Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#164
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#162
Pace72.9#100
Improvement+5.0#3

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#216
First Shot-3.1#261
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#109
Layup/Dunks+0.2#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#20
Freethrows-4.4#350
Improvement+2.2#28

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#134
First Shot-1.7#226
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#41
Layups/Dunks-0.8#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#242
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement+2.8#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.0% 22.0% 17.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 83.3% 87.0% 70.3%
.500 or above in Conference 90.3% 91.4% 86.5%
Conference Champion 28.8% 30.6% 22.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.8%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.3%
First Round20.7% 21.7% 16.9%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 78.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 415 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 12 @Vanderbilt L 61-105 3%     0 - 1 -22.3 -7.8 -11.7
  Sun, Nov 9 191 @Mercer L 77-92 44%     0 - 2 -14.1 +4.7 -19.1
  Tue, Nov 11 210 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 47%     0 - 3 -5.0 -4.9 -0.5
  Wed, Nov 19 88 @Belmont L 68-75 18%     0 - 4 +1.8 -6.8 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 22 281 Western Carolina W 83-62 80%     1 - 4 +11.4 +1.6 +8.5
  Wed, Nov 26 170 @Marshall W 90-67 40%     2 - 4 +25.0 +9.5 +13.2
  Sat, Nov 29 233 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88-77 52%     3 - 4 +9.8 +4.2 +4.1
  Wed, Dec 3 306 Tennessee Tech W 83-80 83%     4 - 4 -8.1 +0.6 -8.8
  Sun, Dec 7 266 Alabama A&M W 75-67 78%    
  Tue, Dec 16 3 @Duke L 60-86 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 68 @Cincinnati L 67-79 13%    
  Thu, Jan 1 275 Jacksonville W 75-66 78%    
  Sat, Jan 3 343 North Florida W 88-74 89%    
  Thu, Jan 8 348 @Stetson W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 177 @Florida Gulf Coast L 77-79 41%    
  Thu, Jan 15 292 Bellarmine W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 182 Austin Peay W 75-71 64%    
  Thu, Jan 22 348 Stetson W 81-67 90%    
  Sat, Jan 24 177 Florida Gulf Coast W 80-76 63%    
  Thu, Jan 29 275 @Jacksonville W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 343 @North Florida W 85-77 75%    
  Thu, Feb 5 182 @Austin Peay L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 273 Central Arkansas W 77-69 77%    
  Wed, Feb 11 258 Eastern Kentucky W 82-74 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 199 @Queens L 79-80 46%    
  Thu, Feb 19 292 @Bellarmine W 78-74 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 200 North Alabama W 75-70 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 285 @West Georgia W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 258 @Eastern Kentucky W 79-77 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.9 7.5 8.2 5.3 2.4 0.5 28.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 4.9 7.2 4.8 1.2 0.1 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.3 6.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 5.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.0 1.9 0.3 6.1 6th
7th 0.3 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.6 6.9 10.0 13.3 15.0 14.5 12.8 9.4 5.5 2.4 0.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 2.4    2.4 0.0
16-2 97.4% 5.3    4.8 0.6 0.0
15-3 86.7% 8.2    6.3 1.8 0.1
14-4 58.0% 7.5    3.8 3.0 0.7 0.0
13-5 26.7% 3.9    1.1 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.0% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.8% 28.8 18.8 7.4 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 55.1% 55.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 2.4% 49.0% 49.0% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2
16-2 5.5% 43.9% 43.9% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1
15-3 9.4% 36.1% 36.1% 14.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.1 6.0
14-4 12.8% 30.2% 30.2% 14.3 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.4 0.1 9.0
13-5 14.5% 23.0% 23.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.3 11.2
12-6 15.0% 18.5% 18.5% 14.9 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.4 12.2
11-7 13.3% 14.1% 14.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 11.4
10-8 10.0% 11.4% 11.4% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 8.8
9-9 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 15.8 0.1 0.3 6.5
8-10 4.6% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.4
7-11 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.1 2.8
6-12 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 21.0% 21.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.6 3.1 7.0 7.6 2.6 79.0 0.0%