UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#293
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#335
Pace68.0#221
Improvement-0.2#206

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#252
First Shot-2.0#229
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#254
Layup/Dunks-5.8#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
Freethrows+3.2#35
Improvement+1.1#89

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#313
First Shot-4.3#312
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#177
Layups/Dunks+1.2#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#320
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-1.3#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.7% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 4.5% 8.9% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 33.1% 40.1% 30.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 5.8% 9.3%
First Four1.5% 1.8% 1.3%
First Round1.4% 1.9% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 29.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 71 @Kansas St. L 64-93 6%     0 - 1 -18.2 -13.3 -1.3
  Sat, Nov 8 223 Elon L 90-92 OT 48%     0 - 2 -8.7 +3.8 -12.4
  Wed, Nov 12 35 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 3%     0 - 3 -30.0 -7.8 -19.5
  Sat, Nov 15 182 Austin Peay L 63-69 39%     0 - 4 -10.6 -12.7 +2.3
  Thu, Nov 20 199 @Queens L 94-101 22%     0 - 5 -6.4 +19.9 -26.5
  Sun, Nov 23 178 Youngstown St. W 68-62 28%     1 - 5 +4.6 -6.4 +10.9
  Tue, Nov 25 287 Delaware L 60-73 48%     1 - 6 -19.9 -11.1 -9.9
  Wed, Nov 26 127 Miami (OH) L 71-82 17%     1 - 7 -8.4 -3.2 -4.8
  Tue, Dec 2 210 UNC Asheville L 77-82 34%     1 - 8 -8.0 +7.4 -15.8
  Sat, Dec 6 245 @East Carolina L 70-76 30%    
  Tue, Dec 16 323 N.C. A&T W 76-71 68%    
  Thu, Jan 1 209 Chattanooga L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Jan 3 228 Samford L 73-74 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 208 @Wofford L 71-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 10 115 @East Tennessee St. L 66-80 10%    
  Thu, Jan 15 363 The Citadel W 77-66 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 191 Mercer L 77-79 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 337 @VMI W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 153 Furman L 70-74 34%    
  Thu, Jan 29 191 @Mercer L 74-82 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 363 @The Citadel W 74-69 66%    
  Wed, Feb 4 281 Western Carolina W 76-74 57%    
  Sun, Feb 8 153 @Furman L 67-77 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 337 VMI W 77-70 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 208 Wofford L 74-75 45%    
  Wed, Feb 18 281 @Western Carolina L 73-77 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 115 East Tennessee St. L 69-77 25%    
  Thu, Feb 26 209 @Chattanooga L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 228 @Samford L 71-77 28%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 3.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.5 0.5 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.6 4.3 0.6 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.4 7.3 4.3 0.7 17.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 5.7 7.4 3.9 0.6 0.0 19.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.1 4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.1 6.8 11.0 13.9 14.9 14.1 12.0 9.3 5.9 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 79.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 51.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 28.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 8.7% 8.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.7% 11.0% 11.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.5
12-6 3.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.7 0.1 0.2 3.0
11-7 5.9% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.6
10-8 9.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 9.0
9-9 12.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 11.7
8-10 14.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.9
7-11 14.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.7
6-12 13.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.8
5-13 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.0
4-14 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 98.0 0.0%