Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#203
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#313
Pace68.4#196
Improvement-0.6#233

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#189
First Shot+0.0#175
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#226
Layup/Dunks-1.8#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#137
Freethrows+1.3#102
Improvement-0.3#198

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#205
First Shot-1.3#218
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks+4.0#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#348
Freethrows-3.0#341
Improvement-0.3#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 14.5% 24.6% 8.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 50.2% 24.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 5.0% 16.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 329   Louisiana Monroe W 80-64 85%     1 - 0 +3.1 -1.2 +3.5
  Nov 11, 2024 342   Alcorn St. W 84-51 87%     2 - 0 +18.6 +11.3 +10.3
  Nov 15, 2024 128   @ Furman L 67-75 25%     2 - 1 -2.9 +1.4 -4.7
  Nov 19, 2024 262   Bethune-Cookman W 72-57 74%     3 - 1 +6.5 -1.6 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2024 345   New Orleans L 87-93 OT 88%     3 - 2 -20.9 -7.4 -12.5
  Nov 26, 2024 161   Wyoming L 63-64 43%     3 - 3 -1.2 -5.8 +4.5
  Nov 27, 2024 133   Belmont L 66-89 36%     3 - 4 -21.3 -7.7 -14.1
  Dec 02, 2024 228   SE Louisiana L 67-71 67%     3 - 5 -10.6 -2.3 -8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 87   @ George Mason L 64-76 14%     3 - 6 -2.6 +2.6 -6.0
  Dec 10, 2024 283   Southern Miss W 86-58 77%     4 - 6 +18.3 +9.9 +8.3
  Dec 14, 2024 63   Florida St. L 64-77 16%     4 - 7 -4.2 -2.6 -1.8
  Dec 31, 2024 193   @ Charlotte L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 04, 2025 230   Texas San Antonio W 80-75 67%    
  Jan 07, 2025 129   @ UAB L 74-81 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 180   South Florida W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 15, 2025 85   Florida Atlantic L 77-82 30%    
  Jan 19, 2025 119   @ Temple L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 196   @ Rice L 68-71 37%    
  Jan 30, 2025 37   Memphis L 72-83 16%    
  Feb 02, 2025 252   Tulsa W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 05, 2025 230   @ Texas San Antonio L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 80   @ North Texas L 58-70 14%    
  Feb 15, 2025 196   Rice W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 159   East Carolina W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 23, 2025 110   @ Wichita St. L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 26, 2025 193   Charlotte W 70-68 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 252   @ Tulsa W 73-72 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 159   @ East Carolina L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 09, 2025 129   UAB L 77-78 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 5.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.3 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.6 5.1 0.9 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.0 6.1 1.7 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 5.7 2.8 0.1 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.5 3.5 0.4 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 3.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 6.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 6.9 10.5 13.4 15.1 14.3 12.1 9.3 6.3 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 53.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 23.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.2% 13.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 10.8% 10.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 5.9% 5.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.8% 4.9% 4.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.5
11-7 6.3% 2.1% 2.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.1
10-8 9.3% 0.9% 0.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2
9-9 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.1 0.0 12.0
8-10 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 14.2
7-11 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.0
6-12 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
5-13 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-14 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 99.3 0.0%