Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -11.8 334
Results Rating -12.0 340
Consistency 0.15 194
Pace 71.2 109
Improvement +2.3 107

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 320 F+ C- C- D- C
Defense D- 327 D+ F+ C- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 225 D- 50% 344 -3.9 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 134 D+ 35% 271 -0.8 225
Three Pointers 43% 141 F+ 29% 345 -2.1 253
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 197 F+ -6.5 355
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.89 349
Second Chance C 30.2% 186 D+ 0.95 299 C- 0.29 236
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 326
Other Turnovers B+ 5.8% 31
Turnovers C- 17.2% 216
Freethrows D 0.26 326 C 72% 204 D- 0.19 329
Total Offense D -5.9 320

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 336 D+ 12.9% 299
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 167 D 7.6% 320
Three Pointers D 78% 308 C- 1.2% 268
Total D 48% 317 D 6.8% 311


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 226 D+ 61% 261 +0.4 195
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 310 C 38% 176 -1.6 60
Three Pointers 46% 42 C- 35% 236 +3.5 323
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 259 D+ +1.8 250
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 254
Second Chance F 36.9% 355 D+ 1.09 275 F+ 0.40 351
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 192
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 311
Turnovers C- 15.6% 245
Freethrows B- 0.27 84 C 73% 200 B- 0.20 88
Total Defense D- -5.9 327

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 322 B 14.3% 59
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 316 C+ 5.7% 115
Three Pointers C+ 83% 147 C 0.9% 144
Total D 62% 321 B- 6.7% 91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 135 16.9 110
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 129 0.25 360
Consistency 0.15 349 0.13 262
Improvement +4.0 29 -1.7 271

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 343 333 326
Results Rating Rank 342 339 323
Conference Record 1 - 17 1 - 17 2 - 16
Conference Finish 13 13 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Rice (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 92 - 16
Quad 42 - 103 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 250 SIU Edwardsville L 60 - 77 35% -3  39% 0 - 1 F -25 F -17 F F A- D- -7 C F C+
 Wed, Nov 12 232 @Texas St. L 69 - 80 16% -10  0% 0 - 2 D- -12 D -6 F C B+ D -6 A F F
 Sat, Nov 15 245 @Denver W 84 - 79 17% +4  83% 1 - 2 C+ +3 B+ +8 A D D D+ -4 D- A+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 235 Abilene Christian L 50 - 61 23% -7  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -18 F C- C C+ +1 A+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 25 260 Georgia Southern W 77 - 64 28% -1  26% 2 - 3 B- +7 D- -6 F D+ A A+ +13 A+ D- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 186 South Alabama L 58 - 82 25% -14  2% 2 - 4 F -29 F -20 F D- B+ F+ -9 D+ F B
 Sun, Dec 7 15 @Alabama L 55 - 97 1% -27  0% 2 - 5 F -20 F -20 D- F+ F B- +3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 67 @Colorado L 64 - 88 2% -10  7% 2 - 6 D- -12 F+ -9 D- C- F C- -2 F+ A- C+
