Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#282
Pace61.5#342
Improvement-1.1#238

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#269
First Shot-4.3#296
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#142
Layup/Dunks-4.3#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement-1.7#271

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#174
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#219
Layups/Dunks-2.9#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#23
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement+0.6#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 71 - 8
Quad 32 - 113 - 19
Quad 44 - 47 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 72   @ Butler L 65-72 10%     0 - 1 +3.5 -3.3 +6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 250   Tulsa W 111-106 3OT 65%     1 - 1 -2.6 -1.0 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2024 216   Texas Arlington W 78-68 58%     2 - 1 +4.2 +0.2 +3.9
  Nov 24, 2024 88   High Point W 71-61 18%     3 - 1 +15.9 +0.3 +16.1
  Nov 25, 2024 168   Boston College L 74-76 OT 38%     3 - 2 -2.5 -0.9 -1.5
  Nov 26, 2024 135   South Dakota St. L 55-75 31%     3 - 3 -18.6 -14.5 -5.4
  Dec 01, 2024 321   @ Oral Roberts W 72-67 62%     4 - 3 -1.8 +1.5 -2.8
  Dec 07, 2024 196   Indiana St. L 77-80 54%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -7.6 +0.6 -8.3
  Dec 14, 2024 120   @ Washington St. L 78-91 20%     4 - 5 -7.7 +6.2 -13.9
  Dec 22, 2024 152   UC Santa Barbara W 68-56 45%     5 - 5 +9.6 +7.8 +4.5
  Dec 29, 2024 242   @ Evansville L 40-57 42%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -18.7 -25.2 +4.3
  Jan 01, 2025 208   Valparaiso L 72-73 57%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -6.4 +7.3 -13.9
  Jan 04, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 60-69 14%     5 - 8 0 - 4 -1.1 -1.0 -1.4
  Jan 07, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago L 63-80 49%     5 - 9 0 - 5 -20.4 -2.3 -20.7
  Jan 11, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois L 78-88 OT 33%     5 - 10 0 - 6 -9.1 -0.3 -8.1
  Jan 15, 2025 195   Southern Illinois L 51-73 53%     5 - 11 0 - 7 -26.6 -20.9 -7.3
  Jan 18, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. L 68-74 23%     5 - 12 0 - 8 -1.8 +2.9 -5.5
  Jan 21, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa L 68-79 16%     5 - 13 0 - 9 -4.2 +8.5 -14.3
  Jan 25, 2025 66   Drake L 62-69 OT 19%     5 - 14 0 - 10 -1.5 +1.9 -4.6
  Jan 29, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. L 67-72 33%     5 - 15 0 - 11 -4.1 -2.7 -1.8
  Feb 01, 2025 145   Murray St. W 77-56 43%     6 - 15 1 - 11 +19.2 +6.1 +13.6
  Feb 05, 2025 103   Northern Iowa L 61-66 31%     6 - 16 1 - 12 -3.7 -7.9 +4.0
  Feb 08, 2025 127   @ Belmont L 68-85 21%     6 - 17 1 - 13 -12.3 -1.5 -11.5
  Feb 12, 2025 242   Evansville W 71-54 63%     7 - 17 2 - 13 +9.8 +7.8 +4.5
  Feb 16, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago L 58-63 29%     7 - 18 2 - 14 -2.9 -13.7 +10.8
  Feb 19, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso L 64-66 35%     7 - 19 2 - 15 -1.9 -3.1 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 136   Illinois St. L 68-70 41%     7 - 20 2 - 16 -3.3 -2.1 -1.4
  Feb 26, 2025 127   Belmont L 65-74 39%     7 - 21 2 - 17 -9.8 -7.5 -2.7
  Mar 02, 2025 66   @ Drake L 60-68 OT 9%     7 - 22 2 - 18 +3.0 +4.7 -3.3
  Mar 06, 2025 136   Illinois St. L 54-70 31%     7 - 23 -14.6 -15.0 -1.4
Projected Record 7 - 23 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18 100.0% 100.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%