Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.9 129
Expected Predictive Rating -1.6 192
Pace 66.3 244
Improvement +3.0 64

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #263 D+ C- B- D+ D+
Defense B #48 B+ B+ D+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 318 57% 211 -3.7 305
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 130 42% 56 +1.9 82
Three Pointers 44% 120 30% 314 -0.8 207
1st FG Attempt 0.97 258 -2.6 259
Second Chance 29.9% 200 0.98 257 0.29 218
Turnovers 15.4% 89
Freethrows 0.29 232 66% 349 0.19 287
Total Offense -3.5 263

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 145 53% 57 +1.2 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 69 35% 67 -0.5 229
Three Pointers 36% 319 29% 17 +5.3 7
1st FG Attempt 0.90 31 +6.0 32
Second Chance 27.2% 69 0.91 34 0.25 37
Turnovers 15.6% 260
Freethrows 0.28 117 65% 1 0.18 45
Total Defense +5.4 48

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.7 278 -0.3 108
Shot Type Accuracy -1.9 235 -5.6 22
Possession Length 17.6 208 17.5 226
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 279 0.14 77
Improvement +1.9 #91 +1.1 #118

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 42% 22% 54%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: California (Home) - 39.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 22 - 72 - 15
Quad 33 - 45 - 18
Quad 45 - 211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 114 @Florida Atlantic L 78 - 83 OT 34% -2  22% 0 - 1 C +1 D+ -4 D A+ C- B +6 C+ A+ D-
 Thu, Nov 6 347 The Citadel W 76 - 47 94% +11  73% 1 - 1 B+ +14 D+ -3 F C- A+ A+ +18 A+ B+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 294 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 60 88% +4  88% 1 - 2 D- -12 F -19 F F+ D- B+ +7 C A B-
 Sat, Nov 15 148 @Temple W 76 - 71 43% +5  89% 2 - 2 B +9 C+ +2 D B A- B+ +7 A+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 248 Hampton W 63 - 52 82% +12  97% 3 - 2 C+ +3 F+ -9 F C+ B- A+ +13 A C B+
 Fri, Nov 21 111 Davidson L 49 - 59 43% -3  13% 3 - 3 D+ -6 F -14 D- D+ F B +6 A- A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 174 Tulane L 90 - 93 OT 61% -1  31% 3 - 4 C- -4 B- +4 C- C A D- -8 C F F
 Wed, Nov 26 153 Harvard W 73 - 60 68% +9  98% 4 - 4 B +10 C+ +2 B+ F A+ A- +9 A+ C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 57 LSU L 69 - 78 OT 32% -4  13% 4 - 5 C- -2 F -10 D+ D+ D A- +8 A+ A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 334 New Haven W 67 - 63 93% -3  21% 5 - 5 D -10 D+ -4 B+ F F D -6 C+ C D-
 Wed, Dec 10 183 Massachusetts L 74 - 76 63% -3  20% 5 - 6 C- -3 D+ -3 F C- A C -0 A F B
