IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.2	#154
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.5	#128

Pace	67.4	#223
Improvement	-0.3	#200

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#175

First Shot	-2.2	#241
After Offensive Rebound	+2.1	#61

Layup/Dunks	-3.7	#309
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#74
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.2	#174
Freethrows	-0.9	#236

Improvement	+1.0	#96

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#154

First Shot	-2.2	#252
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.6	#25

Layups/Dunks	-1.2	#215
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.9	#120
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.1	#192
Freethrows	-1.8	#300

Improvement	-1.4	#291

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.0	10.5	11.4

.500 or above	15.9%	29.3%	11.4%
.500 or above in Conference	4.1%	9.4%	2.4%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	40.1%	23.9%	45.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Home) - 25.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 8	3 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 4	7 - 17
Quad 4	6 - 1	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	355	The Citadel	W	69-60	93%	1 - 0			-6.9	-9.0	+2.4
Nov 08, 2024	58	Virginia Commonwealth	L	55-80	19%	1 - 1			-15.6	-12.1	-2.9
Nov 15, 2024	119	Temple	W	72-69	52%	2 - 1			+2.6	+5.3	-2.4
Nov 19, 2024	312	Loyola Maryland	W	82-61	86%	3 - 1			+9.4	+10.4	+0.5
Nov 24, 2024	314	Old Dominion	W	82-52	80%	4 - 1			+21.4	+9.5	+13.5
Nov 25, 2024	192	Missouri St.	W	76-74 OT	56%	5 - 1			+0.6	+1.4	-0.8
Nov 26, 2024	57	Boise St.	W	63-61	19%	6 - 1			+11.5	-3.7	+15.2
Nov 29, 2024	311	Dartmouth	L	83-88	86%	6 - 2			-16.5	+1.2	-17.3
Dec 03, 2024	69	South Carolina	L	51-73	31%	6 - 3			-16.8	-16.1	-2.1
Dec 07, 2024	86	@ Wake Forest	L	66-72	19%	6 - 4	0 - 1		+3.5	+4.2	-1.0
Dec 15, 2024	322	Stonehill	W	73-69	87%	7 - 4			-8.1	+4.4	-12.0
Dec 21, 2024	48	SMU	L	71-78	25%
Dec 28, 2024	333	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	85-71	90%
Jan 01, 2025	93	Miami (FL)	L	73-76	40%
Jan 04, 2025	111	@ Georgia Tech	L	70-76	28%
Jan 11, 2025	95	Syracuse	L	75-77	41%
Jan 13, 2025	82	@ Notre Dame	L	64-74	19%
Jan 18, 2025	2	Duke	L	60-78	5%
Jan 21, 2025	91	@ Virginia	L	56-65	21%
Jan 25, 2025	22	@ North Carolina	L	70-87	6%
Feb 01, 2025	64	Florida St.	L	70-76	31%
Feb 05, 2025	51	Louisville	L	70-77	26%
Feb 08, 2025	95	@ Syracuse	L	72-80	22%
Feb 12, 2025	82	Notre Dame	L	67-71	37%
Feb 15, 2025	80	@ North Carolina St.	L	64-74	19%
Feb 18, 2025	125	Virginia Tech	W	70-69	53%
Feb 22, 2025	111	Georgia Tech	L	72-73	49%
Feb 26, 2025	94	@ Stanford	L	69-78	22%
Mar 01, 2025	118	@ California	L	73-78	31%
Mar 05, 2025	34	Clemson	L	65-74	21%
Mar 08, 2025	31	@ Pittsburgh	L	64-79	9%
Projected Record						13 - 18	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	1st
2nd														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1	3rd
4th												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.2	4th
5th											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.4	5th
6th										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0									0.6	6th
7th										0.0	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.0									0.9	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	0.8	0.2	0.0										1.4	8th
9th								0.0	0.1	1.0	0.7	0.0											1.8	9th
10th								0.0	0.8	1.5	0.2	0.0											2.6	10th
11th							0.0	0.4	2.0	1.0	0.0												3.4	11th
12th						0.0	0.1	1.7	2.4	0.4	0.0												4.6	12th
13th						0.1	1.0	3.5	1.3	0.0													5.9	13th
14th					0.0	0.6	3.4	3.3	0.4														7.8	14th
15th				0.0	0.5	3.2	5.3	1.5	0.0														10.5	15th
16th			0.0	0.6	3.4	6.3	3.1	0.2														13.7	16th
17th		0.1	1.2	4.6	7.8	4.7	0.7	0.0														19.1	17th
18th	1.1	4.3	7.7	8.3	4.6	1.1	0.1															27.2	18th

Total	1.1	4.4	9.0	13.5	16.3	16.0	13.6	10.6	7.2	4.3	2.3	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	75.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	50.0%	0.0		0.0
15-5	22.2%	0.0			0.0
14-6	0.0%
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.0%															0.0								0.0
16-4	0.0%															0.0								0.0
15-5	0.0%														0.0		0.0	0.0						0.0
14-6	0.1%																							0.1
13-7	0.2%		3.8%		3.8%	11.3												0.0	0.0					0.2		3.8%
12-8	0.5%		2.4%	1.2%	1.2%	10.8											0.0	0.0						0.5		1.2%
11-9	1.1%		0.2%	0.2%		10.0											0.0							1.1
10-10	2.3%		0.2%	0.2%		11.5												0.0	0.0					2.2
9-11	4.3%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					4.3
8-12	7.2%		0.0%	0.0%		11.0												0.0						7.2
7-13	10.6%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			10.6
6-14	13.6%																							13.6
5-15	16.0%																							16.0
4-16	16.3%																							16.3
3-17	13.5%																							13.5
2-18	9.0%																							9.0
1-19	4.4%																							4.4
0-20	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%