UTEP
Conference USA
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#159
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#148
Pace71.0#100
Improvement-3.1#310

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#209
First Shot+0.9#136
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#306
Layup/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-1.8#272

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#127
First Shot+2.3#99
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#266
Layups/Dunks+4.7#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#152
Freethrows-3.5#356
Improvement-1.4#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 4.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 53.2% 100.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 4.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 62 - 7
Quad 36 - 88 - 14
Quad 46 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 115   @ Utah Valley L 60-89 29%     0 - 1 -23.0 -13.5 -6.8
  Nov 20, 2024 152   @ UC Santa Barbara W 79-76 38%     1 - 1 +6.1 +9.0 -2.8
  Nov 25, 2024 156   San Jose St. L 65-71 49%     1 - 2 -5.7 -7.5 +1.6
  Nov 26, 2024 294   Long Beach St. W 70-44 77%     2 - 2 +18.3 -4.6 +23.9
  Nov 27, 2024 158   UNC Greensboro W 64-58 50%     3 - 2 +6.2 +1.3 +5.8
  Dec 07, 2024 147   Seattle W 88-72 58%     4 - 2 +14.1 +18.3 -3.9
  Dec 11, 2024 23   @ Louisville L 74-77 5%     4 - 3 +15.7 +10.8 +4.9
  Dec 16, 2024 275   Tarleton St. W 67-62 81%     5 - 3 -4.1 +0.9 -4.6
  Dec 20, 2024 269   Jackson St. W 67-61 80%     6 - 3 -2.7 -6.9 +4.4
  Dec 21, 2024 75   Yale W 75-74 33%     7 - 3 +5.7 +2.8 +3.0
  Jan 02, 2025 119   Louisiana Tech W 70-60 50%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +10.0 +0.5 +10.1
  Jan 04, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. W 81-72 63%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +5.7 +6.8 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2025 125   New Mexico St. L 57-85 53%     9 - 4 2 - 1 -28.7 -7.0 -24.5
  Jan 16, 2025 71   @ Liberty W 72-70 16%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +12.6 +7.8 +4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 257   @ Florida International W 81-73 60%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +5.6 +13.3 -7.5
  Jan 23, 2025 124   Jacksonville St. L 66-73 52%     11 - 5 4 - 2 -7.5 -5.9 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2025 137   Kennesaw St. W 73-71 56%     12 - 5 5 - 2 +0.7 -2.0 +2.6
  Jan 30, 2025 154   @ Western Kentucky L 74-78 39%     12 - 6 5 - 3 -1.0 -1.3 +0.6
  Feb 01, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-71 29%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +2.7 +2.5 +0.0
  Feb 08, 2025 125   @ New Mexico St. W 66-63 32%     13 - 7 6 - 4 +7.9 +0.2 +7.7
  Feb 13, 2025 257   Florida International W 77-63 78%     14 - 7 7 - 4 +6.1 +4.1 +2.0
  Feb 15, 2025 71   Liberty L 69-76 32%     14 - 8 7 - 5 -2.0 +4.0 -6.3
  Feb 20, 2025 137   @ Kennesaw St. L 73-83 35%     14 - 9 7 - 6 -5.8 +2.5 -8.2
  Feb 22, 2025 124   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-73 32%     14 - 10 7 - 7 -3.0 -3.8 +0.6
  Feb 27, 2025 154   Western Kentucky L 73-80 60%     14 - 11 7 - 8 -9.5 -1.2 -8.0
  Mar 01, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee L 75-76 OT 50%     14 - 12 7 - 9 -0.8 -8.9 +8.3
  Mar 06, 2025 170   @ Sam Houston St. L 87-89 42%     14 - 13 7 - 10 +0.2 +5.8 -5.5
  Mar 08, 2025 119   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-76 30%     14 - 14 7 - 11 -12.5 -12.5 +0.1
  Mar 11, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. W 76-75 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 2.2% 2.2% 14.0 0.3 1.6 0.3 97.9
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.0 0.3 1.6 0.3 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.2% 100.0% 14.0 14.0 73.5 12.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.8%
Lose Out 46.8%