Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.6 314
Results Rating -11.2 335
Consistency 0.16 210
Pace 69.8 139
Improvement +4.1 48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 277 D+ D+ C D B-
Defense D 323 D D- D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 243 C- 56% 228 -2.0 256
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 323 D 33% 325 -3.7 343
Three Pointers 51% 20 D 31% 292 +2.9 80
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 79 D -3.4 299
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 263
Second Chance D+ 26.8% 283 C- 0.99 242 D+ 0.27 279
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 239
Other Turnovers C+ 7.1% 158
Turnovers C 17.0% 200
Freethrows D 0.26 318 C- 71% 232 D 0.19 313
Total Offense D+ -4.0 277

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 33% 351 C- 11.5% 215
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 120 D 7.8% 326
Three Pointers C- 82% 234 C 0.8% 178
Total D+ 52% 260 C 5.6% 194


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 131 F+ 66% 351 +4.4 323
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 138 F+ 44% 345 +1.9 327
Three Pointers 38% 273 B- 32% 91 -2.5 73
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 162 D +3.5 313
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 301
Second Chance C- 31.8% 253 F+ 1.19 356 D- 0.38 327
Turnovers from Steals D 7.9% 301
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 294
Turnovers D 14.3% 322
Freethrows C 0.30 175 D 75% 310 C 0.22 179
Total Defense D -5.6 323

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 245 D+ 8.6% 268
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 287 C 4.9% 168
Three Pointers F+ 91% 353 C+ 1.2% 98
Total C- 58% 229 C- 5.0% 218

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 222 16.6 58
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 309 0.21 303
Consistency 0.11 98 0.14 320
Improvement +0.5 160 +3.7 30

