Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 Grand Canyon 47.1%   13   22 - 7 13 - 3 23 - 7 13 - 3 +5.3      +0.1 172 +5.3 51 77.1 16 +5.1 96 +5.9 2
115 Utah Valley 30.6%   21 - 7 15 - 1 22 - 7 15 - 1 +3.2      -0.2 184 +3.4 84 69.7 128 +5.4 93 +13.6 1
147 Seattle 10.4%   11 - 17 8 - 8 12 - 17 8 - 8 +0.9      -2.2 230 +3.1 90 65.4 252 -3.4 223 -2.5 5
162 California Baptist 7.8%   16 - 14 9 - 7 17 - 14 9 - 7 -0.1      -1.1 205 +0.9 145 65.4 255 -0.8 171 -0.7 3
210 Abilene Christian 2.5%   13 - 15 8 - 8 13 - 16 8 - 8 -2.9      -5.8 320 +2.9 94 71.3 90 -2.2 198 -2.0 4
216 Texas Arlington 1.5%   11 - 17 6 - 10 11 - 18 6 - 10 -3.0      -0.1 176 -3.0 267 68.7 158 -4.4 241 -5.3 7
275 Tarleton St. 0.2%   9 - 19 7 - 9 9 - 20 7 - 9 -6.4      -8.5 352 +2.1 108 65.0 267 -4.7 246 -3.1 6
290 Utah Tech 0.0%   5 - 25 2 - 14 5 - 26 2 - 14 -7.5      -2.7 245 -4.8 311 68.0 184 -10.9 328 -13.3 9
304 Southern Utah 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 12 9 - 19 4 - 12 -8.2      -6.4 331 -1.8 226 71.6 78 -6.3 270 -8.1 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Grand Canyon 2.0 100.0
Utah Valley 1.0 100.0
Seattle 4.0 100.0
California Baptist 3.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 4.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 7.0 100.0
Tarleton St. 6.0 100.0
Utah Tech 9.0 100.0
Southern Utah 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Grand Canyon 13 - 3 100.0
Utah Valley 15 - 1 100.0
Seattle 8 - 8 100.0
California Baptist 9 - 7 100.0
Abilene Christian 8 - 8 100.0
Texas Arlington 6 - 10 100.0
Tarleton St. 7 - 9 100.0
Utah Tech 2 - 14 100.0
Southern Utah 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Grand Canyon
Utah Valley 100.0% 100.0
Seattle
California Baptist
Abilene Christian
Texas Arlington
Tarleton St.
Utah Tech
Southern Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Grand Canyon 47.1% 47.1% 0.0% 13   0.0 14.1 27.0 5.9 0.0 53.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 30.6% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0 3.6 17.3 9.5 0.2 69.4 0.0%
Seattle 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 0.3 10.1 89.6 0.0%
California Baptist 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.1 3.7 3.7 0.2 92.2 0.0%
Abilene Christian 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.8 1.7 97.5 0.0%
Texas Arlington 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Utah Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Grand Canyon 47.1% 0.0% 47.1% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 30.6% 0.0% 30.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 10.4% 7.4% 8.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 7.8% 0.0% 7.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 2.5% 0.5% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.0% 1.0 3.0 97.0
2nd Round 8.4% 0.1 91.6 8.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0