Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#339
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#339
Pace74.1#49
Improvement+2.8#73

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#339
First Shot-6.5#337
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#233
Layup/Dunks-2.7#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#117
Freethrows-3.6#353
Improvement+4.4#19

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#305
First Shot-7.2#353
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#12
Layups/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#293
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#322
Freethrows-1.0#254
Improvement-1.6#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 31 - 91 - 17
Quad 44 - 55 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 207   @ Queens L 54-67 14%     0 - 1 -12.8 -25.6 +14.2
  Nov 19, 2024 61   @ Wake Forest L 69-82 2%     0 - 2 -1.0 +4.6 -5.6
  Nov 26, 2024 82   @ Florida St. L 57-91 4%     0 - 3 -24.5 -14.5 -7.2
  Nov 30, 2024 25   @ Marquette L 62-94 1%     0 - 4 -13.9 -9.5 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2024 340   Bellarmine W 86-74 62%     1 - 4 -2.8 +1.0 -3.9
  Dec 07, 2024 349   South Carolina Upstate L 68-74 65%     1 - 5 -21.5 -15.2 -6.0
  Dec 14, 2024 203   @ UNC Asheville L 61-78 13%     1 - 6 -16.6 -15.7 -0.6
  Dec 17, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 36-84 0.4%    1 - 7 -25.0 -25.0 +2.1
  Jan 01, 2025 139   Furman L 61-90 17%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -30.5 -13.9 -16.7
  Jan 04, 2025 123   Samford L 69-88 15%     1 - 9 0 - 2 -19.5 -9.2 -9.4
  Jan 08, 2025 128   @ Wofford L 69-77 7%     1 - 10 0 - 3 -3.3 -2.4 -1.1
  Jan 12, 2025 263   Mercer W 85-82 38%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -5.4 +4.1 -9.7
  Jan 15, 2025 298   @ VMI L 50-66 27%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -21.2 -22.3 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro L 55-83 19%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -30.5 -15.1 -17.3
  Jan 22, 2025 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-85 9%     2 - 13 1 - 6 -23.9 -7.8 -18.2
  Jan 25, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 80-78 OT 52%     3 - 13 2 - 6 -10.1 -1.6 -8.6
  Jan 29, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 60-84 14%     3 - 14 2 - 7 -23.8 -23.7 +2.7
  Feb 01, 2025 298   VMI L 76-80 OT 46%     3 - 15 2 - 8 -14.7 -6.5 -7.9
  Feb 05, 2025 139   @ Furman L 75-84 OT 8%     3 - 16 2 - 9 -5.0 -0.8 -3.7
  Feb 08, 2025 158   @ UNC Greensboro L 70-74 9%     3 - 17 2 - 10 -1.0 +2.3 -3.5
  Feb 12, 2025 153   East Tennessee St. W 76-67 19%     4 - 17 3 - 10 +6.6 +5.2 +1.7
  Feb 15, 2025 357   The Citadel W 76-73 72%     5 - 17 4 - 10 -14.6 -3.2 -11.3
  Feb 19, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga L 86-91 6%     5 - 18 4 - 11 +0.7 +12.1 -11.4
  Feb 22, 2025 123   @ Samford L 72-93 7%     5 - 19 4 - 12 -15.9 -12.5 +0.0
  Feb 26, 2025 128   Wofford L 67-90 16%     5 - 20 4 - 13 -23.8 -7.7 -16.7
  Mar 01, 2025 263   @ Mercer L 69-81 20%     5 - 21 4 - 14 -14.9 -4.3 -10.3
  Mar 07, 2025 263   Mercer L 66-67 28%     5 - 22 -6.6 -5.0 -1.6
Projected Record 5 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%