Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#167
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#129
Pace65.6#283
Improvement+0.5#146

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#266
First Shot-5.2#321
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#72
Layup/Dunks+1.4#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#309
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.5#218

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#88
First Shot+0.9#138
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#41
Layups/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#1
Freethrows-1.5#284
Improvement+1.0#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 12.6% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 74.5% 82.7% 59.8%
.500 or above in Conference 67.4% 76.7% 50.7%
Conference Champion 9.0% 11.8% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.1% 7.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round10.6% 12.4% 7.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Home) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 36 - 57 - 11
Quad 410 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 66 @New Mexico L 56-74 14%     0 - 1 -6.8 -12.4 +6.2
  Sat, Nov 15 254 Missouri St. W 67-49 77%     1 - 1 +9.8 -6.7 +16.9
  Tue, Nov 18 252 @Evansville W 84-76 56%     2 - 1 +5.8 +14.0 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 21 225 Campbell L 67-71 63%     2 - 2 -8.0 -11.2 +3.4
  Sat, Nov 22 223 @Weber St. W 74-73 51%     3 - 2 +0.2 +3.7 -3.4
  Sat, Nov 29 132 Stephen F. Austin W 66-61 53%     4 - 2 +3.8 +2.5 +1.9
  Tue, Dec 2 136 @Arkansas St. L 63-83 30%     4 - 3 -15.3 -11.1 -3.5
  Thu, Dec 11 191 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 58-50 44%     5 - 3 +9.0 -0.8 +11.6
  Wed, Dec 17 81 @Stanford L 60-76 16%     5 - 4 -6.1 -5.5 -1.1
  Mon, Dec 22 303 @Oral Roberts W 69-57 67%     6 - 4 +7.0 -3.8 +11.3
  Mon, Dec 29 180 Tarleton St. W 72-68 64%    
  Thu, Jan 1 134 California Baptist W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 319 @Southern Utah W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 204 Abilene Christian W 67-62 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 251 @Utah Tech W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 85 @Utah Valley L 63-73 17%    
  Wed, Jan 21 180 Tarleton St. W 72-68 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 319 Southern Utah W 75-63 86%    
  Sat, Jan 31 134 California Baptist W 67-66 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 251 @Utah Tech W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 85 @Utah Valley L 63-73 18%    
  Thu, Feb 12 204 @Abilene Christian L 64-65 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 319 Southern Utah W 75-63 85%    
  Thu, Feb 19 251 Utah Tech W 72-64 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 85 Utah Valley L 66-70 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 134 @California Baptist L 64-69 32%    
  Thu, Mar 5 180 @Tarleton St. L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Mar 7 204 @Abilene Christian L 64-65 47%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.6 7.3 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 5.2 8.6 6.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 24.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 6.4 7.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 20.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.3 4.1 1.4 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 2.1 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.4 5.9 9.1 11.9 14.4 14.4 13.2 10.7 7.5 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.4% 0.8    0.8 0.0
15-3 84.5% 1.7    1.3 0.4
14-4 62.5% 2.6    1.6 0.9 0.0
13-5 32.0% 2.4    1.0 1.1 0.3
12-6 10.2% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.1 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.5% 40.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 45.8% 45.8% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.1% 35.6% 35.6% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.3
14-4 4.1% 28.7% 28.7% 13.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9
13-5 7.5% 22.6% 22.6% 13.4 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 5.8
12-6 10.7% 18.6% 18.6% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.7
11-7 13.2% 13.9% 13.9% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 11.4
10-8 14.4% 8.1% 8.1% 14.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 13.3
9-9 14.4% 5.3% 5.3% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 13.6
8-10 11.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 11.5
7-11 9.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 8.8
6-12 5.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
5-13 3.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.3
4-14 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.0 1.9 0.5 89.3 0.0%