Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.8 85
Results Rating +8.7 66
Pace 64.3 296
Improvement -2.8 287

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 39 B+ B+ B B C+
Defense C- 207 C- C+ D B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 87 C 57% 192 +1.7 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 174 B+ 45% 30 +1.3 106
Three Pointers 38% 246 A 41% 3 +2.4 96
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 153 B+ +4.9 38
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 42
Second Chance B- 33.2% 95 A 1.22 14 B+ 0.40 33
Turnovers B 14.9% 68
Freethrows B- 0.33 116 B+ 77% 26 B 0.25 62
Total Offense B+ +8.0 39

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 131 C 10.7% 161
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 168 C- 6.3% 265
Three Pointers B- 89% 72 B- 0.6% 108
Total C+ 58% 122 C- 6.0% 225

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 C- 59% 213 -0.9 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 183 C- 40% 263 +0.4 221
Three Pointers 43% 103 C 34% 200 +1.4 250
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 142 C- +1.0 220
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 208
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 129 C 1.04 206 C+ 0.30 157
Turnovers D 14.7% 306
Freethrows B 0.27 63 C+ 72% 136 B 0.19 65
Total Defense C- -1.2 207

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 24 D+ 8.7% 267
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 86 D 2.2% 325
Three Pointers B- 81% 95 D 0.2% 332
Total B 49% 55 D 3.7% 324

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 249 17.9 274
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 330 0.15 118
Improvement -3.8 #338 +1.0 #128

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 100 86 68
Results Rating Rank 90 74 50
Conference Record 10 - 4 11 - 3 12 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 12 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60% 62% 55%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.9 12.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 97% 100% 92%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round60% 62% 55%
Second Round8% 9% 7%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 02 - 1
Quad 312 - 313 - 4
Quad 410 - 123 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 154 @Navy W 97 - 68 64% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +18 A A+ A A+ +12 C A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 192 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 71% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +38 A+ +23 A+ A+ C- A+ +14 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 214 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 88% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +1 A+ +16 A+ B C F -15 F F+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 124 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 75% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -9 B+ +8 C- A+ B- F -18 F D D
 Fri, Nov 21 225 Green Bay W 73 - 67 84% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +2 C+ +2 C+ C+ C- C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 149 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 73% +9  99% 5 - 1 B+ +11 B +6 A D+ B- B+ +6 B A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 79 Akron W 97 - 94 47% +6  91% 6 - 1 B +11 A+ +28 A+ A- A+ F -18 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 229 @Vermont W 77 - 74 77% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 C C+ A+ F+ -8 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 109 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 72% +4  58% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +13 D A+ A+ B- +3 A A F
 Wed, Dec 10 316 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +2 B+ +8 B- D C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 18 @Alabama L 78 - 102 9% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 C A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 267 @Brown W 70 - 53 82% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +14 D+ -2 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 254 @Princeton L 60 - 76 80% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F -18 F -13 F B B- D- -7 F D C+
 Sat, Jan 17 171 Cornell W 102 - 68 84% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +17 A+ A A+ A+ +13 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 203 Columbia W 91 - 74 87% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +20 A+ A+ C+ D- -7 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 169 @Penn W 77 - 60 66% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +19 B+ +8 C+ B D- A+ +13 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 250 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 91% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +7 A +12 A+ C+ D+ D+ -3 C- A- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 146 Harvard L 65 - 67 81% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D A+ D- -8 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 267 Brown W 81 - 69 92% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C+ +3 A- +11 A+ F C+ D- -7 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 202 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 72% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C A+ D+ D -6 D- D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 250 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 80% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +11 A- +10 A C- A B- +2 B- F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 146 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 62% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +9 D A+ C+ D+ -4 C C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 169 Penn W 74 - 70 83% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C +0 C+ +2 F+ B+ B- C -1 C- A D-
 Fri, Feb 27 171 @Cornell W 89 - 85 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 203 @Columbia W 79 - 73 72%
 Sat, Mar 7 254 Princeton W 80 - 65 92%
Totals 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7 B+ +8 C+ B+ C+ C- -1 A B+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C B+ A B+ 42% 38% 38% C+ B+ B- A B+ B B- B+ B C- C- C- C C- 36% 20% 43% C C- C+ C C+ D B C+ B
1.20 57% 45% 41% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .40 15% .33 77% .25 1.10 59% 40% 34% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.0 .30 15% .27 72% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C- D A+ A 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C A+ D- A- A+ F C- F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D A- C- A+ F A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C B D B+ C A+ A A- A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- C- A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C- A+ A- C B C A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ C+ F+ C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B+ D+ A- D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C- A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C+ D D C D+ C-
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A C+ C- C+ C C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B- A+ F F F D- F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C A C- C- D+ B- A F B B+ C+ A A B+ 42% 17% 42% D- B C A+ A+ D- F A D+
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ B+ B+ A- A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C F C- F F C+ A A+ A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont A- B- B D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C D+ A+ C+ A+ B B B+ F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F A C B- F D F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D 35% 27% 38% D D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B A C A+ A F C+ F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B+ B- F B C+ 60% 10% 31% A B- B- F D C+ A+ C+ A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F D- A+ A-
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B C A A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F B- D D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A B- A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C+ 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A+ B- F+ B- F D A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C- A+ C+ A+ B+ D+ A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- B B B- D F F+ D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% B- F D- C D C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ F+ D- F+ A+ A- A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B C B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A- A+ C+ B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B+ C+ A D+ B D- B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A- B A- C C A B
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D+ D+ C+ F+ C- C- 33% 16% 51% C C- D A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard C+ F A+ A+ C+ 48% 13% 40% B C+ D+ D D A+ D- A D+ D- D- C+ F F+ 36% 26% 38% A- D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D- C- A+ F C F A F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9		 Howard A C+ C- D- C 49% 13% 38% B- C A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ D A+ F F D- 47% 16% 37% D+ D- A F D+ F B- A- B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Dartmouth A- C+ B+ A+ A 58% 17% 25% B+ A F A+ C- A A F+ B B- D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- B- C+ F F A- A- F B-
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14		 Harvard B+ F F+ A D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D B- A+ A+ C+ A A+ A+ D+ F D A+ C- 37% 28% 35% A- C B D+ C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21		 Penn C+ D+ A+ F D- 27% 29% 44% F F+ C A B+ B- A- A+ A C A- A- F C- 39% 25% 35% D+ C- B+ A A D- A C- A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 10.4 41.6 44.6 97.0 1st
2nd 0.6 2.4 3.1 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 1.0 12.8 41.6 44.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 44.6    44.6
11-3 100.0% 41.6    33.5 8.1
10-4 81.1% 10.4    5.1 5.3
9-5 35.3% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1
8-6
7-7
Total 97.0% 97.0 83.2 13.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 44.6% 63.2% 63.1% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 7.1 19.8 1.2 16.4 0.1%
11-3 41.6% 57.5% 57.5% 0.0% 12.1 1.4 18.1 4.4 0.0 17.7 0.0%
10-4 12.8% 54.2% 54.2% 12.3 0.2 4.6 2.1 0.1 5.9
9-5 1.0% 47.9% 47.9% 12.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 59.5% 59.5% 0.0% 12.0 40.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 28.2% 100.0% 11.8 0.1 25.1 70.4 4.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.9% 0.1% 11.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.5% 0.0% 11.0 0.0