Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
212 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   18 - 12 15 - 5 18 - 12 15 - 5 -2.9      -3.7 268 +0.8 151 71.3 89 -3.3 222 -2.2 1
233 SIU Edwardsville 100.0%   16   19 - 11 13 - 7 19 - 11 13 - 7 -3.9      -3.7 265 -0.2 181 65.4 251 -3.6 228 -4.9 2
253 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   17 - 14 12 - 8 17 - 14 12 - 8 -4.9      -5.6 317 +0.6 158 67.3 204 -4.9 248 -5.9 3
260 Tennessee St. 0.0%   14 - 16 12 - 8 14 - 16 12 - 8 -5.5      -3.4 261 -2.0 229 74.6 38 -7.6 290 -6.0 4
306 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   11 - 19 9 - 11 11 - 19 9 - 11 -8.4      -3.7 264 -4.8 312 66.1 228 -9.8 318 -9.3 8
313 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 10 13 - 17 10 - 10 -9.1      -4.6 297 -4.5 306 68.8 152 -8.4 306 -8.0 7
320 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   9 - 19 8 - 12 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.6      -9.3 358 -0.3 182 66.2 225 -10.6 326 -10.6 9
329 Morehead St. 0.0%   12 - 17 10 - 10 12 - 17 10 - 10 -10.6      -6.7 336 -3.9 289 62.0 332 -8.3 305 -7.9 6
332 Lindenwood 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 10 13 - 17 10 - 10 -10.8      -8.7 354 -2.0 232 72.2 66 -8.2 304 -7.9 5
338 Southern Indiana 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 15 8 - 20 5 - 15 -11.6      -6.1 326 -5.5 326 67.7 193 -11.9 337 -14.3 11
341 Western Illinois 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 14 9 - 19 6 - 14 -12.1      -5.4 313 -6.7 346 62.6 323 -11.3 331 -12.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Southeast Missouri St. 1.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 2.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 3.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 3.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 5.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 9.0 100.0
Morehead St. 5.0 100.0
Lindenwood 5.0 100.0
Southern Indiana 11.0 100.0
Western Illinois 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Southeast Missouri St. 15 - 5 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 13 - 7 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 12 - 8 100.0
Tennessee St. 12 - 8 100.0
Tennessee Martin 9 - 11 100.0
Tennessee Tech 10 - 10 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8 - 12 100.0
Morehead St. 10 - 10 100.0
Lindenwood 10 - 10 100.0
Southern Indiana 5 - 15 100.0
Western Illinois 6 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southeast Missouri St. 100.0% 100.0
SIU Edwardsville
Arkansas Little Rock
Tennessee St.
Tennessee Martin
Tennessee Tech
Eastern Illinois
Morehead St.
Lindenwood
Southern Indiana
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   1.4 98.6
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lindenwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 100.0% 81.8% 61.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 61.6% 0.6 38.4 61.6
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0