UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#232
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#268
Pace66.5#261
Improvement-1.5#278

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#227
First Shot-3.2#258
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#108
Layup/Dunks-4.7#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#307
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement-2.3#336

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#240
First Shot-1.2#213
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#266
Layups/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#37
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+0.8#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 7.3% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 20.1% 35.3% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 80.5% 55.1%
Conference Champion 3.8% 10.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.6% 2.9%
First Four2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
First Round4.4% 6.6% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 98 @Wichita St. L 58-75 12%     0 - 1 -8.5 -8.4 -0.6
  Sat, Nov 8 213 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 35%     0 - 2 -3.4 +3.2 -6.2
  Tue, Nov 11 144 Lipscomb W 69-64 40%     1 - 2 +3.2 +2.1 +1.5
  Wed, Nov 19 299 @Western Carolina L 73-80 51%     1 - 3 -11.5 +5.1 -17.3
  Tue, Nov 25 237 Tennessee St. L 73-75 62%     1 - 4 -9.5 -5.0 -4.4
  Sun, Nov 30 228 Appalachian St. W 67-55 61%     2 - 4 +4.9 -1.5 +7.5
  Tue, Dec 2 294 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 61%     3 - 4 -2.1 +11.1 -12.8
  Sat, Dec 6 28 @North Carolina St. L 63-75 3%     3 - 5 +5.8 -0.4 +5.7
  Wed, Dec 10 106 Miami (OH) L 87-90 OT 29%     3 - 6 -1.7 +3.9 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 13 135 St. Thomas L 59-80 38%     3 - 7 -22.3 -12.2 -11.0
  Sun, Dec 21 107 @UAB L 47-72 14%     3 - 8 -17.8 -18.8 -1.2
  Wed, Dec 31 101 High Point L 74-81 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 239 @Charleston Southern L 73-76 39%    
  Wed, Jan 7 298 Longwood W 77-71 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 261 @Radford L 78-80 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 286 @Presbyterian L 66-67 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 125 Winthrop L 76-80 37%    
  Wed, Jan 21 264 @South Carolina Upstate L 71-73 45%    
  Thu, Jan 29 362 Gardner-Webb W 82-68 90%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 @Winthrop L 73-83 19%    
  Wed, Feb 4 264 South Carolina Upstate W 74-70 65%    
  Thu, Feb 12 298 @Longwood W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 286 Presbyterian W 69-64 68%    
  Thu, Feb 19 101 @High Point L 71-84 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 261 Radford W 81-77 65%    
  Thu, Feb 26 362 @Gardner-Webb W 79-71 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 239 Charleston Southern W 76-73 61%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.4 2.9 0.8 0.1 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 8.4 8.2 3.8 0.8 0.0 24.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.7 8.4 6.2 1.6 0.1 19.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 7.3 4.8 0.9 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.0 0.5 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.5 7.0 10.8 14.6 16.4 16.2 12.8 8.8 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 86.4% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
13-3 61.7% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
12-4 24.6% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 6.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 14.7% 14.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.7% 26.1% 26.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
13-3 2.1% 19.2% 19.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.7
12-4 4.9% 12.4% 12.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.3
11-5 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 8.0
10-6 12.8% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.4 0.5 11.9
9-7 16.2% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 15.3
8-8 16.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 15.8
7-9 14.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 14.1
6-10 10.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.6
5-11 7.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.9
4-12 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-13 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.2 94.8 0.0%