Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#222
Pace71.3#89
Improvement+3.6#45

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#268
First Shot-0.3#178
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#339
Layup/Dunks-1.6#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#236
Freethrows-3.2#347
Improvement+1.3#120

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#151
First Shot+1.7#117
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#260
Layups/Dunks+0.0#167
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#12
Freethrows-3.5#355
Improvement+2.2#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 32 - 6
Quad 416 - 618 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 96   @ Bradley L 60-88 16%     0 - 1 -20.1 -10.1 -9.7
  Nov 10, 2024 48   @ Vanderbilt L 76-85 7%     0 - 2 +4.9 +4.4 +0.9
  Nov 17, 2024 117   Chattanooga L 82-87 38%     0 - 3 -4.8 -5.0 +0.9
  Nov 21, 2024 344   @ Central Arkansas W 77-73 OT 74%     1 - 3 -5.5 -8.9 +2.9
  Nov 22, 2024 203   UNC Asheville L 64-72 48%     1 - 4 -10.4 -11.5 +1.0
  Nov 30, 2024 234   UMKC W 80-59 64%     2 - 4 +14.3 -1.3 +13.6
  Dec 05, 2024 97   @ Lipscomb L 60-78 16%     2 - 5 -10.2 -9.2 -1.2
  Dec 08, 2024 145   @ Murray St. L 53-73 26%     2 - 6 -16.3 -9.6 -9.5
  Dec 19, 2024 320   Eastern Illinois W 79-72 81%     3 - 6 1 - 0 -5.3 +10.5 -15.3
  Dec 21, 2024 233   SIU Edwardsville W 80-64 64%     4 - 6 2 - 0 +9.3 +8.4 +1.5
  Jan 02, 2025 260   @ Tennessee St. W 67-65 49%     5 - 6 3 - 0 -0.7 -9.3 +8.5
  Jan 04, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin L 63-66 61%     5 - 7 3 - 1 -8.7 -4.6 -4.5
  Jan 09, 2025 338   Southern Indiana W 77-66 86%     6 - 7 4 - 1 -3.4 -3.5 +0.1
  Jan 11, 2025 329   Morehead St. L 56-67 84%     6 - 8 4 - 2 -24.3 -16.0 -9.5
  Jan 14, 2025 253   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-73 68%     6 - 9 4 - 3 -9.7 -2.6 -7.1
  Jan 16, 2025 313   @ Tennessee Tech W 77-70 63%     7 - 9 5 - 3 +0.6 +5.5 -4.4
  Jan 23, 2025 332   @ Lindenwood L 68-72 69%     7 - 10 5 - 4 -12.0 -7.0 -4.9
  Jan 25, 2025 341   @ Western Illinois W 72-51 73%     8 - 10 6 - 4 +11.6 +2.6 +11.6
  Jan 30, 2025 306   Tennessee Martin W 90-79 78%     9 - 10 7 - 4 -0.2 +11.3 -11.5
  Feb 01, 2025 260   Tennessee St. W 89-87 OT 70%     10 - 10 8 - 4 -6.2 +2.9 -9.3
  Feb 06, 2025 329   @ Morehead St. W 80-51 68%     11 - 10 9 - 4 +21.2 +10.7 +12.7
  Feb 08, 2025 338   @ Southern Indiana W 79-74 72%     12 - 10 10 - 4 -3.9 +7.1 -10.7
  Feb 11, 2025 253   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 57-45 47%     13 - 10 11 - 4 +9.8 -7.8 +18.9
  Feb 15, 2025 313   Tennessee Tech W 83-69 80%     14 - 10 12 - 4 +2.1 +6.5 -4.0
  Feb 20, 2025 341   Western Illinois W 87-66 87%     15 - 10 13 - 4 +6.1 +1.0 +3.9
  Feb 22, 2025 332   Lindenwood W 74-58 84%     16 - 10 14 - 4 +2.5 -6.4 +8.0
  Feb 27, 2025 233   @ SIU Edwardsville W 83-68 43%     17 - 10 15 - 4 +13.8 +13.0 +1.2
  Mar 01, 2025 320   @ Eastern Illinois L 58-73 65%     17 - 11 15 - 5 -21.8 -13.5 -8.4
  Mar 07, 2025 253   Arkansas Little Rock W 78-59 58%     18 - 11 +14.1 +4.9 +8.9
  Mar 08, 2025 233   SIU Edwardsville L 48-69 54%     18 - 12 -24.9 -23.1 -2.7
Projected Record 18 - 12 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%