Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#124
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#175
Pace67.4#242
Improvement+1.8#54

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#147
First Shot+3.5#85
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#330
Layup/Dunks-1.2#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#91
Freethrows+1.8#88
Improvement+0.4#150

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#104
First Shot-0.9#201
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#24
Layups/Dunks+4.7#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
Freethrows-2.0#297
Improvement+1.4#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 9.5% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 13.1
.500 or above 79.4% 80.9% 59.1%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 73.7% 61.4%
Conference Champion 10.6% 10.9% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.5% 2.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round9.3% 9.5% 7.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 93.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 37 - 69 - 12
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 111 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 46%     0 - 1 -2.2 -3.4 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 8 309 Central Michigan W 85-54 90%     1 - 1 +19.8 +8.1 +12.4
  Wed, Nov 12 239 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 83%     1 - 2 -18.5 -11.2 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 15 99 @San Francisco L 64-75 31%     1 - 3 -3.0 -3.0 -0.3
  Wed, Nov 19 314 Umass Lowell W 87-77 90%     2 - 3 -1.4 +11.0 -12.0
  Mon, Nov 24 247 Princeton W 88-64 77%     3 - 3 +19.3 +15.2 +4.1
  Tue, Nov 25 102 UC San Diego L 77-87 43%     3 - 4 -5.2 +4.8 -10.0
  Wed, Nov 26 98 Liberty W 74-64 42%     4 - 4 +15.0 +8.4 +7.5
  Tue, Dec 2 158 Washington St. W 64-60 72%     5 - 4 +0.8 -11.1 +12.0
  Sat, Dec 6 330 Northern Illinois W 82-66 93%    
  Thu, Dec 18 196 @Indiana St. W 75-73 58%    
  Sun, Dec 21 142 Southern Illinois W 75-70 66%    
  Mon, Dec 29 279 Evansville W 74-62 87%    
  Thu, Jan 1 88 @Belmont L 71-77 30%    
  Sun, Jan 4 113 @Murray St. L 76-80 36%    
  Wed, Jan 7 128 Drake W 69-66 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 87 Northern Iowa L 64-65 50%    
  Tue, Jan 13 279 @Evansville W 71-65 72%    
  Sat, Jan 17 101 @Illinois St. L 69-74 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 196 Indiana St. W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 204 Illinois-Chicago W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 128 @Drake L 66-69 41%    
  Tue, Feb 3 214 Valparaiso W 72-63 79%    
  Fri, Feb 6 87 @Northern Iowa L 62-68 30%    
  Mon, Feb 9 88 Belmont W 75-74 50%    
  Sun, Feb 15 142 @Southern Illinois L 72-73 45%    
  Wed, Feb 18 214 @Valparaiso W 69-66 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 101 Illinois St. W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Feb 24 204 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-71 59%    
  Sun, Mar 1 113 Murray St. W 79-77 58%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.9 2.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.6 3.0 1.0 0.1 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 4.0 5.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.3 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.3 2.1 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.9 1.2 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.9 4.9 7.1 9.7 12.0 13.4 12.9 12.0 9.1 6.5 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.0
17-3 93.2% 2.0    1.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 73.6% 2.8    1.9 0.9 0.1
15-5 45.4% 2.9    1.2 1.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 15.3% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.1 3.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 35.6% 35.6% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.9% 32.8% 32.8% 11.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.1% 26.4% 26.1% 0.3% 11.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.5 0.4%
16-4 3.8% 23.9% 23.9% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.9
15-5 6.5% 20.0% 20.0% 12.3 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 5.2
14-6 9.1% 16.9% 16.9% 12.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.6
13-7 12.0% 13.6% 13.6% 12.7 0.7 0.8 0.2 10.3
12-8 12.9% 10.1% 10.1% 13.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 11.6
11-9 13.4% 6.0% 6.0% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.6
10-10 12.0% 4.0% 4.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.5
9-11 9.7% 2.4% 2.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.5
8-12 7.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
7-13 4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-14 2.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 90.7 0.0%