Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#225
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#277
Pace65.3#291
Improvement+4.3#7

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#331
First Shot-5.8#323
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#185
Layup/Dunks-5.3#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#96
Freethrows-3.8#343
Improvement+1.7#52

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#107
First Shot+2.7#91
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#227
Layups/Dunks+0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#121
Freethrows+1.0#128
Improvement+2.6#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.8% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 9.6% 22.3% 8.3%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 48.1% 36.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.0% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 20.0% 14.3% 20.6%
First Four1.0% 0.5% 1.1%
First Round2.8% 4.5% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 8.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 48 - 510 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 161 Siena L 46-62 48%     0 - 1 -19.3 -25.2 +5.1
  Sun, Nov 9 189 Vermont L 84-89 2OT 55%     0 - 2 -10.1 -6.6 -2.8
  Wed, Nov 12 235 @Boston University L 77-90 41%     0 - 3 -14.5 +7.0 -22.6
  Fri, Nov 14 212 Hampton L 63-72 59%     0 - 4 -15.2 -6.8 -9.3
  Tue, Nov 18 301 Holy Cross W 68-49 75%     1 - 4 +8.2 -0.7 +11.7
  Thu, Nov 20 222 @Stony Brook L 70-80 38%     1 - 5 -10.6 -0.5 -10.6
  Sun, Nov 23 326 @Maine W 58-53 59%     2 - 5 -1.3 -10.2 +9.2
  Wed, Nov 26 344 @New Hampshire W 59-47 67%     3 - 5 +3.6 -11.8 +16.3
  Tue, Dec 2 110 @Rhode Island L 56-66 16%     3 - 6 -3.1 -9.1 +5.4
  Fri, Dec 5 295 Bryant W 75-56 74%     4 - 6 +8.5 +1.9 +7.4
  Tue, Dec 9 72 @Providence L 66-81 9%    
  Sun, Dec 21 32 @USC L 61-81 3%    
  Mon, Jan 5 73 Yale L 66-74 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 240 @Penn L 69-71 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 140 Columbia L 68-70 41%    
  Mon, Jan 19 150 Cornell L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 247 @Princeton L 63-65 42%    
  Fri, Jan 30 193 Harvard W 65-64 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 261 Dartmouth W 72-67 66%    
  Fri, Feb 6 73 @Yale L 63-77 9%    
  Fri, Feb 13 193 @Harvard L 62-67 34%    
  Sat, Feb 14 261 @Dartmouth L 69-70 46%    
  Fri, Feb 20 247 Princeton W 66-62 64%    
  Fri, Feb 27 140 @Columbia L 65-73 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 150 @Cornell L 72-79 26%    
  Fri, Mar 6 240 Penn W 72-68 63%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 3.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.8 6.0 2.5 0.4 13.0 3rd
4th 0.3 4.5 8.2 2.7 0.2 16.0 4th
5th 0.4 4.3 8.8 3.0 0.2 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.4 8.6 3.1 0.1 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.3 7.7 3.0 0.1 15.9 7th
8th 0.3 1.5 3.9 3.9 1.6 0.1 11.4 8th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.7 8.7 14.0 16.3 16.8 15.4 10.9 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 81.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
11-3 59.3% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.0
10-4 22.5% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 5.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.3% 29.4% 29.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 1.2% 18.1% 18.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
10-4 3.2% 13.4% 13.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.7
9-5 6.6% 10.2% 10.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 5.9
8-6 10.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.8
7-7 15.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.7
6-8 16.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.7
5-9 16.3% 16.3
4-10 14.0% 14.0
3-11 8.7% 8.7
2-12 4.7% 4.7
1-13 1.5% 1.5
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%