 Mon, Dec 22 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72 - 61 92% -2  32% 6 - 6 C- -3 C +1 C- A- A- C- -2 C+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 28 303 Le Moyne W 72 - 64 88% +2  72% 7 - 6 C- -3 F -12 C F C A- +9 A- B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 131 @Georgia Tech L 53 - 65 39% -2  26% 7 - 7 0 - 1 D+ -7 F -19 F D+ B- A +12 B+ A+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 27 North Carolina St. L 71 - 79 16% -7  3% 7 - 8 0 - 2 C+ +4 A- +11 A+ A- F D- -8 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 11 @Louisville L 62 - 75 4% +1  65% 7 - 9 0 - 3 B +10 D+ -4 C+ F A+ A+ +13 B- A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 13 38 @Clemson L 50 - 74 9% -11  17% 7 - 10 0 - 4 D+ -7 F -11 A- D- F B- +3 B+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 67 Syracuse W 81 - 73 OT 37% -2  13% 8 - 10 1 - 4 B+ +13 C +1 C+ D+ A+ A +12 B A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 99 Pittsburgh W 65 - 62 49% +1  54% 9 - 10 2 - 4 B- +5 D+ -3 C+ C A- A- +9 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 24 82 @Notre Dame L 64 - 68 23% +4  71% 9 - 11 2 - 5 B- +6 C- -1 D- A+ B- B+ +6 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 23 Virginia L 66 - 73 14% +1  55% 9 - 12 2 - 6 B- +6 C+ +2 B+ B- B B +4 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 3 @Duke L 49 - 67 2% -14  0% 9 - 13 2 - 7 B +9 D -6 C+ D+ C+ A +12 A A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 41 Miami (FL) L 68 - 74 22% -4  2% 9 - 14 2 - 8 C+ +4 D+ -3 D- B- A+ B+ +7 C A+ B
 Wed, Feb 11 74 Stanford L 64 - 70 40% -4  14% 9 - 15 2 - 9 C -1 D- -8 D+ D+ B- B+ +6 C+ A C+
 Sat, Feb 14 73 California L 67 - 70 39%
 Tue, Feb 17 93 @Florida St. L 69 - 75 27%
 Sat, Feb 21 37 @SMU L 66 - 81 8%
 Tue, Feb 24 63 Wake Forest L 68 - 72 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 41 @Miami (FL) L 63 - 77 10%
 Tue, Mar 3 55 @Virginia Tech L 63 - 74 15%
 Sat, Mar 7 82 Notre Dame L 66 - 68 44%
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 14 +2 D+ -3 D+ C- B- B +5 B+ B+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- B D C- 33% 23% 44% D+ D+ C C- C- B- C- F+ D+ B B B A- A- 40% 24% 36% C+ B+ B B+ B+ D+ C+ A+ B
1.04 57% 42% 30% -2 -1 0.97 30% 1.0 .29 15% .29 66% .19 1.01 53% 35% 29% -6 0 0.90 27% 0.9 .25 16% .28 65% .19
Nov
3		 Florida Atlantic D+ F F B F+ 47% 9% 44% B+ D B A+ A+ C- B+ F D- B A A+ F B 54% 11% 34% F C+ A+ A A+ D- D- A+ B
0.97 42% 0% 38% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.4 .44 17% .36 50% .18 1.04 45% 14% 48% -2 +2 1.02 19% 0.9 .17 15% .37 52% .19
Nov
6		 The Citadel D+ B+ A+ F F 33% 16% 51% D+ F C D+ C- A+ A+ F A A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% F+ A+ A C+ B+ C F A+ C
1.15 71% 63% 19% -3 0 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 6% .45 61% .27 0.71 42% 0% 21% -20 +1 0.65 20% 0.9 .17 18% .37 50% .19
Nov
11		 Central Connecticut St. F D- B F F 33% 16% 51% D F B- F F+ D- F A+ F+ B+ A D- F+ C 31% 33% 37% C+ C F+ A+ A B- A- A+ A+
0.90 50% 44% 21% -11 0 0.80 34% 0.6 .20 15% .16 89% .14 0.92 47% 44% 39% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.4 .14 18% .19 60% .11
Nov
15		 Temple C+ F A+ D- D- 40% 11% 49% B D B- B B A- D F F+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ 52% 19% 30% D- A+ F+ B C- F D- B- D+
