Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#136
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#139
Pace64.4#284
Improvement-1.1#236

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#81
First Shot+6.7#35
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#333
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.0#5
Freethrows+1.3#97
Improvement-1.6#265

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#236
First Shot-3.4#288
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#90
Layups/Dunks+2.1#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#287
Freethrows-1.2#267
Improvement+0.5#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 37 - 68 - 12
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 306   Tennessee Martin L 65-67 88%     0 - 1 -13.2 -20.2 +7.2
  Nov 07, 2024 143   @ North Dakota St. W 77-68 41%     1 - 1 +12.7 +7.6 +5.9
  Nov 12, 2024 186   Ohio W 85-75 70%     2 - 1 +5.9 +17.2 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2024 69   McNeese St. L 68-76 26%     2 - 2 +0.0 +7.8 -9.0
  Nov 23, 2024 108   UAB W 84-83 41%     3 - 2 +4.8 +3.1 +1.6
  Nov 25, 2024 114   George Washington L 64-72 43%     3 - 3 -4.7 -1.7 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2024 127   @ Belmont L 97-99 OT 37%     3 - 4 0 - 1 +2.7 +11.4 -8.4
  Dec 07, 2024 292   Pacific W 72-61 86%     4 - 4 +0.7 +1.9 +0.0
  Dec 15, 2024 100   Saint Louis W 81-77 49%     5 - 4 +5.6 +18.9 -12.8
  Dec 18, 2024 347   Northern Illinois W 81-60 93%     6 - 4 +5.8 +2.4 +3.3
  Dec 22, 2024 129   @ Cornell W 80-77 38%     7 - 4 +7.6 +10.0 -2.2
  Dec 29, 2024 173   Illinois-Chicago L 67-73 68%     7 - 5 0 - 2 -9.4 -0.4 -9.6
  Jan 02, 2025 145   @ Murray St. W 74-68 41%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +9.7 +12.8 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2025 195   Southern Illinois W 85-54 72%     9 - 5 2 - 2 +26.4 +11.3 +15.8
  Jan 08, 2025 242   @ Evansville L 51-69 62%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -19.7 -12.7 -9.4
  Jan 11, 2025 103   Northern Iowa L 84-85 51%     9 - 7 2 - 4 +0.3 +18.9 -18.7
  Jan 15, 2025 66   @ Drake L 62-66 18%     9 - 8 2 - 5 +7.0 +16.1 -10.5
  Jan 18, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 74-68 77%     10 - 8 3 - 5 -0.5 +9.1 -8.8
  Jan 21, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 85-81 72%     11 - 8 4 - 5 -0.6 +2.3 -3.2
  Jan 25, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 57-61 27%     11 - 9 4 - 6 +3.9 -5.2 +8.5
  Jan 29, 2025 127   Belmont W 81-78 58%     12 - 9 5 - 6 +2.2 +8.0 -5.7
  Feb 01, 2025 208   Valparaiso W 86-78 74%     13 - 9 6 - 6 +2.6 +19.5 -16.0
  Feb 05, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago W 81-79 47%     14 - 9 7 - 6 +4.1 +14.1 -9.9
  Feb 08, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa L 65-68 30%     14 - 10 7 - 7 +3.8 -0.3 +3.9
  Feb 12, 2025 66   Drake L 77-84 35%     14 - 11 7 - 8 -1.5 +13.0 -15.0
  Feb 15, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. L 76-85 52%     14 - 12 7 - 9 -8.1 +2.9 -11.3
  Feb 19, 2025 96   Bradley W 82-71 46%     15 - 12 8 - 9 +13.3 +18.2 -3.7
  Feb 22, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 70-68 59%     16 - 12 9 - 9 +1.0 +5.1 -3.8
  Feb 25, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois L 79-88 52%     16 - 13 9 - 10 -8.1 +6.6 -14.7
  Mar 02, 2025 242   Evansville W 62-53 79%     17 - 13 10 - 10 +1.8 -11.4 +13.2
  Mar 06, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 70-54 69%     18 - 13 +12.3 +5.1 +9.0
  Mar 07, 2025 127   Belmont L 63-76 48%     18 - 14 -11.0 -14.4 +4.1
Projected Record 18 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%