Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#103
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#122
Pace74.6#53
Improvement+1.7#84

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#86
First Shot+4.5#69
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks+5.7#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#332
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement-0.2#182

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#126
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#53
Layups/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#283
Freethrows+1.1#107
Improvement+2.0#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 11.0
.500 or above 27.7% 37.9% 15.7%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 35.2% 13.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 3.8% 12.9%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Home) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 23 - 64 - 15
Quad 35 - 39 - 18
Quad 46 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 335   Le Moyne W 86-82 95%     1 - 0 -10.0 -1.6 -8.8
  Nov 12, 2024 244   Colgate W 74-72 87%     2 - 0 -5.4 -2.8 -2.6
  Nov 16, 2024 190   Youngstown St. W 104-95 2OT 81%     3 - 0 +4.5 +10.4 -7.9
  Nov 21, 2024 32   Texas L 66-70 22%     3 - 1 +8.6 +2.2 +6.3
  Nov 22, 2024 22   Texas Tech L 74-79 17%     3 - 2 +10.0 +9.8 +0.0
  Nov 27, 2024 132   Cornell W 82-72 72%     4 - 2 +8.5 -0.8 +8.6
  Dec 03, 2024 3   @ Tennessee L 70-96 5%     4 - 3 -2.9 +10.5 -13.3
  Dec 07, 2024 81   @ Notre Dame L 64-69 30%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +5.0 -2.4 +7.2
  Dec 10, 2024 232   Albany W 102-85 86%     5 - 4 +10.2 +20.4 -10.9
  Dec 14, 2024 68   Georgetown L 71-75 49%     5 - 5 +1.0 +3.5 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2024 13   Maryland L 60-87 14%     5 - 6 -10.9 -7.3 -2.0
  Dec 28, 2024 265   Bucknell W 75-63 89%     6 - 6 +3.4 -1.2 +4.2
  Dec 31, 2024 88   Wake Forest W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 73   @ Florida St. L 76-82 28%    
  Jan 07, 2025 109   Georgia Tech W 80-76 64%    
  Jan 11, 2025 176   @ Boston College W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 14, 2025 54   Louisville L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 81   Notre Dame W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 36   @ Clemson L 69-79 17%    
  Jan 25, 2025 29   Pittsburgh L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 29, 2025 95   @ Stanford L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 126   @ California L 80-81 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 2   Duke L 67-81 10%    
  Feb 08, 2025 176   Boston College W 80-72 78%    
  Feb 11, 2025 100   @ Miami (FL) L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 24   North Carolina L 81-88 26%    
  Feb 18, 2025 29   @ Pittsburgh L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 26, 2025 79   North Carolina St. W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 133   @ Virginia Tech W 74-73 52%    
  Mar 04, 2025 40   @ SMU L 77-87 19%    
  Mar 08, 2025 93   Virginia W 65-63 58%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.3 1.6 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.3 3.1 3.4 0.6 7.4 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 5.0 1.6 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.8 3.3 0.3 9.2 11th
12th 0.2 3.2 5.0 0.9 0.0 9.4 12th
13th 0.1 1.8 5.3 2.4 0.2 9.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 4.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 9.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 1.3 0.0 8.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.9 1.7 0.1 7.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.5 0.2 5.9 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.1 5.6 9.1 12.1 14.7 15.2 13.3 10.5 6.8 4.4 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 25.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 23.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 2.6% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 52.9% 52.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.9%
15-5 0.3% 31.2% 5.2% 26.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 27.4%
14-6 1.1% 17.9% 5.0% 12.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 13.6%
13-7 2.1% 6.5% 1.1% 5.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0 5.4%
12-8 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 1.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.3 1.7%
11-9 6.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 6.8 0.2%
10-10 10.5% 0.6% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
9-11 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 13.3
8-12 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 15.1
7-13 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 14.7
6-14 12.1% 12.1
5-15 9.1% 9.1
4-16 5.6% 5.6
3-17 3.1% 3.1
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%