Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#308
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#315
Pace76.0#39
Improvement+0.6#135

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#205
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#252
Layup/Dunks-2.9#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#46
Freethrows+0.5#152
Improvement-0.9#249

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#354
First Shot-7.1#359
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#160
Layups/Dunks-3.7#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#308
Freethrows+1.1#119
Improvement+1.5#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 2.9% 4.2% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 18.6% 24.6% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 10.8% 27.7%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Home) - 61.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 47 - 89 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 259 @Loyola Chicago L 88-91 30%     0 - 1 -5.5 +10.7 -16.1
  Mon, Nov 10 60 @Northwestern L 63-110 4%     0 - 2 -34.8 -8.7 -23.6
  Sat, Nov 15 122 Kent St. L 95-102 15%     0 - 3 -4.0 +13.3 -16.8
  Sun, Nov 16 290 Radford W 87-82 46%     1 - 3 -2.0 -2.3 -0.5
  Wed, Nov 19 214 Valparaiso L 75-90 43%     1 - 4 -21.3 +2.1 -23.6
  Sat, Nov 22 122 @Kent St. L 71-91 10%     1 - 5 -14.0 -9.0 -2.9
  Fri, Nov 28 37 @Missouri L 59-86 2%     1 - 6 -11.2 -8.4 -2.5
  Wed, Dec 3 181 @Northern Kentucky L 80-95 18%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -13.5 +5.6 -18.8
  Sat, Dec 6 313 Detroit Mercy W 82-79 62%    
  Wed, Dec 17 112 @UAB L 74-89 9%    
  Sun, Dec 21 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83-84 45%    
  Mon, Dec 29 354 IU Indianapolis W 100-92 77%    
  Sun, Jan 4 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-88 27%    
  Fri, Jan 9 141 @Oakland L 81-94 13%    
  Sun, Jan 11 313 @Detroit Mercy L 79-82 40%    
  Thu, Jan 15 264 Green Bay W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 178 Youngstown St. L 78-82 37%    
  Wed, Jan 21 160 @Wright St. L 72-83 16%    
  Fri, Jan 30 264 @Green Bay L 76-81 32%    
  Sun, Feb 1 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-87 25%    
  Wed, Feb 4 141 Oakland L 84-91 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 354 @IU Indianapolis W 97-95 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 183 Robert Morris L 76-79 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 160 Wright St. L 75-80 34%    
  Wed, Feb 18 178 @Youngstown St. L 75-85 19%    
  Sun, Feb 22 236 Purdue Fort Wayne L 84-85 47%    
  Wed, Feb 25 181 Northern Kentucky L 78-82 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 183 @Robert Morris L 73-82 20%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.6 0.8 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.8 1.4 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 5.8 1.8 0.2 16.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.5 6.8 5.8 1.8 0.2 18.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.4 6.6 4.3 1.6 0.1 20.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.1 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.8 11th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.6 5.5 8.9 11.7 13.9 14.1 13.0 10.5 7.8 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 57.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 21.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 12.9% 12.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 0.9% 10.1% 10.1% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-7 1.7% 6.9% 6.9% 15.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
12-8 3.0% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.8
11-9 4.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 4.6
10-10 7.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.6
9-11 10.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.4
8-12 13.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.9
7-13 14.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.0
6-14 13.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-15 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-16 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
3-17 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-18 2.6% 2.6
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%