Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#176
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#148
Pace67.0#217
Improvement-1.3#249

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#146
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#39
Layup/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#207
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+2.8#45

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#228
First Shot-4.0#301
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#34
Layups/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#277
Freethrows-0.7#241
Improvement-4.1#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 2.6% 8.8% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.2% 13.6% 32.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Home) - 13.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 6
Quad 21 - 72 - 13
Quad 33 - 45 - 18
Quad 47 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 358   The Citadel W 69-60 92%     1 - 0 -7.6 -8.7 +1.3
  Nov 08, 2024 38   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-80 12%     1 - 1 -13.1 -11.9 -0.6
  Nov 15, 2024 125   Temple W 72-69 48%     2 - 1 +2.6 +3.0 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2024 325   Loyola Maryland W 82-61 86%     3 - 1 +8.5 +9.0 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 275   Old Dominion W 82-52 70%     4 - 1 +23.7 +11.0 +14.3
  Nov 25, 2024 223   Missouri St. W 76-74 OT 60%     5 - 1 -1.4 -0.1 -1.4
  Nov 26, 2024 51   Boise St. W 63-61 15%     6 - 1 +12.2 -4.9 +17.1
  Nov 29, 2024 257   Dartmouth L 83-88 75%     6 - 2 -13.0 +2.7 -15.4
  Dec 03, 2024 79   South Carolina L 51-73 29%     6 - 3 -17.1 -14.3 -4.3
  Dec 07, 2024 58   @ Wake Forest L 66-72 12%     6 - 4 0 - 1 +6.2 +6.2 -0.4
  Dec 15, 2024 321   Stonehill W 73-69 86%     7 - 4 -8.2 +4.0 -11.7
  Dec 21, 2024 42   SMU L 77-103 17%     7 - 5 0 - 2 -16.8 +6.0 -22.3
  Dec 28, 2024 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-70 86%     8 - 5 -4.4 +10.4 -13.7
  Jan 01, 2025 169   Miami (FL) W 78-68 57%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +7.4 -4.5 +11.4
  Jan 04, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech L 64-85 22%     9 - 6 1 - 3 -13.7 -4.7 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2025 104   Syracuse L 71-79 40%     9 - 7 1 - 4 -6.1 +2.3 -8.8
  Jan 13, 2025 83   @ Notre Dame L 60-78 16%     9 - 8 1 - 5 -8.2 -1.0 -9.9
  Jan 18, 2025 2   Duke L 63-88 3%     9 - 9 1 - 6 -4.4 +3.6 -9.3
  Jan 21, 2025 97   @ Virginia L 56-74 22%     9 - 10 1 - 7 -10.6 -5.0 -8.0
  Jan 25, 2025 36   @ North Carolina L 96-102 OT 8%     9 - 11 1 - 8 +9.2 +23.7 -14.1
  Feb 01, 2025 82   Florida St. W 77-76 29%     10 - 11 2 - 8 +5.8 +5.1 +0.6
  Feb 05, 2025 27   Louisville L 69-82 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 104   @ Syracuse L 71-79 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 83   Notre Dame L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 91   @ North Carolina St. L 65-74 18%    
  Feb 18, 2025 118   Virginia Tech L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 99   Georgia Tech L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 78   @ Stanford L 68-79 14%    
  Mar 01, 2025 116   @ California L 72-78 26%    
  Mar 05, 2025 32   Clemson L 64-76 14%    
  Mar 08, 2025 47   @ Pittsburgh L 68-82 9%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.7 0.3 2.2 12th
13th 1.3 1.6 0.1 2.9 13th
14th 0.6 4.3 1.1 0.0 5.9 14th
15th 0.1 3.6 4.5 0.1 8.3 15th
16th 0.2 4.1 10.2 2.1 0.0 16.7 16th
17th 3.2 14.4 21.5 8.0 0.3 47.4 17th
18th 4.7 6.5 2.5 0.1 13.8 18th
Total 8.0 21.1 28.3 22.5 12.7 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 0.4% 0.4
8-12 1.8% 1.8
7-13 5.3% 5.3
6-14 12.7% 12.7
5-15 22.5% 22.5
4-16 28.3% 28.3
3-17 21.1% 21.1
2-18 8.0% 8.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.0%