 Wed, Dec 17 63 @USC L 70 - 97 2% -10  17% 2 - 7 F+ -15 C- -2 F A F F -11 F D- D
 Mon, Dec 22 117 Seattle L 68 - 71 14% -4  13% 2 - 8 C- -3 D -5 B F+ C- B- +2 A- C- C
 Wed, Dec 31 126 @Florida Atlantic L 70 - 110 6% -27  3% 2 - 9 0 - 1 F -34 F -10 F D D F -19 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 166 @Temple L 57 - 76 10% -9  0% 2 - 10 0 - 2 F+ -17 F -16 F D+ F C- -2 B+ F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 169 Charlotte L 58 - 74 22% -9  5% 2 - 11 0 - 3 F -20 F -17 F D- B D+ -4 B+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 184 Tulane L 52 - 85 25% -19  5% 2 - 12 0 - 4 F -38 F -24 F F F F -14 F+ F C-
 Wed, Jan 14 222 Rice L 73 - 89 31% -11  0% 2 - 13 0 - 5 F -23 C+ +3 D+ B- B- F -27 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 18 119 @Memphis L 69 - 95 6% -12  0% 2 - 14 0 - 6 F -20 D+ -3 C D+ D- F -16 F B D
 Wed, Jan 21 134 @North Texas L 62 - 81 7% -14  0% 2 - 15 0 - 7 D- -14 D -5 D- F C F -10 F+ F B
 Sat, Jan 24 166 Temple L 64 - 70 22% -0  47% 2 - 16 0 - 8 D -10 D- -7 D- C+ D C- -3 C C- C+
 Wed, Jan 28 123 UAB L 73 - 83 14% -1  25% 2 - 17 0 - 9 D -10 C- -2 F B A- F+ -9 F+ C D
 Wed, Feb 4 54 @South Florida L 88 - 109 2% -6  13% 2 - 18 0 - 10 D+ -8 A+ +18 A+ A B- F -26 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 134 North Texas L 58 - 81 17% -10  37% 2 - 19 0 - 11 F -24 F -14 F+ D F+ F -11 D F B-
 Wed, Feb 11 233 @East Carolina L 72 - 88 16% -12  9% 2 - 20 0 - 12 F+ -17 D+ -4 F+ D+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Sun, Feb 15 169 @Charlotte W 88 - 79 10% -4  17% 3 - 20 1 - 12 B +11 A+ +17 C+ A A+ D+ -5 F+ D- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 126 Florida Atlantic L 52 - 60 15% -3  24% 3 - 21 1 - 13 D -8 F -21 F B- D+ A+ +12 A+ A+ D
 Sun, Feb 22 65 @Tulsa L 74 - 100 2% -12  8% 3 - 22 1 - 14 D- -14 C- -1 C- B C+ F -13 F B F
 Wed, Feb 25 233 East Carolina L 81 - 82 32% +2  56% 3 - 23 1 - 15 D+ -8 B +6 A+ A F F -14 F F B
 Sun, Mar 1 91 Wichita St. L 67 - 84 9% -9  1% 3 - 24 1 - 16 D- -14 D -6 F A A+ F+ -8 B+ F C
 Sun, Mar 8 222 @Rice L 70 - 81 14%
Totals 3 - 25 1 - 17 -12 D -6 A+ F+ C D- -6 F+ C D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D+ F+ F+ 37% 42% 43% C F+ C D+ C- C- D C D- D- D+ C C- D+ 37% 16% 46% D+ D+ F D+ F+ C- B- C B-
1.00 50% 35% 29% -7 0 0.89 30% 1.0 .29 17% .26 72% .19 1.17 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.1 .40 16% .27 73% .19
Nov
7		 SIU Edwardsville F F A F F 33% 21% 46% C F C- F F A- C+ F D D- A C F C+ 46% 29% 25% D C F+ F F C+ F A+ F
0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20 1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26
Nov
12		 Texas St. D F D+ F F 48% 12% 40% B F D+ A- C B+ B C+ B D D+ A- A+ A+ 43% 25% 32% D A F F F F F C- F
0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +2 0.83 26% 1.1 .28 16% .37 73% .27 1.14 61% 31% 12% -11 0 0.79 44% 1.2 .51 13% .42 77% .33
Nov
15		 Denver B+ D+ A+ A+ A 44% 13% 44% B- A C+ F D D B B+ B+ D+ F B F+ F+ 22% 20% 58% C- D- A- A+ A+ F+ B+ F B-
1.29 57% 67% 48% +12 +1 1.29 37% 0.9 .33 15% .36 75% .27 1.21 67% 36% 41% +7 -1 1.15 24% 0.5 .12 11% .24 86% .21
Nov
