SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.9 250
Results Rating -5.6 252
Consistency 0.16 230
Pace 62.9 328
Improvement +2.9 76

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 336 D D+ D+ D- D-
Defense C+ 121 B- C C- C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 310 D+ 54% 290 -4.2 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 50 D+ 34% 301 +2.2 71
Three Pointers 37% 267 C 33% 206 -2.3 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 334 D+ -2.9 276
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 310
Second Chance D+ 27.6% 259 C 1.02 206 D+ 0.28 251
Opponents' Steals D 10.9% 309
Other Turnovers C- 7.6% 231
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 290
Freethrows D- 0.26 330 D- 67% 337 D- 0.17 349
Total Offense D- -6.9 336

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 143 C 11.3% 193
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 134 C+ 4.3% 136
Three Pointers C- 81% 249 D+ 1.3% 297
Total C 54% 200 C 5.6% 186


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 303 B 53% 62 -4.2 53
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 103 C- 40% 243 +1.1 284
Three Pointers 43% 106 B- 32% 104 +0.2 194
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 80 B- -2.2 90
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 80
Second Chance D+ 32.5% 274 B- 0.96 73 C 0.31 191
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 168
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 304
Turnovers C- 16.1% 219
Freethrows C- 0.32 247 C 73% 191 C- 0.23 246
Total Defense C+ +2.0 121

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 216 B+ 15.9% 37
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 29 C- 4.0% 222
Three Pointers C- 85% 223 D+ 0.4% 283
Total C 55% 162 C+ 6.5% 106

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 310 17.7 258
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 337 0.18 233
Consistency 0.13 212 0.13 250
Improvement +0.7 149 +2.1 79

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 264 251 226
Results Rating Rank 279 254 190
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 9% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% 4% 0%
First Round5% 7% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 32 - 4
Quad 415 - 917 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 334 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 65% +3  60% 1 - 0 B +8 D -6 D- B+ F+ A+ +13 A A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 200 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 51% -6  4% 1 - 1 D- -14 F -23 F F F A +9 A+ D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 206 @Drake W 61 - 59 30% +5  73% 2 - 1 C+ +3 D- -6 D+ F+ C A +9 A+ F D+
 Mon, Nov 17 28 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 3% -12  3% 2 - 2 D+ -7 B- +4 C- A- C- F -12 D+ C+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 344 @Air Force L 63 - 77 68% -8  1% 2 - 3 F -24 F -14 F D+ F F -10 A F F
 Sun, Nov 23 313 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 67% +2  45% 3 - 3 B- +6 B+ +9 C- C+ A+ C- -2 A- C- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 339 @North Florida W 72 - 63 66% +1  54% 4 - 3 C -0 D- -7 D D+ D+ A- +7 B+ C- C
 Sat, Dec 6 280 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 67% -8  0% 4 - 4 F -20 D- -7 F+ D+ A+ F -13 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 326 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 60% -0  42% 4 - 5 0 - 1 D- -12 D -5 C+ F C- D- -7 F F+ A-
