Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#234
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#201
Pace64.4#312
Improvement+0.4#156

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#319
First Shot-8.1#359
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#45
Layup/Dunks-3.2#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#312
Freethrows-3.5#336
Improvement+0.6#134

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#62
Layups/Dunks-1.1#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#83
Freethrows-5.1#360
Improvement-0.2#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.1% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 22.1% 35.8% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 37.1% 45.7% 33.0%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.1% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 11.1% 18.4%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round3.8% 5.7% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Home) - 32.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 49 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 252 Nebraska Omaha W 73-71 64%     1 - 0 -6.2 -4.9 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 14 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 21%     1 - 1 -5.9 -0.5 -5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 232 @Texas St. L 49-63 38%     1 - 2 -15.2 -17.4 +0.7
  Mon, Nov 24 269 Texas San Antonio W 61-50 56%     2 - 2 +5.0 -5.4 +11.8
  Tue, Nov 25 118 William & Mary L 58-92 23%     2 - 3 -30.8 -16.4 -12.3
  Tue, Dec 2 298 @Pepperdine W 71-63 51%     3 - 3 +3.3 +6.2 -1.9
  Sat, Dec 6 116 New Mexico St. L 61-66 32%    
  Tue, Dec 16 9 @Arizona L 58-85 1%    
  Fri, Dec 19 8 @BYU L 56-83 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 296 @Texas Southern W 70-69 51%    
  Thu, Jan 1 254 Utah Tech W 68-64 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 90 Utah Valley L 63-70 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 202 @Tarleton St. L 65-70 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 190 @Texas Arlington L 63-68 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 130 California Baptist L 62-66 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 320 @Southern Utah W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 202 @Tarleton St. L 65-70 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 254 Utah Tech W 68-64 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 320 Southern Utah W 72-64 76%    
  Thu, Feb 5 90 @Utah Valley L 60-73 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 130 @California Baptist L 59-69 20%    
  Thu, Feb 12 190 Texas Arlington W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 202 Tarleton St. W 68-67 54%    
  Sat, Feb 21 320 Southern Utah W 72-64 75%    
  Thu, Feb 26 254 @Utah Tech L 65-67 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 90 @Utah Valley L 60-73 13%    
  Thu, Mar 5 130 @California Baptist L 59-69 21%    
  Sat, Mar 7 190 Texas Arlington W 66-65 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.2 5.7 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 7.1 6.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 20.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 5.9 7.9 5.0 1.1 0.1 22.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.4 5.9 2.2 0.3 19.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.9 9.9 12.7 13.4 13.8 12.0 9.8 7.0 4.3 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 85.5% 0.4    0.4 0.1
14-4 62.0% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 41.4% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.1
12-6 10.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-7 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 28.9% 28.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 35.2% 35.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 34.9% 34.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.4% 19.9% 19.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9
12-6 4.3% 14.7% 14.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.6
11-7 7.0% 9.1% 9.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.4
10-8 9.8% 5.5% 5.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 9.2
9-9 12.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 11.5
8-10 13.8% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.1 0.4 13.3
7-11 13.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.2
6-12 12.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.6
5-13 9.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.8
4-14 6.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.9
3-15 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.3 95.8 0.0%