UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#210
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#254
Pace69.1#195
Improvement-0.1#195

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#172
First Shot-2.8#255
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#46
Layup/Dunks-4.8#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#304
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement+0.7#126

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#261
First Shot-2.3#249
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#217
Layups/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#47
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-0.7#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 9.9% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 45.7% 74.1% 44.6%
.500 or above in Conference 71.3% 80.7% 70.9%
Conference Champion 5.4% 9.7% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.2% 1.6%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round6.2% 9.5% 6.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 97 @Wichita St. L 58-75 15%     0 - 1 -9.0 -9.1 -0.5
  Sat, Nov 8 226 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 42%     0 - 2 -4.0 +4.7 -8.3
  Tue, Nov 11 164 Lipscomb W 69-64 53%     1 - 2 +1.3 +1.4 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 19 281 @Western Carolina L 73-80 52%     1 - 3 -10.6 +6.0 -17.2
  Tue, Nov 25 249 Tennessee St. L 73-75 68%     1 - 4 -9.8 -5.5 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 30 283 Appalachian St. W 67-55 74%     2 - 4 +2.4 -4.0 +7.4
  Tue, Dec 2 293 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 66%     3 - 4 -2.4 +11.4 -13.4
  Sat, Dec 6 35 @North Carolina St. L 72-91 4%    
  Wed, Dec 10 127 Miami (OH) L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Dec 13 166 St. Thomas W 76-75 52%    
  Sun, Dec 21 112 @UAB L 71-81 18%    
  Wed, Dec 31 93 High Point L 78-83 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 288 @Charleston Southern W 76-75 53%    
  Wed, Jan 7 289 Longwood W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 290 @Radford W 80-79 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 257 @Presbyterian L 66-67 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 107 Winthrop L 77-81 35%    
  Wed, Jan 21 278 @South Carolina Upstate W 76-75 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 360 Gardner-Webb W 85-71 90%    
  Sat, Jan 31 107 @Winthrop L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 4 278 South Carolina Upstate W 78-72 71%    
  Thu, Feb 12 289 @Longwood W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 257 Presbyterian W 69-64 68%    
  Thu, Feb 19 93 @High Point L 75-86 15%    
  Sat, Feb 21 290 Radford W 83-76 73%    
  Thu, Feb 26 360 @Gardner-Webb W 82-74 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 288 Charleston Southern W 79-72 73%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.0 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.4 4.8 1.9 0.2 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.9 10.4 6.4 1.9 0.1 29.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 8.0 6.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 20.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 6.2 4.2 1.0 0.1 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.8 0.2 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.8 8.3 11.7 15.0 15.9 15.1 11.4 8.0 3.9 1.4 0.6 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
14-2 89.1% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
13-3 48.8% 1.9    0.8 0.9 0.2
12-4 16.8% 1.3    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0
11-5 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.6% 32.7% 32.7% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 1.4% 28.0% 28.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.9% 19.9% 19.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.1
12-4 8.0% 12.5% 12.5% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 7.0
11-5 11.4% 9.9% 9.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 10.3
10-6 15.1% 8.2% 8.2% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 13.9
9-7 15.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 15.1
8-8 15.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.5 14.5
7-9 11.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.4
6-10 8.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 8.1
5-11 4.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.8
4-12 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-13 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 2.4 93.4 0.0%