Navy
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +1.2 140
Results Rating +1.9 129
Consistency 0.17 292
Pace 64.2 295
Improvement +7.3 10

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 217 C- C D+ B- C-
Defense B- 92 B- C+ C+ B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 167 C- 56% 234 -0.6 203
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 112 C+ 39% 127 +2.0 79
Three Pointers 36% 280 C 34% 187 -2.5 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 257 C -0.6 193
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 211
Second Chance C 30.5% 178 C+ 1.05 143 C 0.32 152
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 280
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 264
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 285
Freethrows B- 0.34 75 C+ 73% 167 B- 0.25 80
Total Offense C- -1.7 217

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 60% 30 C- 11.8% 233
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 59% 1 C- 6.1% 261
Three Pointers B 89% 70 D- 1.7% 333
Total A- 68% 10 D 6.7% 304


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 344 D+ 62% 285 -3.3 72
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 73 C+ 38% 151 +1.1 279
Three Pointers 45% 58 B+ 30% 35 -0.4 165
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 40 C+ -1.6 116
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 93
Second Chance C 30.6% 199 B- 0.96 76 C+ 0.29 134
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 101
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 217
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 131
Freethrows B 0.25 39 D+ 74% 300 B 0.19 62
Total Defense B- +2.9 92

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 275 C- 10.3% 201
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 155 C 5.1% 154
Three Pointers C- 85% 224 C 1.0% 126
Total C- 57% 223 C- 4.9% 234

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 272 17.6 240
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 227 0.14 83
Consistency 0.12 175 0.12 188
Improvement +4.4 20 +2.9 52

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 155 143 129
Results Rating Rank 161 122 115
Conference Record 17 - 1 17 - 1 17 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 15 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53% 59% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round53% 59% 0%
Second Round2% 2% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 11 - 4
Quad 424 - 225 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 271 @Presbyterian W 76 - 55 66% +16  88% 1 - 0 A +18 B +7 B- C+ B+ A+ +13 B+ A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 7 88 Yale L 68 - 97 41% -14  17% 1 - 1 F -26 F -14 D+ D- F F+ -9 C- F D
 Tue, Nov 11 110 @Penn St. L 71 - 80 30% -6  6% 1 - 2 C- -2 D+ -2 D C+ F C -0 A F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 26 @North Carolina L 61 - 73 6% -10  0% 1 - 3 B- +6 D- -7 F D+ A+ A+ +13 B A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 331 NJIT W 86 - 70 92% +10  92% 2 - 3 C +1 B +7 B+ D+ B- D -5 A- F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 362 Gardner-Webb W 84 - 51 95% +16  96% 3 - 3 A- +15 B- +4 D+ A+ F A+ +12 A- B- A
 Fri, Nov 28 106 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 87 28% -21  0% 3 - 4 F -23 F -11 F F+ D+ F -15 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 289 SE Louisiana L 65 - 69 79% -7  21% 3 - 5 D -11 D -6 F D C+ D -6 F D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 361 @Delaware St. W 66 - 59 93% +9  98% 4 - 5 D -8 F -13 F B+ F B +5 B+ D+ F
