SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#249
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#246
Pace65.4#288
Improvement-3.5#346

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#318
First Shot-3.3#264
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#315
Layup/Dunks-3.0#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#278
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement-1.8#314

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#147
First Shot+1.8#116
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#289
Layups/Dunks+6.2#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#242
Freethrows-1.6#290
Improvement-1.7#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 14.5% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 70.7% 75.4% 50.7%
.500 or above in Conference 75.3% 79.9% 55.6%
Conference Champion 15.9% 18.1% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.6% 4.2%
First Four4.1% 4.3% 3.6%
First Round11.2% 12.4% 6.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 80.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 32 - 4
Quad 414 - 1016 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 287 @Texas San Antonio W 77-60 45%     1 - 0 +13.3 +1.9 +10.8
  Mon, Nov 10 201 Indiana St. L 55-64 52%     1 - 1 -14.5 -19.9 +5.6
  Fri, Nov 14 143 @Drake W 61-59 19%     2 - 1 +6.2 -1.6 +8.0
  Mon, Nov 17 46 @Wisconsin L 69-94 5%     2 - 2 -10.9 +6.5 -18.8
  Fri, Nov 21 322 @Air Force L 63-77 57%     2 - 3 -20.8 -9.6 -11.5
  Sun, Nov 23 281 Alabama St. W 83-68 56%     3 - 3 +8.5 +9.7 -0.3
  Tue, Dec 2 350 @North Florida W 72-63 67%     4 - 3 -0.6 -3.3 +3.4
  Sat, Dec 6 280 Western Michigan L 73-83 66%     4 - 4 -19.3 -3.6 -16.0
  Thu, Dec 18 325 @Eastern Illinois L 72-76 OT 57%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -10.8 -3.4 -7.3
  Mon, Dec 22 356 @Western Illinois W 66-61 71%     5 - 5 1 - 1 -5.8 -11.7 +5.9
  Thu, Jan 1 339 Southern Indiana W 72-63 81%    
  Sat, Jan 3 307 Morehead St. W 70-64 73%    
  Tue, Jan 6 229 Lindenwood W 72-70 58%    
  Thu, Jan 8 309 Arkansas Little Rock W 70-64 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 214 @Tennessee Martin L 64-69 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 215 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69-74 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 237 Tennessee St. W 70-68 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 285 Tennessee Tech W 72-67 66%    
  Thu, Jan 29 307 @Morehead St. W 67-66 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 339 @Southern Indiana W 69-66 62%    
  Tue, Feb 3 229 @Lindenwood L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 309 @Arkansas Little Rock W 67-66 52%    
  Thu, Feb 12 215 Southeast Missouri St. W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 214 Tennessee Martin W 67-66 55%    
  Thu, Feb 19 285 @Tennessee Tech L 69-70 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 237 @Tennessee St. L 67-71 38%    
  Thu, Feb 26 356 Western Illinois W 71-59 85%    
  Sat, Feb 28 325 Eastern Illinois W 69-61 76%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.7 4.0 4.7 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1 15.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.7 4.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 5.9 4.2 1.0 0.1 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.5 4.9 0.9 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.7 1.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.9 1.4 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.1 1.5 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 0.9 0.1 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 4.4 6.9 9.6 12.3 14.1 14.3 12.5 10.0 6.4 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-3 98.9% 1.5    1.5 0.1
16-4 92.2% 3.4    2.8 0.5 0.0
15-5 73.7% 4.7    3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 40.0% 4.0    1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 13.3% 1.7    0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 9.4 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 50.0% 50.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.5% 44.7% 44.7% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.9
16-4 3.6% 38.2% 38.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 2.3
15-5 6.4% 34.1% 34.1% 15.5 0.1 1.0 1.1 4.2
14-6 10.0% 27.3% 27.3% 15.7 0.0 0.8 1.9 7.3
13-7 12.5% 20.6% 20.6% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.1 9.9
12-8 14.3% 12.1% 12.1% 15.9 0.2 1.5 12.6
11-9 14.1% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 13.2
10-10 12.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 11.9
9-11 9.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.4
8-12 6.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.8
7-13 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
6-14 2.2% 2.2
5-15 1.1% 1.1
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 13.2% 13.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.8 8.6 86.8 0.0%