 Mon, Dec 22 364 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 85% -3  23% 5 - 5 1 - 1 D -11 F -17 F A+ F B+ +5 C- C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 337 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 83% +6  99% 6 - 5 2 - 1 D -11 F -18 F C+ F A- +7 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 3 283 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 68% +2  54% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 C- C- C+ D- -8 F B A+
 Tue, Jan 6 276 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 67% +2  71% 7 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -5 F -12 F+ D+ F B+ +6 A+ F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 299 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 72% +6  92% 7 - 7 3 - 3 D- -14 D+ -3 D+ A- F F -11 C+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 230 @Tennessee Martin L 59 - 65 35% -3  8% 7 - 8 3 - 4 D+ -7 D- -6 F D+ A+ C -1 B F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 223 @Southeast Missouri St. W 68 - 55 34% +16  94% 8 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +12 C+ +2 C+ B- C A+ +12 A A- A-
 Thu, Jan 22 196 Tennessee St. W 74 - 66 51% +2  52% 9 - 8 5 - 4 C+ +3 C+ +3 B+ D- D+ C+ +0 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 310 Tennessee Tech W 62 - 58 75% +9  99% 10 - 8 6 - 4 D+ -8 D- -7 F C+ C+ C -1 A- C F
 Thu, Jan 29 283 @Morehead St. L 65 - 67 45% +2  65% 10 - 9 6 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -9 C+ F D B- +3 C A F
 Sat, Jan 31 337 @Southern Indiana W 58 - 46 66% +0  37% 11 - 9 7 - 5 C+ +3 F -10 F+ C F A+ +15 A B+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 276 @Lindenwood W 78 - 72 44% -4  15% 12 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +3 C -0 B D D- B- +2 C+ B C
 Sat, Feb 7 299 @Arkansas Little Rock W 71 - 61 51% +9  98% 13 - 9 9 - 5 C+ +5 D -5 D F B- A +10 A- A F
 Thu, Feb 12 223 Southeast Missouri St. W 74 - 56 57% +1  38% 14 - 9 10 - 5 B +11 C+ +3 D+ A- B A +10 A- A D+
 Sat, Feb 14 230 Tennessee Martin L 76 - 81 57% -2  37% 14 - 10 10 - 6 D- -12 B- +4 B+ A+ F F -16 F C C-
 Thu, Feb 19 310 @Tennessee Tech L 52 - 62 55% -1  42% 14 - 11 10 - 7 F+ -16 F -24 F D B A- +8 A+ F+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 196 @Tennessee St. L 53 - 80 29% -16  1% 14 - 12 10 - 8 F -26 F -17 F F F F -11 F F+ B
 Thu, Feb 26 364 Western Illinois W 67 - 47 93% +11  95% 15 - 12 11 - 8 C- -2 F -15 D F F+ A+ +14 A C+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 326 Eastern Illinois W 77 - 50 80% +14  99% 16 - 12 12 - 8 B+ +13 A- +11 A+ C C+ B+ +7 C- A+ B-
 Wed, Mar 4 326 Eastern Illinois W 65 - 59 71%
Totals 17 - 12 12 - 8 -5 D- -7 B- D+ D- C+ +2 C D- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ D+ C D+ 34% 50% 37% D- D D+ C D+ D+ D- D- D- C+ B C- B- B- 34% 23% 43% B- B- D+ B- C C- C- C C-
0.99 54% 34% 33% -3 -1 0.94 28% 1.0 .28 18% .26 67% .17 1.06 53% 40% 32% -2 -1 0.96 32% 1.0 .31 16% .32 73% .19
Nov
7		 Texas San Antonio D F C- A+ D- 46% 29% 25% D D- D+ A+ B+ F+ A+ F A- A+ A+ F A- A 33% 21% 46% C+ A C- A+ A+ F F+ A+ D+
1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26 0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20
Nov
10		 Indiana St. F C F F F 29% 45% 25% F F C F F F D+ F D- A A+ F A A+ 37% 8% 55% C+ A+ F A- D+ A D- F F
0.77 56% 28% 21% -10 -4 0.75 33% 0.4 .14 21% .23 62% .14 0.90 44% 50% 26% -11 +1 0.84 35% 0.9 .30 24% .31 76% .24
Nov