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 322 317 304
Results Rating Rank 341 339 313
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 9% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% 9% 0%
First Round1% 4% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 411 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 167 Towson L 56 - 67 20% -4  32% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -13 F F D C+ +0 C- C+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 331 NJIT L 64 - 66 69% +1  54% 0 - 2 F+ -17 F -14 F B- F C- -2 B F B-
 Sat, Nov 15 335 Stonehill W 74 - 63 59% +3  82% 1 - 2 C -1 C+ +3 B+ C B- D+ -3 F C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 264 @Fairfield L 82 - 85 26% -4  1% 1 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +3 A F D- F+ -9 C- F F
 Wed, Nov 19 120 @Duquesne L 78 - 92 8% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -8 C +1 B D+ B- D- -8 D- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 22 @Kentucky L 46 - 88 1% -26  1% 1 - 5 F -23 F -22 F C- F C -0 C+ C+ D
 Sun, Nov 30 363 Coppin St. W 95 - 84 86% +7  94% 2 - 5 D -10 A- +11 A+ A F F -21 F C F+
 Wed, Dec 3 263 @Hampton L 71 - 93 26% -15  0% 2 - 6 F -25 D- -8 F A+ F F -16 F A D+
 Tue, Dec 9 358 @VMI L 70 - 86 64% -15  0% 2 - 7 F -29 D -6 F B- D+ F -25 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 272 Mount St. Mary's L 73 - 81 48% -5  3% 2 - 8 F+ -17 F+ -8 B F D+ F+ -8 F F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 105 @George Mason L 79 - 86 7% +1  48% 2 - 9 C +0 A- +10 C+ A C+ F -10 B F F
 Wed, Dec 31 255 @American L 69 - 84 24% -10  13% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F+ -17 D+ -4 C+ F+ F F -14 F D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 324 Lafayette L 64 - 79 65% -15  0% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F -29 F -13 F+ F C F -17 F+ F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 340 @Army W 84 - 76 OT 49% +3  74% 3 - 11 1 - 2 C -1 C +0 F+ B- C- C- -2 B- D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 330 @Bucknell L 67 - 70 46% -1  41% 3 - 12 1 - 3 D- -11 F+ -9 C F F C- -3 C F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 252 Colgate L 80 - 86 45% -3  11% 3 - 13 1 - 4 D- -14 D+ -3 C- F+ A+ F -11 C- D- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 256 Boston University W 74 - 57 45% +1  42% 4 - 13 2 - 4 B +9 F+ -10 F A+ C+ A+ +19 A+ A- A
 Mon, Jan 19 294 @Lehigh L 81 - 88 32% +2  62% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D- -12 B +6 A- D- A- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 330 Bucknell W 67 - 62 68% +2  62% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D -9 D- -6 F+ C+ F C- -3 B F F
 Wed, Jan 28 255 American W 77 - 68 45% +8  85% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C +1 D- -6 F B B B+ +6 C A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 140 @Navy L 71 - 87 11% -8  9% 6 - 15 4 - 6 D- -12 B- +5 B C- C- F -18 F F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 294 Lehigh W 89 - 84 2OT 55% +4  58% 7 - 15 5 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 C+ F+ B- D+ -3 C- C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 256 @Boston University L 69 - 78 24% -6  11% 7 - 16 5 - 7 D -11 F -11 C- F C+ C -0 D F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 324 @Lafayette W 68 - 54 42% +9  96% 8 - 16 6 - 7 B- +6 D -6 C F C- A+ +13 A B+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 328 Holy Cross W 83 - 73 66% -0  51% 9 - 16 7 - 7 C- -4 B +7 C+ C+ A+ F -10 D+ C F
 Wed, Feb 18 340 Army L 77 - 87 71% -10  2% 9 - 17 7 - 8 F -25 D -5 D B- C F -20 D+ F F
 Sat, Feb 21 252 @Colgate L 98 - 101 OT 24% -5  0% 9 - 18 7 - 9 D+ -5 C +1 C- F A+ D -6 C- A F
 Wed, Feb 25 140 Navy L 51 - 78 23% -14  14% 9 - 19 7 - 10 F -29 F -15 F D- B- F -18 F C- F+
 Sat, Feb 28 328 @Holy Cross W 76 - 62 44% +14  99% 10 - 19 8 - 10 B- +6 B- +4 F+ B+ A+ B- +3 B+ C- C+
 Thu, Mar 5 252 @Colgate L 73 - 80 24%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -10 D+ -4 F D B- D -6 D C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D D D 36% 24% 51% B- D+ D+ C- D+ C D C- D D F+ F+ B- D 40% 22% 38% C D C- F+ D- D C D C
1.03 56% 33% 31% -3 +1 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 17% .26 71% .19 1.17 66% 44% 32% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.2 .38 14% .30 75% .19
Nov
3		 Towson F C F F F 45% 11% 45% A- F F F F D A+ B- A+ C+ C B- B- C 49% 30% 21% D- C- C+ C C+ C- D F F+
0.86 57% 20% 19% -12 +2 0.81 18% 0.2 .03 17% .46 72% .33 1.03 57% 36% 30% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 15% .33 78% .25
Nov
11		 NJIT F B F+ F F 35% 15% 50% C F B- C+ B- F B- F D+ C- B D A+ B 33% 29% 39% B- B F D- F B- F F F
0.94 65% 29% 21% -9 +1 0.85 38% 1.1 .41 21% .37 60% .22 0.97 50% 43% 21% -9 -1 0.82 36% 1.0 .36 19% .47 81% .38
Nov
15		 Stonehill C+ D+ A+ B B 55% 7% 38% A+ B+ D- A+ C B- F F F D+ F+ F A F 46% 15% 38% D- F D B C A+ A+ F+ A+
1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05 0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06
Nov
16		 Fairfield C+ A+ A+ D- A 49% 13% 38% C+ A F F F D- C- C+ C F+ C- D+ A- C- 44% 25% 32% C- C- C- F F F D A+ C+
1.15 77% 57% 30% +9 +2 1.25 19% 0.8 .15 18% .27 75% .21 1.19 56% 43% 28% -3 0 0.96 35% 1.4 .50 10% .30 58% .17
Nov
19		 Duquesne C B+ F D C+ 49% 8% 43% A+ B F A+ D+ B- C- F D- D- F A+ C- F+ 41% 12% 47% C+ D- F F F A F D- F
1.04 65% 25% 30% 0 +2 1.08 18% 1.3 .24 16% .34 62% .21 1.23 80% 17% 35% +7 +1 1.18 39% 1.4 .55 23% .45 77% .35
Nov
21		 Kentucky F F F F F 25% 21% 54% C F D- A C- F F F F C B C+ F+ C+ 44% 17% 39% D+ C+ F+ A C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.64 43% 25% 20% -18 -1 0.64 19% 1.0 .19 22% .14 38% .05 1.22 57% 36% 40% +3 +1 1.09 43% 0.9 .40 12% .14 44% .06
Nov
30		 Coppin St. A- A A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% A A+ A- B+ A F A- A+ A+ F F F D F 42% 29% 29% C F C C- C F+ F F+ F
