Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
199 Tennessee St. 39.7%   16   18 - 9 15 - 5 -2.1      -0.4 172 -1.7 223 74.9 34 -0.7 170 -1.6 2
224 Southeast Missouri St. 17.3%   16 - 12 14 - 6 -3.7      -4.5 292 +0.8 143 72.1 86 -3.7 231 -2.9 3
231 Tennessee Martin 18.0%   18 - 10 13 - 7 -3.8      -6.5 332 +2.7 99 63.1 324 -2.2 197 -4.2 4
256 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 8 -5.4      -6.8 337 +1.4 134 62.7 329 -6.2 260 -5.4 5
269 Lindenwood 8.6%   15 - 14 11 - 9 -6.1      -5.9 318 -0.2 177 79.4 6 -5.9 253 -6.6 6
282 Morehead St. 14.7%   16 - 12 15 - 5 -6.7      -1.1 191 -5.7 323 64.4 289 -3.2 223 -1.0 1
301 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   10 - 20 9 - 11 -8.4      -4.4 286 -4.1 292 66.5 238 -9.5 315 -8.9 7
312 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   10 - 18 8 - 12 -9.2      -4.7 297 -4.5 305 68.1 190 -9.5 317 -10.1 9
321 Eastern Illinois 1.7%   10 - 19 8 - 12 -10.2      -8.5 349 -1.7 222 65.0 271 -9.4 313 -10.0 8
336 Southern Indiana 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 16 -12.1      -8.7 351 -3.4 276 68.5 176 -16.1 356 -16.0 10
364 Western Illinois 0.0%   2 - 26 1 - 19 -19.0      -11.0 359 -8.0 356 66.0 251 -20.7 362 -23.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 4 321 Eastern Illinois 77 256 SIU Edwardsville 71   
Wed, Mar 4 269 Lindenwood 72 301 Arkansas Little Rock 62   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 269 Lindenwood 75 224 Southeast Missouri St. 77 59%   
Thu, Mar 5 321 Eastern Illinois 59 231 Tennessee Martin 65 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Morehead St. 1.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 1.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 3.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 4.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 5.0 100.0
Lindenwood 6.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 7.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 8.0 100.0
Southern Indiana 10.0 100.0
Western Illinois 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Morehead St. 15 - 5 16 - 12 100.0
Tennessee St. 15 - 5 18 - 9 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 14 - 6 17 - 12 100.0
Tennessee Martin 13 - 7 19 - 10 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 12 - 8 16 - 13 100.0
Lindenwood 11 - 9 15 - 15 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 11 10 - 20 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8 - 12 10 - 20 100.0
Tennessee Tech 8 - 12 10 - 18 100.0
Southern Indiana 4 - 16 5 - 23 100.0
Western Illinois 1 - 19 2 - 26 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Morehead St. 100.0% 100.0
Tennessee St. 100.0% 100.0
Southeast Missouri St.
Tennessee Martin
SIU Edwardsville
Lindenwood
Arkansas Little Rock
Eastern Illinois
Tennessee Tech
Southern Indiana
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Tennessee St. 39.7% 39.7% 0.0% 16   0.1 4.5 21.3 13.7 60.3 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 8.4 7.9 82.7 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 10.7 5.4 82.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lindenwood 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 1.2 7.4 91.4 0.0%
Morehead St. 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 0.8 13.9 85.3 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 88.6% 0.9 11.4 88.6
2nd Round 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Tennessee St. 39.7% 2.4% 38.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 17.3% 1.9% 16.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 18.0% 0.6% 17.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 8.6% 4.4% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 14.7% 9.7% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 1.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%