North Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#143
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#153
Pace63.8#295
Improvement-2.8#292

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#61
First Shot+5.8#47
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks-4.1#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+12.3#1
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement-2.3#287

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#301
First Shot-5.2#329
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#104
Layups/Dunks-3.4#300
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#130
Freethrows+2.0#57
Improvement-0.5#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 22 - 23 - 2
Quad 34 - 57 - 7
Quad 411 - 418 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 136   Illinois St. L 68-77 59%     0 - 1 -10.3 -2.9 -8.2
  Nov 11, 2024 245   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 81-86 61%     0 - 2 -6.8 +13.3 -20.6
  Nov 13, 2024 56   @ Santa Clara W 88-80 OT 14%     1 - 2 +20.8 +13.1 +7.1
  Nov 18, 2024 195   @ Southern Illinois L 44-69 50%     1 - 3 -24.1 -25.5 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2024 123   @ Samford L 98-103 OT 35%     1 - 4 +0.1 +19.3 -18.9
  Nov 27, 2024 348   West Georgia W 73-61 89%     2 - 4 -0.7 -1.3 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2024 115   Utah Valley W 83-63 41%     3 - 4 +23.2 +28.2 -1.4
  Dec 04, 2024 284   @ Weber St. W 77-73 70%     4 - 4 -0.4 +12.3 -12.2
  Dec 07, 2024 130   Northern Colorado W 82-70 57%     5 - 4 +11.1 -0.9 +10.9
  Dec 10, 2024 72   @ Butler W 71-68 18%     6 - 4 +13.5 +11.3 +2.7
  Dec 15, 2024 296   Western Michigan W 98-62 86%     7 - 4 +25.5 +23.8 +3.2
  Dec 23, 2024 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 94-60 79%     8 - 4 +26.7 +17.9 +9.7
  Jan 02, 2025 132   St. Thomas L 85-89 58%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -5.0 +14.3 -19.6
  Jan 04, 2025 149   Nebraska Omaha L 80-85 62%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -7.0 +3.9 -11.0
  Jan 09, 2025 321   @ Oral Roberts W 110-96 77%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +7.2 +34.1 -26.7
  Jan 11, 2025 302   @ Denver W 69-50 73%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +13.6 +3.9 +12.2
  Jan 16, 2025 234   UMKC W 71-64 77%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +0.3 +0.2 +0.4
  Jan 18, 2025 239   @ South Dakota W 103-77 59%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +24.6 +22.6 +1.1
  Jan 25, 2025 264   North Dakota W 87-82 81%     13 - 6 5 - 2 -3.4 +5.7 -9.2
  Jan 30, 2025 135   South Dakota St. L 62-72 59%     13 - 7 5 - 3 -11.3 -4.6 -8.0
  Feb 02, 2025 132   @ St. Thomas L 62-79 37%     13 - 8 5 - 4 -12.5 -4.7 -9.7
  Feb 06, 2025 234   @ UMKC W 78-72 58%     14 - 8 6 - 4 +4.8 +17.6 -11.9
  Feb 08, 2025 149   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-85 40%     14 - 9 6 - 5 -7.5 +5.1 -13.4
  Feb 13, 2025 321   Oral Roberts W 94-88 OT 89%     15 - 9 7 - 5 -6.3 +5.5 -12.4
  Feb 15, 2025 302   Denver W 89-84 OT 86%     16 - 9 8 - 5 -5.9 +4.8 -11.1
  Feb 19, 2025 135   @ South Dakota St. W 77-68 38%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +13.2 +13.1 +1.1
  Feb 22, 2025 264   @ North Dakota L 77-79 65%     17 - 10 9 - 6 -4.9 +2.8 -7.8
  Feb 26, 2025 239   South Dakota W 82-78 77%     18 - 10 10 - 6 -2.9 -2.1 -1.1
  Mar 07, 2025 239   South Dakota L 84-85 69%     18 - 11 -5.2 +0.2 -5.3
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%