Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.5 290
Expected Predictive Rating -7.6 292
Pace 59.6 362
Improvement +6.9 6

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #309 D D- C- F+ F
Defense C- #250 D C- C+ D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 362 51% 322 -8.2 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 14 38% 159 +4.7 14
Three Pointers 40% 206 34% 175 -0.5 198
1st FG Attempt 0.94 304 -4.0 304
Second Chance 25.9% 305 0.88 341 0.23 340
Turnovers 17.4% 211
Freethrows 0.23 357 69% 270 0.16 357
Total Offense -5.2 309

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 46 59% 204 -3.5 301
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 323 34% 41 +2.6 11
Three Pointers 41% 193 38% 339 -2.5 296
1st FG Attempt 1.09 292 -3.5 292
Second Chance 32.5% 264 1.04 210 0.34 248
Turnovers 17.7% 130
Freethrows 0.37 333 72% 183 0.27 330
Total Defense -2.3 250

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -2.3 360 +1.0 346
Shot Type Accuracy -1.7 229 +2.3 276
Possession Length 19.6 354 17.6 250
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 334 0.16 135
Improvement +7.6 #1 -0.7 #230

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 27% 44% 11%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 49 - 911 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 310 @Ball St. L 64 - 75 44% -2  10% 0 - 1 F+ -17 D- -7 D- D C F -11 F D- C+
 Fri, Nov 7 270 SE Louisiana W 58 - 52 56% +9  99% 1 - 1 C- -3 D- -7 A F C- B +5 A- C C+
 Tue, Nov 11 174 Tulane L 62 - 66 36% -3  25% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F+ -9 F+ C A+ C+ +1 B- F+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 88 @McNeese St. L 62 - 88 7% -18  0% 1 - 3 F+ -17 D- -6 F C C- F -12 F A+ B
 Tue, Nov 18 74 @Stanford L 66 - 93 6% -12  10% 1 - 4 F+ -16 D -5 B- F+ C F+ -10 F+ B- D+
 Fri, Nov 21 44 @Santa Clara L 43 - 80 3% -20  0% 1 - 5 F -22 F -24 F F F C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Mon, Nov 24 180 @UC Davis L 56 - 77 19% -8  0% 1 - 6 F -19 F -14 F F D- D -7 F C- D
 Fri, Nov 28 343 Jackson St. L 45 - 51 77% -5  5% 1 - 7 F -21 F -33 F C F A +11 B B B-
 Wed, Dec 3 196 @Lamar L 55 - 65 22% +2  53% 1 - 8 D -9 F -11 D C F C+ +1 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 113 UNC Wilmington L 63 - 70 23% -3  10% 1 - 9 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D+ C C -0 C- B- B
 Sat, Dec 13 223 @Louisiana Tech L 44 - 65 24% -11  6% 1 - 10 F -21 F -22 F+ F F C- -3 D+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 241 @Southern Miss L 54 - 62 28% -2  27% 1 - 11 0 - 1 D -10 F -19 F F B A- +9 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 356 @Louisiana Monroe W 76 - 62 66% +12  99% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +2 C+ +2 B F A+ C+ +1 B- F A-
 Sun, Dec 28 307 Norfolk St. W 63 - 54 66% +9  99% 3 - 11 C- -3 D -4 C+ F A B- +3 A- B- D
 Wed, Dec 31 191 South Alabama L 58 - 63 40% -2  13% 3 - 12 1 - 2 D -10 D+ -3 D C B+ D- -8 D+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 241 Southern Miss L 67 - 74 50% -2  27% 3 - 13 1 - 3 F+ -15 F+ -8 D- A+ F+ D -6 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 8 356 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 79 83% +3  68% 4 - 13 2 - 3 D- -12 C- -1 C- A- F F+ -11 F C C-
 Sat, Jan 10 135 Troy L 70 - 90 28% -16  0% 4 - 14 2 - 4 F -21 C +0 A F B- F -23 F+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 234 @Texas St. L 54 - 59 27% -5  6% 4 - 15 2 - 5 D+ -6 F -12 F D- B- B +5 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 191 @South Alabama W 59 - 56 21% +1  62% 5 - 15 3 - 5 C+ +4 C- -1 C- F+ A B +6 C+ F+ C+