 Sun, Dec 7 344 Air Force W 61 - 56 93% -0  39% 5 - 5 D -11 F -14 F F B B +4 A C+ F+
 Fri, Dec 19 363 Coppin St. W 88 - 55 97% +12  94% 6 - 5 B+ +12 B+ +8 C- A+ D+ B +5 C+ A D+
 Wed, Dec 31 256 Boston University W 82 - 77 81% +5  88% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C- -3 C+ +2 B+ D- C- D+ -5 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 328 @Holy Cross W 65 - 58 81% +6  92% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 D -5 D F D- B+ +5 A+ F B+
 Wed, Jan 7 330 Bucknell W 76 - 55 92% +7  59% 9 - 5 3 - 0 B- +7 C +1 C- A- F+ A- +7 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 324 Lafayette W 76 - 50 91% +20  97% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B+ +12 C- -2 B C- C- A+ +16 A A+ A
 Mon, Jan 12 255 @American L 51 - 65 63% -11  0% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -16 F -19 F F+ F C+ +1 B- B F
 Sat, Jan 17 294 @Lehigh W 82 - 79 2OT 72% -0  36% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 D- A- F C+ +1 B+ B F
 Wed, Jan 21 328 Holy Cross W 85 - 68 91% +6  85% 12 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +3 B+ +8 C+ A A- D+ -4 D- F A-
 Sat, Jan 24 340 Army W 84 - 56 93% +12  92% 13 - 6 7 - 1 B+ +13 A- +10 A+ A+ F B+ +6 C- A+ B
 Wed, Jan 28 256 @Boston University W 58 - 50 63% -2  34% 14 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 D- -8 C+ F F A+ +16 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 314 Loyola Maryland W 87 - 71 89% +8  87% 15 - 6 9 - 1 C+ +3 A- +11 A+ A+ D- D -6 D C B-
 Wed, Feb 4 324 @Lafayette W 65 - 50 80% +4  82% 16 - 6 10 - 1 B- +7 D- -7 F+ D- C A+ +16 C+ A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 255 American W 82 - 73 81% +3  73% 17 - 6 11 - 1 C +1 A- +10 A- C+ A F+ -9 D C- B
 Mon, Feb 9 330 @Bucknell W 76 - 60 82% +9  87% 18 - 6 12 - 1 B- +8 C- -1 F+ A+ D+ A- +8 A- B F+
 Sat, Feb 14 252 @Colgate W 84 - 80 OT 63% +5  81% 19 - 6 13 - 1 C+ +2 B- +5 B+ F+ C+ C- -3 D D- C+
 Wed, Feb 18 294 Lehigh W 72 - 49 87% +11  96% 20 - 6 14 - 1 B+ +12 D+ -3 C+ F C A+ +17 A+ A- C
 Sat, Feb 21 340 @Army W 81 - 63 84% +11  91% 21 - 6 15 - 1 B +9 B+ +8 D- A+ D B- +2 C- B- C+
 Wed, Feb 25 314 @Loyola Maryland W 78 - 51 77% +14  84% 22 - 6 16 - 1 A +20 A- +10 A+ D+ C- A+ +14 A+ B C-
 Sat, Feb 28 252 Colgate W 85 - 69 81% +9  98% 23 - 6 17 - 1 B- +8 B+ +9 A- A C- C -0 B- C- A
 Thu, Mar 5 330 Bucknell W 75 - 59 92%
Totals 24 - 6 17 - 1 +1 C- -2 A C C- B- +3 C C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C+ C C 39% 43% 36% C- C- C C+ C D+ B- C+ B- B- D+ C+ B+ C+ 31% 24% 45% B+ B- C B- C+ C+ B D+ B
1.06 56% 39% 34% -1 -1 1.00 31% 1.1 .32 18% .34 73% .25 1.05 62% 38% 30% -2 -1 0.97 31% 1.0 .29 18% .25 74% .25
Nov
3		 Presbyterian B B F C+ C+ 54% 15% 30% B B- C+ C C+ B+ A+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A 36% 18% 45% D B+ B- A+ A+ A- F B+ F+
1.18 64% 29% 36% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 12% .43 67% .28 0.85 75% 25% 15% -9 0 0.84 29% 0.5 .15 23% .45 64% .28
Nov
7		 Yale F A+ F+ F C- 41% 30% 30% D+ D+ F B D- F A+ B A+ F+ C A- F C- 39% 16% 45% C- C- D+ F F D D+ F+ D-
0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37 1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29
Nov
11		 Penn St. D+ C+ C D- D+ 41% 27% 33% D+ D C- A C+ F B A+ A+ C C- B A A- 36% 30% 34% A+ A D- F F D+ B- D+ C+
1.03 60% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.4 .38 23% .27 93% .25 1.17 63% 38% 28% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.5 .52 13% .30 78% .23
Nov
