Vermont
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#213
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#178
Pace59.1#358
Improvement+4.2#28

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#277
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks-4.1#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#82
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement+5.0#15

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#148
First Shot+0.3#172
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#124
Layups/Dunks-2.1#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#56
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement-0.8#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.4% 43.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% 4.2% 0.0%
First Round21.4% 41.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 01 - 2
Quad 33 - 44 - 6
Quad 415 - 620 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 108   @ UAB W 67-62 18%     1 - 0 +11.5 -0.9 +12.9
  Nov 06, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 43-94 1%     1 - 1 -24.0 -19.3 -5.0
  Nov 09, 2024 192   @ Merrimack L 51-65 35%     1 - 2 -12.9 -12.7 -1.5
  Nov 15, 2024 255   @ Iona L 59-62 47%     1 - 3 -5.3 -9.5 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2024 346   Buffalo W 78-67 87%     2 - 3 -4.1 +5.2 -8.5
  Nov 23, 2024 228   Delaware W 75-71 53%     3 - 3 +0.4 -2.2 +2.6
  Nov 24, 2024 325   Fairfield L 66-67 74%     3 - 4 -10.8 -4.0 -6.9
  Nov 30, 2024 209   Northeastern W 68-64 59%     4 - 4 -1.4 -4.5 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2024 205   Brown L 53-60 59%     4 - 5 -12.2 -8.4 -5.4
  Dec 07, 2024 75   @ Yale L 50-65 11%     4 - 6 -4.8 -13.7 +7.1
  Dec 15, 2024 256   @ Colgate L 60-65 48%     4 - 7 -7.4 -8.0 +0.0
  Dec 18, 2024 160   Miami (OH) W 75-67 49%     5 - 7 +5.3 +1.3 +4.0
  Dec 21, 2024 180   @ Dartmouth L 54-84 33%     5 - 8 -28.4 -12.3 -17.2
  Jan 04, 2025 353   @ New Hampshire W 60-40 77%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +9.2 -8.5 +20.3
  Jan 09, 2025 237   @ Umass Lowell W 67-63 44%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +2.6 -5.4 +8.3
  Jan 11, 2025 151   @ Bryant L 53-73 28%     7 - 9 2 - 1 -16.8 -10.7 -8.7
  Jan 16, 2025 308   Binghamton W 72-64 79%     8 - 9 3 - 1 -3.5 +4.9 -7.3
  Jan 23, 2025 352   NJIT W 68-64 89%     9 - 9 4 - 1 -12.1 -9.1 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 303   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-80 78%     9 - 10 4 - 2 -27.9 -13.9 -15.4
  Jan 30, 2025 308   @ Binghamton L 72-75 62%     9 - 11 4 - 3 -9.0 -0.8 -8.3
  Feb 01, 2025 223   Maine W 55-49 62%     10 - 11 5 - 3 -0.1 -8.8 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2025 270   @ Albany W 68-62 51%     11 - 11 6 - 3 +2.7 +5.0 -1.2
  Feb 13, 2025 353   New Hampshire W 79-59 89%     12 - 11 7 - 3 +3.6 +8.9 -2.9
  Feb 15, 2025 223   @ Maine W 65-61 41%     13 - 11 8 - 3 +3.4 +1.8 +2.0
  Feb 20, 2025 151   Bryant W 59-55 47%     14 - 11 9 - 3 +1.7 -8.5 +10.6
  Feb 22, 2025 237   Umass Lowell W 85-61 65%     15 - 11 10 - 3 +17.1 +21.9 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 71-61 77%     16 - 11 11 - 3 -0.6 -0.3 +0.3
  Mar 01, 2025 303   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-69 59%     17 - 11 12 - 3 +4.6 +9.0 -3.3
  Mar 04, 2025 270   Albany W 79-71 71%     18 - 11 13 - 3 -0.8 +11.2 -11.0
  Mar 08, 2025 353   New Hampshire W 64-57 89%     19 - 11 -9.4 -6.1 -2.2
  Mar 11, 2025 223   Maine W 63-60 62%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 22.4% 22.4% 15.5 0.5 9.8 12.1 77.6
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 22.4% 22.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.5 9.8 12.1 77.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 22.4% 100.0% 15.5 2.2 43.8 54.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 29.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 48.5%