NJIT
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 #336
Expected Predictive Rating -7.4 #284
Pace 70.4 #140
Improvement +2.1 #92

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #345 F D- D C D-
Defense #280 C C- F D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #356 0.96 #355 -8.6 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #100 0.72 #222 +1.1 #115
Three Pointers 47% #64 0.91 #304 +0.5 #162
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #349 -7.0 #349
Freethrows 18.1 #145 72% #214 13.0 #156
Second Chance 25.8% #308 0.98 #269 0.25 #314
Turnovers 18.3% #296
Total Offense -7.6 #345

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 1.20 #244 -2.1 #252
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #216 0.68 #61 +1.2 #96
Three Pointers 40% #204 1.03 #207 +0.1 #178
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #201 -0.8 #203
Freethrows 19.9 #309 71% #116 14.2 #294
Second Chance 33.1% #287 1.05 #190 0.35 #252
Turnovers 13.4% #335
Total Defense -3.6 #280

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.4% #321 0.7% #230
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.5% #341 0.8% #197
Possession Length 17.5 #183 16.3 #33
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #298 0.18 #226
Improvement +4.2 #12 -2.2 #304

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.1% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.2% 13.6% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 82.7% 53.9%
Conference Champion 3.3% 7.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.1% 1.7%
First Four4.0% 4.6% 3.8%
First Round1.8% 2.5% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Away) - 28.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 412 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 193 @Fordham W 72 - 61 13% +5  1 - 0 +12 +7 A+ F D- +5 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 274 Fairfield L 53 - 74 42% -6  1 - 1 -30 -30 F F F +1 A F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 324 @Loyola Maryland W 66 - 64 34% -1  2 - 1 -5 -10 F B+ F +5 A- F B+
 Sat, Nov 15 348 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 81 66% +11  3 - 1 -3 +5 A+ C F -9 B- D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 203 @Drexel L 43 - 75 14% -13  3 - 2 -32 -27 F F F -5 C+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 22 194 @Navy L 70 - 86 13% -10  3 - 3 -15 +1 F C B -16 F C F
 Mon, Nov 24 49 @Cincinnati L 80 - 104 2% -16  3 - 4 -10 +5 D+ A+ F -11 F D+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 13 @Louisville L 47 - 104 1% -31  3 - 5 -36 -17 F F B- -20 D- F D
 Fri, Nov 28 198 @Eastern Michigan L 55 - 73 14% -3  3 - 6 -18 -13 F A+ F -5 F C- B+
 Fri, Dec 5 98 @High Point L 72 - 89 5% -12  3 - 7 -9 -3 C F F -4 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 331 New Haven W 70 - 64 59% +4  4 - 7 -8 -3 C F C -4 A+ F F
 Sat, Dec 13 270 Sacred Heart L 49 - 65 42% -4  4 - 8 -25 -25 F F F -1 B+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 59 @Butler L 52 - 101 2% -29  4 - 9 -36 -18 D- F D- -17 F F F
 Wed, Dec 31 182 @Penn L 61 - 80 12% -6  4 - 10 -17 -12 F F F -6 F A- C
 Sat, Jan 3 362 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 56% -1  5 - 10 1 - 0 -5 +4 F A- F -8 F A- B-
 Thu, Jan 8 323 New Hampshire W 80 - 76 57% -1  6 - 10 2 - 0 -9 +2 F A+ B+ -11 F C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 341 Maine L 70 - 74 63% -3  6 - 11 2 - 1 -19 +2 F F A+ -21 F D D+
 Thu, Jan 15 309 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 64 29% +10  7 - 11 3 - 1 +4 -3 F F A +6 A+ B F
 Mon, Jan 19 343 Bryant W 79 - 55 63% +9  8 - 11 4 - 1 +9 +11 A- F C+ +2 A- B- C-
 Thu, Jan 22 275 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 87 23% -14  8 - 12 4 - 2 -16 -2 D D D+ -14 D- D- F
 Thu, Jan 29 305 @Albany L 68 - 74 29%
 Sat, Jan 31 204 @Vermont L 65 - 76 14%
 Thu, Feb 5 309 Umass Lowell W 75 - 74 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 362 Binghamton W 74 - 66 76%
 Thu, Feb 12 323 @New Hampshire L 68 - 72 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 341 @Maine L 63 - 66 40%
 Thu, Feb 19 305 Albany L 71 - 72 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 204 Vermont L 68 - 73 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 343 @Bryant L 67 - 70 40%
 Tue, Mar 3 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72 - 74 43%
Totals 12 - 18 8 - 8 -11 -8 F D- D -4 C C- F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 5.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 8.4 5.8 0.7 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 1.0 8.9 7.8 0.9 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.5 6.7 10.2 1.3 18.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 9.6 2.3 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.3 2.8 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.6 2.5 2.1 0.2 5.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
Total 0.8 4.4 12.4 20.3 23.1 18.9 12.4 5.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 92.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
12-4 64.9% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
11-5 24.5% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0
10-6 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.3% 14.1% 14.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.8% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
11-5 5.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.5 5.2
10-6 12.4% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 11.5
9-7 18.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 1.0 17.9
8-8 23.1% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.9 22.2
7-9 20.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.5 19.8
6-10 12.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.2
5-11 4.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.3
4-12 0.8% 0.8
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 16.0 95.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%