18		 North Carolina D- F F C F 42% 28% 30% B- F C+ F D+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ F F A 53% 6% 40% F B A A+ A+ A+ D+ F F+
0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20 1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30
Nov
22		 NJIT B D A+ A+ B+ 48% 25% 27% C- B+ C- D+ D+ B- A+ C+ A+ D A+ C- B B+ 21% 34% 45% A+ A- D- F F D- F B- F
1.25 52% 50% 46% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.0 .32 13% .55 73% .40 1.02 27% 39% 29% -9 -3 0.77 31% 1.1 .33 15% .43 68% .29
Nov
26		 Gardner-Webb B- B D+ B C- 28% 26% 46% F D+ A- A+ A+ F B+ A+ A A+ D F A+ A- 27% 23% 50% A+ A- B C- B- A B- F C
1.26 69% 33% 38% +5 -1 1.09 43% 1.6 .70 21% .34 83% .29 0.77 62% 45% 17% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 24% .24 75% .18
Nov
28		 UNC Wilmington F F F+ F F 39% 19% 43% B+ F B F F+ D+ D- A+ C- F C- F F F 26% 35% 39% A F F F F A+ C+ F C-
0.87 48% 30% 22% -13 0 0.76 32% 0.6 .18 15% .20 91% .18 1.34 58% 56% 44% +13 -3 1.22 57% 1.4 .79 23% .34 76% .26
Nov
29		 SE Louisiana D C+ F F F 43% 29% 29% C- F F+ B+ D C+ A+ F+ A+ D F D+ F F 26% 42% 33% A+ F B- F D+ A+ C F D
1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36 1.07 73% 39% 57% +15 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25
Dec
3		 Delaware St. F F A+ F F 45% 16% 39% C F C- A+ B+ F A+ D A+ B C- A+ A+ B 28% 40% 32% B+ B+ A- F D+ F C- B+ C
0.93 53% 50% 20% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.6 .47 25% .60 69% .41 0.83 53% 24% 24% -12 -3 0.72 19% 1.1 .21 11% .30 63% .19
Dec
7		 Air Force F F F C+ F 42% 29% 29% C- F F D+ F B D A+ B B B- D- A+ A- 27% 21% 52% A A A- F C+ F+ B- A- B
0.96 50% 29% 36% -5 -1 0.90 18% 1.0 .18 13% .27 93% .25 0.88 54% 40% 24% -9 -1 0.83 17% 1.3 .22 17% .27 57% .15
Dec
19		 Coppin St. B+ C- A B C 33% 22% 46% D C- A B- A+ D+ A+ A A+ B D D+ A+ C- 21% 44% 35% A+ C+ B- A+ A D+ B D- C+
1.31 60% 50% 38% +6 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .57 18% .53 83% .44 0.82 60% 38% 24% -5 -4 0.83 26% 0.6 .16 21% .28 73% .21
Dec
31		 Boston University C+ B- C+ A+ A- 30% 20% 50% D+ B+ C- F D- C- A+ C A+ D+ C- F B+ C- 27% 34% 39% A+ C+ A+ F B+ F A F B
1.22 62% 44% 45% +11 -1 1.23 29% 0.8 .24 13% .51 73% .38 1.14 60% 58% 32% +6 -3 1.09 13% 1.5 .19 12% .20 83% .17
Jan
3		 Holy Cross D C+ F F F+ 64% 16% 20% A D C F F D- A A+ A+ B+ A+ B B A+ 28% 30% 43% B- A+ F F F B+ C- D+ C-
1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29 0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22
Jan
7		 Bucknell C B- F A+ C 37% 24% 39% C- C- B- A A- F+ B- B B A- D A+ A B+ 27% 17% 56% B- B+ A A+ A+ C C D+ C
1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27 0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21
Jan
10		 Lafayette C- B+ A+ B- B+ 33% 26% 41% D+ B F A+ C- C- A+ F B- A+ D A+ B+ A- 27% 23% 50% A+ A A- A+ A+ A D B+ C-
1.14 67% 50% 37% +8 -1 1.15 21% 1.6 .32 15% .47 48% .23 0.75 62% 9% 29% -9 -1 0.81 19% 0.3 .05 21% .32 65% .21
Jan
12		 American F F D- F F 38% 23% 40% D+ F D- F F+ F A+ C- A+ C+ F F A+ B+ 35% 6% 59% D B- F A+ B F A+ D+ A
0.82 47% 33% 19% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .19 22% .50 71% .35 1.04 68% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 37% 0.5 .17 11% .16 78% .13
Jan
17		 Lehigh D+ F A A+ F+ 49% 19% 32% B- D- A C A- F B- D+ C+ C+ F F A+ B- 22% 35% 43% A+ B+ A D B F B F C+
1.06 31% 50% 47% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.0 .45 21% .33 70% .23 1.03 71% 48% 21% -2 -3 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 10% .23 81% .19
Jan
21		 Holy Cross B+ B+ A D B- 40% 26% 34% D+ C+ F A+ A A- A+ B A+ D+ F D+ B- F 25% 42% 33% A+ D- F F F A- B F+ B-
