Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#241
Pace68.7#158
Improvement-0.9#232

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#176
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#112
Layup/Dunks-3.9#318
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#54
Freethrows+0.2#158
Improvement-2.5#299

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#267
First Shot+0.1#179
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#348
Layups/Dunks-0.4#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#137
Freethrows-2.1#314
Improvement+1.6#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% 2.2% 0.0%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 13
Quad 49 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 119   Louisiana Tech L 77-92 38%     0 - 1 -15.0 +7.7 -23.4
  Nov 13, 2024 62   @ USC L 95-98 9%     0 - 2 +9.0 +14.0 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2024 230   @ Missouri St. L 68-78 42%     0 - 3 -11.0 -4.0 -6.9
  Nov 26, 2024 145   Murray St. L 66-79 35%     0 - 4 -12.1 -6.9 -4.8
  Nov 27, 2024 277   Austin Peay W 68-58 63%     1 - 4 +3.5 -0.3 +4.9
  Nov 28, 2024 138   Rhode Island L 78-83 34%     1 - 5 -3.7 +1.7 -5.2
  Dec 02, 2024 343   @ Louisiana Monroe W 84-70 73%     2 - 5 +4.5 +3.8 +0.2
  Dec 12, 2024 98   @ Arkansas St. L 79-83 16%     2 - 6 +3.7 +9.3 -5.5
  Dec 14, 2024 343   Louisiana Monroe W 77-68 87%     3 - 6 -6.0 -1.6 -4.3
  Dec 18, 2024 242   Evansville W 80-54 66%     4 - 6 +18.8 +11.6 +8.8
  Dec 21, 2024 71   @ Liberty L 56-79 11%     4 - 7 -12.4 -7.7 -5.5
  Dec 29, 2024 201   @ Texas St. W 80-72 37%     5 - 7 +8.4 +7.7 +1.0
  Jan 04, 2025 275   @ Tarleton St. L 74-77 52%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -6.6 +5.5 -12.1
  Jan 09, 2025 290   @ Utah Tech L 62-74 57%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -16.7 -12.0 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 304   @ Southern Utah L 68-73 59%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -10.5 -5.9 -4.5
  Jan 16, 2025 115   Utah Valley L 83-85 OT 37%     5 - 11 0 - 4 -1.5 +4.1 -5.4
  Jan 23, 2025 147   Seattle W 65-56 46%     6 - 11 1 - 4 +7.1 +4.5 +4.1
  Jan 25, 2025 210   @ Abilene Christian W 79-76 OT 39%     7 - 11 2 - 4 +2.9 +9.3 -6.4
  Jan 30, 2025 304   Southern Utah W 70-68 78%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -9.0 +1.0 -9.8
  Feb 01, 2025 290   Utah Tech W 73-71 76%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -8.2 +5.8 -13.7
  Feb 06, 2025 115   @ Utah Valley L 73-94 20%     9 - 12 4 - 5 -15.0 +5.6 -20.8
  Feb 08, 2025 147   @ Seattle L 65-67 26%     9 - 13 4 - 6 +1.6 +0.8 +0.7
  Feb 13, 2025 162   California Baptist W 82-79 OT 50%     10 - 13 5 - 6 +0.1 +1.2 -1.4
  Feb 15, 2025 94   Grand Canyon L 75-82 29%     10 - 14 5 - 7 -4.4 +4.0 -8.2
  Feb 22, 2025 275   Tarleton St. W 67-57 72%     11 - 14 6 - 7 +0.9 -3.8 +4.8
  Feb 27, 2025 94   @ Grand Canyon L 71-85 15%     11 - 15 6 - 8 -5.9 +2.0 -7.3
  Mar 01, 2025 210   Abilene Christian L 59-70 60%     11 - 16 6 - 9 -16.6 -11.2 -5.6
  Mar 08, 2025 162   @ California Baptist L 68-70 29%     11 - 17 6 - 10 +0.6 +3.2 -2.7
  Mar 12, 2025 94   Grand Canyon L 72-80 21%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 1.5 98.5
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.2%
Lose Out 36.8%