Belmont
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#127
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#110
Pace75.5#25
Improvement+0.7#166

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#89
First Shot+3.7#81
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#217
Layup/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#29
Freethrows-2.8#329
Improvement-2.7#306

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#213
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#166
Layups/Dunks-0.5#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
Freethrows+2.1#52
Improvement+3.4#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 39 - 511 - 10
Quad 410 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 139   Furman L 74-76 63%     0 - 1 -3.5 -1.0 -2.5
  Nov 12, 2024 97   @ Lipscomb W 80-79 29%     1 - 1 +8.8 +10.8 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2024 300   @ Air Force W 79-71 75%     2 - 1 +2.8 +12.1 -8.5
  Nov 19, 2024 321   Oral Roberts W 90-80 90%     3 - 1 -2.3 -0.4 -3.0
  Nov 26, 2024 157   Loyola Marymount L 63-77 57%     3 - 2 -13.8 -10.3 -2.9
  Nov 27, 2024 141   Tulane W 89-66 54%     4 - 2 +24.0 +18.1 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2024 272   Gardner-Webb W 83-74 85%     5 - 2 +0.1 +0.0 -0.6
  Dec 04, 2024 136   Illinois St. W 99-97 OT 63%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +0.7 +9.5 -9.1
  Dec 07, 2024 118   Middle Tennessee W 82-79 57%     7 - 2 +3.2 +6.1 -3.0
  Dec 14, 2024 226   @ Richmond W 93-86 60%     8 - 2 +6.3 +12.4 -6.7
  Dec 19, 2024 70   UC Irvine L 84-92 38%     8 - 3 -2.9 +9.0 -11.1
  Dec 29, 2024 66   @ Drake L 46-65 20%     8 - 4 1 - 1 -8.0 -11.8 +0.0
  Jan 01, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa L 70-76 32%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +0.8 -1.6 +2.6
  Jan 04, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago W 92-87 70%     9 - 5 2 - 2 +1.6 +8.7 -7.6
  Jan 08, 2025 195   Southern Illinois W 90-86 74%     10 - 5 3 - 2 -0.6 +14.0 -14.7
  Jan 11, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. W 84-79 54%     11 - 5 4 - 2 +5.9 +2.4 +3.1
  Jan 14, 2025 208   Valparaiso W 71-64 76%     12 - 5 5 - 2 +1.6 -9.7 +10.9
  Jan 18, 2025 242   @ Evansville W 85-82 64%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +1.3 +15.6 -14.2
  Jan 21, 2025 96   Bradley L 77-89 49%     13 - 6 6 - 3 -9.7 +4.8 -14.5
  Jan 25, 2025 145   @ Murray St. W 95-77 43%     14 - 6 7 - 3 +21.7 +30.0 -7.3
  Jan 29, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. L 78-81 42%     14 - 7 7 - 4 +1.2 +6.7 -5.7
  Feb 02, 2025 242   Evansville L 75-80 81%     14 - 8 7 - 5 -12.2 +6.5 -19.0
  Feb 05, 2025 96   @ Bradley W 80-77 29%     15 - 8 8 - 5 +10.9 +14.5 -3.5
  Feb 08, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 85-68 79%     16 - 8 9 - 5 +10.5 +14.8 -3.5
  Feb 12, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso L 86-101 57%     16 - 9 9 - 6 -14.9 +11.4 -26.0
  Feb 15, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois W 73-68 54%     17 - 9 10 - 6 +5.9 +5.5 +0.8
  Feb 19, 2025 103   Northern Iowa L 75-82 53%     17 - 10 10 - 7 -5.7 +3.6 -9.4
  Feb 22, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 77-75 74%     18 - 10 11 - 7 -2.6 -4.8 +2.0
  Feb 26, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 74-65 61%     19 - 10 12 - 7 +8.0 +6.0 +2.4
  Mar 02, 2025 145   Murray St. W 70-60 64%     20 - 10 13 - 7 +8.2 -4.4 +12.3
  Mar 07, 2025 136   Illinois St. W 76-63 52%     21 - 10 +14.4 -3.1 +16.8
  Mar 08, 2025 66   Drake L 50-57 27%     21 - 11 +1.2 -8.9 +8.8
Projected Record 21 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%