IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#224
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.9	#216

Pace	68.1	#206
Improvement	+3.4	#21

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#254

First Shot	-4.8	#314
After Offensive Rebound	+1.8	#81

Layup/Dunks	-1.9	#253
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.6	#48
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.0	#345
Freethrows	+0.5	#145

Improvement	+4.7	#2

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#178

First Shot	+1.0	#138
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.3	#284

Layups/Dunks	+0.9	#134
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.2	#81
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.1	#194
Freethrows	-1.0	#258

Improvement	-1.3	#284

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.7%	8.5%	5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.9	15.2

.500 or above	53.9%	67.0%	41.4%
.500 or above in Conference	73.7%	84.8%	63.2%
Conference Champion	7.2%	11.3%	3.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.2%	0.9%

First Four	0.8%	0.7%	0.9%
First Round	6.3%	8.1%	4.6%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 5	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	21	@ Michigan	L	53-101	4%	0 - 1			-30.8	-15.1	-12.5
Nov 09, 2024	68	@ Kansas St.	L	64-77	9%	0 - 2			-1.7	-2.4	+0.6
Nov 12, 2024	226	@ Valparaiso	W	75-67	39%	1 - 2			+7.5	+2.5	+5.2
Nov 16, 2024	317	Eastern Michigan	W	71-63	79%	2 - 2			-3.8	-3.7	+0.3
Nov 19, 2024	114	@ Minnesota	L	47-58	18%	2 - 3			-4.6	-17.5	+12.0
Nov 23, 2024	113	Kent St.	L	52-68	36%	2 - 4			-15.6	-14.0	-2.8
Nov 26, 2024	352	NJIT	W	56-53	87%	3 - 4			-12.5	-17.3	+5.1
Nov 29, 2024	281	Morehead St.	L	69-71	73%	3 - 5			-11.6	-6.8	-4.9
Dec 05, 2024	137	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	67-79	24%	3 - 6	0 - 1		-7.8	+0.0	-8.7
Dec 07, 2024	333	@ Green Bay	W	83-61	65%	4 - 6	1 - 1		+14.8	+6.5	+8.6
Dec 19, 2024	206	Oakland	W	92-75	57%	5 - 6	2 - 1		+11.9	+23.7	-10.4
Dec 29, 2024	154	Wright St.	L	73-74	49%
Jan 04, 2025	354	IU Indianapolis	W	77-64	88%
Jan 08, 2025	259	@ Robert Morris	L	68-69	46%
Jan 11, 2025	195	@ Youngstown St.	L	66-71	32%
Jan 15, 2025	214	Northern Kentucky	W	69-67	58%
Jan 19, 2025	354	@ IU Indianapolis	W	74-67	73%
Jan 22, 2025	323	Detroit Mercy	W	74-65	79%
Jan 25, 2025	333	Green Bay	W	80-70	82%
Jan 30, 2025	144	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	74-81	27%
Feb 05, 2025	214	@ Northern Kentucky	L	66-70	37%
Feb 08, 2025	137	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	74-75	45%
Feb 12, 2025	259	Robert Morris	W	71-66	68%
Feb 16, 2025	195	Youngstown St.	W	69-68	55%
Feb 21, 2025	323	@ Detroit Mercy	W	71-68	60%
Feb 23, 2025	206	@ Oakland	L	64-68	36%
Feb 27, 2025	154	@ Wright St.	L	71-77	28%
Mar 01, 2025	144	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	77-78	48%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.5	2.4	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.0			7.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	2.8	4.4	2.4	0.5	0.1	0.0				10.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	3.4	5.6	2.5	0.3	0.0						12.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	3.6	6.9	3.0	0.2	0.0							14.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	3.2	6.8	3.7	0.4	0.0								14.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	3.0	6.7	4.0	0.5										14.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.0	5.4	3.4	0.6	0.0										13.0	7th
8th						0.1	0.6	2.3	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0											8.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.0	0.4	1.1	1.5	0.6	0.1													3.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.0	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.2	11th

Total			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	2.0	4.5	7.5	11.0	13.9	15.4	15.0	12.0	8.6	5.1	2.3	1.0	0.3	0.0				Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	99.3%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	94.7%	0.9		0.8	0.1	0.0
16-4	76.6%	1.8		1.2	0.5	0.1
15-5	46.7%	2.4		1.0	1.1	0.3	0.0
14-6	17.4%	1.5		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-7	2.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	7.2%	7.2		3.6	2.3	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
18-2	0.3%		37.0%	37.0%		13.0													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2
17-3	1.0%		26.7%	26.7%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7
16-4	2.3%		24.1%	24.1%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1		1.8
15-5	5.1%		16.0%	16.0%		14.4														0.1	0.3	0.4	0.0	4.3
14-6	8.6%		14.2%	14.2%		14.8														0.0	0.3	0.7	0.2	7.4
13-7	12.0%		9.8%	9.8%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.3	10.8
12-8	15.0%		6.8%	6.8%		15.4															0.0	0.5	0.4	14.0
11-9	15.4%		5.1%	5.1%		15.6															0.0	0.3	0.5	14.6
10-10	13.9%		3.2%	3.2%		15.8																0.1	0.4	13.5
9-11	11.0%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	10.8
8-12	7.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.5
7-13	4.5%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
6-14	2.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
5-15	0.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
4-16	0.2%																							0.2
3-17	0.1%																							0.1
2-18	0.0%																							0.0
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	15.0												0.0	0.0	0.4	1.4	2.8	2.2	93.3		0.0%