Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
87 Utah Valley 53.7%   13   7 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 7 14 - 4 +6.6      +1.7 125 +4.8 53 70.6 156 +7.2 85 0.0 1
130 California Baptist 20.4%   10 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +1.8      +0.8 141 +1.0 131 65.1 297 +7.8 77 0.0 1
177 Texas Arlington 9.2%   5 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 13 9 - 9 -1.3      -3.2 258 +2.0 107 65.7 283 +2.3 133 0.0 1
180 Tarleton St. 9.1%   5 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 9 -1.5      -2.0 223 +0.5 145 73.5 74 +4.1 111 0.0 1
210 Abilene Christian 4.9%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 10 -3.3      -4.0 273 +0.7 138 66.6 267 -0.2 166 0.0 1
251 Utah Tech 2.4%   4 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 18 7 - 11 -5.1      -2.7 242 -2.4 247 67.6 229 -4.0 230 0.0 1
318 Southern Utah 0.4%   1 - 9 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 14 -9.3      -6.0 331 -3.2 281 72.7 93 -12.9 338 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 17 83 Stanford 76 177 Texas Arlington 60   
Wed, Dec 17 87 Utah Valley 90 225 Weber St. 74   
Thu, Dec 18 270 Northern Arizona 65 318 Southern Utah 57   
Fri, Dec 19 210 Abilene Christian 67 9 BYU 85   
Fri, Dec 19 343 Florida A&M 54 180 Tarleton St. 78   
Sat, Dec 20 251 Utah Tech 82 225 Weber St. 80   
Sat, Dec 20 130 California Baptist 74 273 Sacramento St. 67   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 22 301 Oral Roberts 69 177 Texas Arlington 72 62%   
Mon, Dec 22 210 Abilene Christian 73 321 Texas Southern 69 62%   
Mon, Dec 22 37 Creighton 83 251 Utah Tech 61 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th
Utah Valley 1.4 74.6 16.9 5.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
California Baptist 2.5 20.3 37.9 21.8 11.5 5.7 2.3 0.4
Texas Arlington 3.6 7.3 19.2 23.8 21.4 15.5 9.5 3.2
Tarleton St. 3.7 7.0 17.9 23.2 21.2 16.6 10.6 3.6
Abilene Christian 4.3 2.9 10.6 16.9 21.4 23.5 17.8 6.9
Utah Tech 5.0 1.4 5.2 10.4 16.6 23.0 28.4 15.0
Southern Utah 6.3 0.1 0.8 2.2 5.0 11.2 23.6 57.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Utah Valley 14 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.8 5.1 8.9 12.6 16.5 18.9 16.9 11.4 4.4
California Baptist 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.8 9.6 12.8 15.4 15.8 14.2 10.2 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.1
Texas Arlington 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.4 7.0 9.8 12.7 14.6 14.0 12.4 9.3 6.3 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Tarleton St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.9 7.5 10.7 13.1 14.1 13.8 11.6 8.7 6.0 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
Abilene Christian 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.2 8.6 12.0 14.2 14.9 13.5 10.7 7.7 5.0 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Utah Tech 7 - 11 0.2 1.1 2.9 6.2 10.0 13.1 14.8 15.0 12.4 9.7 6.7 4.0 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1
Southern Utah 4 - 14 2.9 8.7 14.4 17.4 17.4 13.9 10.4 6.9 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Utah Valley 74.6% 64.3 9.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
California Baptist 20.3% 13.1 6.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
Texas Arlington 7.3% 4.1 2.5 0.6 0.0 0.0
Tarleton St. 7.0% 4.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 2.9% 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Utah Tech 1.4% 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Southern Utah 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Utah Valley 53.7% 53.7% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 7.2 24.8 16.7 3.4 0.3 0.0 46.3 0.1%
California Baptist 20.4% 20.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 4.7 9.4 5.1 0.9 0.1 79.6 0.0%
Texas Arlington 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.2 2.1 0.7 90.8 0.0%
Tarleton St. 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 2.0 0.6 90.9 0.0%
Abilene Christian 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.7 1.0 95.1 0.0%
Utah Tech 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 97.6 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Utah Valley 53.7% 0.0% 53.7% 9.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 20.4% 0.0% 20.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 9.2% 0.4% 9.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tarleton St. 9.1% 0.3% 9.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 4.9% 0.6% 4.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Tech 2.4% 0.8% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 99.0% 1.0 1.0 99.0 0.0
2nd Round 12.3% 0.1 87.7 12.3
Sweet Sixteen 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0