 Thu, Jan 22 161 @Appalachian St. L 58 - 72 17% -1  45% 5 - 16 3 - 6 D- -11 D+ -3 F C A F+ -11 F C- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 276 Georgia St. W 82 - 72 58% +10  94% 6 - 16 4 - 6 C +1 A- +10 A B- C- D- -9 B+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 274 Georgia Southern W 69 - 60 57% +6  93% 7 - 16 5 - 6 C -0 D+ -4 B- F+ B B +4 B- C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 222 @James Madison W 64 - 61 24% +1  56% 8 - 16 6 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +2 D+ C D+ C+ +2 D D+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 296 Central Michigan W 85 - 80 62% -1  34% 9 - 16 D+ -6 A- +11 A D- D+ F -16 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 12 238 Coastal Carolina L 65 - 66 49%
 Mon, Feb 16 253 @Old Dominion L 66 - 71 30%
 Thu, Feb 19 141 Arkansas St. L 68 - 74 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 234 Texas St. L 64 - 65 48%
 Tue, Feb 24 135 @Troy L 61 - 73 13%
 Fri, Feb 27 141 @Arkansas St. L 65 - 77 14%
Totals 11 - 20 8 - 10 -7 D -5 D D- C- C- -2 D C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D C C C- 27% 33% 40% F D D D- D- C- F D+ F+ C- C B D- D+ 44% 16% 41% D- D D+ C C- C+ D- C D-
1.01 51% 38% 34% -2 -2 0.94 26% 0.9 .23 17% .23 69% .16 1.12 59% 34% 38% +2 +1 1.09 32% 1.0 .34 18% .37 72% .16
Nov
3		 Ball St. D- C+ B+ F+ D 22% 31% 47% F D- F+ B- D C F F F F D- A+ F F 58% 13% 30% F F D D- D- C+ F B- F
1.00 64% 44% 29% 0 -3 0.96 26% 1.1 .29 19% .17 56% .10 1.17 61% 0% 58% +8 +2 1.23 29% 1.0 .29 17% .53 68% .36
Nov
7		 SE Louisiana D- D+ A+ B+ A+ 22% 46% 32% F A F F F C- F F F B B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 8% 51% F A- D B C C+ F A+ F
1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -4 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15 0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38
Nov
11		 Tulane F+ A- C- F D- 13% 31% 56% F F+ D+ B C A+ B+ F D+ C+ F A+ A+ B+ 54% 17% 29% F B- B- F F+ C+ F C- F
0.97 67% 36% 28% -4 -3 0.87 31% 1.1 .33 13% .38 52% .20 1.03 73% 0% 17% -6 +2 0.93 19% 1.8 .35 16% .50 78% .39
Nov
14		 McNeese St. D- F+ F F F 31% 26% 43% D- F B D C C- A- A+ A+ F D- F F F 44% 7% 49% F F B A+ A+ B F C- F
0.93 46% 18% 22% -16 -1 0.67 41% 1.0 .41 25% .46 87% .40 1.32 67% 67% 50% +18 +2 1.41 32% 0.4 .12 16% .70 77% .54
Nov
18		 Stanford D C+ A F B- 48% 34% 18% C- B- F+ D F+ C D+ F F F+ F B C- F 29% 13% 58% A- F+ C+ B- B- D+ F F+ F
0.93 58% 47% 22% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.0 .18 20% .30 59% .17 1.30 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.21 34% 0.9 .31 14% .57 80% .46
Nov
21		 Santa Clara F F F F F 55% 26% 18% C F D+ F F F A+ A A+ C+ D+ D- A+ A+ 50% 4% 46% F A+ F C F D- F A+ D
0.65 33% 20% 14% -24 0 0.55 27% 0.6 .15 27% .52 80% .41 1.20 65% 50% 17% -8 +3 0.92 50% 1.1 .55 12% .33 63% .21
Nov
24		 UC Davis F A- F D D- 12% 36% 52% F F D+ F F D- F C F D F F+ F F 35% 23% 43% C+ F B+ F C- D F A- F
0.86 67% 28% 31% -5 -4 0.84 29% 0.6 .17 21% .21 73% .16 1.18 71% 44% 41% +11 0 1.23 22% 1.3 .30 15% .58 69% .40
Nov
28		 Jackson St. F D- F F F 35% 14% 51% C F C C- C F C+ F F+ A B F+ A+ A- 38% 22% 40% D- B B- B+ B B- A+ D A+
0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17 0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08
Dec
3		 Lamar F C F B- D 27% 23% 50% D D D- A C F F A- F C+ A- F F+ B- 67% 22% 11% F C- C- A+ B+ D- F A+ F
0.90 58% 20% 36% -2 -1 0.95 24% 1.3 .31 28% .18 75% .14 1.06 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 35% 0.8 .26 13% .45 63% .28
Dec
6		 UNC Wilmington D- F+ C- C D+ 27% 25% 48% C- D+ D C+ D+ C C- B- C C B A+ F+ C+ 47% 12% 42% F C- C+ B B- B F C F
0.99 50% 38% 32% -3 -1 0.92 22% 1.1 .25 14% .24 77% .18 1.10 50% 20% 39% -3 +2 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 17% .45 71% .32
Dec
13		 Louisiana Tech F F C- C D- 26% 26% 49% F F+ C+ F F F D+ F F C- D A+ A- C- 52% 12% 36% F D+ F F+ F A+ F F F
0.73 27% 36% 33% -9 -2 0.81 34% 0.3 .11 27% .29 54% .16 1.08 59% 20% 27% -5 +2 0.95 43% 1.0 .43 25% .42 84% .35
Dec
18		 Southern Miss F F C+ F F 20% 49% 31% F F F F F B F A F A- A+ B+ D+ A+ 26% 31% 43% B- A+ A+ F B+ F F A F
0.80 36% 41% 24% -8 -5 0.76 13% 0.4 .05 15% .22 77% .17 0.91 9% 31% 33% -15 -2 0.67 18% 1.3 .23 12% .65 67% .43
Dec
