Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.9 #321
Expected Predictive Rating -12.6 #340
Pace 68.4 #199
Improvement -4.8 #349

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #312 D D D C B-
Defense #304 C- D- C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #160 1.09 #260 -1.1 #224
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #288 0.71 #243 -2.2 #292
Three Pointers 45% #92 0.89 #330 -0.7 #201
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #288 -4.0 #287
Freethrows 17.1 #200 75% #101 12.9 #164
Second Chance 26.9% #287 0.99 #255 0.27 #283
Turnovers 18.1% #281
Total Offense -5.5 #312

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #26 1.10 #105 -2.7 #273
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #214 0.87 #324 -0.6 #221
Three Pointers 35% #322 1.07 #253 +1.9 #118
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #217 -1.4 #219
Freethrows 18.9 #270 73% #179 13.7 #270
Second Chance 33.5% #296 1.12 #283 0.38 #312
Turnovers 15.4% #242
Total Defense -4.4 #304

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #94 1.3% #295
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.0% #323 1.3% #203
Possession Length 17.4 #177 16.9 #112
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #131 0.16 #145
Improvement -3.9 #348 -0.9 #249

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 55.5% 37.7% 60.8%
First Four0.7% 1.1% 0.6%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 44 - 106 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 61 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 3% -9  0 - 1 -12 -10 F D+ D +2 A+ F A
 Wed, Nov 12 70 Tulsa L 87 - 88 9% +2  0 - 2 +4 +9 A+ C B+ -5 A+ D+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 82 Belmont L 60 - 83 10% -6  0 - 3 -19 -16 F F C -1 C F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 57 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 3% -19  0 - 4 -11 +2 D- A+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 225 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 19% -0  0 - 5 -6 +8 A+ C+ F -13 F F C
 Tue, Nov 25 150 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 16% -1  1 - 5 +9 +9 A+ F F -1 C C+ B+
 Wed, Nov 26 239 Rice L 62 - 81 30% -10  1 - 6 -23 -6 F A+ D -20 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 217 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 18% -17  1 - 7 -26 -11 D+ F F -14 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 152 Montana St. W 72 - 68 24% -6  2 - 7 +2 +5 D D+ D- -3 C- B A+
 Tue, Dec 16 179 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 14% -2  2 - 8 +1 -4 F F C +5 C+ A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 45 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  2 - 9 -5 -2 B+ F D- -6 B F D
 Mon, Dec 22 156 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 25% -6  2 - 10 -15 -11 F D F -4 D F C+
 Thu, Jan 1 297 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 31% -10  2 - 11 0 - 1 -16 -15 F F B+ -1 C D+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 147 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 10% +0  2 - 12 0 - 2 +2 +1 D- C+ C+ +1 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 131 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 21% -2  2 - 13 0 - 3 -12 +1 C F A+ -14 B- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 280 @Denver L 87 - 98 27% -6  2 - 14 0 - 4 -15 +6 C+ F A+ -21 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 17 261 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 45% -6  2 - 15 0 - 5 -20 -13 F F F -7 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 297 North Dakota L 62 - 79 53% -8  2 - 16 0 - 6 -28 -14 F B F -15 D+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 24 147 North Dakota St. L 68 - 76 23%
 Thu, Jan 29 283 @South Dakota L 77 - 83 29%
 Sat, Jan 31 170 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 81 13%
 Sat, Feb 7 131 @St. Thomas L 67 - 82 8%
 Thu, Feb 12 353 UMKC W 76 - 70 72%
 Sat, Feb 14 170 South Dakota St. L 72 - 78 29%
 Wed, Feb 18 261 @Nebraska Omaha L 70 - 77 25%
 Sat, Feb 21 283 South Dakota L 79 - 80 49%
 Thu, Feb 26 280 Denver L 79 - 80 50%
 Sat, Feb 28 353 @UMKC W 74 - 73 50%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -10 -5 D D D -4 C- D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 2.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.4 4.1 7.7 2.6 0.1 15.0 7th
8th 3.3 13.0 15.6 5.6 0.4 0.0 37.9 8th
9th 1.7 8.0 14.7 11.2 2.9 0.1 38.5 9th
Total 1.7 8.0 18.0 24.6 22.6 15.2 7.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.1
8-8 0.6% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
7-9 2.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 2.2
6-10 7.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 6.9
5-11 15.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 15.0
4-12 22.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 22.5
3-13 24.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 24.5
2-14 18.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 17.9
1-15 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.9
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%