 60% 125 -0.1 181
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 32 45% 35 +5.5 9
Three Pointers 33% 329 29% 331 -6.2 343
1st FG Attempt 1.00 198 -0.8 197
Second Chance 30.4% 185 0.98 253 0.30 209
Turnovers 16.9% 174
Freethrows 0.28 260 74% 129 0.21 228
Total Offense -0.1 163

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 218 61% 262 -0.3 189
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 96 40% 245 -1.3 288
Three Pointers 40% 223 35% 232 -0.1 182
1st FG Attempt 1.05 234 -1.6 234
Second Chance 31.5% 225 0.95 79 0.30 148
Turnovers 17.1% 175
Freethrows 0.28 101 71% 120 0.20 93
Total Defense -1.2 211

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.3 325 -0.4 100
Shot Type Accuracy +0.5 155 +2.0 257
Possession Length 18.7 322 17.5 217
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 354 0.13 57
Improvement +3.8 #25 -4.0 #346

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 21% 14%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 14% 19% 4%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round18% 21% 14%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 65.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 52 - 6
Quad 420 - 522 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 342 Bryant W 82 - 66 90% +10  99% 1 - 0 C +1 B- +5 D- A+ B+ C- -3 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 278 @Brown W 62 - 46 60% +12  92% 2 - 0 B+ +12 D- -7 F C F+ A+ +21 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Nov 12 134 @St. Bonaventure L 66 - 75 28% -3  29% 2 - 1 C- -4 D+ -3 F A+ F+ C- -2 B- F B-
 Mon, Nov 17 209 Colgate L 69 - 72 67% -0  40% 2 - 2 D -9 D+ -3 D+ B C D -6 D C C-
 Fri, Nov 21 325 Albany W 73 - 63 87% +8  98% 3 - 2 C- -3 C+ +2 C C F+ D+ -4 F A+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 321 @Holy Cross W 73 - 69 71% +1  56% 4 - 2 C- -3 C -0 B+ F C C- -3 F A B-
 Fri, Nov 28 261 Longwood W 70 - 63 66% +3  65% 5 - 2 C +1 D -4 B- D- C- B +6 B F+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 258 @American W 59 - 55 55% +1  66% 6 - 2 C +1 F -17 F F F A+ +19 A+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 338 Maine W 64 - 60 83% +8  98% 7 - 2 D+ -8 D+ -3 C F B- D+ -4 F+ D D
 Fri, Dec 5 335 Niagara W 83 - 54 88% +22  96% 8 - 2 1 - 0 A- +15 B+ +8 B+ C+ B- A- +9 A B F
 Sun, Dec 7 346 Canisius W 74 - 52 90% +14  87% 9 - 2 2 - 0 B- +7 C -0 C- F A+ A- +9 A C+ B
 Wed, Dec 17 224 @Vermont L 69 - 83 46% -12  3% 9 - 3 D- -14 D- -7 F D- C D -7 D D- F+
 Mon, Dec 22 29 @Indiana L 60 - 81 5% -18  0% 9 - 4 C- -3 D- -7 F C- A- B- +4 B- A+ A
 Fri, Jan 2 247 @Iona L 72 - 75 51% -4  10% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C- -5 D -5 D- F+ A- C +0 F A+ A
 Sun, Jan 4 354 @Rider W 74 - 65 82% +7  80% 10 - 5 3 - 1 C- -2 B- +5 D- A+ F D -6 F+ A- F
 Fri, Jan 9 182 Merrimack L 59 - 63 62% -9  3% 10 - 6 3 - 2 D -8 C +0 C- C+ C F+ -10 D- C- D-
 Sun, Jan 11 289 @Mount St. Mary's W 67 - 50 62% +5  95% 11 - 6 4 - 2 B+ +13 C +1 C D C+ A+ +14 A+ C- B
