Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#313
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#254
Pace66.6#243
Improvement-0.3#200

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#325
First Shot-3.8#294
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#273
Layup/Dunks+0.0#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
Freethrows-2.2#300
Improvement+0.2#156

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#278
First Shot-4.3#313
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#90
Layups/Dunks-4.9#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
Freethrows-1.4#281
Improvement-0.5#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.0% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 24.5% 33.9% 14.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.2% 38.4% 27.9%
Conference Champion 4.2% 5.3% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.2% 21.8% 30.8%
First Four2.8% 3.1% 2.4%
First Round2.6% 3.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 50.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 412 - 1113 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 177   Columbia L 78-81 33%     0 - 1 -6.9 -5.7 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 352   @ NJIT W 68-50 54%     1 - 1 +8.5 -0.1 +10.3
  Nov 16, 2024 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 4%     1 - 2 -13.5 -8.6 -4.3
  Nov 19, 2024 152   @ Boston College L 61-82 14%     1 - 3 -17.7 -5.5 -13.7
  Nov 26, 2024 347   VMI W 70-67 74%     2 - 3 -12.2 -5.0 -7.0
  Dec 02, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 74%     3 - 3 -4.2 +2.2 -4.6
  Dec 07, 2024 326   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 42%     3 - 4 -9.4 -1.9 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 253   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 27%     4 - 4 +5.9 +2.0 +3.7
  Dec 21, 2024 266   Hampton W 67-66 51%    
  Dec 28, 2024 103   @ DePaul L 62-78 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 310   @ Holy Cross L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 05, 2025 244   Lehigh L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 299   @ Army L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 302   Navy W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 13, 2025 242   American L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 244   @ Lehigh L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 22, 2025 246   Lafayette L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 310   Holy Cross W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 264   @ Bucknell L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 256   Boston University L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 246   @ Lafayette L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 223   @ Colgate L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 12, 2025 299   Army W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 242   @ American L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 19, 2025 256   @ Boston University L 63-69 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 223   Colgate L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 26, 2025 264   Bucknell W 67-66 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 302   @ Navy L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 4.9 1.3 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.5 2.4 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.8 0.3 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.6 5.0 0.7 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.8 4.8 1.1 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.5 5.1 3.4 0.9 0.0 17.5 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.2 7.9 11.0 13.0 13.4 12.6 11.1 8.5 6.0 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 97.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 82.2% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 57.7% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 29.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 6.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 30.4% 30.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 20.3% 20.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 24.5% 24.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
13-5 2.2% 15.0% 15.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.8
12-6 3.9% 12.9% 12.9% 15.9 0.1 0.4 3.4
11-7 6.0% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.4
10-8 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 7.8
9-9 11.1% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.5
8-10 12.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 12.1
7-11 13.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.1
6-12 13.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.9
5-13 11.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.9
4-14 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
3-15 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.2
2-16 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.6 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%