Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#225
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#262
Pace66.2#232
Improvement-3.0#314

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#262
First Shot-3.6#284
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#162
Layup/Dunks+0.4#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#294
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement-0.8#228

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#174
First Shot-0.5#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#153
Layups/Dunks+4.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#343
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement-2.2#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.8% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 10.6% 17.0% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.5% 70.3% 36.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four1.7% 1.6% 1.9%
First Round3.5% 4.4% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 22 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 156   @ South Alabama W 74-70 27%     1 - 0 +7.0 +7.4 -0.2
  Nov 07, 2024 318   Stony Brook L 72-73 78%     1 - 1 -12.7 -6.2 -6.5
  Nov 11, 2024 21   @ Marquette L 62-70 3%     1 - 2 +10.2 -4.8 +15.4
  Nov 13, 2024 81   @ George Mason W 70-69 11%     2 - 2 +10.8 +6.9 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 92   @ Minnesota L 65-68 13%     2 - 3 +5.5 +1.3 +4.0
  Dec 14, 2024 226   @ Valparaiso L 77-93 41%     2 - 4 -17.0 -6.5 -8.7
  Dec 17, 2024 35   Mississippi St. L 59-83 7%     2 - 5 -10.8 -2.9 -10.1
  Dec 21, 2024 10   @ Arizona L 41-94 2%     2 - 6 -32.7 -22.3 -10.5
  Jan 04, 2025 168   Ohio L 55-57 46%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -4.5 -16.6 +12.0
  Jan 07, 2025 100   @ Akron L 71-87 16%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -8.8 +5.3 -14.9
  Jan 10, 2025 201   @ Toledo L 67-69 35%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -1.5 -3.1 +1.4
  Jan 14, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 82-63 74%     3 - 9 1 - 3 +8.8 +5.5 +3.9
  Jan 18, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 71-66 71%     4 - 9 2 - 3 -4.1 +2.9 -6.5
  Jan 21, 2025 255   Ball St. L 80-82 67%     4 - 10 2 - 4 -10.0 -1.7 -8.2
  Jan 25, 2025 306   Western Michigan W 73-52 76%     5 - 10 3 - 4 +10.2 +0.1 +11.5
  Jan 28, 2025 342   @ Buffalo L 69-75 71%     5 - 11 3 - 5 -15.3 -11.0 -4.1
  Feb 01, 2025 312   Bowling Green W 90-71 77%     6 - 11 4 - 5 +7.9 +18.1 -8.7
  Feb 04, 2025 173   Miami (OH) L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 184   Texas St. W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 11, 2025 148   @ Kent St. L 61-68 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 100   Akron L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 18, 2025 168   @ Ohio L 70-76 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 306   @ Western Michigan W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 342   Buffalo W 78-67 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan W 73-71 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 255   @ Ball St. L 70-71 46%    
  Mar 07, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 76-65 85%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.2 0.2 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.6 4.7 0.7 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 9.6 8.4 1.6 0.0 21.0 5th
6th 0.7 8.6 12.1 2.9 0.0 24.3 6th
7th 0.2 4.8 10.8 2.7 0.1 18.4 7th
8th 1.7 7.0 2.6 0.1 11.4 8th
9th 0.3 3.2 2.5 0.2 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.2 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.2 1.4 6.4 15.2 23.4 25.6 17.4 8.0 2.2 0.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 3.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.3% 9.1% 9.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 2.2% 12.1% 12.1% 14.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0
11-7 8.0% 6.8% 6.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.4
10-8 17.4% 5.3% 5.3% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.4 16.5
9-9 25.6% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.2 1.3 24.2
8-10 23.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 22.7
7-11 15.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.0
6-12 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 95.9 0.0%