 Wed, Jan 14 287 Sacred Heart L 80 - 86 80% -4  2% 11 - 7 4 - 3 F+ -16 C -0 F+ C A+ F -16 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 323 @Manhattan W 74 - 59 71% +12  98% 12 - 7 5 - 3 B- +8 C +1 A+ F F+ A- +9 B B D-
 Mon, Jan 19 262 Fairfield W 85 - 77 76% +8  88% 13 - 7 6 - 3 C -1 A- +11 A+ D F F+ -11 D F D+
 Thu, Jan 22 163 Marist W 69 - 50 58% +4  74% 14 - 7 7 - 3 A- +16 B+ +8 C- A+ A+ A +11 B A+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 335 @Niagara W 82 - 79 75% +3  72% 15 - 7 8 - 3 D+ -5 A +13 A+ C C- F -18 F F D-
 Sun, Feb 1 346 @Canisius W 78 - 63 78% +8  74% 16 - 7 9 - 3 B- +6 A +14 A B+ C+ D -5 F C- A-
 Thu, Feb 5 247 Iona W 79 - 72 73% -3  25% 17 - 7 10 - 3 C -1 B +6 B B+ D D -6 F A C+
 Sat, Feb 7 228 @St. Peter's L 65 - 70 47% -3  11% 17 - 8 10 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 D- F A C+ +1 F D- B
 Fri, Feb 13 195 Quinnipiac W 75 - 71 65%
 Sun, Feb 15 163 @Marist L 63 - 67 36%
 Fri, Feb 20 182 @Merrimack L 66 - 69 39%
 Sun, Feb 22 228 St. Peter's W 71 - 66 70%
 Fri, Feb 27 262 @Fairfield W 73 - 72 56%
 Sun, Mar 1 354 Rider W 77 - 61 93%
Totals 21 - 10 14 - 6 -1 C +0 C- C- C C- -1 C- C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ B+ D- C 37% 30% 33% D- C- C C- C- C D+ C+ C- C- D+ C- C- D+ 37% 23% 40% C+ C- C- B- C+ C B- C+ B-
1.08 60% 45% 29% 0 -1 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 17% .28 74% .21 1.10 61% 40% 35% +2 0 1.05 31% 1.0 .30 17% .28 71% .20
Nov
3		 Bryant B- B- F F F+ 58% 20% 22% C+ D- A+ A+ A+ B+ B B- B C- B- A+ F F 45% 14% 41% D+ F F B+ F A+ C A B-
1.23 62% 10% 27% -5 +1 0.94 47% 1.3 .61 11% .34 75% .25 0.99 50% 17% 50% +3 +1 1.11 44% 0.9 .38 30% .26 67% .17
Nov
7		 Brown D- B D F F+ 40% 36% 23% F+ F A- F C F+ A F+ B+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C+ A+ C A+ A+ A- B F C+
0.93 63% 35% 9% -8 -2 0.83 38% 0.7 .28 21% .42 68% .29 0.69 47% 22% 17% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.4 .12 24% .20 80% .16
Nov
12		 St. Bonaventure D+ F A+ F F 34% 39% 27% F F A+ B+ A+ F+ A+ D+ A+ C- A F D B- 51% 32% 17% C B- F F F B- C- A+ C+
1.03 27% 53% 25% -9 -3 0.80 45% 1.2 .55 22% .48 75% .36 1.17 46% 60% 38% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .57 19% .29 67% .19
Nov
17		 Colgate D+ D+ A+ F C- 36% 32% 32% F+ D+ B+ C B C C+ A+ B+ D D+ F B+ D+ 55% 23% 21% F D B+ F C C- D- D- D-
1.07 56% 50% 25% -1 -2 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 16% .33 83% .28 1.12 62% 55% 30% +5 +1 1.13 22% 1.2 .26 16% .31 76% .24
Nov
21		 Albany C+ C+ B C- C 54% 26% 20% C C B- D C F+ A A+ A+ D+ D D- F F 46% 32% 22% B+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ D-
1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36 1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20
Nov
24		 Holy Cross C A- A+ F B+ 55% 25% 20% C B+ F D F C F B+ F C- F F B- F 38% 24% 38% D F A+ A+ A B- A B+ A
1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12 1.06 74% 58% 32% +10 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13
Nov
28		 Longwood D A+ A+ D+ B+ 33% 20% 48% D B- F B D- C- B+ F C- B D A- A- B- 30% 30% 40% A B D+ F+ F+ A+ C- F D
