Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#128
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#132
Pace68.3#183
Improvement-0.2#204

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#184
First Shot-1.5#223
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#122
Layup/Dunks+4.0#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#224
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-1.8#291

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#107
First Shot+1.6#120
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#111
Layups/Dunks+0.7#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#159
Freethrows-0.9#253
Improvement+1.6#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.4% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 12.9
.500 or above 83.1% 92.7% 74.1%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 70.2% 41.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.5% 2.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.6% 2.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Home) - 48.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 37 - 69 - 13
Quad 49 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 79-72 95%     1 - 0 -9.7 -2.7 -7.4
  Nov 07, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 90%     2 - 0 +9.6 +9.3 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2024 129   @ Princeton W 73-68 40%     3 - 0 +9.4 +0.7 +8.6
  Nov 19, 2024 268   Southern Utah W 76-72 83%     4 - 0 -4.5 +5.1 -9.3
  Nov 23, 2024 238   Tulsa W 89-53 80%     5 - 0 +29.0 +10.7 +17.1
  Dec 03, 2024 300   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 87%     6 - 0 +11.8 +5.6 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2024 177   South Florida W 74-72 69%     7 - 0 -1.3 -0.1 -1.2
  Dec 15, 2024 72   San Francisco L 66-76 29%     7 - 1 -2.4 -6.7 +4.9
  Dec 18, 2024 352   Canisius W 72-60 94%     8 - 1 -3.5 -4.8 +2.3
  Dec 22, 2024 188   Oakland L 71-72 62%     8 - 2 -2.3 +3.2 -5.7
  Dec 23, 2024 131   College of Charleston L 68-77 51%     8 - 3 -7.3 -10.5 +4.0
  Dec 25, 2024 171   Murray St. L 68-71 58%     8 - 4 -3.3 -0.7 -2.8
  Jan 04, 2025 38   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-84 23%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -9.6 +3.0 -13.9
  Jan 08, 2025 193   @ La Salle W 79-68 54%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +12.0 +11.9 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-93 24%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -26.8 -10.9 -15.4
  Jan 15, 2025 121   Rhode Island W 81-77 58%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +3.8 +11.4 -7.4
  Jan 18, 2025 80   @ Dayton L 81-83 OT 22%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +7.8 +6.2 +1.7
  Jan 22, 2025 191   Fordham W 70-66 71%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +0.1 +1.2 -0.7
  Jan 29, 2025 81   @ George Mason L 53-58 OT 23%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +4.8 -7.5 +12.0
  Feb 01, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's W 58-55 41%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +7.2 -8.3 +15.7
  Feb 04, 2025 95   St. Bonaventure L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 142   @ Duquesne L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 11, 2025 220   @ Richmond W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 14, 2025 105   Saint Louis W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 18, 2025 126   @ Davidson L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 21, 2025 80   Dayton L 69-72 42%    
  Feb 26, 2025 124   George Washington W 72-70 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 105   @ Saint Louis L 69-74 31%    
  Mar 05, 2025 126   Davidson W 72-70 60%    
  Mar 08, 2025 152   @ Massachusetts L 73-74 43%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.7 5.0 0.9 8.7 4th
5th 1.3 7.3 2.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 5.6 5.3 0.3 11.3 6th
7th 1.7 9.5 1.3 12.4 7th
8th 0.1 5.3 4.5 0.1 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 7.9 0.6 9.9 9th
10th 0.2 4.4 3.8 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 5.1 0.8 6.9 11th
12th 0.1 3.6 3.1 0.1 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 2.5 0.5 4.2 13th
14th 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.3 15th
Total 0.4 2.4 7.8 14.6 19.6 21.6 17.1 10.8 4.4 1.2 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 43.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 17.4% 17.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.2% 7.3% 7.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 4.4% 8.0% 8.0% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.0
11-7 10.8% 3.7% 3.7% 12.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 10.4
10-8 17.1% 1.8% 1.8% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.8
9-9 21.6% 1.3% 1.3% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 21.3
8-10 19.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 19.4
7-11 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 7.8
5-13 2.4% 2.4
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 12.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%