Vermont
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.1 234
Results Rating -3.5 227
Consistency 0.13 90
Pace 63.2 323
Improvement -3.1 297

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 228 C+ D- C+ C- C+
Defense C- 235 C- B- F+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 289 B- 61% 99 -0.9 216
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 293 C+ 40% 122 -1.0 237
Three Pointers 48% 45 C 33% 208 +3.1 76
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 172 C+ +0.9 137
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 137
Second Chance D- 23.7% 340 C- 0.99 247 D- 0.23 336
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 169
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 84
Turnovers C+ 15.8% 121
Freethrows D+ 0.28 260 C+ 73% 172 C- 0.20 236
Total Offense C- -2.1 228

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 38% 327 C 11.0% 174
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 283 B- 3.9% 106
Three Pointers C 85% 175 C+ 0.7% 128
Total D+ 52% 264 B- 4.8% 95


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 265 C- 60% 236 -0.7 150
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 81 B 34% 42 +0.1 206
Three Pointers 40% 202 D- 37% 324 +1.8 275
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 81 D+ +1.8 257
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 221
Second Chance B 26.9% 64 C 1.02 157 B- 0.27 76
Turnovers from Steals F 5.2% 363
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 115
Turnovers F+ 12.9% 354
Freethrows C- 0.32 225 C- 73% 256 C- 0.23 243
Total Defense C- -2.0 235

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 56 C 10.5% 193
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 75 C- 3.9% 225
Three Pointers C 84% 186 D 0.3% 308
Total B- 52% 113 C- 4.8% 235

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 319 17.1 150
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.07 363 0.13 62
Consistency 0.09 14 0.11 58
Improvement -5.9 359 +2.8 56

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 248 231 211
Results Rating Rank 250 232 184
Conference Record 12 - 4 12 - 4 12 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34% 41% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four12% 14% 0%
First Round29% 35% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 50 - 6
Quad 420 - 520 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 282 @Brown W 89 - 84 2OT 48% -3  26% 1 - 0 C +1 C+ +3 D D+ A+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 296 @Northeastern W 85 - 74 53% +0  37% 2 - 0 B- +6 B- +5 A+ F D C+ +1 B- F A
 Tue, Nov 18 212 @Buffalo L 90 - 94 34% -0  40% 2 - 1 C- -4 B+ +8 A D+ B- F -12 F A+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 114 Liberty L 73 - 79 24% -10  1% 2 - 2 C- -3 C- -1 C+ D+ B- C -1 D- B- D+
 Tue, Nov 25 135 Rhode Island L 65 - 80 29% -7  11% 2 - 3 D- -13 C- -1 C- B+ C- F -14 F+ F+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 239 Princeton W 79 - 74 51% +7  69% 3 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 B B C+ D- -7 F+ D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 88 Yale L 74 - 77 24% -3  19% 3 - 4 C +0 B +6 A D D- D- -6 B- A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 160 @Oregon St. L 58 - 80 25% -16  0% 3 - 5 F -19 F+ -9 D+ F C F -13 F A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 270 @Pepperdine W 65 - 56 46% +1  35% 4 - 5 B- +6 D -4 B F D+ A+ +11 B+ A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 14 173 Merrimack W 66 - 59 50% +7  98% 5 - 5 C+ +3 C+ +2 C- F+ A+ B- +2 B D+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 208 Siena W 83 - 69 55% +12  93% 6 - 5 B +9 B- +5 B+ C- A B +4 B+ A- F+
