Vermont
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#242
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#243
Pace60.4#352
Improvement-2.8#305

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#321
First Shot-3.2#271
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#324
Layup/Dunks-4.5#327
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#111
Freethrows+0.0#176
Improvement-0.7#217

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
First Shot+0.4#167
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#129
Layups/Dunks-2.1#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#56
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement-2.2#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 9.6% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 36.0% 51.1% 22.2%
.500 or above in Conference 76.3% 89.1% 64.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four5.0% 4.9% 5.1%
First Round6.2% 7.5% 5.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 47.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 7
Quad 411 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   @ UAB W 67-62 14%     1 - 0 +11.9 +0.9 +11.6
  Nov 06, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 43-94 1%     1 - 1 -25.5 -19.6 -6.1
  Nov 09, 2024 182   @ Merrimack L 51-65 27%     1 - 2 -12.4 -12.0 -1.8
  Nov 15, 2024 253   @ Iona L 59-62 42%     1 - 3 -5.7 -9.7 +3.9
  Nov 19, 2024 336   Buffalo W 78-67 80%     2 - 3 -2.8 +5.5 -7.4
  Nov 23, 2024 227   Delaware W 75-71 45%     3 - 3 +0.4 -1.4 +1.8
  Nov 24, 2024 320   Fairfield L 66-67 67%     3 - 4 -10.4 -5.7 -4.8
  Nov 30, 2024 200   Northeastern W 68-64 48%     4 - 4 -0.3 -4.2 +4.1
  Dec 03, 2024 214   Brown L 53-60 52%     4 - 5 -12.4 -10.6 -3.4
  Dec 07, 2024 87   @ Yale L 50-65 10%     4 - 6 -5.6 -13.3 +6.0
  Dec 15, 2024 209   @ Colgate L 60-65 32%     4 - 7 -5.1 -6.3 +0.5
  Dec 18, 2024 174   Miami (OH) W 75-67 43%     5 - 7 +4.9 +0.0 +4.9
  Dec 21, 2024 269   @ Dartmouth L 54-84 45%     5 - 8 -33.5 -17.1 -17.6
  Jan 04, 2025 356   @ New Hampshire W 60-40 73%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +8.8 -8.2 +19.7
  Jan 09, 2025 211   @ Umass Lowell W 67-63 33%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +3.8 -5.1 +9.2
  Jan 11, 2025 151   @ Bryant L 53-73 22%     7 - 9 2 - 1 -16.6 -11.5 -7.8
  Jan 16, 2025 316   Binghamton W 72-64 75%     8 - 9 3 - 1 -3.8 +2.7 -5.3
  Jan 23, 2025 338   NJIT W 68-64 81%     9 - 9 4 - 1 -10.0 -6.5 -3.4
  Jan 25, 2025 243   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-80 60%     9 - 10 4 - 2 -24.4 -11.9 -13.9
  Jan 30, 2025 316   @ Binghamton L 72-75 57%     9 - 11 4 - 3 -9.7 -3.2 -6.6
  Feb 01, 2025 188   Maine L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 271   @ Albany L 66-67 43%    
  Feb 13, 2025 356   New Hampshire W 68-57 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 188   @ Maine L 58-64 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 151   Bryant L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 211   Umass Lowell W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 27, 2025 338   @ NJIT W 61-57 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 243   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 04, 2025 271   Albany W 68-64 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.5 2.1 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.7 14.2 13.3 4.1 0.3 35.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.6 12.7 8.7 1.1 0.0 25.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 7.7 6.1 0.4 15.3 5th
6th 0.4 4.2 4.3 0.5 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 1.5 0.2 2.7 7th
8th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.2 1.8 6.9 14.8 23.0 23.6 17.3 9.0 3.1 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 64.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 22.4% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2
11-5 3.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.3% 29.0% 29.0% 14.4 0.1 0.0 0.2
12-4 3.1% 18.2% 18.2% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.6
11-5 9.0% 14.1% 14.1% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.7
10-6 17.3% 11.1% 11.1% 15.9 0.2 1.7 15.3
9-7 23.6% 8.9% 8.9% 15.9 0.2 2.0 21.5
8-8 23.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 1.4 21.6
7-9 14.8% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.8 14.1
6-10 6.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 6.7
5-11 1.8% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 1.7
4-12 0.2% 0.2
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 1.0 7.3 91.6 0.0%