Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.6 #264
Expected Predictive Rating -8.3 #302
Pace 65.5 #275
Improvement +0.4 #162

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #335 D- D+ F F B-
Defense #128 B- C- C C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #87 1.06 #291 +0.0 #173
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #222 0.58 #350 -2.6 #305
Three Pointers 40% #202 0.93 #278 -2.2 #265
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #310 -4.7 #311
Freethrows 13.0 #346 73% #196 9.5 #343
Second Chance 27.3% #275 1.01 #232 0.28 #269
Turnovers 19.7% #342
Total Offense -6.8 #335

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #121 1.12 #124 -0.5 #193
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #138 0.81 #270 -1.0 #263
Three Pointers 38% #274 0.92 #71 +3.5 #55
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #119 +2.0 #121
Freethrows 16.4 #136 72% #129 11.7 #124
Second Chance 32.6% #260 1.03 #164 0.33 #225
Turnovers 16.3% #192
Total Defense +1.2 #128

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #110 0.1% #170
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.2% #332 -4.1% #100
Possession Length 17.6 #204 17.6 #229
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #261 0.20 #261
Improvement +0.2 #166 +0.3 #171

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 1.0% 2.6% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 22.7% 5.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 57.8% 35.8% 67.6%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Away) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 72 - 10
Quad 47 - 78 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 169 Siena L 46 - 62 44% -12  0 - 1 -20 -26 F F F +5 A+ C+ A
 Sun, Nov 9 204 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 51% +3  0 - 2 -11 -5 C F F -5 A+ F D-
 Wed, Nov 12 285 @Boston University L 77 - 90 44% -14  0 - 3 -17 +6 F A+ D- -24 F F B
 Fri, Nov 14 230 Hampton L 63 - 72 55% -4  0 - 4 -16 -5 A C+ F -12 B- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 320 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 76% +12  1 - 4 +6 -1 C- A+ F +10 B+ A A-
 Thu, Nov 20 242 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 34% -9  1 - 5 -11 -1 C+ B F -11 D F F
 Sun, Nov 23 341 @Maine W 58 - 53 61% +8  2 - 5 -4 -10 F C+ F +6 D- A A+
 Wed, Nov 26 323 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 55% +5  3 - 5 +5 -11 C F F +16 A+ B- B+
 Tue, Dec 2 122 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 15% -4  3 - 6 -4 -8 F C- C- +3 A+ D C
 Fri, Dec 5 343 Bryant W 75 - 56 80% +12  4 - 6 +4 -0 C D+ C +5 C A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 9 65 @Providence L 79 - 86 6% -6  4 - 7 +4 +1 D C- B+ +4 B+ A A
 Mon, Jan 5 83 Yale L 53 - 70 18% -3  4 - 8 0 - 1 -13 -22 F F F +9 A- B- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 182 @Penn L 73 - 81 25% -1  4 - 9 0 - 2 -6 +2 C- C+ D+ -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 180 Columbia W 86 - 80 OT 45% -1  5 - 9 1 - 2 +2 +6 B+ D C -5 A+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 187 Cornell L 67 - 89 47% -13  5 - 10 1 - 3 -27 -15 D- F F -12 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 214 @Princeton L 63 - 68 31%
 Fri, Jan 30 168 Harvard L 64 - 66 44%
 Sat, Jan 31 221 Dartmouth W 72 - 71 53%
 Fri, Feb 6 83 @Yale L 63 - 79 7%
 Fri, Feb 13 168 @Harvard L 61 - 69 24%
 Sat, Feb 14 221 @Dartmouth L 69 - 74 32%
 Fri, Feb 20 214 Princeton W 66 - 65 53%
 Fri, Feb 27 180 @Columbia L 66 - 73 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 187 @Cornell L 76 - 83 27%
 Fri, Mar 6 182 Penn L 70 - 71 46%
Totals 8 - 17 4 - 10 -6 -7 D- D+ F +1 B- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.1 1.2 0.1 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 3.2 3.2 0.1 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.9 7.4 0.6 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 9.2 2.9 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 10.9 8.6 0.2 22.5 7th
8th 2.5 9.5 15.8 11.1 1.2 40.0 8th
Total 2.5 9.8 18.3 23.5 20.9 14.1 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-5 16.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
9-5 0.7% 15.9% 15.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
8-6 2.7% 6.7% 6.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
7-7 7.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.1
6-8 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.0
5-9 20.9% 20.9
4-10 23.5% 23.5
3-11 18.3% 18.3
2-12 9.8% 9.8
1-13 2.5% 2.5
0-14
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.5%