Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#159
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#173
Pace64.2#306
Improvement+3.5#22

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#170
First Shot-1.5#216
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#104
Layup/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#65
Freethrows-1.4#263
Improvement+0.9#109

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#172
First Shot+3.0#88
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#348
Layups/Dunks-3.3#304
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#16
Freethrows+1.3#90
Improvement+2.6#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 17.0% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.9 13.7
.500 or above 82.2% 96.4% 81.8%
.500 or above in Conference 68.9% 81.7% 68.6%
Conference Champion 12.9% 20.9% 12.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.2% 4.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round10.9% 17.0% 10.7%
Second Round0.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 49 - 415 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 296   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 65%     0 - 1 -4.9 -3.5 -1.4
  Nov 10, 2024 217   Maine L 67-69 71%     0 - 2 -7.6 -4.7 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 356   New Hampshire W 76-58 92%     1 - 2 +2.0 +1.6 +1.2
  Nov 16, 2024 324   Holy Cross L 65-73 87%     1 - 3 -20.3 -11.5 -9.3
  Nov 17, 2024 292   Sacred Heart W 89-70 82%     2 - 3 +9.2 +15.9 -5.7
  Nov 23, 2024 350   @ Canisius W 83-76 81%     3 - 3 -2.3 +14.1 -15.5
  Nov 27, 2024 306   Stony Brook W 77-54 85%     4 - 3 +11.9 +3.0 +10.3
  Dec 03, 2024 182   @ Vermont W 60-53 43%     5 - 3 +8.8 +5.6 +4.9
  Dec 06, 2024 172   @ Bryant W 76-75 41%     6 - 3 +3.2 +2.3 +0.9
  Dec 10, 2024 98   Rhode Island W 84-80 2OT 41%     7 - 3 +6.3 -3.7 +9.2
  Dec 22, 2024 10   @ Kansas L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 31, 2024 9   @ Kentucky L 67-87 3%    
  Jan 11, 2025 104   @ Yale L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 234   Harvard W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 20, 2025 120   @ Cornell L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 311   Dartmouth W 76-65 85%    
  Jan 31, 2025 287   @ Penn W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 117   @ Princeton L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 176   @ Columbia L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 14, 2025 117   Princeton W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 287   Penn W 74-64 81%    
  Feb 21, 2025 176   Columbia W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 120   Cornell W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 28, 2025 234   @ Harvard W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 311   @ Dartmouth W 73-68 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 104   Yale L 71-72 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 3.6 4.6 2.7 0.8 0.1 12.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 6.5 5.8 1.7 0.1 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 8.2 6.6 1.2 0.0 18.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.6 8.5 6.3 1.0 0.0 18.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 7.5 5.0 0.6 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 1.3 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.2 9.0 13.5 16.2 17.0 15.1 10.6 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
12-2 95.6% 2.7    2.2 0.4 0.0
11-3 73.0% 4.6    2.6 1.8 0.2 0.0
10-4 33.7% 3.6    0.9 1.7 0.8 0.1
9-5 7.0% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.9% 12.9 6.7 4.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 43.8% 43.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.8% 41.0% 41.0% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
12-2 2.8% 33.4% 33.4% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.9
11-3 6.3% 26.8% 26.8% 13.2 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 4.6
10-4 10.6% 21.6% 21.6% 13.4 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.3
9-5 15.1% 17.6% 17.6% 13.8 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 12.4
8-6 17.0% 13.0% 13.0% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.0 14.8
7-7 16.2% 4.0% 4.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 15.5
6-8 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-9 9.0% 9.0
4-10 5.2% 5.2
3-11 2.3% 2.3
2-12 0.8% 0.8
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 1.0 3.8 4.1 1.8 0.1 89.1 0.0%