Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#227
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#228
Pace71.2#141
Improvement-3.4#351

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#262
First Shot-0.9#205
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#322
Layup/Dunks+4.4#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#298
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement-0.1#191

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#212
Layups/Dunks-4.7#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#45
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement-3.2#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.6% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 21.5% 27.0% 11.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.1% 36.4% 27.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 10.3% 14.2%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round2.0% 2.5% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 76 - 10
Quad 46 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 235 Boston University L 75-76 OT 63%     0 - 1 -8.5 -9.8 +1.4
  Fri, Nov 7 176 @Colgate W 68-65 29%     1 - 1 +4.7 -1.5 +6.4
  Tue, Nov 11 193 @Harvard W 77-60 32%     2 - 1 +17.8 +8.7 +9.9
  Sat, Nov 15 189 Vermont L 74-85 54%     2 - 2 -16.1 -4.6 -11.5
  Thu, Nov 20 247 @Princeton L 57-70 41%     2 - 3 -14.7 -12.1 -3.2
  Sat, Nov 22 135 Duquesne W 93-86 29%     3 - 3 +8.7 +5.2 +2.3
  Fri, Nov 28 53 @Wake Forest L 73-86 7%     3 - 4 +0.0 +4.0 -3.4
  Wed, Dec 3 301 @Holy Cross L 59-76 53%     3 - 5 -21.8 -13.4 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 7 244 Central Connecticut St. W 71-67 63%    
  Sat, Dec 20 61 @Syracuse L 64-80 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 223 @Elon L 77-80 39%    
  Wed, Dec 31 323 @N.C. A&T W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Jan 3 224 @Campbell L 74-77 38%    
  Thu, Jan 8 109 UNC Wilmington L 68-73 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 129 Towson L 67-70 38%    
  Thu, Jan 15 223 Elon W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 256 @Drexel L 68-70 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 205 @Monmouth L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Jan 22 222 Stony Brook W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 180 College of Charleston W 73-72 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 136 @Hofstra L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 222 @Stony Brook L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 118 William & Mary L 77-81 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 256 Drexel W 71-67 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 136 Hofstra L 68-71 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 118 @William & Mary L 74-84 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 212 @Hampton L 69-73 37%    
  Tue, Mar 3 205 Monmouth W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 5.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 3.7 1.3 0.1 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.5 2.4 0.2 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.1 0.9 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.5 1.8 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 5.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 3.5 0.5 11.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.9 2.8 0.7 0.0 10.0 12th
13th 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.6 13th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.6 7.4 10.8 13.3 14.3 13.6 11.7 8.8 6.1 3.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 84.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 84.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 11.1% 11.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 13.9% 13.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.7% 8.2% 8.2% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
12-6 3.6% 11.2% 11.2% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.2
11-7 6.1% 6.4% 6.4% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.7
10-8 8.8% 3.8% 3.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.4
9-9 11.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-10 13.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 13.4
7-11 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.2
5-13 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 97.8 0.0%