1.04 80% 56% 32% +9 0 1.20 17% 1.0 .17 19% .40 59% .24 0.93 64% 29% 26% -6 -2 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 28% .33 81% .27
Nov
29		 American F F A+ F F+ 37% 39% 24% F F B- F F F A+ F A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 39% 32% 29% A+ A+ B- C+ C+ A+ F C F
0.85 43% 53% 22% -4 -3 0.89 35% 0.5 .18 29% .70 60% .42 0.79 56% 23% 17% -13 -1 0.73 24% 0.9 .21 27% .41 76% .31
Nov
30		 Maine D+ A B+ F B- 37% 39% 24% F C D F F B- A+ D A+ D+ C B- F F 33% 29% 38% B+ F+ D D D D C+ A+ A-
1.06 73% 44% 20% +3 -2 1.02 33% 0.7 .22 17% .48 67% .32 1.00 57% 33% 44% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.1 .27 18% .30 47% .14
Dec
5		 Niagara B+ B- A- A+ A- 37% 23% 40% C- B+ C- B C+ B- D- F+ F+ A- A- F A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% D- A B+ C B F B- A+ B+
1.27 63% 50% 43% +10 0 1.21 32% 1.1 .36 14% .25 71% .18 0.83 44% 50% 19% -14 +2 0.78 17% 0.9 .15 11% .19 55% .10
Dec
7		 Canisius C A+ F C- C- 27% 15% 58% C- C- D F F A+ C F D A- A C A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% F+ A D A C+ B F D- F
1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19 0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28
Dec
17		 Vermont D- F C+ C- F+ 31% 39% 31% F F C F D- C F A+ F+ D F F B+ D- 40% 15% 45% D+ D B F D- F+ D- F+ F+
0.99 44% 39% 33% -4 -3 0.88 27% 0.7 .20 13% .21 85% .18 1.19 76% 50% 29% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 11% .32 80% .26
Dec
22		 Indiana D- F C- F F 37% 29% 35% C F D+ C C- A- A+ F+ A+ B- C A+ D- B- 36% 13% 51% B B- C- A+ A+ A F F F
0.87 39% 36% 18% -16 -1 0.67 24% 1.1 .26 13% .47 68% .32 1.18 63% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.13 32% 0.6 .18 19% .54 87% .47
Jan
2		 Iona D F B C- D- 47% 20% 32% C+ D- F C+ F+ A- F A+ C- C F D- F F 32% 17% 51% C+ F B A+ A+ A C+ A B-
1.00 46% 42% 32% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.0 .23 13% .18 100% .18 1.05 76% 44% 41% +12 0 1.26 21% 0.2 .04 22% .23 62% .14
Jan
4		 Rider B- F A+ A+ F 66% 12% 22% B+ D- A+ C- A+ F A+ B+ A+ D D- F A+ F+ 36% 28% 36% D+ F+ C A+ A- F B- F D+
1.24 44% 60% 44% -3 +3 1.02 55% 1.0 .55 18% .45 73% .33 1.09 61% 64% 17% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.6 .20 12% .25 85% .21
Jan
9		 Merrimack C B B- F C 30% 33% 37% F C- A+ F C+ C F A- F F+ A A+ F D- 48% 9% 43% D- D- F A C- D- B+ C+ B+
1.09 62% 43% 25% -2 -2 0.93 55% 0.8 .42 18% .20 78% .16 1.16 43% 25% 47% 0 +2 1.07 32% 0.8 .26 13% .28 77% .21
Jan
11		 Mount St. Mary's C A- B+ F C 33% 24% 42% D+ C C+ F D C+ B D C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 31% 14% 55% B- A+ F A- C- B F D+ F
1.09 67% 45% 26% 0 -1 1.00 31% 0.7 .23 13% .37 70% .26 0.81 46% 17% 22% -17 0 0.69 37% 0.9 .32 24% .43 70% .30
Jan
14		 Sacred Heart C B+ C F F+ 33% 22% 45% D- F+ C- B- C A+ F A+ F+ F A+ F+ C- B+ 27% 24% 49% B+ B+ F+ F F F A- F C
1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14 1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21
Jan
