UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#158
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#159
Pace61.7#340
Improvement-2.1#273

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#181
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#154
Layup/Dunks-3.9#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#60
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+0.2#180

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#166
First Shot+2.5#94
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#325
Layups/Dunks+3.4#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#164
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-2.3#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 13 - 3
Quad 34 - 67 - 9
Quad 410 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 187   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-64 66%     1 - 0 +4.8 +2.8 +2.7
  Nov 11, 2024 49   @ SMU L 68-81 11%     1 - 1 +0.8 -3.3 +4.7
  Nov 21, 2024 42   @ Indiana L 58-69 10%     1 - 2 +3.6 -5.0 +8.3
  Nov 25, 2024 294   Long Beach St. W 71-48 77%     2 - 2 +15.3 +0.9 +16.7
  Nov 26, 2024 156   San Jose St. L 64-69 50%     2 - 3 -4.7 -5.3 +0.2
  Nov 27, 2024 159   UTEP L 58-64 50%     2 - 4 -5.9 -4.6 -2.2
  Dec 03, 2024 88   High Point W 72-68 39%     3 - 4 +7.1 +9.0 -1.1
  Dec 07, 2024 328   @ N.C. A&T W 67-55 78%     4 - 4 +4.2 -2.0 +7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 276   @ North Florida L 77-89 65%     4 - 5 -15.7 -3.4 -12.1
  Dec 21, 2024 206   @ Elon L 69-73 50%     4 - 6 -3.8 +2.6 -6.8
  Jan 01, 2025 128   @ Wofford W 68-66 33%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +6.7 +1.8 +5.1
  Jan 04, 2025 139   Furman W 84-67 57%     6 - 6 2 - 0 +15.5 +18.6 -1.1
  Jan 09, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga W 78-75 30%     7 - 6 3 - 0 +8.7 +13.6 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2025 123   @ Samford L 69-76 32%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -1.9 +2.6 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2025 357   The Citadel W 70-57 94%     8 - 7 4 - 1 -4.6 -1.3 -1.5
  Jan 18, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina W 83-55 81%     9 - 7 5 - 1 +19.1 +12.6 +8.3
  Jan 22, 2025 263   Mercer L 78-79 79%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -9.4 +0.1 -9.5
  Jan 25, 2025 298   @ VMI W 60-57 70%     10 - 8 6 - 2 -2.2 -10.3 +8.3
  Jan 29, 2025 153   East Tennessee St. W 70-65 60%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +2.6 +14.3 -10.5
  Feb 01, 2025 128   Wofford L 62-74 54%     11 - 9 7 - 3 -12.8 -7.5 -6.6
  Feb 05, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 76-61 87%     12 - 9 8 - 3 +2.9 +10.3 -4.9
  Feb 08, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 74-70 91%     13 - 9 9 - 3 -10.4 -1.1 -9.1
  Feb 12, 2025 298   VMI W 80-54 85%     14 - 9 10 - 3 +15.3 +3.1 +12.3
  Feb 15, 2025 139   @ Furman W 58-50 36%     15 - 9 11 - 3 +12.0 -7.1 +20.1
  Feb 19, 2025 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 49-65 39%     15 - 10 11 - 4 -12.9 -13.1 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2025 263   @ Mercer W 78-61 62%     16 - 10 12 - 4 +14.1 +10.7 +4.3
  Feb 27, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 63-75 50%     16 - 11 12 - 5 -11.8 -5.9 -7.4
  Mar 01, 2025 123   Samford W 108-100 53%     17 - 11 13 - 5 +7.5 +26.0 -19.0
  Mar 08, 2025 298   VMI L 57-64 78%     17 - 12 -14.9 -12.3 -3.4
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%