Belmont
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#88
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#86
Pace75.2#50
Improvement+1.4#86

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#111
First Shot+2.4#114
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#171
Layup/Dunks+1.1#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#30
Freethrows-2.4#310
Improvement+1.6#60

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#80
First Shot+2.5#99
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#128
Layups/Dunks+6.0#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
Freethrows+0.5#152
Improvement-0.3#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.1% 23.5% 18.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.0 11.8 12.2
.500 or above 97.8% 99.0% 96.4%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 92.6% 88.4%
Conference Champion 28.9% 32.5% 24.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round21.0% 23.3% 18.2%
Second Round3.7% 4.4% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Away) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 33 - 4
Quad 310 - 512 - 9
Quad 411 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 332 Air Force W 79-63 95%     1 - 0 +2.9 +5.0 -1.3
  Sat, Nov 8 249 Tennessee St. W 87-79 89%     2 - 0 +0.2 +0.2 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 15 311 @Oral Roberts W 83-60 85%     3 - 0 +17.6 +0.2 +15.8
  Wed, Nov 19 164 Lipscomb W 75-68 82%     4 - 0 +3.3 -5.7 +8.3
  Mon, Nov 24 356 St. Francis (PA) W 94-57 96%     5 - 0 +23.2 +14.0 +8.2
  Wed, Nov 26 173 Toledo W 87-72 75%     6 - 0 +13.9 +8.9 +4.7
  Sun, Nov 30 180 @College of Charleston W 96-73 66%     7 - 0 +24.6 +22.1 +2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 104 Richmond L 76-84 66%     7 - 1 -6.5 -0.5 -5.5
  Sun, Dec 7 138 @Middle Tennessee W 78-77 55%    
  Sat, Dec 13 204 Illinois-Chicago W 82-71 86%    
  Tue, Dec 16 279 @Evansville W 77-68 81%    
  Fri, Dec 19 125 @UC Irvine W 72-71 49%    
  Mon, Dec 29 196 @Indiana St. W 81-76 68%    
  Thu, Jan 1 124 Bradley W 77-71 70%    
  Sun, Jan 4 142 Southern Illinois W 81-74 76%    
  Wed, Jan 7 87 @Northern Iowa L 67-70 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 128 @Drake W 73-72 51%    
  Tue, Jan 13 214 Valparaiso W 78-66 86%    
  Sat, Jan 17 142 @Southern Illinois W 78-77 56%    
  Sun, Jan 25 101 Illinois St. W 77-73 64%    
  Wed, Jan 28 214 @Valparaiso W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Jan 31 113 Murray St. W 85-80 68%    
  Tue, Feb 3 128 Drake W 75-69 71%    
  Fri, Feb 6 204 @Illinois-Chicago W 79-74 69%    
  Mon, Feb 9 124 @Bradley L 74-75 50%    
  Thu, Feb 12 87 Northern Iowa W 70-67 60%    
  Sun, Feb 15 113 @Murray St. L 82-83 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 196 Indiana St. W 84-73 84%    
  Wed, Feb 25 279 Evansville W 80-65 91%    
  Sun, Mar 1 101 @Illinois St. L 74-76 43%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.7 6.3 7.4 6.3 4.0 1.4 0.2 28.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.9 7.1 5.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.0 3.9 0.9 0.1 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.3 1.5 2.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.1 0.1 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.8 9.0 12.0 13.3 14.2 12.9 9.9 6.9 4.1 1.4 0.2 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
18-2 99.0% 4.0    3.8 0.2
17-3 92.0% 6.3    5.5 0.8 0.0
16-4 74.5% 7.4    5.0 2.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 48.7% 6.3    2.9 2.7 0.6 0.0 0.0
14-6 18.7% 2.7    0.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-7 4.2% 0.6    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 28.9% 28.9 19.7 7.1 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 79.1% 64.2% 14.9% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.7%
19-1 1.4% 55.6% 48.0% 7.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 14.6%
18-2 4.1% 45.1% 43.1% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.2 3.6%
17-3 6.9% 37.8% 37.3% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.2 0.0 4.3 0.9%
16-4 9.9% 33.8% 33.7% 0.1% 11.7 1.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.6 0.1%
15-5 12.9% 27.4% 27.3% 0.1% 12.0 0.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.4 0.1%
14-6 14.2% 21.8% 21.8% 12.2 0.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 11.1
13-7 13.3% 16.6% 16.6% 12.4 0.1 1.3 0.8 0.1 11.1
12-8 12.0% 13.8% 13.8% 12.6 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.2 10.3
11-9 9.0% 11.8% 11.8% 12.9 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.9
10-10 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.3
9-11 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.1
8-12 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
7-13 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.3
6-14 0.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.6
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 21.1% 20.8% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.0 10.6 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 78.9 0.3%