14		 Drake D- A+ B F C- 18% 31% 51% F D+ C+ F F+ C F F F A A+ A A- A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ C- F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 89% 40% 28% +2 -3 1.00 32% 0.6 .18 15% .17 56% .10 0.97 43% 30% 28% -11 -1 0.80 28% 1.5 .41 13% .15 50% .08
Nov
17		 Wisconsin B- F A B+ C- 41% 27% 31% C+ C- C+ A+ A- C- D- A+ C- F C+ C F D+ 28% 9% 63% C+ D+ F+ A+ C+ F D- F F
1.04 38% 50% 38% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.4 .34 17% .20 91% .18 1.42 60% 40% 41% +7 +1 1.19 38% 0.9 .35 6% .39 88% .34
Nov
21		 Air Force F C D+ F F 32% 34% 34% F+ F D- C+ D+ F A+ D- A F A+ F B A 40% 14% 47% C- A F F F F F F F
0.92 60% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 19% .43 67% .29 1.12 35% 50% 30% -10 +1 0.84 33% 1.4 .47 15% .56 73% .41
Nov
23		 Alabama St. B+ A+ F B+ C+ 33% 31% 37% F C- A- F+ C+ A+ A+ F A C- A F A+ A 35% 22% 43% C A- F A- C- F+ F F F
1.25 75% 27% 39% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.9 .38 12% .51 67% .34 1.02 44% 50% 20% -12 0 0.78 39% 0.8 .29 14% .54 81% .43
Dec
2		 North Florida D- F C B D- 45% 15% 40% C+ D B F D+ D+ B+ F C+ A- A D+ B A- 35% 14% 51% C B+ C+ F+ C- C A+ F A-
1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21 0.97 44% 43% 31% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Western Michigan D- C- B F D- 34% 21% 45% D F+ D- B D+ A+ D- F F F B- F F F 27% 30% 43% A- F D- F F A+ F F F
1.07 58% 42% 28% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 7% .27 59% .16 1.22 50% 54% 58% +18 -2 1.34 33% 1.3 .43 28% .39 89% .35
Dec
18		 Eastern Illinois D D+ F A+ B 32% 22% 46% D- C+ F F F C- D B D+ D- F F+ C+ F 34% 28% 38% C- F D- D- F+ A- D+ D+ D+
1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23 1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23
Dec
22		 Western Illinois F F F D F 27% 38% 36% F F D- A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ B+ C+ B- C+ D+ 39% 33% 28% C+ C- A+ F C+ B- F D F
0.93 50% 29% 31% -7 -3 0.82 28% 2.1 .60 24% .43 78% .34 0.86 50% 33% 31% -6 -2 0.87 14% 1.5 .21 18% .38 68% .26
Jan
1		 Southern Indiana F F D+ A F 40% 33% 27% F F B C- C+ F A+ F A- A- A- A A B+ 44% 19% 37% F+ B D- C D A+ F A+ F
0.89 28% 33% 42% -11 -2 0.78 38% 0.9 .36 23% .51 58% .29 0.83 42% 25% 25% -15 +1 0.74 34% 0.9 .29 26% .51 52% .26
Jan
3		 Morehead St. D+ D A+ C- C 38% 20% 42% D+ C- B- D- C- C+ D+ B C- D- F F B- F 43% 19% 38% F+ F B B- B A+ F D F
1.13 53% 60% 33% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.8 .33 14% .29 75% .22 1.15 72% 50% 31% +7 +1 1.17 31% 0.9 .27 24% .45 77% .35
Jan
6		 Lindenwood F D F A D 32% 36% 32% F F+ D- B- D+ F A- C+ A- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 23% 34% C+ A+ D- F+ F C- B- C B-
0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29 0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18
Jan
8		 Arkansas Little Rock D+ F B+ A+ C 23% 28% 49% F D+ A B- A- F B+ D+ B- F D C+ C+ C 29% 40% 31% B+ C+ F A D+ F F C- F
1.12 50% 42% 43% +6 -2 1.09 45% 1.0 .45 26% .34 69% .24 1.16 64% 32% 33% -1 -3 0.94 42% 0.8 .34 11% .45 68% .31
Jan
15		 Tennessee Martin D- F A+ F F+ 22% 41% 37% F F F+ B+ D+ A+ D- F F C C F A B 15% 17% 67% B+ B D F F+ F+ F C+ F
0.93 42% 55% 15% -7 -4 0.80 25% 1.1 .27 9% .28 44% .12 1.02 57% 50% 26% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 17% .50 65% .32
Jan
17		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ F B A+ B- 43% 24% 33% D+ C+ C A- B- C F D- F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 24% 31% C+ A A C A- A- F B- F
