Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#325
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#308
Pace66.8#223
Improvement-2.6#300

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#310
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#305
Layup/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#204
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement-0.5#213

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#314
First Shot-4.4#311
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#226
Layups/Dunks-5.7#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#88
Freethrows-2.5#338
Improvement-2.1#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.2% 5.5% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 10.0% 22.0% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.0% 18.0% 45.6%
First Four1.7% 2.7% 1.4%
First Round1.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 20 - 4
Quad 411 - 1411 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 237   Columbia L 78-81 38%     0 - 1 -9.9 -8.5 -1.2
  Nov 12, 2024 344   @ NJIT W 68-50 48%     1 - 1 +8.7 +0.5 +9.8
  Nov 16, 2024 38   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 2%     1 - 2 -11.6 -8.7 -2.3
  Nov 19, 2024 176   @ Boston College L 61-82 14%     1 - 3 -19.3 -8.1 -12.8
  Nov 26, 2024 304   VMI W 70-67 52%     2 - 3 -7.5 -2.9 -4.4
  Dec 02, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 70%     3 - 3 -4.3 +3.2 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 314   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 36%     3 - 4 -9.3 -1.8 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 260   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 26%     4 - 4 +4.9 +2.2 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2024 287   Hampton L 68-76 48%     4 - 5 -17.4 -6.4 -11.4
  Dec 28, 2024 112   @ DePaul L 65-84 8%     4 - 6 -13.3 -7.0 -5.9
  Jan 02, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 72-74 38%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -8.8 -1.7 -7.2
  Jan 05, 2025 267   Lehigh W 80-74 44%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -2.4 +1.4 -4.0
  Jan 08, 2025 297   @ Army L 72-74 31%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -7.0 +2.8 -9.9
  Jan 11, 2025 263   Navy W 75-74 43%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -7.2 +7.1 -14.2
  Jan 13, 2025 233   American L 54-73 37%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -25.6 -16.4 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2025 267   @ Lehigh W 76-60 27%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +12.5 +9.6 +4.5
  Jan 22, 2025 281   Lafayette L 59-80 47%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -30.2 -11.6 -20.3
  Jan 25, 2025 319   Holy Cross L 65-70 57%     7 - 11 3 - 5 -16.8 -13.3 -3.6
  Jan 29, 2025 251   @ Bucknell L 67-79 25%     7 - 12 3 - 6 -14.8 -1.7 -13.7
  Feb 01, 2025 294   Boston University W 69-67 49%     8 - 12 4 - 6 -7.8 -5.8 -2.0
  Feb 05, 2025 281   @ Lafayette L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 239   @ Colgate L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 297   Army L 71-72 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 233   @ American L 64-72 21%    
  Feb 19, 2025 294   @ Boston University L 63-68 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 239   Colgate L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 251   Bucknell L 69-71 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 263   @ Navy L 67-74 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 0.4 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.7 6.6 1.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.4 6.2 5.9 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.4 5.6 12.2 1.5 19.7 8th
9th 1.0 7.3 15.1 5.8 0.1 29.3 9th
10th 4.3 9.3 5.1 0.3 19.0 10th
Total 5.3 17.0 26.2 25.2 16.3 7.7 1.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 44.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 15.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.4% 18.2% 18.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
10-8 1.8% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
9-9 7.7% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.5 7.2
8-10 16.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 15.8
7-11 25.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.4 24.9
6-12 26.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 26.0
5-13 17.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.9
4-14 5.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.7%