1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35 1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19
Jan
24		 Army A- C- A+ A+ A+ 24% 33% 43% F A+ A+ A A+ F B C+ B B+ D F B- D- 17% 20% 63% A+ C- A- A+ A+ B C A+ B
1.33 60% 50% 56% +18 -3 1.33 43% 1.4 .61 21% .40 75% .30 0.89 63% 44% 31% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 21% .24 58% .14
Jan
28		 Boston University D- C- A+ D+ C+ 44% 22% 33% C C+ D+ F F F F A+ F A+ A C A A+ 44% 13% 44% D- A+ F A+ C- A+ A- B+ A-
1.03 55% 70% 33% +5 0 1.13 27% 0.7 .19 20% .04 100% .04 0.89 47% 40% 29% -8 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .27 25% .21 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Loyola Maryland A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 35% 24% F+ A+ A+ A A+ D- F F F D C+ B F F 22% 20% 59% A+ D D- A- C B- A- F C+
1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09 1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17
Feb
4		 Lafayette D- C+ B+ F D- 41% 39% 20% F+ F+ D D- D- C D B- D+ A+ D- F A+ B- 36% 6% 57% D C+ A- A+ A+ A- A+ F A
1.02 62% 45% 10% -3 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 14% .24 77% .18 0.79 65% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 18% 0.0 .00 20% .12 100% .12
Feb
7		 American A- C A+ A+ A 45% 25% 30% C- A- C- B C+ A A+ D+ A+ F+ F F+ C F+ 21% 17% 62% A D F A- C- B B+ A+ A
1.27 60% 55% 46% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 14% .52 69% .36 1.13 73% 44% 34% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 19% .21 64% .13
Feb
9		 Bucknell C- D B- F D- 38% 33% 29% D- F+ B+ A+ A+ D+ C B C+ A- F A+ A+ A 35% 11% 55% D+ A- A- D+ B F+ A+ F A
1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25 0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14
Feb
14		 Colgate B- B B A- A- 38% 23% 38% D+ B+ F+ D- F+ C+ A+ D+ A+ C- A- A- F D 37% 20% 43% D D B- F D- C+ F A F
1.17 65% 42% 40% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.9 .21 14% .47 69% .32 1.12 47% 33% 50% +5 0 1.13 24% 1.4 .32 17% .44 65% .29
Feb
18		 Lehigh D+ D A B+ C+ 45% 20% 35% C+ C+ C F F C F+ A+ D+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% B+ A+ D A+ A- C A F+ B+
1.12 52% 50% 39% +2 +1 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 16% .24 85% .20 0.76 59% 25% 19% -11 -2 0.76 26% 0.4 .10 19% .19 80% .15
Feb
21		 Army B+ F C+ B+ D 38% 27% 35% D D- A- A A+ D A+ A- A+ B- F A+ B+ D+ 26% 7% 67% C C- B B- B- C+ F D- F
1.26 50% 40% 38% 0 -1 1.00 40% 1.4 .56 17% .75 80% .60 0.98 75% 0% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 19% .33 76% .25
Feb
25		 Loyola Maryland A- A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 30% 39% F+ A+ C- D+ D+ C- C- F D+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 30% 11% 59% C+ A+ D+ A+ B C- C- A+ B
1.28 86% 43% 44% +16 -2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 15% .29 67% .19 0.84 57% 0% 22% -15 +1 0.74 30% 0.7 .20 16% .28 57% .16
Feb
28		 Colgate B+ A+ F A+ A 29% 24% 47% D- A- A- B+ A C- A+ F+ A C B- B D C+ 25% 27% 47% B+ B- D- B- C- A B F C+
1.28 77% 27% 43% +9 -1 1.18 39% 1.1 .44 15% .46 65% .30 1.04 54% 36% 38% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .29 21% .23 83% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 53.1% 53.1% 14.0 0.5 10.0 32.1 10.4 0.1 46.9
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 53.1% 53.1% 0.0% 14.0 46.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 53.1% 100.0% 14.0 0.9 18.9 60.5 19.5 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 23.2%
Lose Out 10.3%