1.07 45% 45% 47% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.3 .35 17% .32 71% .23 0.87 37% 50% 23% -12 0 0.79 20% 1.2 .23 20% .46 65% .30
Jan
22		 Tennessee St. C+ A+ F A+ A 41% 24% 34% D- B+ B- F D- D+ A+ D- A C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% F+ A F A D+ F F F+ F
1.17 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 34% 0.7 .24 21% .50 68% .34 1.04 55% 25% 18% -13 0 0.76 46% 0.8 .37 11% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Tennessee Tech D- A F F F 37% 26% 37% D+ F B D- C+ C+ C+ B B- C C B+ A+ B+ 38% 33% 29% A- A- F+ A C F C B C+
1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24 1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21
Jan
29		 Morehead St. F+ C F A B- 33% 20% 47% D C+ F F F D F F F B- C- B C C- 45% 34% 20% B- C A+ A- A F F B- F
1.01 59% 30% 42% +4 0 1.10 23% 0.5 .11 17% .19 60% .11 1.04 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.8 .20 12% .42 71% .30
Jan
31		 Southern Indiana F D+ A- F F+ 49% 27% 24% D+ F+ F+ A+ C F B+ B A- A+ F A+ A+ A- 17% 38% 46% A+ A C+ A B+ B+ B F C
0.96 55% 45% 20% -5 0 0.93 26% 1.3 .33 22% .38 78% .30 0.76 63% 17% 23% -15 -4 0.65 28% 0.6 .18 20% .27 77% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Lindenwood C A F A+ B+ 47% 27% 27% D B D D+ D D- B- D C B- B+ C- C+ C 40% 31% 29% A C+ F A+ B C D+ A C+
1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24 0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19
Feb
7		 Arkansas Little Rock D A+ F B+ D+ 33% 27% 39% F D F B- F B- D+ A+ B- A D- A+ F B 11% 54% 35% A+ A- D+ A+ A F B+ D B
1.05 76% 14% 40% +3 -1 1.06 17% 1.0 .17 16% .27 87% .23 0.90 67% 23% 40% -4 -6 0.81 33% 0.6 .20 12% .17 70% .12
Feb
12		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ D+ B D C- 42% 26% 32% D D+ B+ A- A- B F F F A A+ A+ F B+ 29% 27% 45% A+ A- A A A D+ B A+ A
1.13 52% 46% 31% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 15% .32 67% .22 0.85 36% 15% 41% -8 -1 0.84 20% 1.0 .20 15% .29 50% .14
Feb
14		 Tennessee Martin B- F F A+ B 36% 11% 53% A- B+ A- A+ A+ F A+ C A+ F F+ C+ F F 27% 18% 55% C+ F A F C C- F F F
1.12 44% 20% 46% +2 +1 1.09 41% 1.3 .51 27% .48 71% .34 1.20 67% 38% 46% +12 0 1.25 27% 1.1 .31 21% .43 78% .34
Feb
19		 Tennessee Tech F F D- F F 35% 28% 37% D F F A D B F F F A- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% A A+ F+ D F+ F+ F F F
0.77 45% 31% 14% -17 -1 0.65 21% 1.4 .31 12% .10 50% .05 0.92 41% 47% 6% -16 -2 0.66 35% 1.1 .40 15% .37 86% .31
Feb
21		 Tennessee St. F B- F D- F+ 28% 22% 50% F F F B F F F F F F D- F F F 42% 21% 38% F F F+ D F+ B B- C- B-
0.83 62% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 18% 1.2 .21 24% .23 27% .06 1.26 65% 60% 44% +13 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 19% .25 77% .19
Feb
26		 Western Illinois F B+ A- F D+ 46% 26% 28% D D F F F F+ D- C- D- A+ A+ A+ C- A 30% 32% 38% B A A- F C+ C+ F A+ C+
1.00 70% 46% 21% +2 0 1.06 20% 0.7 .13 18% .25 71% .18 0.70 29% 20% 33% -15 -2 0.68 18% 1.3 .22 18% .42 43% .18
Feb
28		 Eastern Illinois A- A+ B- A+ A+ 34% 14% 52% C- A+ C C+ C C+ F D+ F B+ B- F A+ D 21% 36% 44% A C- B- A+ A+ B- F A+ D+
1.28 76% 43% 42% +13 +1 1.30 35% 1.1 .38 18% .08 75% .06 0.83 50% 64% 18% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.5 .12 20% .37 61% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.0 1.3 5.5 93.3
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 15.8 93.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.7% 100.0% 15.8 0.3 18.6 81.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.8%
Lose Out 28.5%