24		 Abilene Christian F F D F F 51% 16% 32% B- F C D+ C- C A+ F C C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 45% 16% 39% F+ A+ F D F A- D+ C+ D+
0.81 47% 33% 17% -15 +1 0.76 26% 1.0 .26 23% .56 56% .31 0.98 30% 14% 35% -16 +1 0.73 45% 1.0 .45 24% .36 71% .26
Nov
25		 Georgia Southern D- F F F F 35% 22% 43% F+ F C D D+ A A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 27% 10% 63% B- A+ C F D- C+ F A+ F
1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 -1 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39 0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36
Nov
30		 South Alabama F F F F F 11% 11% 77% D F C+ F D- B+ F A+ F F+ A+ F F D 43% 23% 34% B- D+ F A+ F B C F F
0.82 43% 14% 25% -15 -1 0.71 32% 0.8 .25 14% .03 100% .03 1.16 43% 58% 39% +1 0 1.04 42% 0.9 .39 15% .32 84% .27
Dec
7		 Alabama F F C F F+ 26% 20% 54% C+ D- F+ F F+ F C+ F F+ B- F+ D A+ A+ 30% 6% 64% C A+ D+ C D+ F A- F B
0.71 43% 36% 24% -12 -1 0.76 19% 0.8 .15 23% .27 44% .12 1.25 70% 50% 23% -6 +1 0.93 37% 1.2 .43 6% .28 85% .23
Dec
13		 Colorado F+ F D+ C+ D- 38% 31% 31% D+ D- B+ F C- F D+ F F C- C+ F F D- 58% 9% 33% F F+ F A+ A- C+ B+ A+ A
0.88 43% 35% 35% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 22% .28 50% .14 1.22 59% 80% 44% +10 +3 1.27 46% 0.5 .22 15% .28 65% .18
Dec
17		 USC C- F C- F F+ 24% 27% 49% F+ F A+ C+ A F A+ A- A+ F F D F F 41% 18% 41% D F C- F+ D- D D+ D- D-
0.94 42% 38% 25% -11 -2 0.78 43% 0.9 .40 23% .40 83% .33 1.31 76% 44% 43% +14 +1 1.31 37% 1.2 .44 15% .44 79% .35
Dec
22		 Seattle D B D- C- B- 47% 11% 42% A- B F D+ F+ C- F B F+ B- B+ D- A+ A+ 55% 13% 32% F A- F+ B C- C F D F
0.92 60% 33% 32% -1 +2 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 22% .21 75% .16 0.96 52% 43% 24% -8 +2 0.91 31% 0.8 .24 18% .43 73% .31
Dec
31		 Florida Atlantic F F F F+ F 41% 9% 50% B F D D D D A+ B A+ F F+ F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F D+ F F B- C- F D
0.88 35% 20% 29% -15 +2 0.75 21% 0.9 .19 19% .46 77% .35 1.38 68% 60% 52% +20 +2 1.45 34% 1.4 .48 19% .31 80% .25
Jan
3		 Temple F C F F F 42% 22% 36% C F B F D+ F A A+ A+ C- B+ B+ A- A 50% 6% 44% F B+ F F+ F B- D- A+ C
0.86 58% 10% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.8 .25 23% .39 85% .33 1.15 50% 33% 29% -8 +3 0.92 47% 1.2 .53 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
7		 Charlotte F F A+ D- F 37% 12% 52% B F F B+ D- B F F F D+ D- B- A+ A- 39% 6% 55% D- B+ F D+ F D+ B+ B+ A-
0.90 32% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.81 20% 1.3 .25 12% .21 58% .12 1.15 68% 33% 26% -3 +2 1.00 42% 1.0 .42 17% .28 67% .19
Jan
10		 Tulane F D+ F F F 33% 27% 40% D- F F+ F F F B F C- F B- A- F F 22% 12% 66% C+ F+ F+ F F C- A+ F A+
0.76 53% 8% 28% -13 -1 0.73 26% 0.8 .21 23% .36 58% .21 1.24 54% 29% 41% +5 0 1.12 28% 1.4 .39 15% .12 86% .10
Jan
14		 Rice C+ D+ A+ D- D 28% 20% 52% B- D+ A F+ B- B- F A+ D F D D- F F 18% 16% 66% D- F D- F+ F D- F+ C+ D
1.19 57% 50% 31% 0 -1 1.00 43% 0.9 .37 15% .25 85% .21 1.44 63% 43% 55% +22 -1 1.45 39% 1.1 .43 15% .36 68% .25
Jan
18		 Memphis D+ D A+ F C 30% 21% 48% C C B- F+ D+ D- F F+ F F D F F F 56% 13% 31% F F D+ A+ B D C B+ C+
