Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#178
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#178
Pace72.0#120
Improvement-0.6#238

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#221
First Shot-0.5#192
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#265
Layup/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#18
Freethrows-2.2#296
Improvement-3.0#361

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#151
First Shot+0.1#164
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#152
Layups/Dunks-6.1#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#9
Freethrows-1.3#265
Improvement+2.3#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 14.0% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 80.5% 84.7% 64.3%
.500 or above in Conference 85.4% 89.1% 70.9%
Conference Champion 18.6% 21.1% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round12.9% 13.8% 9.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Away) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 413 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 92 @Pittsburgh L 59-74 18%     0 - 1 -6.6 -6.1 -1.6
  Fri, Nov 7 94 @Grand Canyon W 90-81 18%     1 - 1 +17.1 +21.1 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 15 111 @St. Bonaventure L 80-84 22%     1 - 2 +2.8 +11.4 -8.6
  Wed, Nov 19 173 @Toledo L 75-92 37%     1 - 3 -15.1 -4.5 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 23 293 UNC Greensboro L 62-68 72%     1 - 4 -13.4 -16.9 +3.7
  Mon, Nov 24 226 Georgia Southern W 67-61 60%     2 - 4 +2.0 -5.9 +8.2
  Fri, Nov 28 350 Chicago St. W 87-64 89%     3 - 4 +8.2 +5.6 +2.5
  Wed, Dec 3 160 Wright St. W 69-68 58%     4 - 4 1 - 0 -2.3 -3.4 +1.1
  Sat, Dec 6 354 @IU Indianapolis W 93-84 79%    
  Wed, Dec 17 183 @Robert Morris L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Dec 20 278 South Carolina Upstate W 78-70 78%    
  Mon, Dec 29 313 Detroit Mercy W 80-70 82%    
  Thu, Jan 1 141 Oakland W 81-80 51%    
  Sun, Jan 4 181 @Northern Kentucky L 72-75 39%    
  Wed, Jan 7 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-75 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 160 @Wright St. L 70-74 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 308 @Cleveland St. W 82-78 63%    
  Thu, Jan 22 264 Green Bay W 76-69 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-74 69%    
  Fri, Jan 30 354 IU Indianapolis W 96-81 91%    
  Wed, Feb 4 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 183 Robert Morris W 74-71 62%    
  Thu, Feb 12 141 @Oakland L 78-84 30%    
  Sun, Feb 15 313 @Detroit Mercy W 77-73 64%    
  Wed, Feb 18 308 Cleveland St. W 85-75 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 181 Northern Kentucky W 75-72 61%    
  Wed, Feb 25 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 264 @Green Bay W 73-72 55%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.4 5.3 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 18.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.5 6.1 4.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.3 6.4 3.6 0.9 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.3 2.5 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.0 3.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 1.7 0.2 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.4 9.4 12.0 14.1 13.6 12.4 10.1 7.2 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
18-2 99.5% 1.9    1.9 0.0
17-3 91.9% 3.6    3.1 0.5
16-4 73.2% 5.3    3.4 1.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 43.5% 4.4    2.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.3% 2.1    0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1
13-7 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.6% 18.6 11.6 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 44.1% 44.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.6% 36.2% 36.2% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 1.9% 36.9% 36.9% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
17-3 4.0% 30.1% 30.1% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8
16-4 7.2% 27.5% 27.5% 13.9 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 5.3
15-5 10.1% 21.7% 21.7% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.0 7.9
14-6 12.4% 17.6% 17.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.2 10.2
13-7 13.6% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 11.8
12-8 14.1% 9.2% 9.2% 15.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 12.8
11-9 12.0% 6.0% 6.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 11.3
10-10 9.4% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.2 0.3 8.9
9-11 6.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 6.2
8-12 4.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.2
7-13 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
6-14 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.3 4.6 1.7 86.9 0.0%