 Sat, Dec 20 241 Iona L 78 - 83 63% -0  41% 6 - 6 D- -12 C+ +3 C D A+ F -15 D F F
 Tue, Dec 30 239 @Princeton L 69 - 75 OT 40% -4  10% 6 - 7 D+ -7 D -5 F+ B D+ C- -3 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 352 @New Hampshire W 80 - 61 74% +9  87% 7 - 7 1 - 0 B +8 B+ +9 B+ C+ B C+ +1 D- C B+
 Thu, Jan 8 357 Binghamton W 60 - 59 91% -1  32% 8 - 7 2 - 0 F -18 F -17 D- F D+ C -1 C A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 346 Maine W 67 - 62 86% -1  30% 9 - 7 3 - 0 D -11 D+ -3 B- F A D- -8 A- C F
 Mon, Jan 19 321 @Albany L 68 - 75 61% -3  36% 9 - 8 3 - 1 D- -14 F -10 C- F F D+ -4 D A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 311 @Umass Lowell W 77 - 68 58% +5  82% 10 - 8 4 - 1 C+ +3 C +2 B F B+ C+ +2 B D B-
 Sat, Jan 24 353 @Bryant W 62 - 52 75% +8  98% 11 - 8 5 - 1 C -1 C +2 D- C- B C+ +1 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 194 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 64 - 55 54% +2  66% 12 - 8 6 - 1 C+ +4 D- -7 C+ F C- A+ +12 A+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 331 NJIT L 77 - 79 84% -9  1% 12 - 9 6 - 2 F+ -17 D+ -3 D- C B+ F -14 F F+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 346 @Maine L 70 - 76 71% -9  3% 12 - 10 6 - 3 F+ -16 C+ +2 C- A F F -19 F C- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 352 New Hampshire W 80 - 57 88% +18  94% 13 - 10 7 - 3 B- +6 C +1 A F D+ B+ +6 B B+ C
 Thu, Feb 12 357 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 80% +2  77% 14 - 10 8 - 3 D+ -5 D -4 C+ F+ D C -0 D- C C-
 Sat, Feb 14 353 Bryant W 90 - 63 88% +15  86% 15 - 10 9 - 3 B +10 A- +11 A+ C- D+ C+ +0 D A- F+
 Thu, Feb 19 194 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 75 31% -10  2% 15 - 11 9 - 4 D- -12 F+ -10 F F B+ C- -3 B D+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 331 @NJIT W 70 - 64 67% -1  54% 16 - 11 10 - 4 C- -3 C -0 B D- C+ C- -2 D+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 311 Umass Lowell W 66 - 64 78% -1  38% 17 - 11 11 - 4 D -10 F -10 F C+ C- C+ +0 B- A F
 Tue, Mar 3 321 Albany W 69 - 56 80% +4  71% 18 - 11 12 - 4 C +0 D+ -4 C- F+ B- B+ +6 C+ B C+
 Sat, Mar 7 353 Bryant W 74 - 61 88%
Totals 19 - 11 12 - 4 -4 C- -2 A+ C+ C+ C- -2 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C+ C C+ 35% 28% 48% C+ C+ D- C- D- C+ D+ C+ C- C- C- B D- D+ 36% 24% 40% B- C- B C B- F+ C- C- C-
1.06 61% 40% 33% +1 0 1.04 24% 1.0 .23 16% .28 73% .20 1.12 60% 34% 37% +2 -1 1.05 27% 1.0 .27 13% .32 73% .21
Nov
9		 Brown C+ D- C+ D D 33% 21% 45% C- D D C+ D+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C- B- C+ F F 44% 15% 42% C- F A- A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.09 50% 43% 30% -4 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .31 86% .27 1.03 52% 33% 42% +2 +1 1.08 22% 0.7 .16 16% .35 54% .19
Nov
15		 Northeastern B- D+ F A+ A 55% 6% 39% A A+ F+ F F D F A+ F C+ B- A+ F B- 46% 27% 27% B B- D F F A F F F
1.22 57% 33% 60% +14 +3 1.37 22% 0.8 .19 19% .21 83% .18 1.06 55% 15% 46% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.4 .42 21% .38 76% .29
Nov
18		 Buffalo B+ B- A A+ A 43% 8% 49% B+ A F A+ D+ B- A A- A+ F F F F F 41% 16% 43% C- F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.23 64% 50% 48% +14 +2 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 16% .36 82% .30 1.29 70% 50% 43% +12 +1 1.29 19% 0.5 .10 12% .58 84% .48
