Texas St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#201
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#219
Pace65.7#246
Improvement-2.8#290

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+2.1#110
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#223
Layup/Dunks+4.9#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#349
Freethrows+2.3#56
Improvement-0.3#207

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#291
First Shot-4.1#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#167
Layups/Dunks-2.4#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#200
Freethrows-3.0#348
Improvement-2.4#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 51 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 49 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 274   Eastern Michigan W 64-44 74%     1 - 0 +10.9 -9.2 +21.9
  Nov 12, 2024 77   @ TCU L 71-76 12%     1 - 1 +5.1 +3.5 +1.9
  Nov 16, 2024 210   @ Abilene Christian L 60-72 41%     1 - 2 -12.1 -7.9 -4.4
  Nov 21, 2024 96   Bradley L 68-82 24%     1 - 3 -8.9 -0.9 -8.4
  Nov 22, 2024 188   Princeton W 83-80 46%     2 - 3 +1.6 +15.0 -13.2
  Nov 24, 2024 186   Ohio W 74-65 46%     3 - 3 +7.6 +8.4 +0.3
  Dec 01, 2024 279   @ Texas Southern W 72-59 56%     4 - 3 +9.1 +7.2 +2.9
  Dec 08, 2024 191   Rice W 75-66 58%     5 - 3 +4.6 +10.6 -4.6
  Dec 14, 2024 107   @ Florida Atlantic L 80-89 20%     5 - 4 -2.4 +8.4 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2024 251   Georgia Southern W 83-61 69%     6 - 4 1 - 0 +14.4 +7.2 +7.4
  Dec 29, 2024 216   Texas Arlington L 72-80 63%     6 - 5 -13.8 -2.4 -11.7
  Jan 02, 2025 167   @ Marshall L 71-77 33%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -3.7 +3.6 -7.7
  Jan 04, 2025 178   @ Appalachian St. L 61-72 35%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -9.3 -0.7 -9.8
  Jan 09, 2025 101   @ Troy W 74-73 19%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +8.1 +10.5 -2.4
  Jan 11, 2025 293   @ Southern Miss L 88-92 OT 60%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -8.9 +0.1 -8.3
  Jan 15, 2025 252   Georgia St. W 94-80 70%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +6.3 +14.1 -7.8
  Jan 18, 2025 293   Southern Miss W 85-82 OT 78%     9 - 8 4 - 3 -7.4 +0.0 -7.8
  Jan 23, 2025 305   @ Louisiana W 89-74 62%     10 - 8 5 - 3 +9.4 +15.1 -5.8
  Jan 25, 2025 98   @ Arkansas St. L 65-80 17%     10 - 9 5 - 4 -7.3 -3.1 -4.3
  Jan 30, 2025 305   Louisiana L 61-70 80%     10 - 10 5 - 5 -20.1 -10.3 -10.5
  Feb 01, 2025 98   Arkansas St. L 74-85 33%     10 - 11 5 - 6 -8.8 +4.4 -13.5
  Feb 05, 2025 278   @ Old Dominion L 64-75 55%     10 - 12 5 - 7 -14.8 +0.1 -16.6
  Feb 08, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 70-85 42%     10 - 13 -15.4 -3.5 -11.8
  Feb 13, 2025 343   @ Louisiana Monroe W 72-60 75%     11 - 13 6 - 7 +2.5 -1.9 +4.9
  Feb 15, 2025 131   @ South Alabama L 65-70 OT 25%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -0.4 -2.0 +1.4
  Feb 19, 2025 343   Louisiana Monroe W 80-63 88%     12 - 14 7 - 8 +2.0 +4.0 -1.2
  Feb 22, 2025 131   South Alabama W 93-92 OT 44%     13 - 14 8 - 8 +0.1 +22.4 -22.3
  Feb 25, 2025 101   Troy L 69-74 35%     13 - 15 8 - 9 -3.4 +0.8 -4.4
  Feb 28, 2025 165   James Madison W 102-93 2OT 53%     14 - 15 9 - 9 +5.9 +18.1 -12.8
  Mar 06, 2025 278   Old Dominion L 61-64 66%     14 - 16 -9.5 -13.2 +3.6
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%