Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#265
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#286
Pace67.3#202
Improvement+6.3#7

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#248
First Shot-2.8#255
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#196
Layup/Dunks-2.3#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#248
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement+1.5#110

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#261
First Shot-2.3#248
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#232
Layups/Dunks+1.6#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#187
Freethrows-2.1#315
Improvement+4.8#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.0% 100.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four46.0% 100.0% 0.0%
First Round24.6% 53.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 42 - 5
Quad 413 - 1314 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 76   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 8%     0 - 1 +3.2 -5.8 +9.2
  Nov 08, 2024 241   Harvard W 85-80 56%     1 - 1 -2.2 +6.2 -8.6
  Nov 12, 2024 299   Rider L 79-90 69%     1 - 2 -21.7 +1.0 -22.8
  Nov 17, 2024 220   Campbell L 66-86 51%     1 - 3 -26.0 -8.6 -17.1
  Nov 19, 2024 204   Quinnipiac L 63-74 48%     1 - 4 -16.2 -6.9 -9.8
  Nov 29, 2024 281   @ Penn W 86-78 43%     2 - 4 +4.0 +8.5 -4.5
  Nov 30, 2024 206   Elon L 63-69 38%     2 - 5 -8.5 -10.6 +1.9
  Dec 01, 2024 223   Maine L 66-71 41%     2 - 6 -8.4 -3.1 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 352   @ NJIT L 64-69 68%     2 - 7 -15.6 -8.4 -7.4
  Dec 15, 2024 134   @ Virginia Tech L 72-80 17%     2 - 8 -3.8 +12.9 -17.9
  Dec 21, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. L 60-68 80%     2 - 9 -22.4 -16.0 -6.3
  Dec 29, 2024 232   @ William & Mary L 76-82 33%     2 - 10 -7.1 -1.2 -5.7
  Jan 02, 2025 249   American W 81-58 57%     3 - 10 1 - 0 +15.4 +12.9 +4.7
  Jan 05, 2025 286   Lafayette W 71-70 66%     4 - 10 2 - 0 -9.0 -0.7 -8.3
  Jan 08, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 59-70 54%     4 - 11 2 - 1 -17.8 -15.6 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2025 309   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-75 52%     4 - 12 2 - 2 -7.1 +7.1 -14.3
  Jan 15, 2025 256   Colgate L 66-73 58%     4 - 13 2 - 3 -14.9 -10.3 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 224   @ Bucknell L 69-73 31%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -4.6 +1.3 -6.2
  Jan 22, 2025 297   Boston University W 62-47 68%     5 - 14 3 - 4 +4.5 -4.7 +11.6
  Jan 26, 2025 323   @ Army W 66-53 55%     6 - 14 4 - 4 +6.0 -3.2 +10.6
  Jan 29, 2025 280   @ Lehigh W 79-54 43%     7 - 14 5 - 4 +21.0 +9.5 +13.0
  Feb 01, 2025 224   Bucknell L 75-85 52%     7 - 15 5 - 5 -16.2 -1.5 -14.5
  Feb 05, 2025 297   @ Boston University L 65-87 47%     7 - 16 5 - 6 -27.0 +0.7 -31.0
  Feb 08, 2025 286   @ Lafayette L 51-61 45%     7 - 17 5 - 7 -14.5 -19.9 +5.1
  Feb 12, 2025 280   Lehigh W 63-60 64%     8 - 17 6 - 7 -6.5 -10.6 +4.3
  Feb 15, 2025 323   Army W 61-54 74%     9 - 17 7 - 7 -5.5 -6.6 +2.4
  Feb 19, 2025 256   @ Colgate L 75-79 37%     9 - 18 7 - 8 -6.4 +3.8 -10.4
  Feb 23, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 83-77 OT 74%     10 - 18 8 - 8 -6.3 -6.4 -0.6
  Feb 26, 2025 249   @ American W 68-60 36%     11 - 18 9 - 8 +5.9 +1.9 +4.8
  Mar 01, 2025 309   Loyola Maryland W 81-68 72%     12 - 18 10 - 8 +1.3 +2.8 -1.4
  Mar 06, 2025 297   @ Boston University W 86-78 47%     13 - 18 +3.0 +18.4 -14.8
  Mar 09, 2025 224   @ Bucknell W 83-77 31%     14 - 18 +5.4 +11.9 -6.4
  Mar 12, 2025 249   @ American L 65-69 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 19 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 46.0% 46.0% 16.0 46.0 54.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 46.0% 46.0% 0.0% 16.0 46.0 54.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 46.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 54.0%