0.95 53% 58% 26% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.7 .25 23% .16 67% .11 1.31 63% 57% 53% +14 +2 1.35 39% 0.9 .35 17% .30 67% .20
Jan
21		 North Texas D F B+ D D 27% 27% 45% D- D- F+ F F C A A+ A+ F D A+ D- F+ 43% 12% 45% D+ F+ F D F B F A F+
0.91 42% 42% 30% -6 -2 0.86 24% 0.5 .12 22% .45 83% .38 1.19 62% 17% 36% +1 +1 1.06 54% 1.1 .59 19% .47 62% .29
Jan
24		 Temple D- B C- F D- 44% 32% 24% D D- A+ F C+ D F B- F C- F A+ C+ C 44% 28% 28% C+ C F+ A- C- C+ D- D+ D-
1.02 64% 38% 17% -4 -1 0.92 41% 0.8 .32 18% .15 75% .12 1.12 74% 17% 33% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .41 77% .32
Jan
28		 UAB C- F C F F 34% 24% 42% D+ F C A+ B A- B A+ A- F+ C- F B- F 37% 29% 35% B+ F+ B- D C D F B+ F
1.03 45% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.2 .31 13% .28 82% .23 1.18 61% 57% 29% +4 -1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 10% .50 66% .33
Feb
4		 South Florida A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 22% 40% C+ A+ C A+ A B- C D+ C- F F F C- F 52% 5% 43% D F F F F F C+ B+ B
1.24 47% 55% 55% +12 0 1.26 30% 1.4 .43 18% .31 67% .21 1.54 68% 67% 35% +7 +3 1.22 47% 1.5 .71 7% .35 70% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 North Texas F B F+ F F+ 41% 30% 28% D+ F+ D D D F+ C- D D+ F F A+ A D 48% 19% 33% C D F B- F B- F+ F F
0.83 63% 29% 15% -9 -1 0.83 27% 0.9 .24 26% .35 67% .23 1.16 70% 22% 25% -2 +1 1.00 53% 1.0 .50 19% .41 83% .33
Feb
11		 East Carolina D+ D- F C- F 39% 18% 43% B- F+ A- F D+ B+ C F F F C+ F A+ B- 31% 19% 50% D+ C+ D F F F B- F D-
1.01 50% 20% 33% -7 0 0.89 38% 0.8 .30 14% .26 50% .13 1.24 53% 60% 22% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.6 .58 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
15		 Charlotte A+ C+ F C- C- 47% 15% 38% A- C+ B- A+ A A+ C A+ A D+ F A+ F F+ 33% 8% 59% C- F+ D+ F+ D- B- A A+ A+
1.34 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.04 32% 1.5 .48 5% .32 90% .29 1.20 75% 0% 41% +9 +1 1.22 35% 1.1 .39 20% .25 54% .13
Feb
18		 Florida Atlantic F F D- F F 34% 25% 42% D- F B D+ B- D+ F F F A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% A- A+ A A+ A+ D C- B C
0.77 44% 31% 14% -19 -1 0.62 32% 0.9 .30 18% .22 50% .11 0.89 56% 36% 22% -8 -1 0.84 26% 0.5 .14 15% .31 67% .21
Feb
22		 Tulsa C- D F+ B C- 38% 20% 43% C C- F A+ B C+ F A+ D- F F A+ F F 43% 8% 49% C- F D A+ B F D- C D-
1.03 52% 27% 38% -2 0 0.98 15% 2.4 .35 15% .18 82% .15 1.40 74% 25% 42% +12 +2 1.30 35% 1.0 .35 10% .39 80% .31
Feb
25		 East Carolina B A+ B- A+ A+ 32% 26% 43% D+ A+ B A A F F+ A+ C- F D F C+ F 29% 36% 36% A F F F F B F D+ F
1.20 80% 42% 45% +15 -1 1.30 35% 1.4 .48 25% .20 90% .18 1.21 62% 56% 31% +6 -3 1.09 45% 1.4 .61 19% .48 73% .35
Mar
1		 Wichita St. D F F F F 43% 26% 30% B F C+ A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ F+ B- A C+ B 26% 31% 43% A+ B+ F F F C B F D
0.96 35% 21% 25% -19 0 0.64 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 71% .31 1.21 53% 28% 32% -6 -2 0.86 47% 1.2 .56 14% .28 88% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 85.7 14.3 100.0 13th
Total 85.7 14.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 14.3% 14.3
1-17 85.7% 85.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 68.3%