1.11 41% 83% 30% -5 +1 0.95 33% 1.2 .38 12% .26 63% .16 1.03 43% 30% 25% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .30 7% .42 74% .31
Nov
18		 Hampton F+ D- A+ F F 31% 20% 49% D+ F C+ C C+ B- D A- C- A+ D A- A+ A 27% 29% 44% B- A D+ B- C B+ A- A+ A+
0.97 53% 60% 17% -10 -1 0.82 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .26 0.80 62% 29% 19% -12 -2 0.75 36% 0.9 .31 22% .28 43% .12
Nov
21		 Davidson F C+ A F D- 26% 32% 42% D- D- A- F D+ F C+ F C- B B- F A+ B+ 25% 30% 45% A A- A+ C+ A+ F D D D-
0.85 60% 50% 19% -5 -2 0.87 38% 0.7 .25 24% .32 57% .18 1.02 55% 62% 25% 0 -2 0.98 17% 1.0 .17 12% .33 71% .24
Nov
23		 Tulane B- F+ B B- C- 33% 24% 43% D+ C- D- A+ C A A+ A A+ D- F+ B+ A+ C 48% 24% 28% C- C C F F F F B+ F
1.15 47% 43% 36% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.3 .34 13% .52 78% .41 1.18 69% 31% 20% -2 0 0.98 21% 2.1 .45 10% .51 72% .37
Nov
26		 Harvard C+ B- C- A- B+ 31% 15% 54% D+ B+ F F F A+ F A+ D A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 33% 26% A+ A+ B+ F+ C+ D- A+ C- A+
1.13 63% 38% 39% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .17 90% .16 0.93 41% 56% 21% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 15% .11 83% .09
Dec
3		 LSU F C- F C+ D+ 31% 27% 42% D D+ D+ D+ D+ D B C+ B A- B C+ A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% A+ A+ B- A+ A D+ B+ F B-
0.91 53% 27% 35% -4 -1 0.91 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 67% .23 1.03 57% 37% 19% -7 -1 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 13% .30 85% .26
Dec
6		 New Haven D+ C- B+ A+ A+ 18% 28% 55% F B+ B F F F A+ C- A+ D A- F A C- 23% 34% 43% A+ C+ F A C D- F F F
1.08 57% 45% 45% +11 -2 1.20 33% 0.5 .15 24% .49 74% .36 1.01 50% 53% 26% -1 -3 0.93 28% 0.7 .19 16% .46 83% .38
Dec
10		 Massachusetts D+ C F F F 56% 4% 40% A+ F B+ F C- A A+ A- A+ C A+ D A+ A 43% 33% 24% B+ A F F+ F B F A+ C-
1.05 60% 0% 11% -14 +3 0.80 35% 0.8 .28 13% .57 77% .44 1.08 43% 44% 25% -8 -1 0.84 44% 1.4 .59 21% .43 54% .23
Dec
22		 Fairleigh Dickinson C A- A+ F+ C- 23% 16% 60% D+ C- A C+ A- A- A+ F C+ C- A+ C- C- C+ 26% 20% 54% B C+ C- A- B- F A C A-
1.19 70% 71% 31% +5 -1 1.12 38% 1.0 .38 12% .47 56% .26 1.01 38% 40% 33% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.7 .22 10% .18 70% .13
Dec
28		 Le Moyne F D+ D- A C+ 33% 27% 40% F+ C D- F F C B F C A- B- A+ B A 44% 15% 42% D+ A- D A+ B+ C+ C+ A+ B+
0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24 0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19
Jan
3		 Georgia Tech F F F F F 28% 23% 49% C- F C- D- D+ B- B D- C+ A F A+ A+ B+ 44% 31% 24% B- B+ D+ A+ A+ B F C F
0.75 33% 25% 15% -24 -1 0.53 27% 0.9 .25 14% .33 65% .21 0.92 70% 21% 27% -2 -1 0.96 35% 0.4 .13 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
6		 North Carolina St. A- A- D+ A+ A+ 45% 16% 39% B- A+ A+ D+ A- F A+ B+ A+ D- A+ D+ F B- 42% 20% 38% B- B- D- F F F A+ A+ A+
1.17 65% 33% 53% +14 +1 1.32 40% 0.9 .36 26% .49 73% .36 1.30 33% 40% 58% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.5 .51 7% .21 50% .11