20		 Louisiana Monroe C+ B C- A+ A- 30% 30% 40% F B F F F A+ B+ F C C+ A+ A F C+ 36% 28% 36% B B- C F F A- F F+ F
1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17 0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52
Dec
28		 Norfolk St. D D- B+ A+ B 24% 24% 52% F C+ D- F F A F+ B- D B- A+ A+ F+ A 41% 18% 41% F+ A- C B+ B- D C+ D+ C
1.07 55% 45% 42% +7 -1 1.13 26% 0.4 .10 12% .29 73% .21 0.92 33% 13% 39% -12 0 0.80 30% 0.8 .24 17% .33 69% .23
Dec
31		 South Alabama D+ F B+ C- C- 9% 20% 70% F D C C C B+ D- D+ D- D- D+ B C+ D+ 41% 16% 43% C D+ F A- F+ A+ F F F
1.04 25% 44% 32% -3 -2 0.91 32% 1.1 .35 14% .15 71% .10 1.13 60% 33% 31% -2 +1 1.00 37% 1.0 .37 20% .45 85% .38
Jan
3		 Southern Miss F+ B- C- C C- 21% 44% 35% F D- C+ A+ A+ F+ D B+ C- D F B- A F 49% 22% 29% F F D- A+ B A+ F F F
0.99 60% 38% 35% +1 -4 0.96 29% 1.8 .52 21% .30 75% .22 1.09 80% 33% 25% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 25% .59 83% .49
Jan
8		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- A+ C- C+ 28% 22% 50% F+ C- A+ D+ A- F C+ F D F+ D+ A- F F 58% 15% 27% F F A F C C- D- C D-
1.19 60% 67% 33% +7 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14 1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27
Jan
10		 Troy C A+ B- A A+ 26% 23% 51% D A F F F B- D A- C- F B A+ F F 43% 15% 43% C+ F+ F F F A- A A+ A+
1.10 75% 45% 42% +12 -1 1.23 20% 0.3 .07 16% .24 77% .19 1.41 50% 14% 55% +7 +1 1.17 58% 1.7 .97 20% .22 45% .10
Jan
14		 Texas St. F F F A F 37% 23% 40% D F F A D- B- B D C+ B D+ F F F 60% 23% 16% F F B+ A+ A+ B A- A+ A+
0.89 44% 10% 41% -7 0 0.86 16% 1.2 .19 16% .37 68% .26 0.97 62% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.19 27% 0.3 .08 21% .21 60% .13
Jan
17		 South Alabama C- D+ F C C 14% 8% 78% D+ C- F A+ F+ A F F F B B- A+ F C 48% 23% 30% B- C+ F C F+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.03 57% 25% 33% -2 0 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 12% .08 50% .04 0.98 52% 20% 38% -5 0 0.93 31% 1.2 .38 14% .20 30% .06
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Appalachian St. D+ C+ D+ F F+ 24% 30% 46% F F F A+ C A F A+ D F+ C- F F F 25% 13% 63% C+ F F A C- A+ C- B- C
0.98 58% 33% 22% -10 -2 0.78 22% 1.4 .30 10% .17 89% .15 1.22 60% 80% 48% +19 0 1.40 38% 0.8 .31 22% .32 60% .19
Jan
29		 Georgia St. A- C+ A- A+ A+ 23% 45% 32% F A A- D+ B- C- A A A+ D- A C+ A+ A- 33% 28% 40% C- B+ F B+ D+ F F F F
1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32 1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56
Jan
31		 Georgia Southern D+ D+ B+ A+ B+ 39% 28% 33% F B- F B F+ B F D F B A- A+ D+ C+ 38% 21% 42% B+ B- D+ B C A+ B- F D+
1.11 56% 46% 47% +8 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19 0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27
Feb
4		 James Madison C+ C- F A C- 23% 31% 46% F D+ B+ F+ C D+ F A+ F C+ D- A+ C- D+ 50% 8% 43% F D F+ B- D+ C F A+ B
1.13 55% 20% 41% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 14% .18 89% .16 1.08 65% 0% 35% +2 +3 1.10 35% 1.0 .35 18% .41 42% .17
Feb
7		 Central Michigan A- D A A+ A+ 28% 41% 30% F A A F D- D+ C+ A+ A- F B- F F F 34% 25% 41% C F B F F F+ F D+ F
1.33 54% 47% 64% +17 -3 1.28 45% 0.8 .34 17% .36 84% .30 1.25 53% 73% 44% +14 -1 1.27 24% 1.8 .43 14% .38 71% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 3.7 2.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.9 8.5 0.3 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 7.8 6.0 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 14.4 1.0 17.6 9th
10th 0.2 10.3 7.3 0.0 17.9 10th
11th 2.2 13.1 1.1 16.4 11th
12th 5.6 4.1 0.0 9.7 12th
13th 3.2 0.2 3.4 13th
14th 14th
Total 11.2 29.9 31.6 19.5 6.5 1.2 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.5
9-9 19.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.5
8-10 31.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 31.5
7-11 29.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 29.9
6-12 11.2% 11.2
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.2%