Nov
24		 Liberty C- B- A C B- 34% 20% 46% C- C+ F+ A D+ B- B- C- B- C D- B F D- 50% 6% 44% C- D- A F B- D+ D A+ B
1.08 59% 50% 35% +3 0 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 16% .27 73% .20 1.17 69% 33% 43% +12 +3 1.31 10% 1.3 .14 12% .30 50% .15
Nov
25		 Rhode Island C- B A+ F C- 29% 9% 62% C+ C- D+ A+ B+ C- A+ C- A F F+ A+ C D 52% 5% 43% F F+ F B+ F+ D F B F
1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32 1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49
Nov
26		 Princeton B+ C A+ D- B+ 38% 21% 40% C- B C A+ B C+ F+ C- F+ D- F C+ C F 21% 25% 55% A F+ A F D+ F A+ A+ A+
1.24 60% 73% 29% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .39 13% .23 69% .16 1.16 91% 38% 34% +7 -2 1.13 19% 1.6 .30 8% .20 33% .07
Nov
30		 Yale B A+ A B- A+ 28% 14% 58% C+ A C+ F D D- A+ B+ A+ D- D+ C B B- 44% 25% 31% B- B- A+ D A- F D- C D-
1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33 1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29
Dec
3		 Oregon St. F+ B F C C- 33% 29% 38% F D+ B- F F C F B D- F D- D- F F 22% 22% 56% A F B A+ A- D- A+ F A-
0.93 63% 21% 33% -4 -1 0.92 34% 0.5 .16 14% .24 77% .19 1.29 64% 45% 50% +16 -1 1.32 23% 1.0 .23 14% .24 92% .23
Dec
6		 Pepperdine D B+ F B B- 38% 6% 56% B- B F F F D+ D- F F+ A+ C+ A+ B A- 28% 15% 58% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 67% 0% 37% +3 +2 1.13 23% 0.6 .13 18% .21 64% .14 0.90 55% 17% 30% -7 0 0.88 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 85% .34
Dec
14		 Merrimack C+ A+ A F D+ 38% 19% 43% C C- D- D- F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A F A- A- 48% 11% 41% D B D C D+ C B- D+ C+
1.13 69% 50% 17% -5 0 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 12% .47 83% .39 1.01 43% 60% 28% -9 +2 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 15% .32 81% .26
Dec
17		 Siena B- A+ A F+ B+ 40% 15% 45% B B+ F A+ C- A B A A- B A+ C+ C- B 31% 39% 31% A B+ B- A+ A- F+ A F B+
1.19 76% 50% 29% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 11% .32 80% .26 0.99 44% 39% 33% -4 -3 0.88 27% 0.7 .20 13% .21 85% .18
Dec
20		 Iona C+ A+ D- D- C 32% 22% 46% D+ C F C+ D A+ D F D- F F D- A F 35% 35% 29% A+ D A- F F F F C- F
1.15 74% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .22 64% .14 1.22 78% 44% 27% +6 -2 1.10 19% 2.2 .41 9% .39 71% .27
Dec
30		 Princeton D F+ D- F+ F 46% 12% 42% B+ F+ C+ A B D+ D+ A+ C+ C- F A+ F F 25% 17% 58% B- F A- A+ A+ D+ D+ F F+
1.03 50% 33% 27% -9 +2 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 15% .28 81% .23 1.11 67% 13% 46% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.6 .12 16% .34 84% .28
Jan
3		 New Hampshire B+ B A+ B+ A- 38% 21% 40% C- B+ D+ A C+ B F A+ F C+ A+ D F F+ 32% 21% 47% A- D- B- D- C B+ A- F B-
1.25 65% 55% 38% +9 0 1.19 28% 1.3 .34 12% .16 89% .14 0.95 40% 40% 41% -1 -1 1.00 23% 1.0 .23 22% .20 80% .16
Jan
8		 Binghamton F B- F C F+ 50% 18% 32% C+ D- F F+ F D+ A+ F C+ C A+ F B- D 24% 39% 37% A+ C B A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
0.98 64% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .45 54% .24 0.96 42% 55% 32% +1 -3 0.98 15% 0.0 .00 11% .26 64% .17
Jan
15		 Maine D+ C B+ B- B- 38% 19% 43% C B- F A+ F A D- B- D D- A A+ A A 45% 16% 39% D- A- B+ F C F F F F
1.08 61% 44% 35% +3 0 1.09 14% 1.5 .21 13% .26 71% .19 1.00 45% 25% 26% -12 +1 0.80 13% 1.4 .18 3% .42 72% .30
Jan
19		 Albany F B- F C D+ 41% 14% 45% B- C- F C- F F D C- D D+ C B+ F D- 38% 18% 44% C D A+ B+ A+ F F F F