Jan
10		 Louisville D+ D+ B C B 17% 36% 47% F C+ F+ F F A+ D+ F F A+ F C A C+ 39% 15% 46% B+ B- A+ A+ A+ B+ F C+ F
0.89 50% 38% 33% -2 -4 0.91 16% 0.4 .07 9% .25 44% .11 1.08 83% 43% 29% +7 +1 1.17 20% 0.7 .13 19% .44 76% .33
Jan
13		 Clemson F B C- A A 38% 30% 33% C- A- D+ F D- F C F F B- A+ D+ F B 38% 23% 40% A B+ C D- D+ C+ F+ B D
0.76 60% 33% 38% +2 -1 1.03 19% 0.7 .13 29% .28 38% .11 1.13 44% 45% 42% +2 0 1.04 29% 1.2 .35 15% .41 70% .29
Jan
17		 Syracuse C D+ F A+ B- 35% 32% 33% F+ C+ D- B D+ A+ A+ C- A+ A D A+ F B 48% 21% 31% C- B A A+ A+ A+ D+ C+ C-
1.06 50% 22% 42% -4 -2 0.91 24% 1.2 .29 10% .42 72% .31 0.95 68% 0% 44% +1 +1 1.06 24% 0.4 .11 23% .38 64% .24
Jan
21		 Pittsburgh D+ D- A+ C- B- 25% 31% 44% F C+ D- A+ C A- D F F A- A A+ B A+ 45% 16% 39% D A+ B- D- C- F C- A+ A
1.02 50% 53% 33% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 14% .24 62% .15 0.97 48% 13% 30% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.1 .38 11% .30 41% .12
Jan
24		 Notre Dame C- B- C- F D- 26% 22% 52% C- D- B- A+ A+ B- D+ F D- B+ C- D+ A+ A+ 29% 29% 43% A- A+ C- F D- D- F+ B+ D
1.00 62% 36% 23% -8 -1 0.84 28% 1.7 .47 14% .25 64% .16 1.06 64% 43% 19% -6 -2 0.86 34% 1.2 .39 12% .39 64% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Virginia C+ A+ B+ F A 33% 39% 28% D- B+ C- A B- B A+ F A- B D- F+ A+ A- 46% 15% 38% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ F C C C
1.01 67% 44% 23% +1 -3 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .47 58% .27 1.12 67% 50% 20% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.6 .23 11% .31 72% .22
Feb
3		 Duke D C A F C+ 33% 24% 43% C+ C+ C- F+ D+ C+ D+ F F A D- A+ A+ A 55% 9% 36% D+ A A+ B A+ D+ D+ B- C-
0.80 53% 45% 25% -6 -1 0.89 20% 0.6 .11 20% .18 44% .08 1.09 71% 0% 25% -1 +3 1.05 23% 1.1 .26 15% .38 70% .27
Feb
7		 Miami (FL) D+ C- D- D- D 25% 29% 46% D D- D- A+ B- A+ F B- F+ B+ C- B+ C- C+ 58% 13% 29% F+ C A+ A+ A+ B F A+ C+
0.97 53% 29% 30% -7 -2 0.85 18% 1.7 .30 10% .16 70% .11 1.06 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.15 27% 0.8 .21 19% .44 52% .23
Feb
11		 Stanford D- D+ B+ F C- 38% 33% 29% D D+ F+ A D+ B- F C F B+ F A+ B+ C+ 40% 11% 49% B- C+ A+ F A C+ A+ C+ A+
0.93 52% 44% 25% -4 -2 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 18% .14 75% .11 1.02 71% 17% 31% +1 +1 1.06 16% 1.4 .23 16% .19 73% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 10th
11th 0.2 0.5 0.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 0.5 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.4 2.5 0.1 4.0 13th
14th 0.6 6.3 1.9 0.0 8.7 14th
15th 0.2 7.4 8.4 0.3 16.2 15th
16th 0.2 7.1 16.9 2.1 0.0 26.4 16th
17th 2.9 15.9 5.9 0.1 24.8 17th
18th 9.8 7.0 0.2 17.0 18th
Total 12.9 30.2 31.1 18.3 6.1 1.4 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 1.4% 1.4
6-12 6.1% 6.1
5-13 18.3% 18.3
4-14 31.1% 31.1
3-15 30.2% 30.2
2-16 12.9% 12.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.9%