17		 Manhattan C C B+ A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D+ A+ D F F F+ F F F A- A F A+ B+ 31% 19% 50% C B B- B+ B D- A- A+ A+
1.18 59% 45% 57% +17 -1 1.35 32% 0.8 .25 19% .06 33% .02 0.94 44% 60% 23% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.9 .22 13% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Fairfield A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 35% 30% F A+ D- C- D F A A+ A+ F+ F B- A F+ 28% 28% 44% A D B+ F F D+ C+ F D+
1.32 94% 56% 50% +26 -2 1.50 25% 1.0 .25 20% .37 84% .31 1.19 86% 36% 27% +3 -2 1.04 28% 1.8 .48 14% .23 85% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Marist B+ D- C A+ B- 26% 53% 21% F C- C- A+ A+ A+ F A+ C+ A A C B- B 31% 29% 39% B- B A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A+
1.14 50% 36% 40% -1 -5 0.89 28% 2.0 .55 13% .27 100% .27 0.83 44% 40% 30% -6 -2 0.86 9% 0.7 .06 13% .10 80% .08
Jan
30		 Niagara A A+ A+ C- A+ 26% 38% 36% F A+ F A+ C C- A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 33% 16% 51% B F D+ F F D- D+ A+ B-
1.30 91% 63% 33% +18 -3 1.31 20% 1.8 .35 16% .43 87% .38 1.25 56% 50% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 16% .25 54% .13
Feb
1		 Canisius A A+ A B A 38% 24% 38% D+ A B+ B- B+ C+ A+ D A D A+ A F F 9% 33% 58% A+ F F A+ C- A- B+ C- B
1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30 1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15
Feb
5		 Iona B A A+ F B+ 43% 25% 31% D+ B B B B+ D F+ A+ C D F A+ F F 27% 19% 54% B F D- A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 73% 62% 19% +5 0 1.12 39% 1.1 .43 18% .20 91% .18 1.09 71% 20% 50% +13 -1 1.27 29% 0.4 .12 18% .07 50% .04
Feb
7		 St. Peter's D- C+ A F D- 44% 22% 34% C- D- F C- F A D B- D+ C+ F D A- F 28% 35% 38% A+ F D+ D- D- B F A+ F
0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28 1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1.8 8.2 3.8 13.8 1st
2nd 1.8 17.9 9.1 0.4 29.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 10.3 10.9 0.5 22.0 3rd
4th 0.1 4.2 13.3 0.9 18.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 9.2 3.7 15.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 0.3 1.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.2 3.4 14.0 29.0 31.5 17.8 4.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 91.2% 3.8    2.3 1.4 0.1
15-5 46.0% 8.2    1.8 4.6 1.7 0.1
14-6 5.6% 1.8    0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 4.2 6.2 2.5 0.7 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 4.2% 31.0% 31.0% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 2.9
15-5 17.8% 26.4% 26.4% 14.4 0.3 2.1 2.3 0.0 13.1
14-6 31.5% 20.4% 20.4% 14.8 0.1 1.7 4.0 0.6 25.0
13-7 29.0% 14.4% 14.4% 15.1 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.1 24.8
12-8 14.0% 12.6% 12.6% 15.4 0.1 0.9 0.8 12.2
11-9 3.4% 9.6% 9.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 3.1
10-10 0.2% 0.2
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 14.8 81.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 13.7 1.5 36.2 55.4 6.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%