1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20 1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30
Jan
22		 Umass Lowell C C A+ B B 46% 18% 37% C B F+ F F B+ F A+ F C+ B A+ D C+ 23% 35% 42% A+ B C F D B- B- F D
1.14 58% 60% 38% +6 +1 1.16 24% 0.5 .12 10% .13 88% .12 1.01 50% 28% 36% -4 -3 0.88 31% 1.3 .38 21% .28 80% .22
Jan
24		 Bryant C D+ D C D+ 28% 23% 50% F D- A F C- B A+ B- A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 26% 44% A+ A+ D- F F F F F+ F
1.17 55% 33% 35% -1 -1 0.98 46% 0.7 .31 11% .43 75% .32 0.98 58% 20% 6% -23 -1 0.54 31% 1.3 .40 15% .49 82% .40
Jan
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D- F A+ B- C+ 27% 13% 60% C- C+ F F F C- A+ F A A+ C A+ A+ A+ 26% 21% 53% B- A+ A+ F B- F F B F+
1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24 0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 NJIT D+ C- B- F F 45% 9% 45% A- D- D+ B C B+ A- D B F B- F F+ F+ 47% 23% 30% F+ F F+ D- F+ F C F D
1.11 56% 40% 24% -8 +2 0.91 32% 1.2 .37 12% .41 68% .28 1.14 52% 50% 38% +1 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 13% .31 79% .25
Feb
5		 Maine C+ D+ A+ C- C- 36% 9% 56% B C- C+ A+ A F A+ D+ A F D- D- F F 40% 21% 40% C- F B- F C- D- F B F
1.11 56% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 38% 1.4 .53 22% .43 67% .29 1.21 65% 44% 53% +15 0 1.33 16% 1.3 .20 17% .44 61% .27
Feb
7		 New Hampshire C B- D- A+ A 30% 6% 65% B A D+ F F D+ F A- F B+ A+ C+ B A- 57% 6% 36% F B A C+ B+ C F B- F
1.18 63% 33% 43% +10 +1 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 16% .19 82% .16 0.84 41% 33% 29% -13 +3 0.83 17% 0.8 .14 19% .40 64% .26
Feb
12		 Binghamton D A+ A+ F B- 43% 21% 36% D+ C+ D- F F+ D C D- C- C D B+ F F 33% 37% 31% A+ D- B- F C C- B+ A+ A
1.11 85% 60% 18% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.9 .22 14% .32 67% .21 0.99 63% 33% 47% +6 -2 1.08 16% 1.0 .16 20% .30 63% .19
Feb
14		 Bryant A- A- D A+ A+ 52% 20% 28% C A+ F A+ C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ F+ C- D- 33% 14% 53% C+ D A B A- F+ C+ F D+
1.35 67% 33% 62% +15 +1 1.35 24% 1.3 .32 15% .44 84% .37 0.94 53% 43% 33% -2 +1 1.00 20% 0.9 .17 18% .26 86% .22
Feb
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F F C+ F 34% 17% 48% C- F F C- F B+ F+ A+ D C- D+ A+ F+ B 27% 27% 47% B+ B D+ C D+ F+ F D- F
0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13 1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34
Feb
21		 NJIT C A+ A+ F B- 47% 13% 40% B B F A D- C+ B F D+ C- A- B F D+ 42% 31% 27% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F+
1.10 73% 67% 21% +3 +2 1.11 22% 1.3 .28 14% .39 57% .22 1.01 45% 33% 46% -2 -1 0.96 15% 0.4 .06 9% .33 84% .28
Feb
26		 Umass Lowell F F+ F F+ F 44% 8% 48% B+ F C B C+ C- C+ B- B- C+ D+ C+ A+ B- 45% 27% 29% B- B- D- A+ A F D- A+ C
1.01 50% 0% 29% -10 +2 0.86 32% 1.3 .39 14% .29 75% .21 0.98 59% 38% 21% -5 0 0.92 36% 0.6 .21 14% .36 55% .20
Mar
3		 Albany D+ D- A+ C- C- 33% 17% 50% C- C- F B- F+ B- A+ D+ A+ B+ F A+ C+ C- 24% 28% 48% A+ C+ B B- B C+ A D A-
1.13 50% 57% 33% 0 0 1.02 25% 1.3 .31 13% .47 72% .34 0.92 82% 23% 32% 0 -2 0.98 28% 0.9 .24 21% .15 71% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 34.4% 34.4% 15.7 0.0 0.3 8.1 26.0 65.6
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 34.4% 34.4% 0.0% 15.7 65.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 34.4% 100.0% 15.7 0.0 0.8 23.7 75.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 31.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.6%
Lose Out 16.4%