1.35 75% 44% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.3 .56 21% .43 88% .38 1.19 65% 57% 36% +9 -1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 18% .54 74% .40
Dec
3		 Hampton D- A+ F F F 25% 20% 55% D- F A- A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F A F F 35% 33% 33% B F C+ A+ A D+ F B F
0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35 1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41
Dec
9		 VMI D F A+ C F 47% 16% 38% B+ F C+ B B- D+ A+ F C+ F D- F F F 35% 13% 52% C- F F F F F C B- C+
1.12 43% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .45 18% .44 52% .23 1.37 61% 71% 41% +11 +1 1.25 32% 1.2 .39 8% .28 69% .19
Dec
13		 Mount St. Mary's F+ D D- A B 32% 11% 58% B B D- F F D+ F+ D F+ F+ F+ F C F 46% 15% 39% C- F F+ F+ F B+ F D F
0.98 50% 33% 39% +2 +1 1.07 23% 0.4 .09 16% .27 71% .19 1.08 67% 57% 33% +6 +1 1.17 36% 1.2 .43 25% .43 71% .31
Dec
21		 George Mason A- F C+ A+ C 37% 15% 48% B+ C+ B+ A+ A C+ B+ A+ A F F+ D- A+ B- 33% 31% 35% A B F+ F F F F F F
1.18 40% 38% 42% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 15% .30 82% .25 1.28 71% 44% 22% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 10% .57 79% .45
Dec
31		 American D+ F A+ A C 38% 10% 52% B C+ B+ F F+ F B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 51% 18% 31% C- F A- F D+ D- A+ A A+
1.03 44% 75% 41% +3 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37 1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
3		 Lafayette F F C D F 39% 15% 46% B F+ F+ F F C F C- F F D F A- F+ 49% 14% 37% D F+ D F F F+ B- A+ A-
0.98 48% 38% 32% -6 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .18 14% .20 73% .14 1.21 63% 57% 28% +1 +2 1.08 28% 2.0 .56 12% .26 53% .14
Jan
7		 Army C D F F+ F 47% 8% 45% A F+ A- D B- C- C+ D C C- D- A A B- 28% 15% 57% B+ B- C+ F D- F B- A+ A
1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26 1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11
Jan
10		 Bucknell F+ C+ F B+ C- 25% 12% 63% B- C C- F F F F B F C- D+ A A C+ 44% 16% 40% D+ C F F F C+ D+ C C-
0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13 1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22
Jan
14		 Colgate D+ B C D+ C- 29% 19% 53% D+ C- D- F F+ A+ B- F+ C F F C D+ D 29% 36% 35% A+ C- B+ F D- F+ F F F
1.11 65% 36% 32% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.8 .20 8% .35 65% .23 1.19 69% 40% 37% +5 -3 1.07 21% 1.6 .33 12% .35 82% .28
Jan
17		 Boston University F+ C- C F F 42% 13% 45% B F D A+ A+ C+ B+ F C A+ A+ A A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ B A+ A- A D+ F F
1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21 0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28
Jan
19		 Lehigh B A- F A A- 35% 10% 56% B A- D- D D- A- D F F+ F F F D+ F 38% 25% 37% C- F B+ F F F F+ F F
1.19 67% 20% 41% +7 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17 1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32
Jan
24		 Bucknell D- A B F D- 18% 28% 55% F F+ D+ A- C+ F A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ A+ A- 43% 10% 47% F+ B C- F F F A- B- A-
1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41 0.98 64% 20% 17% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15
Jan
28		 American D- F B+ F F 39% 22% 39% C- F D A+ B B A A+ A+ B+ A A- F C+ 43% 13% 45% D+ C A+ A+ A+ C C+ C C+
1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39 0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Navy B- D F+ A+ B+ 22% 20% 59% C B C+ D- C- C- F+ A+ D+ F F F F F 41% 35% 24% B+ F F F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17 1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09
Feb
4		 Lehigh D+ B- D- A B- 33% 28% 39% D- C+ C- F F+ B- D A+ C D+ F C- B- D+ 30% 25% 46% B- C- D+ C+ C- D D A+ B
1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22 1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16
Feb
7		 Boston University F A+ F F D+ 37% 7% 56% B+ C- F F F C+ F F F C A- F F D 30% 9% 62% D+ D F C F A+ F+ F+ F
0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11 1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27
Feb
11		 Lafayette D C C+ C C- 37% 9% 54% A- C F F F C- F C F A+ D F A+ A+ 35% 11% 54% C- A C- A+ B+ F B A+ A+
1.04 60% 40% 34% +1 +1 1.07 18% 0.8 .15 15% .14 75% .11 0.82 63% 50% 14% -13 +1 0.78 27% 0.5 .14 6% .24 40% .10
Feb
15		 Holy Cross B F A A+ C 36% 11% 53% B- C+ D A+ C+ A+ C+ B- B- F D+ F A D+ 35% 30% 35% C- D+ B+ F C F C- C C-
1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21 1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22
Feb
18		 Army D B F F F+ 49% 6% 45% A D D- A+ B- C B- B+ B+ F F F+ A+ D 38% 19% 43% B D+ F+ F F F D- F F
1.12 68% 0% 26% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.6 .41 14% .39 78% .31 1.26 75% 40% 22% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.5 .51 10% .31 84% .26
Feb
21		 Colgate C F F B D 46% 6% 49% A C- F+ F F A+ D+ A- C D C- F A C+ 48% 10% 42% F C- A+ C- A F F F F
1.12 48% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.01 22% 0.8 .18 9% .29 78% .23 1.16 59% 83% 28% +1 +2 1.08 14% 1.0 .14 11% .45 89% .40
Feb
25		 Navy F C- F F F 30% 11% 59% A- F C- F D- B- B- F D F F D F F 30% 30% 39% A- F C+ D+ C- F+ B A- A-
0.84 57% 0% 22% -15 +1 0.74 30% 0.7 .20 16% .28 57% .16 1.28 86% 43% 44% +16 -2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 15% .29 67% .19
Feb
28		 Holy Cross B- D- F+ C- F+ 35% 22% 44% D+ F+ B- A- B+ A+ F A+ D B- D B+ A+ B+ 33% 37% 30% B+ B+ F A C- C+ F C- F
1.20 53% 33% 33% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.3 .42 5% .18 91% .17 0.98 60% 35% 21% -6 -3 0.85 31% 0.7 .22 17% .42 77% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 3.1 96.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 96.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.2%
Lose Out 67.2%