IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-5.5	#261
Expected Predictive Rating	-7.9	#294

Pace	68.2	#204
Improvement	+0.5	#159

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#222	C	D	C	C-	C
Defense	#282	D+	C	D-	C-	D

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	37%	#240	1.14	#192	-1.5	#241
2 Pt. Jumpers	20%	#192	0.81	#104	+0.2	#164
Three Pointers	44%	#127	0.99	#223	+0.9	#147
1st FG Attempt			1.01	#191	-0.4	#189
Freethrows	16.7	#226	70%	#256	11.7	#233
Second Chance	25.1%	#319	1.06	#161	0.27	#287
Turnovers					16.7%	#190
Total Offense					-1.9	#222

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	37%	#228	1.27	#312	-1.3	#223
2 Pt. Jumpers	14%	#341	0.80	#255	+2.0	#40
Three Pointers	48%	#22	1.00	#158	-3.4	#313
1st FG Attempt			1.07	#264	-2.6	#265
Freethrows	17.7	#203	77%	#331	13.5	#249
Second Chance	28.6%	#99	1.10	#260	0.31	#169
Turnovers					13.7%	#328
Total Defense					-3.6	#282

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.1%	#200	1.4%	#303
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-0.8%	#191	3.7%	#249
Possession Length	18.5	#293	16.5	#56
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.13	#289	0.16	#153
Improvement	-1.4	#266	+1.9	#71

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.4%	4.9%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	2.4%	3.3%	0.5%
.500 or above in Conference	28.7%	37.0%	11.9%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	4.7%	1.4%	11.4%

First Four	3.5%	3.7%	3.1%
First Round	3.0%	3.3%	2.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Away) - 67.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	3 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 8	10 - 18

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	97 Murray St.	L	77 - 85	16%	-5	0 - 1		-3	-5	B-	F	F	+3	A+	C	B+
Thu, Nov 6	258 @Abilene Christian	L	71 - 73	37%	-4	0 - 2		-4	-0	C+	F	F	-4	D-	C	C+
Sun, Nov 9	96 @Colorado St.	L	74 - 97	10%	-8	0 - 3		-15	+6	B-	F	A+	-23	D	F	C-
Sat, Nov 15	284 Southern Utah	W	90 - 85	67%	+3	1 - 3		-5	+9	A+	F	C+	-14	F	A	F
Fri, Nov 21	43 @LSU	L	73 - 99	4%	-16	1 - 4		-11	-1	C+	F	C	-8	F	A+	C
Tue, Nov 25	231 James Madison	L	77 - 88	44%	-13	1 - 5		-15	+6	A+	C+	F	-22	F	F	F
Wed, Nov 26	192 @Florida International	L	61 - 74	27%	-8	1 - 6		-12	-13	F	B+	F	+1	B	B-	F
Wed, Dec 3	185 Northern Colorado	L	70 - 75	47%	-1	1 - 7		-10	-3	D	B	D+	-7	D	A+	F
Sat, Dec 6	153 @Portland St.	W	60 - 55	20%	+2	2 - 7		+9	+5	F	A+	C-	+5	A+	C	D
Sat, Dec 20	211 @Lamar	W	85 - 82 OT	30%	+7	3 - 7		+3	+11	A	C+	C	-8	C	F	D
Sun, Dec 28	68 @Oregon	L	57 - 80	7%	-11	3 - 8		-12	-5	F	C	B+	-9	F	A+	F
Thu, Jan 1	170 @South Dakota St.	L	69 - 84	24%	-6	3 - 9	0 - 1	-13	-3	F	F	A+	-10	C	F	D
Sat, Jan 3	353 UMKC	L	66 - 73	84%	-2	3 - 10	0 - 2	-23	-12	D	D	F	-12	D	B+	F
Thu, Jan 8	297 North Dakota	W	90 - 79	69%	+7	4 - 10	1 - 2	+0	+12	A+	D-	B-	-12	D+	C	F
Sat, Jan 10	147 North Dakota St.	L	76 - 78	37%	+6	4 - 11	1 - 3	-4	+12	B-	A+	C	-16	F	B-	F
Sat, Jan 17	321 @Oral Roberts	W	73 - 62	55%	+6	5 - 11	2 - 3	+4	+0	B	F	A+	+4	B+	B	C
Wed, Jan 21	283 South Dakota	L	64 - 68	66%	+2	5 - 12	2 - 4	-14	-18	F	F	F	+4	D+	A+	A+
Sat, Jan 24	353 @UMKC	W	77 - 72	67%
Wed, Jan 28	170 South Dakota St.	L	75 - 77	44%
Sat, Jan 31	280 @Denver	L	80 - 82	43%
Thu, Feb 5	297 @North Dakota	L	76 - 77	47%
Sat, Feb 7	147 @North Dakota St.	L	69 - 78	19%
Thu, Feb 12	131 St. Thomas	L	74 - 78	35%
Sat, Feb 14	280 Denver	W	83 - 79	65%
Wed, Feb 18	321 Oral Roberts	W	77 - 70	75%
Wed, Feb 25	283 @South Dakota	L	80 - 82	44%
Sat, Feb 28	131 @St. Thomas	L	71 - 81	17%
Totals						10 - 17	7 - 9	-6	-2	C	D	C	-4	D+	C	D-

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st												0.1	0.0					0.1	1st
2nd										0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1					0.9	2nd
3rd								0.1	0.9	2.8	2.1	0.3	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th							0.0	2.0	7.4	4.7	0.6							14.8	4th
5th						0.1	2.8	10.4	6.6	1.0	0.0							20.9	5th
6th					0.1	2.9	11.4	8.9	1.2	0.0								24.6	6th
7th				0.3	3.6	10.5	7.8	1.1	0.0									23.3	7th
8th			0.1	1.5	3.9	2.0	0.2											7.7	8th
9th			0.3	0.9	0.4	0.0												1.5	9th

Total			0.4	2.6	8.0	15.5	22.2	22.6	16.2	8.6	3.2	0.7	0.1						Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	20.0%	0.0	0.0
11-5	7.6%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.1%																	0.0	0.0			0.1
11-5	0.7%	12.4%	12.4%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.6
10-6	3.2%	10.9%	10.9%		15.1															0.3	0.1	2.8
9-7	8.6%	7.8%	7.8%		15.9															0.1	0.6	7.9
8-8	16.2%	7.0%	7.0%		16.0															0.0	1.1	15.0
7-9	22.6%	4.5%	4.5%		16.0																1.0	21.5
6-10	22.2%	3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.7	21.5
5-11	15.5%	2.2%	2.2%		16.0																0.3	15.2
4-12	8.0%	0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.1	7.9
3-13	2.6%	1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	2.6
2-14	0.4%																					0.4
1-15
0-16

Total	100%	4.4%	4.4%	0.0%	15.9																	95.6	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%